{"id":374493,"date":"2025-04-10T10:04:57","date_gmt":"2025-04-10T08:04:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=374493"},"modified":"2025-04-10T10:04:58","modified_gmt":"2025-04-10T08:04:58","slug":"politicized-science-case-study-national-climate-assessment","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=374493","title":{"rendered":"Politicized Science Case Study: National Climate\u00a0Assessment"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
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<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From Science Matters<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00a0By\u00a0Ron Clutz<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

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This post incorporates two dimensions of climate science reporting: firstly, what and who are involved in the production, and secondly what the Trump administration might do to achieve a more balanced result. A recent article exposes the process by which the US National Climate Assessment (NCA) has been produced while ensuring that true believers control the content. Brent Scher writes at Daily Wire\u00a0Meet The Government Consultants Raking In Millions To Spread Climate Doom.\u00a0<\/strong><\/a>\u00a0Excerpts in italics with my bolds and added images.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The government is outsourcing the \u2018crown jewel\u2019 of
climate change research to liberal climate consultants.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

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More than three decades ago, Congress launched an initiative called the U.S. Global Change Research Program<\/strong>. Today, it spends billions of dollars a year empowering liberal climate scientists to spread climate change doom. <\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The government group says its role is to provide the \u201cscientific foundation to support informed decision-making<\/strong> across the United States\u201d on climate change. It\u2019s done so by producing five National Climate Assessment reports<\/strong>, which are considered the \u201ccrown jewel<\/a>\u201d of climate research.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite taking funding from at least ten separate government agencies,<\/strong> producing the report seems to be the group\u2019s sole function. The most recent i<\/strong>teration \u2014 published in 2023<\/strong> and still prominently showcased on its government website \u2014 warns<\/strong> that \u201csevere climate risks<\/strong> to the United States will continue to grow.\u201d The next report is due out in the next couple of years, according to E&E News<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The National Climate Assessment is not simply an intellectual exercise, but rather one that carries real policy might. Congress and agencies use it to justify regulations and funding decisions<\/strong>, and states and cities across the country lean on it as the non-partisan scientific foundation for their own climate action plans. In summary, it is the scientific bedrock for directing policy at all levels<\/strong> of government towards liberal climate change goals.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n

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While the U.S. Global Change Research Program states on its website that it has a budget of $4.95 billion in 2025<\/strong><\/a>, it only lists two full-time employees.<\/strong> So, who\u2019s getting paid to put the massive and consequential report together?<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sources familiar with past iterations of the National Climate Assessment say the work is largely outsourced to a group called ICF,<\/strong> a massive government contractor that has an active contract to work on the report. The Daily Wire identified at least one active contract from NASA<\/a> <\/strong>for ICF to \u201csupport\u201d the U.S. Global Change Research Program. ICF is set to be paid millions of dollars during the Trump administration<\/strong> to \u201cassist the nation and the world to understand, assess, predict, and respond to human-induced and natural processes of global change.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The contract was first announced<\/a> in June 2021, and described as a $34 million, five-year contract<\/strong> to help with the National Climate Assessments. Only $18 million has been paid out,<\/strong> according to the government spending database.<\/a> But with another assessment on deck and ICF under contract for another year, the additional $16 million could be disbursed in the next year.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

A climate scientist who has worked on the National Climate Assessment
in the past says ICF runs the show, virtually controlling
the entire U.S. Global Change Research Program.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cBy providing all staff<\/strong> for the USGCRP, a federal agency, the ICF exerts undue influence over the global change narrative and priorities<\/strong> presented by the federal government,\u201d said the official, who requested anonymity to discuss the work. \u201cThe ICF, through the USGCRP, exerts an undue influence on the production of the National Climate Assessment every four years. With the exception of its Executive Director and the Director of the National Climate Assessment, the ICF supplies all staff associated with the USGCRP.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n

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ICF<\/strong> takes in far more in government contracts than its active $34 million from NASA. An analysis of federal spending data<\/a> found that the consulting firm rakes in hundreds of millions of dollars each year through federal contracts<\/strong>, and took in over $2 billion during the Biden administration.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consulting firm is likely aware that the scope of its government work could be slashed<\/strong> during Trump\u2019s term, and so are investors. Its stock price was at $171 a share days ahead of last November\u2019s election, but has since cratered to just $77 a share<\/strong>, the lowest it had been since the last time Trump was president.  (Yes, the stock price fell before the current market volatility caused by tariffs).<\/em><\/a><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n

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Houston Keene, a former journalist who now leads a government transparency organization, argues that unnamed government consultants shouldn\u2019t be paid millions to chart the nation\u2019s climate policy.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cThe public deserves an honest assessment from the government on the state of climate science,\u201d Keene said. \u201cThat requires an objective, nonpartisan author<\/strong> who does not have financial interests in the outcome. ICF appears to be none of these things.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cThere can be no proper assessment with scientific integrity when a clearly partisan and financially conflicted activist organization is holding the pen,<\/strong>\u201d he said.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

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A top Trump administration official, Russell Vought,<\/strong> has signaled<\/a> that he wanted to exert more oversight<\/strong> over the next climate assessment. Vought runs the powerful Office of Management and Budget,<\/strong> and has openly stated that he wants to make deep cuts to \u201cwoke and weaponized\u201d spending.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Vought has specifically called out the U.S. Global Change Research Program\u2019s report, arguing that the bureaucrats who write it end up with outsized power over government action. He\u2019s called for an investigation of the political leanings of the contractors that assemble the report.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

A March 2025 report at SciAm provides background on recent developments regarding the NCA: Trump Official Who Tried to Downplay Major Climate Report Now Will Oversee It.<\/a><\/strong>  Excerpts in italics with my bolds and added images.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stuart Levenbach alarmed scientists years ago when he attempted
to meddle with a congressionally mandated climate report<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stuart Levenbach was tapped last month by administration officials to serve as associate director<\/strong> for natural resources, energy, science, and water in the Office of Management and Budget.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The previous time<\/strong> President Donald Trump was in the White House, Levenbach attempted to tone down the summary conclusions<\/strong> of the National Climate Assessment, a wide-ranging report that relies on the contributions of hundreds of researchers<\/a> to assess how global warming is transforming the United States.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n

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Scientists say Levenbach tried to downplay climate risks<\/strong> in the fourth installment of the report, which comes out every four years or so. In that edition, Levenbach was concerned especially with the higher greenhouse gas emissions assumptions<\/strong> the report partially relied on and sought to soften the language of the report\u2019s summary, the scientists say.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cHe<\/strong> was the one that tried to slow it down to the point of it not coming out,\u201d said Don Wuebbles,<\/strong> a climate scientist at the University of Illinois who has worked on all five previous National Climate Assessments.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Levenbach\u2019s delay tactics were ultimately unsuccessful<\/strong>, and the fourth<\/strong> installment of the report<\/strong> was released in 2018<\/strong> on the day after Thanksgiving<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

In response to questions from Politico\u2019s E&E News, a Trump administration official<\/strong> with the Office of Management and Budget described the scientists\u2019 concerns as \u201cfake news.\u201d<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n

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\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

The National Climate Assessment is based on a range of emissions scenarios,<\/strong> including those that are not worst-case scenarios. The fourth<\/strong> version of the report<\/strong> concluded the country was not on track<\/strong> to cut carbon dioxide emissions at a pace to avoid some of the worst consequences of climate change.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the time, Levenbach\u2019s role at NOAA carried more weight than usual because the agency was operating without a permanent administrator, and did so for the entire first Trump presidency.  Reached for comment, OMB spokeswoman Rachel Cauley<\/strong> did not deny that Levenbach tried to alter the report, but she criticized how it was put together<\/strong>.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

\u201cThe assessment was riddled with the worst case scenario and<\/em>
the authors weren\u2019t transparent about it,\u201d she said in a statement.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

Levenbach is joining OMB at a time when its director, Russ Vought, wants to suppress climate science throughout the federal government and increase Trump White House oversight<\/a> over the next installment<\/strong> of the National Climate Assessment, which is due out in 2026 or 2027.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Levenbach\u2019s appointment to a powerful White House role with oversight of the nation\u2019s scientific endeavors comes at a time<\/strong> when the administration is preparing a possible challenge to the endangerment finding<\/strong><\/a>, a bedrock ruling which considers greenhouse gases a danger to public health and is a foundation of climate regulations.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

This post incorporates two dimensions of climate science reporting: firstly, what and who are involved in the production, and secondly what the Trump administration might do to achieve a more balanced result. A recent article exposes the process by which the US National Climate Assessment (NCA) has been produced while ensuring that true believers control the content. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":374513,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691818056,691819716,691818087,691834376,691833483,691834375],"class_list":["post-374493","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-climate-change","tag-climate-policy","tag-global-warming","tag-liberal-climate-scientists","tag-u-s-global-change-research-program","tag-us-national-climate-assessment-nca","fallback-thumbnail"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/0CR-17.jpg?fit=1778%2C1184&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1zqd","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":288740,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=288740","url_meta":{"origin":374493,"position":0},"title":"\u2018National Embarrassment\u2019: Key Stat Used In Biden Admin\u2019s Landmark Climate Report Is Misleading","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"11\/26\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"From The Daily Caller NICK POPE CONTRIBUTOR A key top-line statistic featured in the Biden administration\u2019s latest report on the state of climate change in the U.S. is misleading in several ways. The\u00a0Fifth National Climate Assessment\u00a0(NCA 5) features numerous analyses and graphics that purport to highlight extreme weather events that\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Biden Administration\"","block_context":{"text":"Biden Administration","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=biden-administration"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/0210422083025-03-biden-climate-summit-0422-super-tease.jpg?fit=1100%2C619&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/0210422083025-03-biden-climate-summit-0422-super-tease.jpg?fit=1100%2C619&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/0210422083025-03-biden-climate-summit-0422-super-tease.jpg?fit=1100%2C619&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/0210422083025-03-biden-climate-summit-0422-super-tease.jpg?fit=1100%2C619&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/0210422083025-03-biden-climate-summit-0422-super-tease.jpg?fit=1100%2C619&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":288716,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=288716","url_meta":{"origin":374493,"position":1},"title":"5th National Climate Assessment: Obscured Hurricane Facts to Pull on Heart Strings","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"11\/26\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"By Jim Steele NCA Hype: NCA constantly claimed that \u201churricanes are both expected to increase in the region due to human-induced climate change, which will affect public health unless adaptation measures are taken (high confidence).\u201d The NCA focused on human and ecosystem hardships in Puerto Rico caused by Hurricane Maria\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"5th National Climate Assessment\"","block_context":{"text":"5th National Climate Assessment","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=5th-national-climate-assessment"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/0F_Zmmbla0AEGiDe.jpeg?fit=1200%2C843&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/0F_Zmmbla0AEGiDe.jpeg?fit=1200%2C843&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/0F_Zmmbla0AEGiDe.jpeg?fit=1200%2C843&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/0F_Zmmbla0AEGiDe.jpeg?fit=1200%2C843&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/0F_Zmmbla0AEGiDe.jpeg?fit=1200%2C843&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":289672,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=289672","url_meta":{"origin":374493,"position":2},"title":"No, CNN, Climate Change is Not Costing the U.S. Billions","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"12\/02\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"By Linnea Lueken CNN Business posted an article titled \u201cClimate change is costing the US $150 billion a year. Here\u2019s what that looks like,\u201d which cites a recent government climate report to claim that global warming is causing an increase in costly weather disasters. This is false. Data refutes the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/0Kalachakra_Protection_From_Natural_Disasters.jpg?fit=1200%2C719&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/0Kalachakra_Protection_From_Natural_Disasters.jpg?fit=1200%2C719&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/0Kalachakra_Protection_From_Natural_Disasters.jpg?fit=1200%2C719&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/0Kalachakra_Protection_From_Natural_Disasters.jpg?fit=1200%2C719&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, 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(CO\u2082)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=carbon-dioxide-co%e2%82%82"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQOknM8KjkhcOqhAwRTIAFaxoVcNF1uWkal4gwx76Fir975uG9Z16EC74asaNKEiZf9DSDx1bOxJVyU8M5djNGlD_C_gmZo-AkVx5JtKtCOPHFQXHrr36JYfbqb_Eihq-1.jpeg?fit=1159%2C747&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQOknM8KjkhcOqhAwRTIAFaxoVcNF1uWkal4gwx76Fir975uG9Z16EC74asaNKEiZf9DSDx1bOxJVyU8M5djNGlD_C_gmZo-AkVx5JtKtCOPHFQXHrr36JYfbqb_Eihq-1.jpeg?fit=1159%2C747&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQOknM8KjkhcOqhAwRTIAFaxoVcNF1uWkal4gwx76Fir975uG9Z16EC74asaNKEiZf9DSDx1bOxJVyU8M5djNGlD_C_gmZo-AkVx5JtKtCOPHFQXHrr36JYfbqb_Eihq-1.jpeg?fit=1159%2C747&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, 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trophies after the unthinkable occurred: the Trump administration canceled funding for ICF International, the contractor coordinating America\u2019s National\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"alarmist framing\"","block_context":{"text":"alarmist framing","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=alarmist-framing"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/0Screenshot-2025-04-13-120206.png?fit=1200%2C646&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/0Screenshot-2025-04-13-120206.png?fit=1200%2C646&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/0Screenshot-2025-04-13-120206.png?fit=1200%2C646&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/0Screenshot-2025-04-13-120206.png?fit=1200%2C646&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, 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