{"id":367186,"date":"2025-02-22T09:15:14","date_gmt":"2025-02-22T08:15:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=367186"},"modified":"2025-02-22T09:15:16","modified_gmt":"2025-02-22T08:15:16","slug":"wrong-politico-climate-change-does-not-threaten-the-eus-survival-but-climate-policy-does","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=367186","title":{"rendered":"Wrong, Politico, Climate Change Does Not Threaten the EU\u2019s Survival, But Climate Policy Does"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"
Europe from space at night with city lights showing European cities in Germany, France, Spain, Italy and United Kingdom (UK), global overview, 3d rendering of planet Earth, elements from NASA. Some elements from NASA (https:\/\/eoimages.gsfc.nasa.gov\/images\/imagerecords\/57000\/57752\/land_shallow_topo_2048.jpg<\/a>)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From ClimateRealism<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By Linnea Lueken<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

A recent Politico article, \u201cClimate change threatens EU\u2019s survival, German security report warns<\/a>,\u201d claims that \u201cglobal warming will exacerbate conflicts, hunger, and migration worldwide, with growing risks for Europe.\u201d Evidence undermines these claims. In reality, the world is not suffering destabilization due to climate change, but European populations are far more likely to suffer from climate policy, as Politico briefly mentions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Politico reports on a \u201clandmark\u201d political report from the German federal intelligence service (BND) that attempts to assess \u201cthe dangers climate change poses to German and European security over the next 15 years.\u201d The report concludes that \u201cclimate change\u2019s destabilizing effects will drive up migration and food prices, threatening economic and political upheaval,\u201d and \u201cthe unequal impact of rising temperatures in the EU \u2014 with southern countries hit worse than others \u2014 risks tearing the bloc apart.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Politico goes on to claim that as global average temperature rises, \u201cso do the frequency, severity and intensity of flood-triggering extreme rainfall, deadly heat waves, harvest-destroying droughts and the conditions that allow wildfires to spread easily.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

These claims are false, as available data proves.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While rainfall has modestly increased over northern latitudes that contain the European Union member states, extreme rainfall that causes flooding has not. Claims that recent flooding events were \u201csupercharged\u201d or worsened by climate change are pure speculation based on attribution modelling. Data and historical records of flood frequency and severity debunk claims of unprecedented flooding. Recent flooding in Spain, for instance, was blamed on climate change by attribution groups, but the storm that hit Spain was consistent with a long history of similar storms that are not becoming more severe or frequent. In the Climate Realism<\/em> post, \u201cFlooding Facts Drowned by Climate Hysteria: The BBC Ignores Spain\u2019s Weather History<\/a>,\u201d meteorologist Anthony Watts and H. Sterling Burnett describe the history of the region struck by the floods:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Valencia, which sits along and at the mouth of the Turia River on the Mediterranean Sea, suffered similar flooding, for example, in 1897, 1957, and 1996, 127, 67, and 28 years of warming ago, respectively, when temperatures were cooler than at present.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As Caroline Angus\u2019 account of the 1957 Valencia flood reveals, these conditions are neither new nor unprecedented. The BBC\u2019s focus on \u201cclimate change\u201d and a warmer atmosphere as the primary cause of the recent flooding ignores the atmospheric mechanics behind these storms and downplays the recurrent pattern of similar natural events.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Likewise, Climate Realism<\/em> debunked other regional European flooding events, here<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Heatwaves<\/a> and drought<\/a> are likewise not getting worse, and contra Politico and the German report\u2019s claims, crop production is not declining in Europe due to those conditions, as pointed out in numerous Climate Realism<\/em> posts, here<\/a>, here<\/a>, and here<\/a>, for example. Wildfires are also on the decline<\/a> globally.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Interestingly, Politico and the German report do admit that government response to climate alarmism may also cause tension. Politico reports that policies meant to address climate change \u201cwill cause tensions, noting that carbon pricing \u2014 the backbone of EU climate efforts \u2014 disproportionately affects poorer households.\u201d This fact should be obvious to anyone. Carbon pricing does not bother the elites, who can afford higher energy prices.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Politico and the report authors also warn \u201cthe cost of decarbonization and its (perceived) unfair distribution \u2026 provide space for populism, right-wing and left-wing extremism, and disinformation campaigns[.]\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

That claim should be taken further, it already has caused tensions and has contributed to a growing threat to European food supplies, resulting in frequent mass protests in multiple countries by\u00a0farmers<\/a>. Not only that, but it’s not a perception that the distribution of the costs is unfair, it is a fact. Looking beyond carbon taxes, the push for electric vehicles is a subsidy for a luxury product that most cannot afford. London\u2019s \u201cultra-low emission zones\u201d (ULEZ<\/a>) are basically a tax on the poor who cannot afford to purchase new electric or low emitting hybrids.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

What is true for Europe with regards to crop production is also true for other major crop producing parts of the world, and so climate change is not driving or likely to drive mass migration that could destabilize Europe. Climate Realism has debunked claims that climate change was causing mass emigration in multiple posts, here<\/a>, here<\/a>, and here<\/a>, for instance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

If Politico and German leaders are worried about \u201cpopulism\u201d and right leaning sympathies rising in their nations due to concerns about mass immigration from unstable parts of the world, then perhaps they could impose restrictions on immigration, no need to blame climate change.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It\u2019s shameful that Politico and the German government are downplaying the harm that the unnecessary, unjustified, climate policies which they have supported have had on Europeans. Extreme weather is not getting worse, but the impacts of government overreach and taxation in the name of climate change are.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A recent Politico article, \u201cClimate change threatens EU\u2019s survival, German security report warns,\u201d claims that \u201cglobal warming will exacerbate conflicts, hunger, and migration worldwide, with growing risks for Europe.\u201d Evidence undermines these claims. In reality, the world is not suffering destabilization due to climate change, but European populations are far more likely to suffer from climate policy, as Politico briefly mentions.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":367188,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691819134,691818056,691819173,691818583,691819960,691833464,691824770,691833465],"class_list":{"0":"post-367186","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-climate-alarmism","9":"tag-climate-change","10":"tag-decarbonization","11":"tag-europe","12":"tag-european-union","13":"tag-german-federal-intelligence-service-bnd","14":"tag-politico","15":"tag-ultra-low-emission-zones-ulez","17":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/0GettyImages-1172807596.jpg?fit=2121%2C1414&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1xwm","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":384048,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=384048","url_meta":{"origin":367186,"position":0},"title":"False, 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History shows far worse droughts in\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0AQMZRpcXvkFMLQDUODchG6dySu32eibw5AjWIo0qVCabTAOAK13RJxjigdmlPU9oIWzeDMoNHW6K7NGdY9pR2Pd8YP33o4V7NRRZk4yGSDkDLLv8i7Y5vdHOSp4_5A79-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C680&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0AQMZRpcXvkFMLQDUODchG6dySu32eibw5AjWIo0qVCabTAOAK13RJxjigdmlPU9oIWzeDMoNHW6K7NGdY9pR2Pd8YP33o4V7NRRZk4yGSDkDLLv8i7Y5vdHOSp4_5A79-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C680&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0AQMZRpcXvkFMLQDUODchG6dySu32eibw5AjWIo0qVCabTAOAK13RJxjigdmlPU9oIWzeDMoNHW6K7NGdY9pR2Pd8YP33o4V7NRRZk4yGSDkDLLv8i7Y5vdHOSp4_5A79-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C680&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0AQMZRpcXvkFMLQDUODchG6dySu32eibw5AjWIo0qVCabTAOAK13RJxjigdmlPU9oIWzeDMoNHW6K7NGdY9pR2Pd8YP33o4V7NRRZk4yGSDkDLLv8i7Y5vdHOSp4_5A79-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C680&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0AQMZRpcXvkFMLQDUODchG6dySu32eibw5AjWIo0qVCabTAOAK13RJxjigdmlPU9oIWzeDMoNHW6K7NGdY9pR2Pd8YP33o4V7NRRZk4yGSDkDLLv8i7Y5vdHOSp4_5A79-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C680&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":428336,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=428336","url_meta":{"origin":367186,"position":5},"title":"Sorry, The Guardian and Other Media Outlets, Climate Change Isn\u2019t Causing Unusual Storms in Europe","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"27\/02\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"In The Guardian article \u201cUnder water, in denial: is Europe drowning out the climate crisis?\u201d Ajit Niranjan claims that Europe\u2019s recent winter storms and flooding signal a worsening climate crisis driven by global heating. This is false. Severe winter storms and flooding in Europe are not new, nor does the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/AQNydD2Ykx3TcpZ71g846NSm3aHDNcXO5b1tWCQfd7PXCSQXDlsWef4QxgLHh1YzH0TXpBKBW6hh7Zc-XTehlFWtkr_A2SL-U1q3nEtdqD09OQueSnbAbs3J8LSrFcI.jpeg?fit=1200%2C680&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/AQNydD2Ykx3TcpZ71g846NSm3aHDNcXO5b1tWCQfd7PXCSQXDlsWef4QxgLHh1YzH0TXpBKBW6hh7Zc-XTehlFWtkr_A2SL-U1q3nEtdqD09OQueSnbAbs3J8LSrFcI.jpeg?fit=1200%2C680&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/AQNydD2Ykx3TcpZ71g846NSm3aHDNcXO5b1tWCQfd7PXCSQXDlsWef4QxgLHh1YzH0TXpBKBW6hh7Zc-XTehlFWtkr_A2SL-U1q3nEtdqD09OQueSnbAbs3J8LSrFcI.jpeg?fit=1200%2C680&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/AQNydD2Ykx3TcpZ71g846NSm3aHDNcXO5b1tWCQfd7PXCSQXDlsWef4QxgLHh1YzH0TXpBKBW6hh7Zc-XTehlFWtkr_A2SL-U1q3nEtdqD09OQueSnbAbs3J8LSrFcI.jpeg?fit=1200%2C680&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/AQNydD2Ykx3TcpZ71g846NSm3aHDNcXO5b1tWCQfd7PXCSQXDlsWef4QxgLHh1YzH0TXpBKBW6hh7Zc-XTehlFWtkr_A2SL-U1q3nEtdqD09OQueSnbAbs3J8LSrFcI.jpeg?fit=1200%2C680&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/367186","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=367186"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/367186\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":367190,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/367186\/revisions\/367190"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/367188"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=367186"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=367186"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=367186"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}