{"id":366515,"date":"2025-02-17T09:09:18","date_gmt":"2025-02-17T08:09:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=366515"},"modified":"2025-02-17T09:09:20","modified_gmt":"2025-02-17T08:09:20","slug":"wrong-earth-com-cocoa-production-is-not-under-extreme-climate-pressure-its-improving","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=366515","title":{"rendered":"Wrong, Earth.com, Cocoa Production Is Not \u2018Under Extreme Climate Pressure\u2019 It\u2019s Improving"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
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From ClimateRealism<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By H. Sterling Burnett<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Earth.com published a story claiming climate change is causing cocoa production to fall in West and Central Africa. This is false. Data show that cocoa production has increased during the last few decades of modest warming, rather than falling. Part of the reason for this is improved growing conditions in those regions and carbon dioxide fertilization.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In the Earth.com story, \u201cCocoa production in Africa is under extreme climate pressure<\/a>,\u201d writer Andrei Ionescu, references a study published in Agricultural and Forest Meteorology<\/a>, which claims that climate change may<\/em><\/strong> result in a 50 percent drop in production across West and Central Africa, a region which accounts for 70 percent of global cocoa production. Ionescu goes further claiming, \u201cClimate change is substantially affecting cocoa production in West and Central Africa.\u201d The problem is the data falsifies this claim, and the projections are based on the worst-case scenario projections from flawed climate models.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Climate Realism<\/em> and Climate at a Glance<\/a> have written multiple times previously concerning the admission by climate modelers that the models run way to hot<\/a>. Accordingly, projections of impacts dependent on the models and their high emission scenarios cannot be trusted. Neither scientific research nor public policies should be built upon assumptions and projections that are known to be fatally flawed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Leaving this aside, data from the U.N. Food and Agriculture Organization show that, like crops everywhere, cocoa production varies from year. But accounting for interannual ups and downs, over the recent period of modest climate change, cocoa production has generally increased in West and Central Africa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The research in particular focuses on cocoa production in Cameroon, the Ivory Coast (C\u00f4te d\u2019Ivoire), Ghana, and Nigeria. FAO data for those countries show that since 1990:<\/p>\n\n\n\n