{"id":365171,"date":"2025-02-06T08:40:43","date_gmt":"2025-02-06T07:40:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=365171"},"modified":"2025-02-06T08:40:45","modified_gmt":"2025-02-06T07:40:45","slug":"the-collapsing-gulf-stream-scare-is-back-again","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=365171","title":{"rendered":"The \u201cCollapsing Gulf Stream\u201d Scare is Back\u2014Again"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From Watts Up With That?<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By Charles Rotter<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ah, the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) collapse\u2014our old friend. Like a horror movie franchise that refuses to die, the idea that the Gulf Stream is about to shut down and plunge Europe into an icy apocalypse has returned. This time, the BBC is breathlessly warning that \u201cthe chance of it happening is growing\u201d\u200b. But before you start knitting survivalist-grade wool socks, let\u2019s take a moment to review how many times we\u2019ve heard this story before\u2014and why it never seems to pan out.<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"
https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/articles\/cn938ze4yyeo<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

A Climate Catastrophe\u2026 Someday, Maybe, Possibly<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

According to the BBC, AMOC is supposedly \u201cgetting weaker,\u201d but they immediately admit that direct measurements have only been taken since 2004\u2014meaning we have barely two decades of actual data\u200b. Now, call me old-fashioned, but when you\u2019re talking about an ocean system that has been operating for millions of years, 20 years of data is like trying to predict a person\u2019s entire life based on a single Tuesday morning.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

And what\u2019s their big evidence? Ocean floor sediments and a \u201ccold blob\u201d in the Atlantic. That\u2019s right, they\u2019re looking at dirt samples and a patch of water that isn\u2019t warming like the rest of the ocean, and somehow, this is supposed to spell doom for civilization\u200b.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This wouldn\u2019t be so bad if they admitted the uncertainty. Instead, the article plays a game of \u201cit\u2019s probably not happening, but it totally could!\u201d For instance, the IPCC says they have \u201cmedium confidence\u201d that AMOC will not<\/em> collapse this century. But some other scientists say, well, maybe it could<\/em>! As one of them warns, we \u201cmaybe need to be worried\u201d\u200b.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

What kind of science is this? It sounds more like a horoscope than a serious climate analysis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Fear-Mongering 101: Every Climate Scare is the Last One<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Here\u2019s where it gets really interesting. The article includes dire warnings that \u201ceven the most likely scenario\u201d could lead to disastrous storms and colder European winters\u200b. But haven\u2019t we been told for decades that global warming was supposed to make winters warmer<\/em>? How many times have we heard that skiing in the Alps would be a thing of the past? Now, suddenly, the UK is going to be plunged into Arctic conditions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It\u2019s the ultimate climate fear two-for-one special: No matter what happens\u2014hotter, colder, wetter, drier\u2014it\u2019s all climate change, and it\u2019s all your fault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Of course, this isn\u2019t the first time we\u2019ve heard these predictions. The same scare popped up in The Day After Tomorrow<\/em> (2004), based on theories that had been bouncing around for decades before that. In 2015, similar claims made headlines, only for scientists later to admit that \u201cthe jury is still out\u201d on whether AMOC is actually slowing down\u200b.<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Then, just last month, a new study showed that\u2014wait for it\u2014the North Atlantic Current is actually stable\u200b.\u00a0<\/a>So, despite all the apocalyptic speculation, the real-world evidence just isn\u2019t there.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Real Agenda: Cut Emissions, No Matter the Cost<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

At the end of the article, we get to the real point. The only way to \u201creduce these risks,\u201d scientists insist, is to cut greenhouse gas emissions\u200b. That\u2019s right\u2014whether the planet is warming or cooling, whether AMOC is speeding up or slowing down, the answer is always the same: more regulations, more taxes, more restrictions on energy use.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It\u2019s almost as if the climate narrative isn\u2019t really about science at all, but about controlling human activity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Conclusion: No, the UK Won\u2019t Freeze Over Anytime Soon<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

If history is any guide, this latest AMOC scare will soon fade away, just like all the previous ones. Then, in a few years, another set of scientists will \u201cdiscover\u201d the same threat all over again, and the cycle will repeat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, before you panic-buy thermal underwear and start hoarding firewood, remember: Climate doom predictions are like bad fashion trends\u2014they always come back, but they never quite deliver on their promises.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

HT\/Darren K<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ah, the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) collapse\u2014our old friend. Like a horror movie franchise that refuses to die, the idea that the Gulf Stream is about to shut down and plunge Europe into an icy apocalypse has returned. This time, the BBC is breathlessly warning that \u201cthe chance of it happening is growing\u201d\u200b. But before you start knitting survivalist-grade wool socks, let\u2019s take a moment to review how many times we\u2019ve heard this story before\u2014and why it never seems to pan out.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":365179,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691821384,691818389,691818056,691819743,691821383,691833064],"class_list":{"0":"post-365171","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-atlantic-meridional-overturning-circulation-amoc","9":"tag-bbc","10":"tag-climate-change","11":"tag-climate-propaganda","12":"tag-gulf-stream","13":"tag-the-day-after-tomorrow-2004","15":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/0large_351300_fyVxBetpkikEjC6zPiB4G4dWl.jpg?fit=1400%2C788&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1wZR","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":270980,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=270980","url_meta":{"origin":365171,"position":0},"title":"The Guardian\u2019s (ocean) circulation problem","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"08\/02\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Is there no loyalty among climate extremists? The Guardian makes a mistake about the fundamental difference between the Gulf Stream and the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) and suddenly everyone is on its case, some accusing it of sloppy reporting, others demanding a correction of its fake news, (which didn\u2019t\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"AMOC\"","block_context":{"text":"AMOC","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=amoc"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/OIG-98-1.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/OIG-98-1.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/OIG-98-1.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/OIG-98-1.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":342845,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=342845","url_meta":{"origin":365171,"position":1},"title":"BBC AMOC Myth\u00a0Exploded","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"09\/13\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"The Gulf Stream system of warm ocean currents could collapse as early as 2025, a scientific study has warned. The end of the system, which drives the Atlantic\u2019s currents and determines western Europe\u2019s weather, would likely lead to lower temperatures and catastrophic climate impacts.","rel":"","context":"In \"Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC)\"","block_context":{"text":"Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=atlantic-meridional-overturning-circulation-amoc"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/0SEI_165307949.webp?fit=1200%2C799&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/0SEI_165307949.webp?fit=1200%2C799&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/0SEI_165307949.webp?fit=1200%2C799&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/0SEI_165307949.webp?fit=1200%2C799&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/0SEI_165307949.webp?fit=1200%2C799&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":414279,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=414279","url_meta":{"origin":365171,"position":2},"title":"\u00a0Is The Gulf Stream Really Collapsing? Debunking Another Climate Doomsday Claim","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"11\/22\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"The idea that global warming could paradoxically shut down the Gulf Stream, plunging Europe into a new cold spell\u2014a scenario popularized by the film\u00a0The Day After Tomorrow\u2014is a powerful narrative.","rel":"","context":"In \"Arctic Ice\"","block_context":{"text":"Arctic 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1960s. Helped by\u00a0publicity in the\u00a0Daily Sceptic, the story went viral on social media, although it was largely ignored in narrative-driven mainstream publications. The collapse of the Gulf\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Antarctica\"","block_context":{"text":"Antarctica","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=antarctica"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/0large_351300_fyVxBetpkikEjC6zPiB4G4dWl.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/0large_351300_fyVxBetpkikEjC6zPiB4G4dWl.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/0large_351300_fyVxBetpkikEjC6zPiB4G4dWl.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/0large_351300_fyVxBetpkikEjC6zPiB4G4dWl.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/0large_351300_fyVxBetpkikEjC6zPiB4G4dWl.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/365171","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=365171"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/365171\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":365181,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/365171\/revisions\/365181"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/365179"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=365171"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=365171"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=365171"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}