{"id":364475,"date":"2025-02-04T10:25:26","date_gmt":"2025-02-04T09:25:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=364475"},"modified":"2025-02-04T10:25:28","modified_gmt":"2025-02-04T09:25:28","slug":"california-blows-it-again","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=364475","title":{"rendered":"California Blows It Again"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From Watts Up With That?<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Guest Post by<\/em><\/strong> Willis Eschenbach<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Encouraged by the reception of my previous post \u201cEight Ten-Thousandths Of A Degree Per Gigaton<\/a><\/strong>\u201c, which ranged from warm acceptance through amused contempt to outright hostility, I\u2019ve expanded my research to analyze the CO2 emissions of the late great State of California.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In my post linked above, I found that IF the IPCC is correct (which is a big \u201cIF\u201d), for each gigaton (Gt) of avoided CO2 emissions, there is an avoided global warming of 0.0008\u00b0C. Please read that post for the detailed calculations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

And utilizing that relationship, here are the past and projected future California CO2 emissions.<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"
Figure 1. California historical and projected emissions, and the avoided warming we MIGHT get from the drop in emissions.<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

WOW! For all of our sacrifices here in California, for all the money we\u2019ve spent and are projected to spend, we MIGHT cool the world twenty years from now by 0.006\u00b0C \u2026 be still, my beating heart \u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Now, as to how much that has cost and will cost, the numbers are hard to come by. Here are some major costs:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2022 The California solar mandate is estimated to increase the cost of newly constructed single-family homes by approximately $8,400 each. There are ~ 60,000 new single-family homes built each year in California. That\u2019s about half a billion dollars per year for the next 20 years until 2045, or $10 billion total.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2022 The \u201cRenewable Mandates\u201d and rooftop solar subsidies have made current California electricity about $0.15 per kWh more expensive than its neighbors. Average since 2004 is about $0.10 per kWh more expensive. California\u2019s annual electricity consumption in 2023 was approximately 287,220,000,000 kWh. That\u2019s a cost of $35 billion per year times 20 years (2025-2045) equals $700 billion, plus $29 billion times 20 years (2004-2024) gives a total of $1.3 TRILLION. And that\u2019s with the totally unrealistic assumption of no increase in either consumption or electricity costs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But hey, the Governor\u2019s \u201cgreen\u201d pals are getting rich \u2026 however, I digress \u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2022 Since the inception of California\u2019s \u201cCap And Trade\u201d program, it has generated ~ $5 billion in total revenue. The current cost of said climate indulgences is about $35 per ton. So, if say half the upcoming emissions decreases will be due to the Cap-and-Trade system, that\u2019s another $110 billion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2022 The California ban on gas-powered appliances in new single-family homes goes into effect in 2030. It is estimated to increase the price of new homes by ~ $24,000. Sixty thousand new homes per year, times $24,000 per home, times fifteen years 2030-2045 gives a total cost of ~ $22 billion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

That\u2019s a total of about $1.5 TRILLION dollars, and it doesn\u2019t count the cost of other California CO2-related laws and regulations. The increase in electricity demand from electric houses and electric cars alone will be another huge cost. A trillion and a half hard-earned taxpayer dollars \u2026 and all of that to MAYBE reduce the temperature in 2045 by six-thousandths of one degree C.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Seriously. 0.006\u00b0C.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Meaningless. Unmeasurably small. Lost in the noise.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

And please, don\u2019t say that if only everyone did it, everything would be wonderful. At a cost of $1.5 tera bucks for a reduction of 0.006\u00b0C, it would cost us OVER $250 TRILLION DOLLARS to perhaps maybe possibly reduce the 2045 temperature by one degree \u2026 madness.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hopefully, this lunacy is subsiding, but I fear California will be the last to get the memo \u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Best to all,<\/p>\n\n\n\n

w.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

PS\u2014Most folks have no idea how huge a trillion dollars is.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Suppose we had a trillion dollars and we wasted a million dollars a day on climate starting today. In that case, we\u2019d waste the last million around October 30th of the year 4762AD \u2026 surely we have better things on which to spend a million dollars a day for the next 27 centuries. For that amount, we could turn the world into paradise \u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n

PPS\u2014When you comment please quote the exact words you are referring to. Avoids many misunderstandings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Encouraged by the reception of my previous post \u201cEight Ten-Thousandths Of A Degree Per Gigaton\u201c, which ranged from warm acceptance through amused contempt to outright hostility, I\u2019ve expanded my research to analyze the CO2 emissions of the late great State of California.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":364479,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691833035,691818068,691833036,691829997,691820974,691818656,691818087,691833037],"class_list":["post-364475","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-0-0008c","tag-california","tag-cap-and-trade","tag-carbon-dioxide-co","tag-co2-emissions","tag-electricity","tag-global-warming","tag-trillion-dollars","fallback-thumbnail"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/0-State-of-California.jpeg?fit=2474%2C1650&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1wOD","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":417858,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=417858","url_meta":{"origin":364475,"position":0},"title":"Scammers Are Gonna Scam, Regardless","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"12\/19\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Here\u2019s one example among hundreds. California\u2019s CO2 \u201cCap And Trade\u201d program, recently renamed the \u201cCap-And-Invest\u201d program, is now primarily a multi\u2011billion\u2011dollar revenue machine whose costs land squarely on consumers while delivering meaningless reductions in greenhouse gases. 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