{"id":361157,"date":"2025-01-09T15:13:07","date_gmt":"2025-01-09T14:13:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=361157"},"modified":"2025-01-09T15:13:10","modified_gmt":"2025-01-09T14:13:10","slug":"england-wales-rainfall-trends","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=361157","title":{"rendered":"England & Wales Rainfall\u00a0Trends"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By Paul Homewood<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
https:\/\/www.metoffice.gov.uk\/hadobs\/hadukp\/data\/monthly\/HadEWP_monthly_totals.txt<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

It does not need me to tell you that it was quite wet last year. It was in fact ninth wettest in England & Wales since 1766, though nowhere near the two wettest years in 1872 and 1768.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

For the last decade or so, we have been going through the same sort of weather as in the 1870s and 80s, as well as the 1920s.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But averages and trends are not particularly meaningful \u2013 nature does not do averages and straight lines! You could have ten years all with the same rainfall, or you could have five years with high rainfall and five years of drought, and you could get the same average.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

If you just look at the distribution of wet years, there is no obvious pattern:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

But the chart of driest years strongly suggests that these are both much less frequent and severe now. The most recent inclusion in the list is 2011:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

It would be accurate to say that England & Wales are not getting wetter, but are not as dry as they often used to be.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite the year as a whole being wetter than average, no month was particularly so, with none appearing in the list of >170mm:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The wettest day was Feb 8th, with 21.89mm. Most years see this sort of level or more.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The data shows that rainfall is not getting more extreme in England & Wales.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

It does not need me to tell you that it was quite wet last year. It was in fact ninth wettest in England & Wales since 1766, though nowhere near the two wettest years in 1872 and 1768.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":361166,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691819380,691819383,691825799],"class_list":["post-361157","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-england","tag-rainfall","tag-wales","fallback-thumbnail"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/0_Seasonal-weather-London-UK-13-Jun-2019.webp?fit=1841%2C1227&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1vX7","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":285697,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=285697","url_meta":{"origin":361157,"position":0},"title":"Storm Babet Review","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"10\/29\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"The rainfall on the wettest day of Babet was 22.76mm averaged across England & Wales. There have been 44 wetter days since 1931 alone. In Scotland it was even less remarkable, ranking only 253rd. From NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT By Paul Homewood h\/t Euan Mearns The Met\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Met Office\"","block_context":{"text":"Met Office","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=met-office"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/0image_50403585-1697632017760.JPG-storm_babet__fallen_tree_blocks_road_close_to_county_derry_village.jpeg?fit=1200%2C700&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/0image_50403585-1697632017760.JPG-storm_babet__fallen_tree_blocks_road_close_to_county_derry_village.jpeg?fit=1200%2C700&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/0image_50403585-1697632017760.JPG-storm_babet__fallen_tree_blocks_road_close_to_county_derry_village.jpeg?fit=1200%2C700&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/0image_50403585-1697632017760.JPG-storm_babet__fallen_tree_blocks_road_close_to_county_derry_village.jpeg?fit=1200%2C700&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/0image_50403585-1697632017760.JPG-storm_babet__fallen_tree_blocks_road_close_to_county_derry_village.jpeg?fit=1200%2C700&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":413861,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=413861","url_meta":{"origin":361157,"position":1},"title":"Is Rainfall in Wales More\u00a0Extreme?","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"11\/19\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"I had a fruitful conversation with Grok, after he\/she\/it mentioned in passing that floods in Monmouth since 2000 had become more frequent because of climate change:","rel":"","context":"In \"extreme rain\"","block_context":{"text":"extreme rain","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=extreme-rain"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/0AQPwDxpEV9y2aySmycCDv9HLjaneBRnRy1v3IS1xBpEfF_wMpWi4UVjy28IEr5wCPXdf4l9pEUdnbyMppGth14-VMimqHB4TOVRHRJpHMj5W6uaKzO522kHbf_5ftC8l-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C631&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/0AQPwDxpEV9y2aySmycCDv9HLjaneBRnRy1v3IS1xBpEfF_wMpWi4UVjy28IEr5wCPXdf4l9pEUdnbyMppGth14-VMimqHB4TOVRHRJpHMj5W6uaKzO522kHbf_5ftC8l-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C631&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/0AQPwDxpEV9y2aySmycCDv9HLjaneBRnRy1v3IS1xBpEfF_wMpWi4UVjy28IEr5wCPXdf4l9pEUdnbyMppGth14-VMimqHB4TOVRHRJpHMj5W6uaKzO522kHbf_5ftC8l-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C631&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/0AQPwDxpEV9y2aySmycCDv9HLjaneBRnRy1v3IS1xBpEfF_wMpWi4UVjy28IEr5wCPXdf4l9pEUdnbyMppGth14-VMimqHB4TOVRHRJpHMj5W6uaKzO522kHbf_5ftC8l-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C631&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/0AQPwDxpEV9y2aySmycCDv9HLjaneBRnRy1v3IS1xBpEfF_wMpWi4UVjy28IEr5wCPXdf4l9pEUdnbyMppGth14-VMimqHB4TOVRHRJpHMj5W6uaKzO522kHbf_5ftC8l-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C631&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":294220,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=294220","url_meta":{"origin":361157,"position":2},"title":"UK Rainfall In\u00a02023","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"01\/08\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Last year was a wet one in England & Wales, the 7th wettest on record. (The UK series has a similar result).","rel":"","context":"In \"2023\"","block_context":{"text":"2023","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=2023"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/0london-rain.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/0london-rain.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/0london-rain.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/0london-rain.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/0london-rain.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":426362,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=426362","url_meta":{"origin":361157,"position":3},"title":"Climate Scaremongering or Legitimate Warning? BBC’s Rainfall Records Spark Fierce Debate","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"02\/15\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Paul Homewood criticizes a BBC Weather article from February 2, 2026, headlined \"January rainfall in parts of UK breaks more than century- long record.\" The BBC report stated that regions like Northern Ireland, south- west and southern England, and east of Scotland had one of their wettest Januarys on record,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"BBC\"","block_context":{"text":"BBC","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=bbc"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/AQPe1zuTIlOMjFB3kS_IcA9v5g3-MJPvvAo_DI1b85dmIFJeEPsgP7_4Ysr3muQ_jWxhYPQYMH4ssoI6HdCrIz4tLiIdR6tVj9SS8rBO1uC4tXiJJl9S1cGA7VkSPDoC.jpeg?fit=1200%2C666&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/AQPe1zuTIlOMjFB3kS_IcA9v5g3-MJPvvAo_DI1b85dmIFJeEPsgP7_4Ysr3muQ_jWxhYPQYMH4ssoI6HdCrIz4tLiIdR6tVj9SS8rBO1uC4tXiJJl9S1cGA7VkSPDoC.jpeg?fit=1200%2C666&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/AQPe1zuTIlOMjFB3kS_IcA9v5g3-MJPvvAo_DI1b85dmIFJeEPsgP7_4Ysr3muQ_jWxhYPQYMH4ssoI6HdCrIz4tLiIdR6tVj9SS8rBO1uC4tXiJJl9S1cGA7VkSPDoC.jpeg?fit=1200%2C666&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/AQPe1zuTIlOMjFB3kS_IcA9v5g3-MJPvvAo_DI1b85dmIFJeEPsgP7_4Ysr3muQ_jWxhYPQYMH4ssoI6HdCrIz4tLiIdR6tVj9SS8rBO1uC4tXiJJl9S1cGA7VkSPDoC.jpeg?fit=1200%2C666&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/AQPe1zuTIlOMjFB3kS_IcA9v5g3-MJPvvAo_DI1b85dmIFJeEPsgP7_4Ysr3muQ_jWxhYPQYMH4ssoI6HdCrIz4tLiIdR6tVj9SS8rBO1uC4tXiJJl9S1cGA7VkSPDoC.jpeg?fit=1200%2C666&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":430242,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=430242","url_meta":{"origin":361157,"position":4},"title":"Record Rainfall? No, A Damp\u00a0Squib!","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"03\/09\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"After three months of apocalyptic media stories, flood warnings and amber alerts, you would be excused for thinking we have just had the wettest winter in the UK since Noah slipped anchor! Even now the Met Office are describing it as \u201camong the wettest on record\u201d. But the Met Office\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/0-NoahArk-by-heavy-rain.jpg?fit=784%2C1168&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/0-NoahArk-by-heavy-rain.jpg?fit=784%2C1168&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/0-NoahArk-by-heavy-rain.jpg?fit=784%2C1168&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/0-NoahArk-by-heavy-rain.jpg?fit=784%2C1168&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":425334,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=425334","url_meta":{"origin":361157,"position":5},"title":"BBC\u2019s Fake Record Rainfall\u00a0Claims","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"02\/09\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"When the BBC makes claims about record rainfall, I suggest you check your wallet!","rel":"","context":"In \"BBC\"","block_context":{"text":"BBC","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=bbc"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0AQPe1zuTIlOMjFB3kS_IcA9v5g3-MJPvvAo_DI1b85dmIFJeEPsgP7_4Ysr3muQ_jWxhYPQYMH4ssoI6HdCrIz4tLiIdR6tVj9SS8rBO1uC4tXiJJl9S1cGA7VkSPDoC-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C666&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0AQPe1zuTIlOMjFB3kS_IcA9v5g3-MJPvvAo_DI1b85dmIFJeEPsgP7_4Ysr3muQ_jWxhYPQYMH4ssoI6HdCrIz4tLiIdR6tVj9SS8rBO1uC4tXiJJl9S1cGA7VkSPDoC-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C666&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0AQPe1zuTIlOMjFB3kS_IcA9v5g3-MJPvvAo_DI1b85dmIFJeEPsgP7_4Ysr3muQ_jWxhYPQYMH4ssoI6HdCrIz4tLiIdR6tVj9SS8rBO1uC4tXiJJl9S1cGA7VkSPDoC-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C666&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0AQPe1zuTIlOMjFB3kS_IcA9v5g3-MJPvvAo_DI1b85dmIFJeEPsgP7_4Ysr3muQ_jWxhYPQYMH4ssoI6HdCrIz4tLiIdR6tVj9SS8rBO1uC4tXiJJl9S1cGA7VkSPDoC-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C666&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0AQPe1zuTIlOMjFB3kS_IcA9v5g3-MJPvvAo_DI1b85dmIFJeEPsgP7_4Ysr3muQ_jWxhYPQYMH4ssoI6HdCrIz4tLiIdR6tVj9SS8rBO1uC4tXiJJl9S1cGA7VkSPDoC-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C666&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/361157","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=361157"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/361157\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":361168,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/361157\/revisions\/361168"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/361166"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=361157"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=361157"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=361157"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}