{"id":358626,"date":"2024-12-25T10:12:05","date_gmt":"2024-12-25T09:12:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=358626"},"modified":"2024-12-25T10:12:07","modified_gmt":"2024-12-25T09:12:07","slug":"uk-labour-caught-in-own-net-zero-trap","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=358626","title":{"rendered":"UK Labour Caught in Own Net-Zero\u00a0Trap"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From Science Matters<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By\u00a0Ron Clutz<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n

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\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Rupert Darwall explains how UK Labour ensnared itself in his Spectator article  Labour has walked into a net-zero trap of its own making<\/strong><\/a>. Excerpts in italics with my bolds and added images.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The government\u2019s net-zero noose draws tighter.<\/strong> At energy questions in the House of Commons on Tuesday, the Conservative MP Charlie Dewhirst asked<\/strong> the Energy Security and Net Zero Secretary Ed Miliband<\/strong> if<\/strong> the recent report by the National Energy System Operator (Neso) projected higher or lower bills under his policies<\/strong>. Miliband replied<\/strong> that Neso forecast lower overall costs. \u2018It is completely logical to say that that will lead to a reduction in bills<\/strong>,\u2019 he said.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Logic and historic data point in the opposite direction.<\/strong>\u00a0Between 2009 and 2020, the average price of electricity sold by the Big Six energy companies\u00a0rose by 67 per cent<\/strong>\u00a0from 10.71p per kilowatt hour (kWh) to 17.92p per kWh. This wasn\u2019t caused by any increase in the\u00a0cost of natural gas<\/strong>. In fact, the average price paid by major power generators\u00a0fell by 15 per cent<\/strong>\u00a0over the period. There was, however, a spectacular explosion in the\u00a0amount of wind and solar on the grid which rose from 4.5 gigawatts (GW) in 2009 to 37.95 GW in 2020.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n

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\"\"
Source: efficientbuildingsolutions.co.uk<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

The upward pressure on\u00a0prices will only increase as Miliband pushes for more offshore wind.<\/strong>\u00a0Earlier this week, the Financial Times reported a senior energy investment banker commenting on the hubris of the\u00a0offshore wind industry,<\/strong>\u00a0which has been\u00a0hit by higher interest rates and supply chain inflation.<\/strong>\u00a0Renewable energy projects require\u00a0enormous upfront investment costs<\/strong>. The pay-off, its advocates argue, is that renewables have no fuel input costs. But it would be a\u00a0mistake to assume they have minimal ongoing costs.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Source: Gordon Hughes See:\u00a0https:\/\/rclutz.com\/2024\/08\/21\/the-short-lives-of-wind-turbines\/<\/a><\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The North Sea is a harsh environment for wind turbines;<\/strong> fixing a defective wind turbine in the middle of the ocean is no easy matter. A 2020 forensic analysis of wind company accounts by Edinburgh University\u2019s Professor Gordon Hughes found that Year 1 operating costs for deepwater wind projects averaged \u00a344 per megawatt hour (MWh), rising to \u00a382 per MWh in Year 12.<\/strong> Moreover, the output efficiency<\/strong> of wind turbines degrades at a rate of around 4.5 per cent a year.<\/strong> When plotted against the market price obtained for wind output, Hughes concluded:<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

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 \u2018a significant portion of wind output is expensive to produce and of no value<\/strong> in terms of its contribution to national wellbeing\u2019.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Renewable subsidies are awarded in allocation rounds.<\/strong>\u00a0The fifth allocation round (AR5), conducted under the previous government, was a dud because of rising project costs caused by higher interest rates and supply chain inflation. Coming into office,\u00a0Miliband was determined to make a big splash with AR6.<\/strong>\u00a0He threw bill payers\u2019 money at it with a record-breaking\u00a0\u00a31.555 billion subsidy pot.<\/strong>\u00a0The government\u00a0accepted bids totalling 9.6 GW<\/strong>, which includes 5.34 GW of offshore wind and 3.29 GW of solar,\u00a0capacity which is useless when it\u2019s likely to be most needed to meet peak electricity demand on winter evenings.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The government gives successful bidders guaranteed prices,<\/strong> irrespective of how much \u2013 or, more often, how little \u2013 the market values their output. Consumers are then forced to make up the difference<\/strong> between the market price and the set strike price they bid for. The average strike price<\/strong> for AR6 was very nearly \u00a380 per MWh.<\/strong> Based on Professor Hughes\u2019s analysis of load factor decay and rising maintenance costs, there is a high risk that offshore wind becomes lossmaking well before Year 12.<\/strong> Floating offshore wind<\/strong>, which Miliband says \u2018is at the heart of the government\u2019s mission to make Britain a clean energy superpower\u2019, was awarded an eye-watering strike price of \u00a3176 per MWh<\/strong>.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Larger subsidies and floating offshore wind are hardly conducive to cutting bills.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Until mid-October, the wholesale price of electricity in 2024 averaged \u00a378.70 per MWh. The more wind and solar added<\/strong> at strike prices above wholesale prices mathematically drives up the amount of subsidy consumers must pay.<\/strong> But the cost of renewables doesn\u2019t stop there.<\/strong> Because wind farms are mostly located hundreds of miles from where electricity is used, when grid connections get congested, wind farms are paid constraint payments not to generate electricity.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Decongesting all the wind power on the grid doesn\u2019t come cheap either.<\/strong> Miliband\u2019s Clean Power 2030 Action Plan, published earlier this month, envisages building twice as much new transmission infrastructure in the next five years as was built in the past decade. The faster the planned build-out, the higher the cost. It means that renewable strike prices are a floor on which constraint payments and higher network costs are added.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n

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\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

That\u2019s not all. There\u2019s a\u00a0second net-zero factor driving up energy costs<\/strong>. Net-zero policies have been\u00a0forcing conventional power stations off the grid<\/strong>. Britain\u2019s dispatchable generating capacity (principally coal, gas and nuclear) peaked in 2010, by 2020 declining by 25.1 GW and\u00a0shrinking dispatchable capacity<\/strong>\u00a0by 28.5 per cent. This was mostly because\u00a018.3 GW of coal-fired capacity was retired as Britain demonstrated its green virtue to the world by powering past coal.<\/strong>\u00a0The problem comes when there\u2019s insufficient wind to power the grid. That\u2019s what happened\u00a0this autumn. Unseasonably windless conditions saw wholesale electricity prices rise<\/strong>\u00a0through October and November with a huge spike at the beginning of December.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The latest renewable lobbyist talking point is that gas sets the wholesale electricity price. The implication is that gas prices are driving up the cost of electricity. However, gas prices this year have been lower than they were in 2023.\u00a0The culprit behind the surging electricity prices is not the price of gas, but politicians kicking coal off the grid<\/strong>\u00a0and Britain not having sufficient gas-powered generating capacity to meet demand when there\u2019s not enough wind. Vladimir Putin and Qatari gas sheikhs are not to blame for\u00a0home-grown net zero policies that have left Britain with dangerously inadequate non-weather dependent generating capacity<\/strong>.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

In this, Britain is not alone.<\/strong> As other countries are finding out, having more renewables on the grid destabilises the electricity market. Sweden has also had soaring electricity prices,<\/strong> says Ebba Busch, Sweden\u2019s deputy prime minister and energy minister. Like Britain, Sweden has an extremely weather-dependant energy system which makes prices highly volatile,<\/strong> worsened by its German neighbour on the other side of Baltic. The need, Busch argues, is for \u2018more dispatchable power production\u2019.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

This is politically impossible for the Starmer government.\u00a0Labour is trapped by net zero and decarbonising the grid constitutes its overriding mission.<\/strong>\u00a0So far, neither the Conservatives or Reform have stepped up. Tory leader Kemi Badenoch calls herself a net-zero sceptic and Reform\u2019s Nigel Farage wants more nuclear. Whatever the merits of nuclear, there is\u00a0no way in which new nuclear power stations can be built and commissioned fast enough<\/strong>\u00a0to offset the retirement of Britain\u2019s old ones, let alone substantially increasing the amount of nuclear power. They should be thinking and talking like Ebba Busch:\u00a0Britain needs an emergency programme to build 20 GW of new gas-fired power stations.<\/strong>\u00a0If that means suspending net zero, they should make the case that\u00a0keeping the lights on and electricity bills down is a price worth paying.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The government\u2019s net-zero noose draws tighter.\u00a0At energy questions in the House of Commons on Tuesday, the Conservative MP Charlie Dewhirst\u00a0asked\u00a0the Energy Security and Net Zero Secretary\u00a0Ed Miliband\u00a0if\u00a0the recent report by the National Energy System Operator\u00a0(Neso) projected higher or lower bills under his policies. Miliband\u00a0replied\u00a0that Neso forecast lower overall costs. \u2018It is completely logical to say that that will lead to\u00a0a reduction in bills,\u2019 he said.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":358650,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691821693,691818154,691827006,691832283,691818728],"class_list":{"0":"post-358626","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-ed-miliband","9":"tag-net-zero","10":"tag-price-of-electricity","11":"tag-uk-labour","12":"tag-wind-and-solar","14":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/0Move-Along-Theres-Nothing-To-See-Here-Please-Disperse.jpg?fit=1024%2C721&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1vii","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":420138,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=420138","url_meta":{"origin":358626,"position":0},"title":"Miliband energy quango in conflict-of-interest row over National Grid\u00a0shares","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"01\/06\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"The controversy revolves around the National Energy System Operator (NESO), a publicly owned body established in October 2024 after the UK government purchased the Electricity System Operator from National Grid for \u00a3630 million. NESO, overseen by Energy Secretary Ed Miliband, plans and operates Britain's electricity system, working closely with National\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"energy industry\"","block_context":{"text":"energy industry","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=energy-industry"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQMqy9_f6yr67z5k2ltqADcIvC61Pg6nOCDDG-_QoOwtzrezXd9r8ON9BYtYGYyPEtXeOBTIChfsEMPd1R803x9MxouHJL94mGV4FRKxX2R3ZnLrxJZhJSuHCO6tosD30_A1aq06_9foB2Odzr6mnqjWXjHeOA.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQMqy9_f6yr67z5k2ltqADcIvC61Pg6nOCDDG-_QoOwtzrezXd9r8ON9BYtYGYyPEtXeOBTIChfsEMPd1R803x9MxouHJL94mGV4FRKxX2R3ZnLrxJZhJSuHCO6tosD30_A1aq06_9foB2Odzr6mnqjWXjHeOA.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQMqy9_f6yr67z5k2ltqADcIvC61Pg6nOCDDG-_QoOwtzrezXd9r8ON9BYtYGYyPEtXeOBTIChfsEMPd1R803x9MxouHJL94mGV4FRKxX2R3ZnLrxJZhJSuHCO6tosD30_A1aq06_9foB2Odzr6mnqjWXjHeOA.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQMqy9_f6yr67z5k2ltqADcIvC61Pg6nOCDDG-_QoOwtzrezXd9r8ON9BYtYGYyPEtXeOBTIChfsEMPd1R803x9MxouHJL94mGV4FRKxX2R3ZnLrxJZhJSuHCO6tosD30_A1aq06_9foB2Odzr6mnqjWXjHeOA.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQMqy9_f6yr67z5k2ltqADcIvC61Pg6nOCDDG-_QoOwtzrezXd9r8ON9BYtYGYyPEtXeOBTIChfsEMPd1R803x9MxouHJL94mGV4FRKxX2R3ZnLrxJZhJSuHCO6tosD30_A1aq06_9foB2Odzr6mnqjWXjHeOA.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":414920,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=414920","url_meta":{"origin":358626,"position":1},"title":"Britain threatened by gas shortages as North Sea output plummets","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"11\/27\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Britain faces the risk of severe gas shortages as\u00a0plummeting North Sea production\u00a0leaves the country dangerously reliant on imports, the UK grid operator has warned.","rel":"","context":"In \"energy industry\"","block_context":{"text":"energy industry","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=energy-industry"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/0AQOMMwvE3fwJcJ_AywWXlQsg6pAonaGrhWv7-6Ptu_ij9jf4drGAZ0XGiU7Tc51T6wC2R8C2sSFMtYmwHCK3N6Jk8shMVYICNuKNw5QCu_Uda1oPdaZcph4BJGeDPBK5kjAvc8aDPMzvezOJgG6YXySVWkqBRQ-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/0AQOMMwvE3fwJcJ_AywWXlQsg6pAonaGrhWv7-6Ptu_ij9jf4drGAZ0XGiU7Tc51T6wC2R8C2sSFMtYmwHCK3N6Jk8shMVYICNuKNw5QCu_Uda1oPdaZcph4BJGeDPBK5kjAvc8aDPMzvezOJgG6YXySVWkqBRQ-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/0AQOMMwvE3fwJcJ_AywWXlQsg6pAonaGrhWv7-6Ptu_ij9jf4drGAZ0XGiU7Tc51T6wC2R8C2sSFMtYmwHCK3N6Jk8shMVYICNuKNw5QCu_Uda1oPdaZcph4BJGeDPBK5kjAvc8aDPMzvezOJgG6YXySVWkqBRQ-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/0AQOMMwvE3fwJcJ_AywWXlQsg6pAonaGrhWv7-6Ptu_ij9jf4drGAZ0XGiU7Tc51T6wC2R8C2sSFMtYmwHCK3N6Jk8shMVYICNuKNw5QCu_Uda1oPdaZcph4BJGeDPBK5kjAvc8aDPMzvezOJgG6YXySVWkqBRQ-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/0AQOMMwvE3fwJcJ_AywWXlQsg6pAonaGrhWv7-6Ptu_ij9jf4drGAZ0XGiU7Tc51T6wC2R8C2sSFMtYmwHCK3N6Jk8shMVYICNuKNw5QCu_Uda1oPdaZcph4BJGeDPBK5kjAvc8aDPMzvezOJgG6YXySVWkqBRQ-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":424797,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=424797","url_meta":{"origin":358626,"position":2},"title":"The Risks of AR7: Ed Miliband\u2019s Poison Pill","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"02\/05\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"AR7 refers to the UK's Allocation Round 7 of the Contracts for Difference (CfD) scheme, a government auction process for subsidizing renewable energy projects, primarily offshore wind. It is a key part of Energy Secretary Ed Miliband's push for \"clean power by 2030\" under the Labour government. Ed Miliband\u2019s \"poison\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"\u201cpoison pill\u201d\"","block_context":{"text":"\u201cpoison pill\u201d","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=poison-pill"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0Screenshot-2026-02-05-185403.png?fit=1188%2C909&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0Screenshot-2026-02-05-185403.png?fit=1188%2C909&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0Screenshot-2026-02-05-185403.png?fit=1188%2C909&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0Screenshot-2026-02-05-185403.png?fit=1188%2C909&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0Screenshot-2026-02-05-185403.png?fit=1188%2C909&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":350454,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=350454","url_meta":{"origin":358626,"position":3},"title":"Ed Miliband\u2019s Plan for Zero Carbon Electricity by 2030 is a Damning Indictment of the Whole Net Zero Agenda","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"11\/07\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Labour\u2019s manifesto promised we would have a zero carbon electricity system by 2030. It is a pledge that Ed Miliband has been making for years, not least in his party conference speech last year, and it was also one of Labour\u2019s \u2018Five Missions for a Better Britain\u2019 policy pledge launched\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"climate alarmism\"","block_context":{"text":"climate alarmism","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-alarmism"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/59-591017_pc-duvar-katlar-hd-yeni-love-pink-tjn.jpg?fit=1200%2C668&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/59-591017_pc-duvar-katlar-hd-yeni-love-pink-tjn.jpg?fit=1200%2C668&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/59-591017_pc-duvar-katlar-hd-yeni-love-pink-tjn.jpg?fit=1200%2C668&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, 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