{"id":354914,"date":"2024-12-17T17:53:25","date_gmt":"2024-12-17T16:53:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=354914"},"modified":"2024-12-17T17:53:28","modified_gmt":"2024-12-17T16:53:28","slug":"holes-in-ipcc-science-revealed","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=354914","title":{"rendered":"Holes in IPCC Science\u00a0Revealed"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From Science Matters<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By\u00a0Ron Clutz<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Graeme Weber reports from Australia on the history revealing multiple holes in IPCC claimed \u201csettled science.\u201d His paper is  IPCC \u2013 Miss\/Diss information?<\/strong> shared with me by email.  Graeme is an earth scientist, retired consulting geologist and advocate for nuclear energy. His text is in italics with my bolds and added images.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Several years ago, the cry from the IPCC (International Panel on Climate Change) was \u2018the science is settled\u2019. This should have been a \u2018red flag\u2019 to any scientists<\/strong> who know that science is never settled.<\/strong> This is especially<\/strong> so in such a complex system, as Mother Earth\u2019s climate<\/strong>. It is now 32 years since the first IPCC Report was issued. Many claims in this and later IPCC reports have since been debunked<\/strong> especially the \u2018Hockey Stick\u2019 graph of Mann, Bradley and Hughes (1999)<\/strong> where Mann was finally taken to court to reveal his calculations that subsequently led to him losing a court case and the IPCC getting embarrassed, as monumental errors and manipulation of data was exposed.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
Professor Tim Ball, who was sued by Michael Mann for defamation regarding comments he made about the integrity of the Hockey Stick Graph, succeeded in having the case thrown out and Mann ordered to pay costs. Mann had failed to comply with a court order that he produce his Hockey Stick Data! Supreme Court of British Columbia 2019<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Another erroneous claim<\/strong>\u00a0by the IPCC was that\u00a097% of Scientists believed in Global Warming<\/strong>. How did they make this claim? It was based on a\u00a0study \u00a0<\/strong>in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (2010) who reviewed publication and citation data for 1,372 climate researchers, 908 of whom had authored 20 or more publications on climate, and\u00a0found that 97\u201398% of the climate researchers (the 908)<\/strong>\u00a0most actively publishing in the field\u00a0support the tenets of ACC<\/strong>\u00a0(Anthropogenic Climate Change) outlined by the IPCC, and the relative climate expertise and scientific prominence of the researchers unconvinced of ACC are substantially below that of the convinced researchers. Well,\u00a0how strange people who research in this field and rely on financial support believe in Global Warming!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n

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\"\"
A Consensus You Can Trust!<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Another study<\/strong> by Dr Soon and Dr Michael Connolly and His son Dr. Ronan Connolly released in 2023 was on Rural and Urban temperature records<\/strong> in the Northern Hemisphere. This study is similar to articles reported by JoNova and Jennifer Marohasy in Australia on temperature measurement equipment and stations in Australia with encroaching buildings, air conditioners, changes to recording gear and BOM changing temperature records by outright manipulation and homogenisation<\/strong>. The most obvious one is changing from reading manually by a person at a set time each day to continuous recording machines every minute or so, so increasing the likelihood of higher daily temperatures. In many cases BOM (Australian Bureau of Meteorology) claimed significant warming trends by starting at a cool point rather than a warm point.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The BOM never mentions the extreme temperatures recorded throughout Australia<\/strong>\u00a0in January\u00a01896<\/strong>\u00a0nor<\/strong>\u00a0the elevated temperature during the\u00a01930\u2019s<\/strong>\u00a0decade culminating in 1939 Black Friday. In the days preceding these fires, the Victorian state capital, Melbourne, experienced some of its hottest temperatures on record at the time: 43.8 \u00b0C (110.8 \u00b0F) on 8 January and 44.7 \u00b0C (112.5 \u00b0F) on 10 January. On 13 January, the day of the fires, temperatures reached 45.6 \u00b0C (114.1 \u00b0F), which stood as the hottest day officially recorded in Melbourne for the next 70 years. Now BOM issue weather alerts when the temperature reaches 30 degrees!<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n

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\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The study by Soon et al clearly shows that temperature measuring\u00a0stations<\/strong>\u00a0are increasingly being\u00a0influenced<\/strong>\u00a0by solar radiation being absorbed\u00a0by bitumen and concrete and released through the night.<\/strong>\u00a0One of the most remarkable illustrations of this effect was an aerial thematic view of the City of Rome at 8.30am in the morning. Vapour trails of early aircraft take-offs are clearly visible. The airport is hot (usually site of temperature gauges) surrounding country is relatively cold<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Another reveal over the last 30 years is the\u00a0number of Land Temperature stations (LTS)<\/strong>. \u00a0Total<\/strong>\u00a0LTS in the Northern Hemisphere has\u00a0declined from 5,000 to 2,000 stations<\/strong>\u00a0but\u00a0rural<\/strong>\u00a0stations have\u00a0declined from 500 to 200.<\/strong>\u00a0This has been particularly relevant in the Northern Hemisphere where the most remote Artic stations (northern and coldest) have been closed. The product of this is the average temperature of these remote areas has risen. Mathematics 101. Soon et al have examined 4,500 temperature stations in China, USA the Artic and Ireland that show a\u00a0warming trend of 0.89\u00ba C per Century in Urban areas whereas Rural Stations only show 0.55\u00baC per Century.<\/strong>\u00a0This is a significant difference.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Another factor producing higher biased temperatures is the IPCC technique of \u2018homogenisation\u2019<\/strong> where a particular area has all the temperature readings added together then divided by the number of stations. As is expected the number of urban stations read higher<\/strong> than rural ones thus increasing the overall temperature average.<\/strong> Taking the overall rural average the warming trend results in an increase of 0.9\u00baC since 1850.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

So,\u00a0Antonio Guterres<\/strong>\u00a0the UN Secretary General prognosis that the \u2018World is boiling\u2019\u00a0is wrong, stupid and farcical.<\/strong>\u00a0Soon et al believe the warming is more likely due to Total Solar Radiance whereas the IPCC believe it is due to a\u00a0trace gas CO2 a plant food.<\/strong>\u00a0It is interesting to note that commercial greenhouses use about 1,000\u20131,300 ppm under ideal circumstances. A lower level (800\u20131,000 ppm) is recommended for raising seedlings (tomatoes, cucumbers and peppers) as well as for lettuce production. Currently the world CO2 sits at 423ppm.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Al Gore<\/strong>\u00a0(former USA Vice Presidential candidate) has made numerous\u00a0predictions in his film \u2018Inconvenient Truth\u2019 most if not all have proved false<\/strong>. His biggest claim was the Arctic Ocean will be ice free by 2013 or was that 2014 or even 2015! When this did not happen, the argument was that overall, the ice was drastically thinning. Last month October 2024 icebreakers were madly trying to extract ships in the northern passages some two weeks before expected, from Arctic ice closing in.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n

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\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

At the other end of our world in\u00a0Antarctica<\/strong>\u00a0numerous IPCC papers\u00a0claimed<\/strong>\u00a0that the West Antarctic Ice Sheet was about to, or already collapsing because of\u00a0warmer waters were circulating caused by Climate change.<\/strong>\u00a0However, a new study in 2017 found 91 new volcanic vents to add to the 47 volcanoes already known to exist under this ice sheet. As volcanic activity waxes and wanes ice melt will continue in this hot volcanic zone. Whether this ice sheet melts or not it is certainly more probable\u00a0the effects are more controlled by volcanic activity rather than circulating waters.<\/strong>\u00a0The IPPC reports also failed to acknowledge that ice buildup was occurring at other points in Antarctica.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Source: volcano foundation with glacier locations added<\/strong><\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Is CO2 bad? One remarkable and observable thing is that\u00a0trees and plants take in carbon dioxide through stomata in their leaves<\/strong>. Since plants first invaded continents (perhaps chasing higher concentrations of carbon dioxide) science has a very good record of the CO2 gas concentrations in the atmosphere. The larger the Stomata the lower the CO2 concentration.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Approximately\u00a0580 Ma years ago the concentration was just under 3000ppm.<\/strong>\u00a0This was soon after a major ice age around 750Ma years ago. The concentration has been steadily falling, since apart from two\u00a0very low CO2 events occurred around 430Ma and 280Ma<\/strong>\u00a0and if at any stage the CO2 concentration had dropped\u00a0below 150ppm<\/strong>\u00a0then we would not be here as all\u00a0plants would have died<\/strong>. Other scientific studies show there is a lag between periods when the Earth\u2019s temperature increases and CO2 concentrations rise. Maybe just\u00a0maybe, the Industrial Revolution saved the planet!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Other scientific papers are showing that the world\u00a0climate has a natural buffering system.<\/strong>\u00a0As temperatures rise evaporation increases over the oceans that cover 71% of the earth\u2019s surface.\u00a0Increased precipitation<\/strong>\u00a0has a marked cooling effect and together\u00a0with increased CO2 will lead to greater vegetation<\/strong>\u00a0growth to feed the worlds increasing population. Desertification will likely decrease. Maybe Central Australia will bloom and make the central Australian Aboriginal communities wealthy.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

A paper provided to the Court of Appeals, The Hague November 2023<\/strong> by Richard Lindzen Professor of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, Emeritus Massachusetts Institute of Technology, William Harper Professor of Physics, Emeritus Princeton University and Steven Koonin University Professor, New York University, Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institute wrote:<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

\u2018We are career physicists<\/strong> who have specialized in<\/strong> radiation physics, dynamic heat transfer and computer modelling for decades, subjects directly relevant to the global warming debate.<\/strong> Each of us has published over 200 peer-reviewed papers, many on the science of climate or closely related subjects. In our opinion, the District Court of The Hague findings that \u201cdangerous\u201d climate change and extreme weather are caused by CO2<\/strong> emissions from fossil fuels are contradicted by the scientific method<\/strong> and only supported by the unscientific methods<\/strong> of government opinions, consensus, peer review, and cherry-picked or falsified data. Science demonstrates fossil fuels, and CO2 will not cause dangerous climate change<\/strong>. Rather, there will be disastrous consequences for people worldwide if fossil fuels and CO2 emissions are reduced to \u201cnet zero,\u201d including mass starvation\u2019.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

What if the Net Zero fossil fuels and CO2 policy was in effect in 1750 and CO2 did not rise from 280 ppm to 420 ppm? There would be 21% less food worldwide. Therefore, it can be concluded that the\u00a0Earth\u2019s surface temperature is rising but not at the rate the IPCC would have you believe.<\/strong>\u00a0As Bjorg Lomborg is saying it is much better to prepare for this eventuality something we cannot change than try to reduce a trace gas that is essential for life.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

I fear for those who have trusted governments like they did the Covid science. The false claims of Government about an approaching Armageddon causing an\u00a0induced psychosis resulting in stunts paralysing normal economic industry.<\/strong>\u00a0These stunts such as hanging from pylons or gluing to windows, throwing paint, disrupting parliament. Where will it all end? The destruction of our civilisation?<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Graeme Weber reports from Australia on the history revealing multiple holes in IPCC claimed \u201csettled science.\u201d His paper is\u00a0\u00a0IPCC \u2013 Miss\/Diss information?\u00a0shared with me by email.\u00a0 Graeme is an earth scientist, retired consulting geologist and advocate for nuclear energy.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":354916,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691818326,691832026,691819172,691829997,691818228,691818087,691818154],"class_list":{"0":"post-354914","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-antarctica","9":"tag-antonio-guterres-the-un-secretary-general","10":"tag-arctic-ocean","11":"tag-carbon-dioxide-co","12":"tag-fossil-fuels","13":"tag-global-warming","14":"tag-net-zero","16":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/0Bucket-with-holes-in.jpg?fit=1518%2C896&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1ukq","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":331526,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=331526","url_meta":{"origin":354914,"position":0},"title":"Fooled On Climate and Energy by UN Lobbyists","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"04\/06\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Most people probably believe that the IPCC and UNFCCC are honest UN agencies with great integrity. 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