{"id":354364,"date":"2024-12-14T15:33:43","date_gmt":"2024-12-14T14:33:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=354364"},"modified":"2024-12-14T15:33:45","modified_gmt":"2024-12-14T14:33:45","slug":"new-study-achieving-a-net-zero-emissions-policy-would-have-a-negligible-0-28c-climate-effect","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=354364","title":{"rendered":"New Study: Achieving A \u2018Net Zero\u2019 Emissions Policy Would Have A \u2018Negligible\u2019 0.28\u00b0C Climate Effect"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"430\" data-attachment-id=\"354368\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=354368\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/0%C2%A9-Giovanni-Gagliardi.jpg?fit=2000%2C1190&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"2000,1190\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"0\u00a9-Giovanni-Gagliardi\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/0%C2%A9-Giovanni-Gagliardi.jpg?fit=723%2C430&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/0%C2%A9-Giovanni-Gagliardi.jpg?resize=723%2C430&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-354368\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/0%C2%A9-Giovanni-Gagliardi.jpg?resize=1024%2C609&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/0%C2%A9-Giovanni-Gagliardi.jpg?resize=300%2C179&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/0%C2%A9-Giovanni-Gagliardi.jpg?resize=768%2C457&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/0%C2%A9-Giovanni-Gagliardi.jpg?resize=1536%2C914&amp;ssl=1 1536w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/0%C2%A9-Giovanni-Gagliardi.jpg?resize=1200%2C714&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/0%C2%A9-Giovanni-Gagliardi.jpg?w=2000&amp;ssl=1 2000w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/0%C2%A9-Giovanni-Gagliardi.jpg?w=1446&amp;ssl=1 1446w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">From <a href=\"https:\/\/notrickszone.com\/2024\/12\/13\/new-study-achieving-a-net-zero-emissions-policy-would-have-a-negligible-0-28c-climate-effect\/\">NoTrickZone<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>By\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/notrickszone.com\/author\/kenneth-richard\/\">Kenneth Richard<\/a>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Cost-benefit analyses affirm it would be better to abandon Net Zero policy initiatives and instead \u201cdo nothing\u201d about greenhouse gas emissions.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.5539\/jsd.v17n6p137\">New research<\/a><\/strong>&nbsp;finds CO2\u2019s largest possible climate impact is \u201cnegligible.\u201d The cumulative expected temperature change in doubling CO2 from 400 to 800 ppm is only 0.81\u00b0C at most, and this is \u201ccertainly not cause for alarm or for declaring a climate emergency\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As Figure 1 from the paper shows, the temperature effects of increasing CO2 are strongest when concentrations hover below 100 ppm. After that the CO2 impact collapses logarithmically to less than 0.05\u00b0C even as concentrations rise to 900 ppm.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Using heat transfer calculations, it is estimated that even if governments across the world were to actually achieve all of their proposed Net Zero policy goals it would only elicit a 0.28\u00b0C reduction in global temperature. In other words, it would have \u201cno measurable effect\u201d on climate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The tens of trillions in costs to achieve an inconsequential global temperature reduction would be much better spent on policies that would actually improve the economic, health, and educational conditions of those living in poverty.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"420\" data-attachment-id=\"354366\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=354366\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/0CO2-climate-sensitivity-is-0.81C-and-no-measurable-effect-from-human-emissions-Simpson-2024.jpg?fit=1376%2C800&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1376,800\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;1&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"0CO2-climate-sensitivity-is-0.81C-and-no-measurable-effect-from-human-emissions-Simpson-2024\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/0CO2-climate-sensitivity-is-0.81C-and-no-measurable-effect-from-human-emissions-Simpson-2024.jpg?fit=723%2C420&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/0CO2-climate-sensitivity-is-0.81C-and-no-measurable-effect-from-human-emissions-Simpson-2024.jpg?resize=723%2C420&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-354366\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/0CO2-climate-sensitivity-is-0.81C-and-no-measurable-effect-from-human-emissions-Simpson-2024.jpg?resize=1024%2C595&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/0CO2-climate-sensitivity-is-0.81C-and-no-measurable-effect-from-human-emissions-Simpson-2024.jpg?resize=300%2C174&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/0CO2-climate-sensitivity-is-0.81C-and-no-measurable-effect-from-human-emissions-Simpson-2024.jpg?resize=768%2C447&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/0CO2-climate-sensitivity-is-0.81C-and-no-measurable-effect-from-human-emissions-Simpson-2024.jpg?resize=1200%2C698&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/0CO2-climate-sensitivity-is-0.81C-and-no-measurable-effect-from-human-emissions-Simpson-2024.jpg?w=1376&amp;ssl=1 1376w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Image Source:\u00a0<strong><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.5539\/jsd.v17n6p137\">Simpson, 2024<\/a><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Cost-benefit analyses affirm it would be better to abandon Net Zero policy initiatives and instead \u201cdo nothing\u201d about greenhouse gas emissions.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":350325,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691829997,691818152,691830175,691818154],"class_list":["post-354364","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-carbon-dioxide-co","tag-climate-emergency","tag-greenhouse-gases-ghgs","tag-net-zero","fallback-thumbnail"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/0net-zero-istock-1190148959.jpg?fit=2048%2C1299&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1uby","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":369007,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=369007","url_meta":{"origin":354364,"position":0},"title":"SEC\u2019s Climate Risk Disclosure Rule Would Compel Companies to Make Scientifically False and Misleading Disclosures","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"03\/07\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"In March last year, the Securities and Exchange Commission issued its climate risk disclosure rule, called \u201cThe Enhancement and Standardization of Climate-Related Disclosures for Investors.\u201d\u00a0","rel":"","context":"In \"carbon dioxide (CO\u2082)\"","block_context":{"text":"carbon dioxide (CO\u2082)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=carbon-dioxide-co%e2%82%82"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/0Securities-and-Exchange-Commission-SEC.webp?fit=1200%2C719&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/0Securities-and-Exchange-Commission-SEC.webp?fit=1200%2C719&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/0Securities-and-Exchange-Commission-SEC.webp?fit=1200%2C719&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/0Securities-and-Exchange-Commission-SEC.webp?fit=1200%2C719&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/0Securities-and-Exchange-Commission-SEC.webp?fit=1200%2C719&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":354648,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=354648","url_meta":{"origin":354364,"position":1},"title":"Straight Talk on Climate Science and Net\u00a0Zero","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"12\/16\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"The\u00a0UK Net Zero by 2050 Policy was undemocratically adopted\u00a0by the UK government in 2019. Yet the science of so-called \u2018greenhouse gases\u2019 is well known and there is no reason to reduce emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), or nitrous oxide (N2O) because absorption of radiation is logarithmic.\u00a0Adding to or\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"carbon dioxide (CO\u2082)\"","block_context":{"text":"carbon dioxide (CO\u2082)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=carbon-dioxide-co%e2%82%82"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/0net-zero-new-cover-en.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/0net-zero-new-cover-en.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/0net-zero-new-cover-en.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/0net-zero-new-cover-en.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/0net-zero-new-cover-en.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":327548,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=327548","url_meta":{"origin":354364,"position":2},"title":"NZ agriculture has already reached \u201cnet zero\u201d: leading climate scientist contends in climate bombshell","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"05\/08\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"The Newsroom website has unintentionally blown a massive hole in the credibility of efforts to blame farmers for NZ\u2019s greenhouse gas emissions, with one of the world\u2019s top climate scientists rebuking a Newsroom methane story as \u201chokey\u201d.","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/0New-Zealand-dairy-farm.webp?fit=1200%2C676&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/0New-Zealand-dairy-farm.webp?fit=1200%2C676&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/0New-Zealand-dairy-farm.webp?fit=1200%2C676&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/0New-Zealand-dairy-farm.webp?fit=1200%2C676&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/0New-Zealand-dairy-farm.webp?fit=1200%2C676&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":308524,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=308524","url_meta":{"origin":354364,"position":3},"title":"Climate Model Bias 7: WGIII","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"03\/15\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"In other words, WGIII explicitly equates CO2\u00a0emissions, or the CO2-equivalent greenhouse gas emissions, with dangerous global warming. We have seen that equating CO2\u00a0emissions with warming is a poorly supported assumption contained in an inaccurate climate model that runs hot compared to observations, not a fact.","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/00How-Covid-Resulted-in-Less-Carbon-Emissions.jpg?fit=1200%2C639&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/00How-Covid-Resulted-in-Less-Carbon-Emissions.jpg?fit=1200%2C639&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/00How-Covid-Resulted-in-Less-Carbon-Emissions.jpg?fit=1200%2C639&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/00How-Covid-Resulted-in-Less-Carbon-Emissions.jpg?fit=1200%2C639&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/00How-Covid-Resulted-in-Less-Carbon-Emissions.jpg?fit=1200%2C639&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":373598,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=373598","url_meta":{"origin":354364,"position":4},"title":"Trump\u2019s Climate Policy Shift Could Save American Farmers from Disaster","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"04\/04\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"While news about President Trump\u2019s tariffs and crackdowns on the questionable financial management of federal agencies has dominated media reports in recent weeks, a quiet transformation has been under way in agricultural policy.","rel":"","context":"In \"agricultural policy\"","block_context":{"text":"agricultural policy","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=agricultural-policy"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/0559327.story_x_large.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/0559327.story_x_large.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/0559327.story_x_large.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/0559327.story_x_large.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/0559327.story_x_large.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":334773,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=334773","url_meta":{"origin":354364,"position":5},"title":"Corporations that Concede the Science are Doomed","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"06\/27\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"By three votes to two, the UK Supreme Court (formerly the Judicial Committee of the House of Lords) ruled last week in a 100-page judgment that Surrey County Council, in granting planning consent to UK Oil and Gas plc for oil production at Horse Hill, Surrey, had neither requested nor\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"CO2\"","block_context":{"text":"CO2","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=co2"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/0Screenshot-2024-06-27-074807.png?fit=1182%2C609&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/0Screenshot-2024-06-27-074807.png?fit=1182%2C609&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, 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3x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/354364","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=354364"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/354364\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":354369,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/354364\/revisions\/354369"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/350325"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=354364"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=354364"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=354364"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}