{"id":353171,"date":"2024-12-04T09:20:04","date_gmt":"2024-12-04T08:20:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=353171"},"modified":"2024-12-04T09:20:06","modified_gmt":"2024-12-04T08:20:06","slug":"german-scientists-using-generative-ai-to-hallucinate-fake-climate-records","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=353171","title":{"rendered":"German Scientists Using Generative AI to Hallucinate Fake Climate Records"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"407\" data-attachment-id=\"353174\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=353174\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/0-Fake-Climate-Records.jpg?fit=1280%2C720&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1280,720\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"0 Fake Climate Records\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/0-Fake-Climate-Records.jpg?fit=723%2C407&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/0-Fake-Climate-Records.jpg?resize=723%2C407&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-353174\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/0-Fake-Climate-Records.jpg?resize=1024%2C576&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/0-Fake-Climate-Records.jpg?resize=300%2C169&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/0-Fake-Climate-Records.jpg?resize=768%2C432&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/0-Fake-Climate-Records.jpg?resize=1200%2C675&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/0-Fake-Climate-Records.jpg?w=1280&amp;ssl=1 1280w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">From <a href=\"https:\/\/wattsupwiththat.com\/2024\/12\/02\/german-scientists-using-generative-ai-to-hallucinate-fake-climate-records\/\">Watts Up With That?<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Essay by<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/wattsupwiththat.com\/author\/eworrall1\/\">Eric Worrall<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Taking \u201cmodel output is data\u201d to the next level\u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>AI reveals hidden climate extremes in Europe<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">By<a href=\"https:\/\/www.earth.com\/author\/aionescu\/\">Andrei Ionescu<\/a><br>Earth.com staff writer<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Traditionally, climate scientists have relied on statistical methods to interpret these datasets, but a recent breakthrough demonstrates the power of artificial intelligence (AI) to revolutionize this process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Previously unrecorded climate extremes<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A team led by \u00c9tienne Pl\u00e9siat of the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.dkrz.de\/en\/dkrz-partner-for-climate-research?set_language=en\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">German Climate Computing Center<\/a>&nbsp;in Hamburg, alongside colleagues from the UK and Spain, applied AI to reconstruct European climate extremes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The research not only confirmed known climate trends but also revealed previously unrecorded extreme&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.earth.com\/news\/climate-change-earth-energy-imbalance-temperature-rise\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">events<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Using historical simulations from the CMIP6 archive (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project), the team trained CRAI to reconstruct past climate data.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The experts validated their results using standard metrics such as root mean square error and Spearman\u2019s rank-order correlation coefficient, which measure accuracy and association between variables.<br><br>\u2026Read more:\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.earth.com\/news\/ai-reveals-hidden-climate-extremes-in-europe\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">https:\/\/www.earth.com\/news\/ai-reveals-hidden-climate-extremes-in-europe\/<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The only thing which is real about using generative AI to try to fill in the gaps is the hallucinations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>What are AI hallucinations?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">AI hallucination is a phenomenon wherein a large language model (LLM)\u2014often a generative AI\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ibm.com\/topics\/chatbots\">chatbot<\/a>\u00a0or\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ibm.com\/topics\/computer-vision\">computer vision<\/a>\u00a0tool\u2014perceives patterns or objects that are nonexistent or imperceptible to human observers, creating outputs that are nonsensical or altogether inaccurate.Read more:\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ibm.com\/topics\/ai-hallucinations\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">https:\/\/www.ibm.com\/topics\/ai-hallucinations<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">I am an AI enthusiast, I believe AI is contributing and will continue to contribute greatly to the advancement of mankind. But you have to rigorously test the output. Comparing the AI output to a flawed model to see if it fits in the band of plausibility is not what I call testing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Climate scientists have been&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/wattsupwiththat.com\/2024\/11\/26\/hey-carbon-brief-quit-conflating-model-based-attribution-study-outputs-with-real-weather-data\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">repeatedly criticised<\/a>&nbsp;for treating their model output as data. Using a tool which is known for its tendency to produce false or misleading data, to generate climate \u201crecords\u201d which cannot be properly checked in my opinion is an exercise in scientific fantasy \u2013 a complete waste of time and money.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Taking \u201cmodel output is data\u201d to the next level\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":353174,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691822666,691831597,691831814,691831815,691818606],"class_list":{"0":"post-353171","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-artificial-intelligence-ai","9":"tag-climate-models-cmip6","10":"tag-fake-climate-records","11":"tag-german-climate-computing-center","12":"tag-german-scientists","14":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/0-Fake-Climate-Records.jpg?fit=1280%2C720&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1tSj","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":331500,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=331500","url_meta":{"origin":353171,"position":0},"title":"World Economic Forum Welcomes Our New Climate Activist AI Overlords","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"04\/06\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"There is an obvious output limitation would protect the reputation of the proposed climate chatbot.","rel":"","context":"In \"AI (artificial intelligence)\"","block_context":{"text":"AI (artificial intelligence)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=ai-artificial-intelligence-2"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/0-The-wizard-of-Oz.jpeg?fit=1200%2C901&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/0-The-wizard-of-Oz.jpeg?fit=1200%2C901&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/0-The-wizard-of-Oz.jpeg?fit=1200%2C901&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/0-The-wizard-of-Oz.jpeg?fit=1200%2C901&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/0-The-wizard-of-Oz.jpeg?fit=1200%2C901&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":435561,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=435561","url_meta":{"origin":353171,"position":1},"title":"German Science Blog Accuses PIK Climate Institute of Hallucinating Climate Tipping Points","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"30\/03\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"A new post from the German climate science blog Klimanachrichten titled: \u201cThe Hallucinated Acceleration: How the PIK Crafts a Climate Catastrophe Out of Data Noise\u201d sharply criticizes recent findings and public statements released by the climate ultra-alarmist Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK).","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate Catastrophe\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate Catastrophe","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-catastrophe"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/AQN4Mw4LOlrdrT74MFuka53ziu7otEZdISQxVEJyeuuUHI0NthqP9PBqtAIzuodBnMuJv2JIbJ9O5xBgWus6QGBtk9dTn3LXjbv9JIwAhyhPOfexqxIUR9FwusxwLVhP.jpeg?fit=1200%2C759&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/AQN4Mw4LOlrdrT74MFuka53ziu7otEZdISQxVEJyeuuUHI0NthqP9PBqtAIzuodBnMuJv2JIbJ9O5xBgWus6QGBtk9dTn3LXjbv9JIwAhyhPOfexqxIUR9FwusxwLVhP.jpeg?fit=1200%2C759&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/AQN4Mw4LOlrdrT74MFuka53ziu7otEZdISQxVEJyeuuUHI0NthqP9PBqtAIzuodBnMuJv2JIbJ9O5xBgWus6QGBtk9dTn3LXjbv9JIwAhyhPOfexqxIUR9FwusxwLVhP.jpeg?fit=1200%2C759&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/AQN4Mw4LOlrdrT74MFuka53ziu7otEZdISQxVEJyeuuUHI0NthqP9PBqtAIzuodBnMuJv2JIbJ9O5xBgWus6QGBtk9dTn3LXjbv9JIwAhyhPOfexqxIUR9FwusxwLVhP.jpeg?fit=1200%2C759&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/AQN4Mw4LOlrdrT74MFuka53ziu7otEZdISQxVEJyeuuUHI0NthqP9PBqtAIzuodBnMuJv2JIbJ9O5xBgWus6QGBtk9dTn3LXjbv9JIwAhyhPOfexqxIUR9FwusxwLVhP.jpeg?fit=1200%2C759&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":340933,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=340933","url_meta":{"origin":353171,"position":2},"title":"AI-Model Collapse","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"28\/08\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Last week I wrote an article here titled:\u00a0 \u201cIllogically Facts \u2014\u201cFact-Checking\u201d by Innuendo\u201d.\u00a0 One of my complaints about the fake fact-check performed by three staff at\u00a0Logically Facts\u00a0was that it read suspiciously like it had been written by an AI-chat-bot, a suspicion bolstered by the claim-to-fame of\u00a0Logically Facts\u00a0is that it is\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"AI models\"","block_context":{"text":"AI models","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=ai-models"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/0real-ai-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/0real-ai-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/0real-ai-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/0real-ai-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/0real-ai-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":420166,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=420166","url_meta":{"origin":353171,"position":3},"title":"AI models and their \u201cknowledge\u201d of climate change","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"06\/01\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"AI models derive their \"knowledge\" of climate change primarily from vast training datasets, which include scientific literature, news articles, reports from organizations like the IPCC, and public discourse. This means their outputs reflect patterns in that data rather than independent reasoning or empirical discovery\u2014they essentially regurgitate and synthesize what's been\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"AI (artificial intelligence)\"","block_context":{"text":"AI (artificial intelligence)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=ai-artificial-intelligence-2"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/0Screenshot-2026-01-06-175548.png?fit=1200%2C517&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/0Screenshot-2026-01-06-175548.png?fit=1200%2C517&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/0Screenshot-2026-01-06-175548.png?fit=1200%2C517&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/0Screenshot-2026-01-06-175548.png?fit=1200%2C517&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/0Screenshot-2026-01-06-175548.png?fit=1200%2C517&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":360040,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=360040","url_meta":{"origin":353171,"position":4},"title":"Claim: Artificial Intelligence can Improve Climate Models","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"01\/01\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"If you have a possible missing variable problem, the solution is to add more arbitrary adjustments to your model?","rel":"","context":"In \"Artificial Intelligence (AI)\"","block_context":{"text":"Artificial Intelligence (AI)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=artificial-intelligence-ai"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/0AI-Climate-1200x600-Article2-2.png?fit=1200%2C600&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/0AI-Climate-1200x600-Article2-2.png?fit=1200%2C600&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/0AI-Climate-1200x600-Article2-2.png?fit=1200%2C600&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/0AI-Climate-1200x600-Article2-2.png?fit=1200%2C600&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/0AI-Climate-1200x600-Article2-2.png?fit=1200%2C600&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":293598,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=293598","url_meta":{"origin":353171,"position":5},"title":"AI Researchers Pushing Their Value to Climate Activists","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"03\/01\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"According to advocates, AI can generate better flood predictions than physics and geography. But is this just more magic box thinking?","rel":"","context":"In \"AI (artificial intelligence)\"","block_context":{"text":"AI (artificial intelligence)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=ai-artificial-intelligence-2"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/0aiclimateban.jpg?fit=1200%2C643&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/0aiclimateban.jpg?fit=1200%2C643&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/0aiclimateban.jpg?fit=1200%2C643&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/0aiclimateban.jpg?fit=1200%2C643&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/0aiclimateban.jpg?fit=1200%2C643&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/353171","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=353171"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/353171\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":353177,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/353171\/revisions\/353177"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/353174"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=353171"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=353171"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=353171"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}