{"id":350208,"date":"2024-11-05T12:45:41","date_gmt":"2024-11-05T11:45:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=350208"},"modified":"2024-11-05T12:45:43","modified_gmt":"2024-11-05T11:45:43","slug":"flooding-facts-drowned-by-climate-hysteria-the-bbc-ignores-spains-weather-history","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=350208","title":{"rendered":"Flooding Facts Drowned by Climate Hysteria: The BBC Ignores Spain\u2019s Weather History"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From ClimateRealism<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"Heartland<\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

By Heartland Institute<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

By Anthony Watts and H. Sterling Burnett<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The British Broadcasting Corporation (BBC) article, titled \u201cScientists sure warming world made Spain\u2019s storm more intense<\/a>,\u201d ties recent flash flooding in Spain to climate change. This is false. Data refutes claims that flooding has gotten worse in Europe amid modestly warming temperatures. In addition, the story ignores Spain\u2019s long history of sometimes catastrophic floods due to many of its cities being situated in narrow mountain valleys.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cNo doubt about it, these explosive downpours were intensified by climate change,\u201d Friederike Otto, Ph.D., who is co-leader of World Weather Attribution (WWA), told the BBC. \u201cWith every fraction of a degree of fossil fuel warming, the atmosphere can hold more moisture, leading to heavier bursts of rainfall.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The problem is, neither Otto nor the BBC cited any data to back up the claim that this storm\u2019s moisture content was enhanced by warming, because none exists. Rather the attribution is based on the projections of flawed computer models and is typical of the type of \u201cresearch\u201d quickly published by WWA. As with all of WWA studies Climate Realism<\/em> has discussed previously, they suffer from the logical fallacy of assuming what they are attempting to prove. WWA\u2019s research assumes climate change causes or contributes to a particular weather event and then uses computer models to project how big the effect was. That is not how one conducts science. Climate Realism<\/em> has refuted similar attribution claims on multiple occasions, here<\/a>, here<\/a>, and here<\/a> for instance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The recent terrible flooding across the Spanish province of Valencia has claimed more than 200 lives, but there is no evidence the flooding was historically unusual. Reviewing the historical context of flooding in the area shows it has experienced recurring severe floods. The BBC article claims of \u201cincreased atmospheric moisture\u201d and rising temperatures to explain the event, but other meteorologists, as mentioned by the BBC, said the event was driven by the common \u201cgota fr\u00eda\u201d weather pattern, also known as a \u201ccold drop\u201d and recently named DANA in meteorology texts<\/a>. It is a weather event that commonly brings cold air from northern latitudes over the warm Mediterranean, leading to sudden and intense rainfall.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The recent storm that hit Spain is consistent with its long history of severe autumnal storms. Gota Fria\u2019s have not become more common or severe during the recent period of modest warming.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Valencia, which sits along and at the mouth of the Turia River on the Mediterranean Sea, suffered similar flooding, for example, in 1897, 1957, and 1996, 127, 67, and 28 years of warming ago, respectively, when temperatures were cooler than at present. Dozens of people died in each of those floods. The historical account of Valencia\u2019s 1957 flooding, as documented by Caroline Angus<\/a>, presents a well-known pattern of extreme rainfall events in the region, long before the age of alleged climate change. On October 14, 1957, an unprecedented flood struck Valencia, releasing nearly 6,000 cubic meters of water per second into the city. Towns around Valencia, including Pedralba and Vilamarxant, saw record rainfall, causing massive flooding that impacted thousands of lives and required years of recovery efforts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
Photo of the Oct 14, 1957 Flood in Valencia, Spain. Photo from the article by Caroline Angus.<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

This 1957 flood event was not an anomaly but part of a natural cycle that Spaniards have come to recognize as a seasonal threat from the Mediterranean\u2019s temperature dynamics and terrain. That storm dumped about a foot of rain in 2 days, when atmospheric carbon dioxide levels (said to drive climate change) were just 314 parts per million (ppm), compared to the 422 ppm measured today<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As Caroline Angus\u2019s account of the 1957 Valencia flood reveals, these conditions are neither new nor unprecedented. The BBC\u2019s focus on \u201cclimate change\u201d and a warmer atmosphere as the primary cause of the recent flooding ignores the atmospheric mechanics behind these storms and downplays the recurrent pattern of similar natural events. It also too easily dismisses the well-known gota fria phenomenon, despite the BBC itself writing, \u201c[w]eather researchers say the likely main cause of the intense rainfall was a natural weather event [gota fria] that hits Spain in Autumn and Winter.\u201d Any links to climate change are based solely on rapid, non-peer reviewed attribution claims, not data.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From a science perspective, BBC made a glaring omission by not referencing the latest Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report, which finds little evidence of increased precipitation. The IPCC\u2019s Sixth Assessment Report (AR6)<\/a> provides an assessment of confidence levels in precipitation trends.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to Chapter 12, Table 12.12, (seen below) the IPCC expresses \u201clow confidence\u201d in a clear trend for increases in heavy precipitation in southern Europe, including the Mediterranean basin, even under\u00a0flawed high-emission climate model scenarios like RCP8.5<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"
Table 12.12 from the IPCC AR6 Report. Note the yellow highlighted topics, and the lack of climate attribution in the present and in the future as indicated by the white spaces.<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Unable to completely ignore the fact that natural weather systems dominate rainfall patterns, in Spain and elsewhere, the BBC suggested, the flooding was worsened because each degree of warming causes a 7% increase in rainfall. This does not align with the IPCC\u2019s low confidence in any increase in rainfall, river flooding, or heavy precipitation, at present despite more than a degree of warming over the past century. The BBC are engaging in pure speculation, not backed by evidence or the IPCC\u2019s own findings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

One thing that almost certainly contributed to the high death toll and massive damage of the recent flood is the huge increase of population in harm\u2019s way of flooding \u2013 the expanding bullseye effect discussed at Climate Realism<\/em> repeatedly, here<\/a> and here<\/a>, for example. Valencia\u2019s population over the past century has grown from 213,550 inhabitants in 1900 to 1,582,387 residents within the urban area and 2,522,383 people in the metropolitan region.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

When more people move to flood zones, more damage results when flooding does, and more people are harmed. This is especially true if government authorities don\u2019t revise flood planning as the population grows. Instead of asking how Spain might have planned better in the past for floods that aren\u2019t unusual, or how the government and planners might prepare for an anticipated seasonal flood cycle going forward, the BBC shifts the dialogue to an assumed inadequacy of current infrastructure to withstand \u201cnew\u201d extremes. Yet the 1957 floods show us that extreme floods have long tested Spain\u2019s infrastructure. In response to the catastrophic 1957 event, Valencia took direct action with the Plan Sur, diverting the Turia River to protect the city center from future flooding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Unfortunately, new development along that diversion channel allowed for new flood damage in areas different from that of the 1957 flood.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Let\u2019s be clear: reducing meteorological complexity to a tired \u201cclimate change did it\u201d line cheapens the discussion. Spain\u2019s unique geography and centuries-old storm patterns deserve more than sensationalist fluff. But as is typical, the BBC offers an alarmist tale wrapped in a pretty climate-change bow, leaving out history, science, common sense, and accountability. That\u2019s shoddy journalism, misinforming the public, thus making it harder for them to make rational decisions about elections and responses to weather.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The British Broadcasting Corporation (BBC) article, titled \u201cScientists sure warming world made Spain\u2019s storm more intense,\u201d ties recent flash flooding in Spain to climate change. This is false. Data refutes claims that flooding has gotten worse in Europe amid modestly warming temperatures. In addition, the story ignores Spain\u2019s long history of sometimes catastrophic floods due to many of its cities being situated in narrow mountain valleys.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":350211,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691831336,691821183,691831337,691831261,691831338],"class_list":{"0":"post-350208","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-british-broadcasting-corporation-bbc","9":"tag-spain","10":"tag-turia-river-on-the-mediterranean-sea","11":"tag-valencia-floods","12":"tag-valencias-1957-flooding","14":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/0Screenshot-2024-11-05-124007.png?fit=977%2C907&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1t6w","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":416259,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=416259","url_meta":{"origin":350208,"position":0},"title":"From Storm to Scare Story: How the Guardian Wrongly Claimed Climate Change Caused a \u2018Climate Breakdown\u2019","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"06\/12\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"The Guardian\u2019s recent article, \u201c\u2018My husband and daughter went down to the garage in case it flooded. Then I heard a strange noise\u2019 \u2013 This is climate breakdown,\u201d by Ajit Niranjan, presents the tragic story of a family caught in the Valencia floods of October 2024, framing the disaster as\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Ajit Niranjan\"","block_context":{"text":"Ajit Niranjan","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=ajit-niranjan"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/0AQPU-YK0Q4NRnbTvedqbUezG2B3PaYnGZbAeXUc3YrS9GAcMEosNTQU0eFGekBm50WH_t2zuG5HOg98WVzglQ3dwssG2SG0ci0Z6G-tL3SpaW2EhY5yKtSV_Ul3G1lY-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C793&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/0AQPU-YK0Q4NRnbTvedqbUezG2B3PaYnGZbAeXUc3YrS9GAcMEosNTQU0eFGekBm50WH_t2zuG5HOg98WVzglQ3dwssG2SG0ci0Z6G-tL3SpaW2EhY5yKtSV_Ul3G1lY-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C793&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/0AQPU-YK0Q4NRnbTvedqbUezG2B3PaYnGZbAeXUc3YrS9GAcMEosNTQU0eFGekBm50WH_t2zuG5HOg98WVzglQ3dwssG2SG0ci0Z6G-tL3SpaW2EhY5yKtSV_Ul3G1lY-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C793&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/0AQPU-YK0Q4NRnbTvedqbUezG2B3PaYnGZbAeXUc3YrS9GAcMEosNTQU0eFGekBm50WH_t2zuG5HOg98WVzglQ3dwssG2SG0ci0Z6G-tL3SpaW2EhY5yKtSV_Ul3G1lY-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C793&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/0AQPU-YK0Q4NRnbTvedqbUezG2B3PaYnGZbAeXUc3YrS9GAcMEosNTQU0eFGekBm50WH_t2zuG5HOg98WVzglQ3dwssG2SG0ci0Z6G-tL3SpaW2EhY5yKtSV_Ul3G1lY-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C793&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":349649,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=349649","url_meta":{"origin":350208,"position":1},"title":"Flash Floods In\u00a0Spain","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"31\/10\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Yes, the flash floods in Spain have been devastating. And, yes they have happened before. But the BBC weatherman also claims that extreme rainfall events like these are becoming more common","rel":"","context":"In \"BBC\"","block_context":{"text":"BBC","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=bbc"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/0spain_flooding_AP_24304340538022_NAT_1030-1024x576.jpeg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/0spain_flooding_AP_24304340538022_NAT_1030-1024x576.jpeg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/0spain_flooding_AP_24304340538022_NAT_1030-1024x576.jpeg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/0spain_flooding_AP_24304340538022_NAT_1030-1024x576.jpeg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":376612,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=376612","url_meta":{"origin":350208,"position":2},"title":"No, Euronews, Europe is Not Suffering \u2018Serious Impacts\u2019 from Climate Change","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"27\/04\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"A recent post by Euronews, titled \u201cDeadly floods, storms and heatwaves: Europe suffered the \u2018serious impacts\u2019 of climate change in 2024,\u201d claims that Europe is experiencing very severe impacts from climate change, citing heatwaves, wildfires, and flooding, among other conditions. 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Matt Ridley is wondering if removing 133 dams had anything to\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"big dam\"","block_context":{"text":"big dam","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=big-dam"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/0gfh481i_spain-floods_625x300_10_November_24-RY6VkY.jpeg?fit=1200%2C738&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/0gfh481i_spain-floods_625x300_10_November_24-RY6VkY.jpeg?fit=1200%2C738&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/0gfh481i_spain-floods_625x300_10_November_24-RY6VkY.jpeg?fit=1200%2C738&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/0gfh481i_spain-floods_625x300_10_November_24-RY6VkY.jpeg?fit=1200%2C738&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/0gfh481i_spain-floods_625x300_10_November_24-RY6VkY.jpeg?fit=1200%2C738&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":350712,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=350712","url_meta":{"origin":350208,"position":5},"title":"Despite Media Panic, There Is No Reason to Think 2024\u2019s Warming Is Disastrous","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"09\/11\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Multiple outlets have posted articles covering a report from the European Copernicus Climate Change Service (\u201cCopernicus\u201d) which says that 2024 will be the first to surpass 1.5\u00b0C warming since pre-industrial times, which the media claims will cause untold weather disasters. 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