{"id":349505,"date":"2024-10-30T09:59:57","date_gmt":"2024-10-30T08:59:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=349505"},"modified":"2024-10-30T09:59:59","modified_gmt":"2024-10-30T08:59:59","slug":"right-washington-post-climate-change-isnt-to-blame-for-billion-dollar-disasters","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=349505","title":{"rendered":"Right, Washington Post, Climate Change Isn\u2019t To Blame for Billion Dollar Disasters"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From ClimateRealism<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By Linnea Lueken<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Washington Post<\/em> (WaPo) recently published an article titled \u201cThe real reason billion-dollar disasters like Hurricane Helene are growing more common,\u201d<\/a> which accurately explained that billion dollar disasters are not getting more common because the storms are getting more extreme or common, but rather that economic and population trends have changed. This is true. Despite the article asserting at its outset that climate change is a problem and that we shouldn\u2019t question a transition away from fossil fuels, it provides, on the whole, a fairly balanced and accurate discussion of why natural disaster costs are rising.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

WaPo writes:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The billion-dollar disaster <\/strong>dataset is \u201cquoted a lot and people use it as a way of saying that climate change is already influencing what we see. And yet, unless you get the economics right, you can\u2019t really justify that,\u201d said D. James Baker<\/a>, the physicist and oceanographer who led NOAA from 1993 to 2001, the longest tenure as administrator in the agency\u2019s history.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Baker and others say disputing whether global warming\u2019s influence can be found in the disaster data is not the same as questioning whether climate change is real or whether society should switch from fossil fuels.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cWe know that climate change is real. We don\u2019t see it in the [economic] losses yet,\u201d said Laurens Bouwer<\/a>, an expert on the assessment of climate risks and a lead author on five reports by the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, the advisory body through which scientists reach consensus on climate change.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This is true, more or less (minus the part about getting rid of fossil fuels), with WaPo\u2019s article going into great detail about how the \u201cbillion-dollar disasters\u201d narrative gets off track.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Climate Realism<\/em> has touched on this a number of times (here<\/a>, here<\/a>, and here<\/a>, to name a few). Basically the claim goes something like this: the costs of weather disasters are increasing because weather is getting worse due to human-caused climate change. Weather data demonstrates that this claim is patently false. Almost universally, data show that storms like hurricanes and tornadoes are not becoming more frequent or extreme. Nor are instances of flooding or periods of drought.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So what\u2019s the explanation for increasing billion-dollar disasters?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Roger Pielke Jr., a scientist from the National Center for Atmospheric Research, has long studied the costs implications of natural disasters, putting them in context. WaPo reached out to him for the article because his research in the 1990s found that hurricane damage has not grown at all when you account for population and property value changes in hurricane-prone regions. He has frequently railed against this misuse of data, calling the National Climate Assessment (NCA) report\u2019s use of the claim a \u201cnational embarrassment.<\/a>\u201d Even worse than trying to merely claim the number of billion dollar disasters are increasing due to climate change, the NCA overestimated the real number of disasters by a factor of three<\/a> by double and triple counting individual events when they hit more than one state, regardless of whether or not the event produced a billion dollars of damage in each affected state.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

On his own Substack<\/a>, Pielke points out that the WaPo article managed to get some \u201cremarkable\u201d comments from various supposed climate experts, where they admit that they are operating on assumptions of attribution, or make the disaster-costs to climate connection because there is \u201cpressure\u201d and not necessarily because the science backs it up.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In the end, WaPo gets disaster cost attribution right, writing:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

[A]ccording to disaster experts, former NOAA officials, and peer-reviewed scientific studies . . . [t]he truth [is] \u2026 over time, migration to hazard-prone areas has increased, putting more people and property in harm\u2019s way. Disasters are more expensive because there is more to destroy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

. . .<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Each year brought a longer list of disasters, but \u2026 meteorologists Neal Lott and Tom Ross [of] the National Climatic Data Center \u2026 did not think the weather had changed. Instead, they noticed there were more people and property in areas prone to natural hazards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It\u2019s nice when WaPo, normally one of the worst offenders when it comes to climate-related fake news and misinformation, finally gets a story right. Climate change is not causing worsening weather and so can\u2019t be responsible for rising weather-related costs. One can only hope other media outlets begin to follow WaPo\u2019s example, in this instance, and publish balanced, fact-based, informative pieces on climate change, leaving out WaPo\u2019s editorializing on the need to get rid of fossil fuels, which would, of course, prove disastrous in terms of storm preparedness, human avoidance, resilience, and recovery.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The Washington Post (WaPo) recently published an article titled \u201cThe real reason billion-dollar disasters like Hurricane Helene are growing more common,\u201d which accurately explained that billion dollar disasters are not getting more common because the storms are getting more extreme or common, but rather that economic and population trends have changed. This is true. Despite the article asserting at its outset that climate change is a problem and that we shouldn\u2019t question a transition away from fossil fuels, it provides, on the whole, a fairly balanced and accurate discussion of why natural disaster costs are rising.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691831213,691818056,691830745,691830724,691822619],"class_list":["post-349505","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-billion-dollar-disaster","tag-climate-change","tag-hurricane-helene","tag-the-washington-post-wapo-2","tag-u-n-intergovernmental-panel-on-climate-change","has-post-thumbnail","fallback-thumbnail"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1sVb","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":253560,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=253560","url_meta":{"origin":349505,"position":0},"title":"No, Washington Post, Tax Season is Not Getting Longer Due to \u2018Climate Change\u2019","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"04\/18\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"The Washington Post\u00a0(WaPo) ran a story on April 17, 2023, titled \u201cTax season is getting longer. 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