{"id":348367,"date":"2024-10-22T12:07:12","date_gmt":"2024-10-22T10:07:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=348367"},"modified":"2024-10-22T12:07:15","modified_gmt":"2024-10-22T10:07:15","slug":"global-warming-abates-in-autumn-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=348367","title":{"rendered":"Global Warming Abates in Autumn\u00a02024"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"380\" data-attachment-id=\"348388\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=348388\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/0Autumn-In-Europe-Regent-Park-London-UK-featured.jpg?fit=1920%2C1008&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1920,1008\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"0Autumn-In-Europe-Regent-Park-London-UK-featured\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/0Autumn-In-Europe-Regent-Park-London-UK-featured.jpg?fit=723%2C380&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/0Autumn-In-Europe-Regent-Park-London-UK-featured.jpg?resize=723%2C380&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-348388\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/0Autumn-In-Europe-Regent-Park-London-UK-featured.jpg?resize=1024%2C538&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/0Autumn-In-Europe-Regent-Park-London-UK-featured.jpg?resize=300%2C158&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/0Autumn-In-Europe-Regent-Park-London-UK-featured.jpg?resize=768%2C403&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/0Autumn-In-Europe-Regent-Park-London-UK-featured.jpg?resize=1536%2C806&amp;ssl=1 1536w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/0Autumn-In-Europe-Regent-Park-London-UK-featured.jpg?resize=1200%2C630&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/0Autumn-In-Europe-Regent-Park-London-UK-featured.jpg?w=1920&amp;ssl=1 1920w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/0Autumn-In-Europe-Regent-Park-London-UK-featured.jpg?w=1446&amp;ssl=1 1446w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">From <a href=\"https:\/\/rclutz.com\/2024\/10\/21\/global-warming-abates-in-autumn-2024\/\">Science Matters<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">By\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/rclutz.com\/author\/ronaldrc\/\">Ron Clutz<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<span class=\"embed-youtube\" style=\"text-align:center; display: block;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"youtube-player\" width=\"723\" height=\"407\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/mBQDu6ONXXg?version=3&#038;rel=1&#038;showsearch=0&#038;showinfo=1&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;fs=1&#038;hl=en-US&#038;autohide=2&#038;wmode=transparent\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" style=\"border:0;\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts allow-same-origin allow-popups allow-presentation allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox\"><\/iframe><\/span>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Hot, Hot, Hot.&nbsp;<\/strong>&nbsp;You will have noticed that the term \u201cclimate change\u201d is now synonymous with \u201csummer\u201d.&nbsp; Since the northern hemisphere is where most of the world\u2019s land, people and media are located, two typical summer months and a hot European August have been depicted as the fires of hell awaiting any and all who benefit from fossil fuels. If you were wondering what the media would do, apart from obsessing over the many small storms this year, you are getting the answer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Fortunately, Autumn is on the way and already bringing cooler evenings in Montreal where I live. Once again open windows provide fresh air for sleeping, while mornings are showing condensation, and frost sometimes. This year\u2019s period of \u201cclimate change\u201d is winding down.&nbsp; Unless of course, we get some hurricanes the next two months.&nbsp; Below is a repost of seasonal changes in temperature and climate for those who may have been misled by the media reports of a forever hotter future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"482\" data-attachment-id=\"348370\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=348370\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-558.png?fit=900%2C600&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"900,600\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-558.png?fit=723%2C482&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-558.png?resize=723%2C482&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-348370\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-558.png?w=900&amp;ssl=1 900w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-558.png?resize=300%2C200&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-558.png?resize=768%2C512&amp;ssl=1 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Autumnal Climate Change<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Seeing a lot more of this lately, along with hearing the geese &nbsp;honking. And in the next week or two we expect that trees around here will lose their leaves. It definitely is climate change of the seasonal variety.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Interestingly, the science on this is settled: It is all due to reduction of solar energy because of the shorter length of days (LOD). The trees drop their leaves and go dormant because of less sunlight, not because of lower temperatures. The latter is an&nbsp;effect, not the cause.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Of course, the farther north you go, the more remarkable the seasonal climate change. St. Petersburg, Russia has their balmy \u201cWhite Nights\u201d in June when twilight is as dark as it gets, followed by the cold, dark winter and a chance to see the Northern Lights.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"500\" height=\"408\" data-attachment-id=\"348372\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=348372\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-560.png?fit=500%2C408&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"500,408\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-560.png?fit=500%2C408&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-560.png?resize=500%2C408&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-348372\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-560.png?w=500&amp;ssl=1 500w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-560.png?resize=300%2C245&amp;ssl=1 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And as we have been monitoring, the Arctic ice has been melting from sunlight in recent months, but is already building again in the twilight, to reach its maximum in March under the cover of darkness.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">We can also expect in January and February for another migration of millions of Canadians (nicknamed \u201csnowbirds\u201d) to fly south in search of a summer-like climate to renew their memories and hopes. As was said to me by one man in Saskatchewan (part of the Canadian wheat breadbasket region):&nbsp;\u201cAround here we have Triple-A farmers: April to August, and then Arizona.\u201d Here\u2019s what he was talking about: Quartzsite Arizona annually hosts 1.5M visitors, mostly between November and March.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full is-resized\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"450\" height=\"344\" data-attachment-id=\"348375\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=348375\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-562.png?fit=450%2C344&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"450,344\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-562.png?fit=450%2C344&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-562.png?resize=450%2C344&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-348375\" style=\"width:504px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-562.png?w=450&amp;ssl=1 450w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-562.png?resize=300%2C229&amp;ssl=1 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 450px) 100vw, 450px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Of course, this is just North America. Similar migrations occur in Europe, and in the Southern Hemisphere, the climates are changing in the opposite direction, Springtime currently. Since it is so obviously the sun causing this seasonal change, the question arises: Does the sunlight vary on longer than annual timescales?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>The Solar-Climate Debate<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And therein lies a great, enduring controversy between those (like the IPCC) who dismiss the sun as a driver of multi-Decadal climate change, and those who see a connection between solar cycles and Earth\u2019s climate history. One side can be accused of ignoring the sun because of a prior commitment to CO2 as the climate \u201ccontrol knob\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The other side is repeatedly denounced as \u201ccyclomaniacs\u201d in search of curve-fitting patterns to prove one or another thesis. It is also argued that a claim of 60-year cycles can not be validated with only 150 years or so of reliable data. That point has weight, but it is usually made by those on the CO2 bandwagon despite temperature and CO2 trends correlating for only 3 decades during the last century.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"467\" data-attachment-id=\"348376\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=348376\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-563.png?fit=880%2C568&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"880,568\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-563.png?fit=723%2C467&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-563.png?resize=723%2C467&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-348376\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-563.png?w=880&amp;ssl=1 880w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-563.png?resize=300%2C194&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-563.png?resize=768%2C496&amp;ssl=1 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">One scientist in this field is Nicola Scafetta, who presents the basic concept this way:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cThe theory is very simple in words. The solar system is characterized by a set of specific gravitational oscillations due to the fact that the planets are moving around the sun. Everything in the solar system tends to synchronize to these frequencies beginning with the sun itself. The oscillating sun then causes equivalent cycles in the climate system. Also the moon acts on the climate system with its own harmonics. In conclusion we have a climate system that is mostly made of a set of complex cycles that mirror astronomical cycles. Consequently it is possible to use these harmonics to both approximately hindcast and forecast the harmonic component of the climate, at least on a global scale. This theory is supported by strong empirical evidences using the available solar and climatic data.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/edusoft.matf.bg.ac.rs\/csharp\/Verzija2005\/grananje_slike\/planete.gif?w=723&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">He goes on to say:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cThe global surface temperature record appears to be made of natural specific oscillations with a likely solar\/astronomical origin plus a noncyclical anthropogenic contribution during the last decades. Indeed, because the boundary condition of the climate system is regulated also by astronomical harmonic forcings, the astronomical frequencies need to be part of the climate signal in the same way the tidal oscillations are regulated by soli-lunar harmonics.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">He has concluded that \u201cat least 60% of the warming of the Earth observed since 1970 appears to be induced by natural cycles which are present in the solar system.\u201d For the near future he predicts a stabilization of global temperature and cooling until 2030-2040. Note that several El Nino spikes have temporarily taken the GMT (Global Mean Temperature) anomaly outside the forecasted bounds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"435\" data-attachment-id=\"348378\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=348378\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-564.png?fit=874%2C526&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"874,526\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-564.png?fit=723%2C435&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-564.png?resize=723%2C435&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-348378\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-564.png?w=874&amp;ssl=1 874w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-564.png?resize=300%2C181&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-564.png?resize=768%2C462&amp;ssl=1 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">For more see&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/rclutz.wordpress.com\/2017\/02\/17\/scafetta-vs-ipcc-dueling-climate-theories\/\">Scafetta vs. IPCC: Dueling Climate Theories<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A more recent Scafetta publication is\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.mdpi.com\/2073-4433\/12\/2\/147\"><strong>Reconstruction of the Interannual to Millennial Scale Patterns of the Global Surface Temperature<\/strong><\/a>\u00a0in the journal atmosphere.\u00a0 There is provided this exhibit comparing his semi-empirical forecast to HadCRUT4<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"550\" height=\"329\" data-attachment-id=\"348380\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=348380\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-566.png?fit=550%2C329&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"550,329\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-566.png?fit=550%2C329&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-566.png?resize=550%2C329&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-348380\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-566.png?w=550&amp;ssl=1 550w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-566.png?resize=300%2C179&amp;ssl=1 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>A Deeper, but Accessible Presentation of Solar-Climate Theory<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">I have found this presentation by Ian Wilson to be persuasive while honestly considering all of the complexities involved.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The author raises the question: What if there is a third factor that not&nbsp;only drives the variations in solar activity that we see on the Sun but also&nbsp;drives the changes that we see in climate here on the Earth?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The linked article is quite readable by a general audience, and comes to a similar conclusion as Scafetta above: There is a connection, but it is not simple cause and effect. And yes, length of day (LOD) is a factor beyond the annual cycle.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.lavoisier.com.au\/articles\/greenhouse-science\/solar-cycles\/IanwilsonForum2008.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Click to access IanwilsonForum2008.pdf<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It is fair to say that we are still&nbsp;at the theorizing stage of understanding a solar connection to earth\u2019s climate. And at this stage, investigators look for correlations in the data and propose theories (explanations) for what mechanisms are at work. Interestingly, despite the lack of interest from the IPCC, solar and climate variability is a very active research field these days.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">For example Svensmark has now a<a href=\"https:\/\/rclutz.wordpress.com\/2018\/02\/02\/the-cosmoclimatology-theory\/\"><strong>&nbsp;Cosmosclimatology theory<\/strong><\/a>&nbsp;supported by empirical studies described in more detail in the red link.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"452\" data-attachment-id=\"348381\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=348381\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-567.png?fit=1000%2C625&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1000,625\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-567.png?fit=723%2C452&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-567.png?resize=723%2C452&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-348381\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-567.png?w=1000&amp;ssl=1 1000w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-567.png?resize=300%2C188&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-567.png?resize=768%2C480&amp;ssl=1 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A summary of recent&nbsp;studies is provided at NoTricksZone:&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/notrickszone.com\/2017\/06\/12\/20-more-new-papers-link-solar-forcing-to-climate-change-now-80-sun-climate-papers-for-2017\/#sthash.hDdXMuhy.dpbs\">Since 2014, 400 Scientific Papers Affirm A Strong Sun-Climate Link<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ian Wilson has much more to say at his blog:<a href=\"http:\/\/astroclimateconnection.blogspot.com.au\/\">&nbsp;http:\/\/astroclimateconnection.blogspot.com.au\/<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Once again, it appears that the world is more complicated than a simple cause and effect model suggests.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"507\" height=\"362\" data-attachment-id=\"348384\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=348384\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-569.png?fit=507%2C362&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"507,362\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-569.png?fit=507%2C362&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-569.png?resize=507%2C362&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-348384\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-569.png?w=507&amp;ssl=1 507w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-569.png?resize=300%2C214&amp;ssl=1 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 507px) 100vw, 507px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Fluctuations in observed global temperatures can be explained by a combination of oceanic and solar cycles. &nbsp;See engineering analysis from first principles&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/rclutz.wordpress.com\/2016\/06\/22\/quantifying-natural-climate-change\/\">Quantifying Natural Climate Change.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>For&nbsp;everything&nbsp;there&nbsp;is&nbsp;a&nbsp;season,&nbsp;a&nbsp;time&nbsp;for&nbsp;every&nbsp;purpose&nbsp;under&nbsp;heaven.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>What&nbsp;has&nbsp;been&nbsp;will&nbsp;be&nbsp;again,&nbsp;what&nbsp;has&nbsp;been&nbsp;done&nbsp;will&nbsp;be&nbsp;done&nbsp;again;<br>there&nbsp;is&nbsp;nothing&nbsp;new&nbsp;under&nbsp;the&nbsp;sun.<br><\/em>(Ecclesiastes&nbsp;3:1&nbsp;and&nbsp;1:9)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Footnote:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"291\" height=\"391\" data-attachment-id=\"348386\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=348386\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-571.png?fit=291%2C391&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"291,391\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-571.png?fit=291%2C391&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-571.png?resize=291%2C391&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-348386\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-571.png?w=291&amp;ssl=1 291w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-571.png?resize=223%2C300&amp;ssl=1 223w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 291px) 100vw, 291px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Hot, Hot, Hot.  You will have noticed that the term \u201cclimate change\u201d is now synonymous with \u201csummer\u201d.  Since the northern hemisphere is where most of the world\u2019s land, people and media are located, two typical summer months and a hot European August have been depicted as the fires of hell awaiting any and all who benefit from fossil fuels. If you were wondering what the media would do, apart from obsessing over the many small storms this year, you are getting the answer.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":348388,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691827130,691818056,691831060,691818087,691831061],"class_list":{"0":"post-348367","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-carbon-dioxide-co2","9":"tag-climate-change","10":"tag-european-august","11":"tag-global-warming","12":"tag-length-of-days-lod","14":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/0Autumn-In-Europe-Regent-Park-London-UK-featured.jpg?fit=1920%2C1008&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1sCP","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":277386,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=277386","url_meta":{"origin":348367,"position":0},"title":"Our Global Boiling Summer Was As Hot As\u00a01857!","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"05\/09\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"They knew, of course, that it was not the hottest on record, because they have the Central England Temperature series, and this dates back further their UK records.","rel":"","context":"In \"Central England\"","block_context":{"text":"Central England","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=central-england"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/00wp6691790.jpg?fit=1200%2C750&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/00wp6691790.jpg?fit=1200%2C750&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/00wp6691790.jpg?fit=1200%2C750&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/00wp6691790.jpg?fit=1200%2C750&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/00wp6691790.jpg?fit=1200%2C750&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":274529,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=274529","url_meta":{"origin":348367,"position":1},"title":"Global Warming Boils in\u00a0August","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"19\/08\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"The White House National Climate Task Force reported today that\u00a0NASA scientists have discovered a mysterious spike in global warming every year between June and August.","rel":"","context":"In \"August\"","block_context":{"text":"August","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=august"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/OIG-2023-08-15T141947.641.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/OIG-2023-08-15T141947.641.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/OIG-2023-08-15T141947.641.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/OIG-2023-08-15T141947.641.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":257828,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=257828","url_meta":{"origin":348367,"position":2},"title":"Hot Summer? \u2013 Met Office Clowns Have Not Got A\u00a0Clue!","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"17\/05\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"The\u00a0Met Office\u00a0has given its verdict on reports claiming that \u201cAfrican plumes\u201d could bring multiple\u00a0heatwaves\u00a0to the UK this summer with temperatures in excess of 35C.","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/0shutterstock_691981369.jpg?fit=1200%2C797&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/0shutterstock_691981369.jpg?fit=1200%2C797&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/0shutterstock_691981369.jpg?fit=1200%2C797&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/0shutterstock_691981369.jpg?fit=1200%2C797&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/0shutterstock_691981369.jpg?fit=1200%2C797&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":268644,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=268644","url_meta":{"origin":348367,"position":3},"title":"The strange glee over the European\u00a0heatwave","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"20\/07\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"The BBC has suggested Britain\u2019s cool July might have something to do with global warming","rel":"","context":"In \"BBC\"","block_context":{"text":"BBC","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=bbc"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/image-623.png?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/image-623.png?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/image-623.png?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/image-623.png?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":216084,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=216084","url_meta":{"origin":348367,"position":4},"title":"Germany\u2019s DWD Weather Service Redefines \u201cHeat Wave\u201d: Now 3 Consecutive Days of Warm Weather!","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"28\/08\/2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Like the WHO changed the definition of a \u201cpandemic\u201d, the DWD has changed the definition of a \u201cheat wave\u201d \u2026all to falsely generate the sense of a crisis","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/image-1298.png?fit=1200%2C1191&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/image-1298.png?fit=1200%2C1191&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/image-1298.png?fit=1200%2C1191&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/image-1298.png?fit=1200%2C1191&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/image-1298.png?fit=1200%2C1191&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":209776,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=209776","url_meta":{"origin":348367,"position":5},"title":"Wrong, Legacy Media, Climate Change Is Not Causing Summer Heatwaves in the U.S. and Europe","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"23\/07\/2022","format":false,"excerpt":"This past week, both the U.S. and Europe have had significant localized heatwaves. The one in Europe is particularly bothersome for the media, since the area is not prepared for temperatures that exceed 100\u00b0F like areas in the in the United States in places like California, Texas, and Oklahoma, where\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/0Temperatures-UK-Europe-7-19-22-1.jpg?fit=680%2C558&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/0Temperatures-UK-Europe-7-19-22-1.jpg?fit=680%2C558&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/0Temperatures-UK-Europe-7-19-22-1.jpg?fit=680%2C558&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/348367","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=348367"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/348367\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":348390,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/348367\/revisions\/348390"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/348388"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=348367"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=348367"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=348367"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}