{"id":343618,"date":"2024-09-18T12:01:51","date_gmt":"2024-09-18T10:01:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=343618"},"modified":"2024-09-18T12:01:53","modified_gmt":"2024-09-18T10:01:53","slug":"2024-arctic-ice-beats-2007-by-half-a-wadham","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=343618","title":{"rendered":"2024 Arctic Ice Beats 2007 by Half a\u00a0Wadham"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From Science Matters <\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By\u00a0Ron Clutz<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The graph above shows September daily ice extents for 2024 compared to 18 year averages, and some years of note. Day 260 has been the lowest daily ice extent on average for the last 18 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The black line shows on average Arctic ice extents during September decline 358k km2 down to 4.5M Km2 by day 260. The average increase from now on is 490k km2 up to 5.0M km2 end of September.  2024  tracked a little lower than the 18-year average in the second week reaching a low of 4.49M km2 on day 255, before going above average on day 260. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

SII was reporting deficits as high as 0.5M km2 (half a Wadham) compared to  MASIE early in September.  For some reason, that dataset has not been updated for the last five days.  2023 bottomed out at 4.1M while 2007 daily minimum hit 4.0M, ended ~ 0.5M km2 in deficit to average and 535k km2 less than MASIE on day 260.  2020 ice on day 260 was ~740k km2 in deficit to average.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Why is this important?  All the claims of global climate emergency depend on dangerously higher temperatures, lower sea ice, and rising sea levels.  The lack of additional warming prior to 2023 El Nino is documented in a post UAH June 2024: Oceans Lead Cool Down.<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The lack of acceleration in sea levels along coastlines has been discussed also.  See Observed vs. Imagined Sea Levels 2023 Update.<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Also, a longer term perspective is informative:<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

The table below shows the distribution of Sea Ice on day 260 across the Arctic Regions, on average, this year and 2007. At this point in the year, Bering and Okhotsk seas are open water and thus dropped from the table.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Region<\/strong><\/td>2024260<\/strong><\/td>Day 260 ave<\/strong><\/td>2024-Ave.<\/strong><\/td>2007260<\/strong><\/td>2024-2007<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
 (0) Northern_Hemisphere<\/td>4581327<\/td>4524401<\/td>56926<\/td>4045776<\/td>535551<\/td><\/tr>
 (1) Beaufort_Sea<\/td>304967<\/td>491931<\/td>-186963<\/td>481384<\/td>-176416<\/td><\/tr>
 (2) Chukchi_Sea<\/td>360456<\/td>167361<\/td>193095<\/td>22527<\/td>337929<\/td><\/tr>
 (3) East_Siberian_Sea<\/td>353456<\/td>252958<\/td>100498<\/td>311<\/td>353145<\/td><\/tr>
 (4) Laptev_Sea<\/td>160792<\/td>135574<\/td>25218<\/td>235869<\/td>-75076<\/td><\/tr>
 (5) Kara_Sea<\/td>0<\/td>31612<\/td>-31612<\/td>44067<\/td>-44067<\/td><\/tr>
 (6) Barents_Sea<\/td>0<\/td>14610<\/td>-14610<\/td>7420<\/td>-7420<\/td><\/tr>
 (7) Greenland_Sea<\/td>165965<\/td>191196<\/td>-25230<\/td>333181<\/td>-167216<\/td><\/tr>
 (8) Baffin_Bay_Gulf_of_St._Lawrence<\/td>53126<\/td>29745<\/td>23381<\/td>26703<\/td>26423<\/td><\/tr>
 (9) Canadian_Archipelago<\/td>228869<\/td>274428<\/td>-45559<\/td>225526<\/td>3344<\/td><\/tr>
 (10) Hudson_Bay<\/td>1692<\/td>4595<\/td>-2903<\/td>2270<\/td>-578<\/td><\/tr>
 (11) Central_Arctic<\/td>2950861<\/td>2929452<\/td>21409<\/td>2665243.87<\/td>285617<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The overall surplus to average is 57k km2, (1.3%).  The major deficit is in Beaufort, offset by large surpluses in Chukchi and East Siberian seas. <\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n
\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Illustration by Eleanor Lutz shows Earth\u2019s seasonal climate changes. If played in full screen, the four corners present views from top, bottom and sides. It is a visual representation of scientific datasets measuring ice and snow extents.<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"\/<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Why is this important?\u00a0 All the claims of global climate emergency depend on dangerously higher temperatures, lower sea ice, and rising sea levels.\u00a0 The lack of additional warming prior to 2023 El Nino is documented in a post\u00a0UAH June 2024: Oceans Lead Cool Down.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":343630,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691818990,691820676,691830545],"class_list":["post-343618","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-arctic-sea-ice","tag-climate-impacts","tag-september-2024","fallback-thumbnail"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/059829.jpg?fit=3000%2C1985&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1roe","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":401071,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=401071","url_meta":{"origin":343618,"position":0},"title":"September 2025 Arctic Ice\u00a0Outlook","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"09\/09\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"After the dip there will be continuing recovery of ice extent, with end of September usually higher than the beginning.\u00a0 The September monthly average will be interesting to compare.","rel":"","context":"In \"Arctic Ice\"","block_context":{"text":"Arctic Ice","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=arctic-ice"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/AQMdvRrPd8AapbqS598oXlkKL8lNU7wsJBLh3lBQbLXWVp8gPxPHVJ-c7_IyaJq2InhtPF4rh1Pm1Nr0yWAI8PFpn_cmf8Qs4FqzCtKq9vyhUnJ2IkdmpVNu6ZbDUspvvyl6vBhZ_OaycAK7i7JQcb1lXNUVlA.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/AQMdvRrPd8AapbqS598oXlkKL8lNU7wsJBLh3lBQbLXWVp8gPxPHVJ-c7_IyaJq2InhtPF4rh1Pm1Nr0yWAI8PFpn_cmf8Qs4FqzCtKq9vyhUnJ2IkdmpVNu6ZbDUspvvyl6vBhZ_OaycAK7i7JQcb1lXNUVlA.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/AQMdvRrPd8AapbqS598oXlkKL8lNU7wsJBLh3lBQbLXWVp8gPxPHVJ-c7_IyaJq2InhtPF4rh1Pm1Nr0yWAI8PFpn_cmf8Qs4FqzCtKq9vyhUnJ2IkdmpVNu6ZbDUspvvyl6vBhZ_OaycAK7i7JQcb1lXNUVlA.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/AQMdvRrPd8AapbqS598oXlkKL8lNU7wsJBLh3lBQbLXWVp8gPxPHVJ-c7_IyaJq2InhtPF4rh1Pm1Nr0yWAI8PFpn_cmf8Qs4FqzCtKq9vyhUnJ2IkdmpVNu6ZbDUspvvyl6vBhZ_OaycAK7i7JQcb1lXNUVlA.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/AQMdvRrPd8AapbqS598oXlkKL8lNU7wsJBLh3lBQbLXWVp8gPxPHVJ-c7_IyaJq2InhtPF4rh1Pm1Nr0yWAI8PFpn_cmf8Qs4FqzCtKq9vyhUnJ2IkdmpVNu6ZbDUspvvyl6vBhZ_OaycAK7i7JQcb1lXNUVlA.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":419856,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=419856","url_meta":{"origin":343618,"position":1},"title":"Arctic Ice Recovering 2025\u00a0Yearend","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"01\/04\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Sea ice extent is the total area of ocean covered by at least 15% sea ice, measured daily via satellite passive microwave sensors (e.g., NSIDC Sea Ice Index). It differs from sea ice area (which accounts for actual ice concentration) or volume\/thickness. Extent is a key climate indicator because it\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Arctic Ice\"","block_context":{"text":"Arctic Ice","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=arctic-ice"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQOKlKbXXj78ZND9m8v7CAsaTpNx7zuG8EEqsRtVS8ItC_FrhUjQZrN9cV3pbHOaEsC79TU93CX8kvZZyYCudf4iKlfwmCieEsB7MeOH1YkcahmdAaDCkzOpOcB1_sgy.jpeg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQOKlKbXXj78ZND9m8v7CAsaTpNx7zuG8EEqsRtVS8ItC_FrhUjQZrN9cV3pbHOaEsC79TU93CX8kvZZyYCudf4iKlfwmCieEsB7MeOH1YkcahmdAaDCkzOpOcB1_sgy.jpeg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQOKlKbXXj78ZND9m8v7CAsaTpNx7zuG8EEqsRtVS8ItC_FrhUjQZrN9cV3pbHOaEsC79TU93CX8kvZZyYCudf4iKlfwmCieEsB7MeOH1YkcahmdAaDCkzOpOcB1_sgy.jpeg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQOKlKbXXj78ZND9m8v7CAsaTpNx7zuG8EEqsRtVS8ItC_FrhUjQZrN9cV3pbHOaEsC79TU93CX8kvZZyYCudf4iKlfwmCieEsB7MeOH1YkcahmdAaDCkzOpOcB1_sgy.jpeg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQOKlKbXXj78ZND9m8v7CAsaTpNx7zuG8EEqsRtVS8ItC_FrhUjQZrN9cV3pbHOaEsC79TU93CX8kvZZyYCudf4iKlfwmCieEsB7MeOH1YkcahmdAaDCkzOpOcB1_sgy.jpeg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":343761,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=343761","url_meta":{"origin":343618,"position":2},"title":"2024 Arctic Ice Abounds at Average Daily\u00a0Minimum","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"09\/19\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"2024 extent of 4.58 is 1.3% over average, mainly due to surpluses in Chukchi and East Siberian seas.","rel":"","context":"In \"Arctic Ice\"","block_context":{"text":"Arctic Ice","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=arctic-ice"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/059829-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C794&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/059829-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C794&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/059829-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C794&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/059829-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C794&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/059829-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C794&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":296861,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=296861","url_meta":{"origin":343618,"position":3},"title":"Arctic Sea Ice Soars to Highest Level for 21 Years","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"01\/18\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"The dramatic, if largely unpublicised, recovery in Arctic sea ice is continuing into the New Year. Despite the contestable claims of the \u2018hottest year ever\u2019 (and even hotter in 2024), Arctic sea ice on January 8th stood at its highest level in 21 years.","rel":"","context":"In \"Antarctica\"","block_context":{"text":"Antarctica","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=antarctica"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/0-Arctic-Sea-Ice.jpeg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/0-Arctic-Sea-Ice.jpeg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/0-Arctic-Sea-Ice.jpeg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/0-Arctic-Sea-Ice.jpeg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/0-Arctic-Sea-Ice.jpeg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":406285,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=406285","url_meta":{"origin":343618,"position":4},"title":"September 2025 Arctic Ice Beats\u00a0Expectations","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"10\/02\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"The experts involved in SIPN are expected SII 2025 September to be somewhat lower than recent years, but Arctic ice extents exceeded the 19-year averages.","rel":"","context":"In \"Arctic Ice\"","block_context":{"text":"Arctic Ice","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=arctic-ice"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/AQOBNPWFbYzY6aZVPr0ZR3jLBxK89PWC2CYuY7na9Y8eV_GKiVZLE0US0Bo2fT89jnBtB7LBgbPfy6eyg8QGRCTdOVugfVLLfdMAbx7BjZBdkF0oXm0XFMgeavinnJDra9CRBDFWuVCyS8slWKczLn90fJXHKg.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/AQOBNPWFbYzY6aZVPr0ZR3jLBxK89PWC2CYuY7na9Y8eV_GKiVZLE0US0Bo2fT89jnBtB7LBgbPfy6eyg8QGRCTdOVugfVLLfdMAbx7BjZBdkF0oXm0XFMgeavinnJDra9CRBDFWuVCyS8slWKczLn90fJXHKg.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/AQOBNPWFbYzY6aZVPr0ZR3jLBxK89PWC2CYuY7na9Y8eV_GKiVZLE0US0Bo2fT89jnBtB7LBgbPfy6eyg8QGRCTdOVugfVLLfdMAbx7BjZBdkF0oXm0XFMgeavinnJDra9CRBDFWuVCyS8slWKczLn90fJXHKg.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/AQOBNPWFbYzY6aZVPr0ZR3jLBxK89PWC2CYuY7na9Y8eV_GKiVZLE0US0Bo2fT89jnBtB7LBgbPfy6eyg8QGRCTdOVugfVLLfdMAbx7BjZBdkF0oXm0XFMgeavinnJDra9CRBDFWuVCyS8slWKczLn90fJXHKg.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/AQOBNPWFbYzY6aZVPr0ZR3jLBxK89PWC2CYuY7na9Y8eV_GKiVZLE0US0Bo2fT89jnBtB7LBgbPfy6eyg8QGRCTdOVugfVLLfdMAbx7BjZBdkF0oXm0XFMgeavinnJDra9CRBDFWuVCyS8slWKczLn90fJXHKg.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":404579,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=404579","url_meta":{"origin":343618,"position":5},"title":"Arctic Sea Ice Minimum 2025: Another Year, Another Non-Event","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"09\/24\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"The annual Arctic Sea ice minimum has arrived once again, and as usual, it provides far less drama than the media headlines would suggest. 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