{"id":342334,"date":"2024-09-08T17:06:30","date_gmt":"2024-09-08T15:06:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=342334"},"modified":"2024-09-08T17:06:33","modified_gmt":"2024-09-08T15:06:33","slug":"mysteries-surrounding-the-2024-atlantic-hurricane-season-co2-definitely-not-the-driving-factor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=342334","title":{"rendered":"Mysteries Surrounding The 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season. CO2 Definitely Not The Driving Factor"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

From NoTricksZone<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By\u00a0P Gosselin<\/a>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

A report from Germany by\u00a0KlimaNachrichten<\/a>\u00a0Editors<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cScience is still far from reaching the end of its knowledge\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
Symbol image. Source: NASA<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

According to the NOAA US weather agency<\/a>, the hurricane season lasts from June 1 to November 30 of each year. During this time, the conditions needed for extreme areas of pressure to build up prevail. First and foremost, the water temperature of the Atlantic is decisive, but so is wind shear.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Storms were actually predicted for this year too. However, there have been almost no storms so far.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

At X,<\/a> US meteorologist Ryan Maue<\/strong> ponders the possible reasons and asks colleagues to think about why the models have failed so far this year. Some storms moved far from land to the north, where they weakened and only affected parts of the east coast of the US or Canada. At some point, they arrived in Europe as an area of low pressure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sahara dust<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Maue suspects various reasons: The eruption of the Hunga Tonga volcano or a lot of Saharan dust over the Atlantic. Maue notes that the absence of hurricanes does not completely contradict the conventional theories on climate change. Fewer storms are expected, but possibly more severe ones. They have so far failed to materialize, which is a blessing for the people who may be affected. The Sahara itself is also currently experiencing a very rare weather phenomenon. It is raining heavily for the conditions there. Meteonews.ch<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

The reason for this precipitation pattern can be found in the so-called Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ). An area around the equator where the trade winds from the northern hemisphere and the southern hemisphere meet. The winds are weak here, but the humidity is very high. This zone is known for its heavy rainfall and thunderstorms, which occur when the warm, moist air rises, cools and then falls back to earth as rain. The ITCZ is a kind of low-pressure trough that stretches around the globe and follows the zenith of the sun with a delay of around 3 to 4 weeks. Depending on the ratio of land and water masses, the ITCZ is deflected regionally more to the north or south. As land masses have a significantly lower heat storage capacity compared to water masses, the land warms up faster than the sea and the ITCZ meanders more strongly here.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

On the hurricanes that have failed to materialize, the site writes:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

Normally, wave-like weather systems (so-called African Easterly Waves, AEW) develop at this time of year, which move from east to west and typically move from the Guinea Highlands across the equatorial Atlantic and act to spawn hurricanes. Currently, this process is somewhat suppressed, which is currently reducing tropical activity in the Atlantic. At the beginning of the hurricane season, a much more active season had been forecast for this year due to the high water temperatures and the transition to La Ni\u00f1a conditions.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

Both events are good evidence that science is still far from reaching the end of its knowledge in this area and that research remains important.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

According to the\u00a0NOAA US weather agency, the hurricane season lasts from June 1 to November 30 of each year. During this time, the conditions needed for extreme areas of pressure to build up prevail. First and foremost, the water temperature of the Atlantic is decisive, but so is wind shear.<\/p>\n

Storms were actually predicted for this year too. However, there have been almost no storms so far.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":342336,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691824970,691828852,691830508,691830509,691822081],"class_list":{"0":"post-342334","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-atlantic-hurricane-season","9":"tag-intertropical-convergence-zone-itcz","10":"tag-noaa-us-weather-agency","11":"tag-sahara-dust","12":"tag-storms","14":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/0Hurricane-NASA-photo-scaled-1.jpg?fit=2560%2C1743&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1r3w","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":212140,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=212140","url_meta":{"origin":342334,"position":0},"title":"NOAA still expects above-normal Atlantic hurricane season","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"05\/08\/2022","format":false,"excerpt":"From NOAA Collage depicts hurricane storm surge, Acting NOAA National Hurricane Center Director Jamie Rhome presenting a forecast, evacuation route sign and Hurricane Hunter pilot flying into a storm.\u00a0(NOAA)Download Image Atmospheric and oceanic conditions still favor an above-normal 2022 Atlantic hurricane season, according to NOAA\u2019s annual mid-season update issued today\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/0Screenshot-2022-08-05-204545.png?fit=1200%2C676&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/0Screenshot-2022-08-05-204545.png?fit=1200%2C676&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/0Screenshot-2022-08-05-204545.png?fit=1200%2C676&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/0Screenshot-2022-08-05-204545.png?fit=1200%2C676&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/0Screenshot-2022-08-05-204545.png?fit=1200%2C676&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":212274,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=212274","url_meta":{"origin":342334,"position":1},"title":"NOAA still expects above-normal Atlantic hurricane season","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"07\/08\/2022","format":false,"excerpt":"We like a prediction, so we\u2019ll see how this one goes after \u201aa relatively slow start to hurricane season, with no major storms developing in the Atlantic\u2018. 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