{"id":342334,"date":"2024-09-08T17:06:30","date_gmt":"2024-09-08T15:06:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=342334"},"modified":"2024-09-08T17:06:33","modified_gmt":"2024-09-08T15:06:33","slug":"mysteries-surrounding-the-2024-atlantic-hurricane-season-co2-definitely-not-the-driving-factor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=342334","title":{"rendered":"Mysteries Surrounding The 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season. CO2 Definitely Not The Driving Factor"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"492\" data-attachment-id=\"342336\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=342336\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/0Hurricane-NASA-photo-scaled-1.jpg?fit=2560%2C1743&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"2560,1743\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"0Hurricane-NASA-photo-scaled\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/0Hurricane-NASA-photo-scaled-1.jpg?fit=723%2C492&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/0Hurricane-NASA-photo-scaled-1.jpg?resize=723%2C492&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-342336\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/0Hurricane-NASA-photo-scaled-1.jpg?resize=1024%2C697&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/0Hurricane-NASA-photo-scaled-1.jpg?resize=300%2C204&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/0Hurricane-NASA-photo-scaled-1.jpg?resize=768%2C523&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/0Hurricane-NASA-photo-scaled-1.jpg?resize=1536%2C1046&amp;ssl=1 1536w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/0Hurricane-NASA-photo-scaled-1.jpg?resize=2048%2C1394&amp;ssl=1 2048w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/0Hurricane-NASA-photo-scaled-1.jpg?resize=1200%2C817&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/0Hurricane-NASA-photo-scaled-1.jpg?w=1446&amp;ssl=1 1446w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/0Hurricane-NASA-photo-scaled-1.jpg?w=2169&amp;ssl=1 2169w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">From <a href=\"https:\/\/notrickszone.com\/2024\/09\/06\/mysteries-surrounding-the-2024-atlantic-hurricane-season-co2-definitely-not-the-driving-factor\/\">NoTricksZone<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>By\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/notrickszone.com\/author\/admin\/\">P Gosselin<\/a>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>A report from Germany by\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/klimanachrichten.de\/author\/redakteur\/\">KlimaNachrichten<\/a>\u00a0Editors<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u201cScience is still far from reaching the end of its knowledge\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"492\" data-attachment-id=\"342336\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=342336\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/0Hurricane-NASA-photo-scaled-1.jpg?fit=2560%2C1743&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"2560,1743\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"0Hurricane-NASA-photo-scaled\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/0Hurricane-NASA-photo-scaled-1.jpg?fit=723%2C492&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/0Hurricane-NASA-photo-scaled-1.jpg?resize=723%2C492&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-342336\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/0Hurricane-NASA-photo-scaled-1.jpg?resize=1024%2C697&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/0Hurricane-NASA-photo-scaled-1.jpg?resize=300%2C204&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/0Hurricane-NASA-photo-scaled-1.jpg?resize=768%2C523&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/0Hurricane-NASA-photo-scaled-1.jpg?resize=1536%2C1046&amp;ssl=1 1536w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/0Hurricane-NASA-photo-scaled-1.jpg?resize=2048%2C1394&amp;ssl=1 2048w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/0Hurricane-NASA-photo-scaled-1.jpg?resize=1200%2C817&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/0Hurricane-NASA-photo-scaled-1.jpg?w=1446&amp;ssl=1 1446w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/0Hurricane-NASA-photo-scaled-1.jpg?w=2169&amp;ssl=1 2169w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em>Symbol image. Source: NASA<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">According to the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nhc.noaa.gov\/#\">NOAA US weather agency<\/a>, the hurricane season lasts from June 1 to November 30 of each year. During this time, the conditions needed for extreme areas of pressure to build up prevail. First and foremost, the water temperature of the Atlantic is decisive, but so is wind shear.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Storms were actually predicted for this year too. However, there have been almost no storms so far.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">At&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/RyanMaue\/status\/1830404100053246455\">X,<\/a>&nbsp;US meteorologist&nbsp;<strong>Ryan Maue<\/strong>&nbsp;ponders the possible reasons and asks colleagues to think about why the models have failed so far this year. Some storms moved far from land to the north, where they weakened and only affected parts of the east coast of the US or Canada. At some point, they arrived in Europe as an area of low pressure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Sahara dust<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Maue suspects various reasons: The eruption of the Hunga Tonga volcano or a lot of Saharan dust over the Atlantic. Maue notes that the absence of hurricanes does not completely contradict the conventional theories on climate change. Fewer storms are expected, but possibly more severe ones. They have so far failed to materialize, which is a blessing for the people who may be affected. The Sahara itself is also currently experiencing a very rare weather phenomenon. It is raining heavily for the conditions there.&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/meteonews.ch\/de\/News\/N14098\/Seltener-Regen-in-der-Sahara\">Meteonews.ch<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The reason for this precipitation pattern can be found in the so-called Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ). An area around the equator where the trade winds from the northern hemisphere and the southern hemisphere meet. The winds are weak here, but the humidity is very high. This zone is known for its heavy rainfall and thunderstorms, which occur when the warm, moist air rises, cools and then falls back to earth as rain. The ITCZ is a kind of low-pressure trough that stretches around the globe and follows the zenith of the sun with a delay of around 3 to 4 weeks. Depending on the ratio of land and water masses, the ITCZ is deflected regionally more to the north or south. As land masses have a significantly lower heat storage capacity compared to water masses, the land warms up faster than the sea and the ITCZ meanders more strongly here.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">On the hurricanes that have failed to materialize, the site writes:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Normally, wave-like weather systems (so-called African Easterly Waves, AEW) develop at this time of year, which move from east to west and typically move from the Guinea Highlands across the equatorial Atlantic and act to spawn hurricanes. Currently, this process is somewhat suppressed, which is currently reducing tropical activity in the Atlantic. At the beginning of the hurricane season, a much more active season had been forecast for this year due to the high water temperatures and the transition to La Ni\u00f1a conditions.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Both events are good evidence that science is still far from reaching the end of its knowledge in this area and that research remains important.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>According to the\u00a0NOAA US weather agency, the hurricane season lasts from June 1 to November 30 of each year. During this time, the conditions needed for extreme areas of pressure to build up prevail. First and foremost, the water temperature of the Atlantic is decisive, but so is wind shear.<\/p>\n<p>Storms were actually predicted for this year too. However, there have been almost no storms so far.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":342336,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691824970,691828852,691830508,691830509,691822081],"class_list":["post-342334","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-atlantic-hurricane-season","tag-intertropical-convergence-zone-itcz","tag-noaa-us-weather-agency","tag-sahara-dust","tag-storms","fallback-thumbnail"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/0Hurricane-NASA-photo-scaled-1.jpg?fit=2560%2C1743&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1r3w","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":446161,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=446161","url_meta":{"origin":342334,"position":0},"title":"GOOD NEWS: NOAA predicts a below-normal 2026 Atlantic hurricane season","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"05\/23\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"NOAA released its official 2026 Atlantic hurricane season outlook on May 21, 2026, and it does call for a below-normal season.","rel":"","context":"In \"2026 Atlantic hurricane season\"","block_context":{"text":"2026 Atlantic hurricane season","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=2026-atlantic-hurricane-season"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/0-GOOD-NEWS-NOAA-predicts-a-below-normal-2026-Atlantic-hurricane-season.jpg?fit=1168%2C784&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/0-GOOD-NEWS-NOAA-predicts-a-below-normal-2026-Atlantic-hurricane-season.jpg?fit=1168%2C784&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, 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prepared.","rel":"","context":"In \"Hurricanes\"","block_context":{"text":"Hurricanes","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=hurricanes"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/0Hurricane-4.jpeg?fit=1200%2C745&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/0Hurricane-4.jpeg?fit=1200%2C745&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/0Hurricane-4.jpeg?fit=1200%2C745&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/0Hurricane-4.jpeg?fit=1200%2C745&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/0Hurricane-4.jpeg?fit=1200%2C745&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":412307,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=412307","url_meta":{"origin":342334,"position":2},"title":"Hurricane Forecast Was Overly Alarmist (Again)\u2026Atlantic Season Ending Near Normal","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"11\/09\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) predicted\u00a0that an above average Atlantic hurricane season\u00a0for 2025.","rel":"","context":"In \"catastrophe prophets\"","block_context":{"text":"catastrophe prophets","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=catastrophe-prophets"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/AQN6N02xsfBE-OSOofSRtyamKpQY6hvhm2tBf5769db6-tFS1WwqPiIf2mKSgccE4G5Q7ovqTNj2ST06c21jdU0Weo3lL8fiadLtXGXxco_I6Pn1wJkWX_-6As1c24XRMP4eOI0ZOnVqzI6M8IiRWLl6RxeZ1w.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/AQN6N02xsfBE-OSOofSRtyamKpQY6hvhm2tBf5769db6-tFS1WwqPiIf2mKSgccE4G5Q7ovqTNj2ST06c21jdU0Weo3lL8fiadLtXGXxco_I6Pn1wJkWX_-6As1c24XRMP4eOI0ZOnVqzI6M8IiRWLl6RxeZ1w.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/AQN6N02xsfBE-OSOofSRtyamKpQY6hvhm2tBf5769db6-tFS1WwqPiIf2mKSgccE4G5Q7ovqTNj2ST06c21jdU0Weo3lL8fiadLtXGXxco_I6Pn1wJkWX_-6As1c24XRMP4eOI0ZOnVqzI6M8IiRWLl6RxeZ1w.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, 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65-70% hit rate for named storms\/hurricanes over ~25 years), but they show limitations like under-forecasting in hyperactive seasons, occasional big misses, and skill that is better for broad \"above\/near\/below normal\" direction than precise counts.","rel":"","context":"In \"forecast\"","block_context":{"text":"forecast","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=forecast"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/0-How-Well-Does-NOAAs-Hurricane-Outlook-Actually-Perform.jpg?fit=1168%2C784&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/0-How-Well-Does-NOAAs-Hurricane-Outlook-Actually-Perform.jpg?fit=1168%2C784&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/0-How-Well-Does-NOAAs-Hurricane-Outlook-Actually-Perform.jpg?fit=1168%2C784&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/0-How-Well-Does-NOAAs-Hurricane-Outlook-Actually-Perform.jpg?fit=1168%2C784&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/0-How-Well-Does-NOAAs-Hurricane-Outlook-Actually-Perform.jpg?fit=1168%2C784&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":417032,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=417032","url_meta":{"origin":342334,"position":4},"title":"Northern Hemisphere tropical activity in 2025","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"12\/11\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Second year in a row with below-normal tropical activity across the Northern Hemisphere\u2026 western Pacific Ocean leads the way with its seventh straight down year\u2026no hurricanes hit the US for the first time in a decade","rel":"","context":"In \"Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE)\"","block_context":{"text":"Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=accumulated-cyclone-energy-ace"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/0Screenshot-2025-12-11-193344.png?fit=1200%2C672&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/0Screenshot-2025-12-11-193344.png?fit=1200%2C672&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/0Screenshot-2025-12-11-193344.png?fit=1200%2C672&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/0Screenshot-2025-12-11-193344.png?fit=1200%2C672&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/0Screenshot-2025-12-11-193344.png?fit=1200%2C672&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":418799,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=418799","url_meta":{"origin":342334,"position":5},"title":"True, Rigzone, 2025 Was Quiet in the USA For Hurricanes","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"12\/27\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"A recent post at the website Rigzone, \u201cNo Hurricanes Strike USA For 1st Time in a Decade,\u201d discusses how the United States lucked out by not being struck by any hurricanes this year, and never once credits climate change. The whole post is factual and straightforward. 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