{"id":340046,"date":"2024-08-19T17:32:30","date_gmt":"2024-08-19T15:32:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=340046"},"modified":"2024-08-19T17:32:33","modified_gmt":"2024-08-19T15:32:33","slug":"gfs-expects-global-temperature-to-drop-to-lowest-level-of-the-year","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=340046","title":{"rendered":"GFS Expects Global Temperature To Drop To Lowest Level Of The Year"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"369\" data-attachment-id=\"340051\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=340051\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/0aEsSK0e.jpg?fit=1804%2C920&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1804,920\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"0aEsSK0e\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/0aEsSK0e.jpg?fit=723%2C369&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/0aEsSK0e.jpg?resize=723%2C369&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-340051\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/0aEsSK0e.jpg?resize=1024%2C522&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/0aEsSK0e.jpg?resize=300%2C153&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/0aEsSK0e.jpg?resize=768%2C392&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/0aEsSK0e.jpg?resize=1536%2C783&amp;ssl=1 1536w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/0aEsSK0e.jpg?resize=1200%2C612&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/0aEsSK0e.jpg?w=1804&amp;ssl=1 1804w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/0aEsSK0e.jpg?w=1446&amp;ssl=1 1446w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">From <a href=\"https:\/\/notrickszone.com\/2024\/08\/18\/gfs-expects-global-temperature-to-drop-to-lowest-level-of-the-year\/\">NoTricksZone<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>By\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/notrickszone.com\/author\/admin\/\">P Gosselin<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>The GFS anticipates a temperature drop in the southern hemisphere (below, blue line), which will also cause global 2m temperatures (black line) to fall to a new low for the year.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"364\" data-attachment-id=\"340049\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=340049\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/0hausteingfsprognosenta2mglobal1808bis25082024neuerjahrestiefstand-e1723967181485.jpg?fit=1306%2C657&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1306,657\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"0hausteingfsprognosenta2mglobal1808bis25082024neuerjahrestiefstand-e1723967181485\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/0hausteingfsprognosenta2mglobal1808bis25082024neuerjahrestiefstand-e1723967181485.jpg?fit=723%2C364&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/0hausteingfsprognosenta2mglobal1808bis25082024neuerjahrestiefstand-e1723967181485-1024x515.jpg?resize=723%2C364&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-340049\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/0hausteingfsprognosenta2mglobal1808bis25082024neuerjahrestiefstand-e1723967181485.jpg?resize=1024%2C515&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/0hausteingfsprognosenta2mglobal1808bis25082024neuerjahrestiefstand-e1723967181485.jpg?resize=300%2C151&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/0hausteingfsprognosenta2mglobal1808bis25082024neuerjahrestiefstand-e1723967181485.jpg?resize=768%2C386&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/0hausteingfsprognosenta2mglobal1808bis25082024neuerjahrestiefstand-e1723967181485.jpg?resize=1200%2C604&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/0hausteingfsprognosenta2mglobal1808bis25082024neuerjahrestiefstand-e1723967181485.jpg?w=1306&amp;ssl=1 1306w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em>Source:\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.karstenhaustein.com\/climate\">GFS forecast global 2m-temperatures<\/a>, with notations added by\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/wobleibtdieglobaleerwaermung.wordpress.com\/2024\/08\/03\/august-mit-hoellensommer-oder-eher-stinknormal-wie-der-juni-und-juli\/\">Snowfan<\/a>.<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The GFS anticipates a temperature drop in the southern hemisphere, which will also cause global 2m temperatures to fall to a new low for the year.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":340049,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691822132,691830232],"class_list":["post-340046","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-southern-hemisphere","tag-temperature-drop","fallback-thumbnail"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/0hausteingfsprognosenta2mglobal1808bis25082024neuerjahrestiefstand-e1723967181485.jpg?fit=1306%2C657&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1qsC","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":344675,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=344675","url_meta":{"origin":340046,"position":0},"title":"\u00a0NCEP GFS 7-Day 2m Temperature Trend Run Sees 0.34\u00b0C Fall","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"09\/26\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"The GFS 7-day trend expects a strong cooling, especially in the northern hemisphere.","rel":"","context":"In \"GFS 7-day trend\"","block_context":{"text":"GFS 7-day trend","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=gfs-7-day-trend"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/0hausteingfstrendt2mglobal26092024verschaerfteabkuehlung-e1727333729289-1024x826.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/0hausteingfstrendt2mglobal26092024verschaerfteabkuehlung-e1727333729289-1024x826.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/0hausteingfstrendt2mglobal26092024verschaerfteabkuehlung-e1727333729289-1024x826.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/0hausteingfstrendt2mglobal26092024verschaerfteabkuehlung-e1727333729289-1024x826.jpg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":312685,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=312685","url_meta":{"origin":340046,"position":1},"title":"Unusual Cold Plagues Both Northern, Southern Hemispheres\u2026.Arctic Sea Ice Strengthens","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"03\/25\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Temperatures in Greenland have fallen sharply as the thermometer in Summit showed -55.1 \u00b0C on Saturday. On Monday it got even colder, falling to -57.9 \u00b0C, That\u2019s about 15 \u00b0C below the seasonal norm.","rel":"","context":"In \"Antarctica\"","block_context":{"text":"Antarctica","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=antarctica"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/00september-arctic-sea-ice-second-lowest-on-record-climate-change-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/00september-arctic-sea-ice-second-lowest-on-record-climate-change-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/00september-arctic-sea-ice-second-lowest-on-record-climate-change-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/00september-arctic-sea-ice-second-lowest-on-record-climate-change-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/00september-arctic-sea-ice-second-lowest-on-record-climate-change-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":257146,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=257146","url_meta":{"origin":340046,"position":2},"title":"NASA Data: Southern Hemisphere Cooled Over Past Decade\u2026Northern Hemisphere No Rise!","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"05\/12\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"What a surprise! Global warming isn\u2019t global any more. As the chart shows, the southern hemisphere has in fact cooled over the recent years.","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate warning\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate warning","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-warning"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/0wp3423613.webp?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/0wp3423613.webp?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/0wp3423613.webp?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/0wp3423613.webp?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/0wp3423613.webp?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":423104,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=423104","url_meta":{"origin":340046,"position":3},"title":"\u00a0Polar Colding\u2026Antarctica Saw Its Coldest October in 44 Years!","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"01\/25\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"On October 15, 2025, the Amundsen-Scott South Pole Station (the U.S. research base at the geographic South Pole) recorded a temperature of -61.3\u00b0C (-81.34\u00b0F) at around 07:00 local time. This marked the lowest October temperature observed at the station since 1981.","rel":"","context":"In \"-61.3\u00b0C\"","block_context":{"text":"-61.3\u00b0C","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=61-3c"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/0Screenshot-2026-01-25-153615.png?fit=1200%2C846&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/0Screenshot-2026-01-25-153615.png?fit=1200%2C846&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/0Screenshot-2026-01-25-153615.png?fit=1200%2C846&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/0Screenshot-2026-01-25-153615.png?fit=1200%2C846&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/0Screenshot-2026-01-25-153615.png?fit=1200%2C846&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":259219,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=259219","url_meta":{"origin":340046,"position":4},"title":"Vital Statistics","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"05\/26\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"I wrote\u00a0Global Cooling\u00a0almost exactly two years ago. In it I noted that my part of the UK had experienced a very cold winter, and I also observed that the database of the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) was showing a 0.52C year-on-year fall in global land and ocean\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/0inversiones-eb-2021-promo.webp?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/0inversiones-eb-2021-promo.webp?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/0inversiones-eb-2021-promo.webp?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/0inversiones-eb-2021-promo.webp?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/0inversiones-eb-2021-promo.webp?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":441135,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=441135","url_meta":{"origin":340046,"position":5},"title":"Why Climate Models Get Ocean Warming Patterns Wrong: They Exaggerate Greenhouse Gas Effects on the Hemispheres","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"04\/24\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Climate models and ocean observations diverge primarily on the pattern of hemispheric ocean warming\u2014specifically, the interhemispheric thermal contrast (IHTC), or the difference in average sea surface temperature (SST) between the Northern and Southern Hemispheres. This is not a failure of global temperature trends (models and observations align closely on overall\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"anthropogenic aerosols\"","block_context":{"text":"anthropogenic aerosols","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=anthropogenic-aerosols"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/0-Why-Climate-Models-Get-Ocean-Warming-Patterns-Wrong-They-Exaggerate-Greenhouse-Gas-Effects-on-the-Hemispheres.jpg?fit=1168%2C784&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/0-Why-Climate-Models-Get-Ocean-Warming-Patterns-Wrong-They-Exaggerate-Greenhouse-Gas-Effects-on-the-Hemispheres.jpg?fit=1168%2C784&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/0-Why-Climate-Models-Get-Ocean-Warming-Patterns-Wrong-They-Exaggerate-Greenhouse-Gas-Effects-on-the-Hemispheres.jpg?fit=1168%2C784&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/0-Why-Climate-Models-Get-Ocean-Warming-Patterns-Wrong-They-Exaggerate-Greenhouse-Gas-Effects-on-the-Hemispheres.jpg?fit=1168%2C784&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/0-Why-Climate-Models-Get-Ocean-Warming-Patterns-Wrong-They-Exaggerate-Greenhouse-Gas-Effects-on-the-Hemispheres.jpg?fit=1168%2C784&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/340046","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=340046"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/340046\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":340052,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/340046\/revisions\/340052"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/340049"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=340046"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=340046"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=340046"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}