{"id":338299,"date":"2024-08-02T16:29:47","date_gmt":"2024-08-02T14:29:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=338299"},"modified":"2024-08-02T16:29:49","modified_gmt":"2024-08-02T14:29:49","slug":"arctic-ice-slight-deficit-july-31-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=338299","title":{"rendered":"Arctic Ice Slight Deficit July 31,\u00a02024"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From Science Matters <\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By\u00a0Ron Clutz<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The graph above shows July daily ice extents for 2024 compared to 18 year averages, and some years of note.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The black line shows on average Arctic ice extents during July decline 2.7M km2 down to 6.9M Km2 by day 213.  2024  tracked a little higher than the 18-year average early in July, then slipped into deficit in the last 10 days.  SII was close to MASIE early in July, then diverged mid month showing up to 666k km2 lower until endig July ~300k km2 less extent than MASIE.  2023 was higher than average, while 2007 ended ~ 540k km2 in deficit to average.  2020 ice ended nearly 1 Wadham or 1M km2 in deficit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Why is this important?  All the claims of global climate emergency depend on dangerously higher temperatures, lower sea ice, and rising sea levels.  The lack of additional warming prior to 2023 El Nino is documented in a post UAH June 2024: Oceans Lead Cool Down.<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The lack of acceleration in sea levels along coastlines has been discussed also.  See Observed vs. Imagined Sea Levels 2023 Update.<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Also, a longer term perspective is informative:<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

The table below shows the distribution of Sea Ice on day 213 across the Arctic Regions, on average, this year and 2007. At this point in the year, Bering and Okhotsk seas are open water and thus dropped from the table.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Region<\/strong><\/td>2024213<\/strong><\/td>Day 213 Ave.<\/strong><\/td>2024-Ave.<\/strong><\/td>2007213<\/strong><\/td>2024-2007<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
 (0) Northern_Hemisphere<\/td>6634637<\/td>6882380<\/td>-247743<\/td>6344860<\/td>289777<\/td><\/tr>
 (1) Beaufort_Sea<\/td>717847<\/td>791600<\/td>-73754<\/td>760576<\/td>-42729<\/td><\/tr>
 (2) Chukchi_Sea<\/td>702720<\/td>534093<\/td>168628<\/td>382350<\/td>320370<\/td><\/tr>
 (3) East_Siberian_Sea<\/td>760894<\/td>740772<\/td>20122<\/td>445385<\/td>315509<\/td><\/tr>
 (4) Laptev_Sea<\/td>223615<\/td>368247<\/td>-144631<\/td>314382<\/td>-90767<\/td><\/tr>
 (5) Kara_Sea<\/td>136159<\/td>163171<\/td>-27012<\/td>239232<\/td>-103073<\/td><\/tr>
 (6) Barents_Sea<\/td>454<\/td>31406<\/td>-30952<\/td>23703<\/td>-23249<\/td><\/tr>
 (7) Greenland_Sea<\/td>237168<\/td>294526<\/td>-57358<\/td>324737<\/td>-87570<\/td><\/tr>
 (8) Baffin_Bay_Gulf_of_St._Lawrence<\/td>170245<\/td>145062<\/td>25183<\/td>94179<\/td>76066<\/td><\/tr>
 (9) Canadian_Archipelago<\/td>454695<\/td>540106<\/td>-85411<\/td>510063<\/td>-55368<\/td><\/tr>
 (10) Hudson_Bay<\/td>129434<\/td>133138<\/td>-3704<\/td>93655<\/td>35780<\/td><\/tr>
 (11) Central_Arctic<\/td>3098283<\/td>3138628<\/td>-40345<\/td>3154837<\/td>-56554<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The overall deficit to average is 248k km2, (4%).  The major deficits are in Laptev, Beaufort and CAA (Canadian Archipelago), while Kara is the only region with a large surplus.<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n
\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Illustration by Eleanor Lutz shows Earth\u2019s seasonal climate changes. If played in full screen, the four corners present views from top, bottom and sides. It is a visual representation of scientific datasets measuring ice and snow extents.<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"\/<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Why is this important? All the claims of global climate emergency depend on dangerously higher temperatures, lower sea ice, and rising sea levels. The lack of additional warming prior to 2023 El Nino is documented in a post UAH June 2024: Oceans Lead Cool Down.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":338309,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691823383,691819671,691829952,691818895,691820093],"class_list":{"0":"post-338299","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-691823383","9":"tag-arctic-ice","10":"tag-july-31","11":"tag-sea-ice","12":"tag-sea-level","14":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/0Arctic-sea-ice.jpg?fit=1550%2C1033&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1q0r","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":336797,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=336797","url_meta":{"origin":338299,"position":0},"title":"Arctic Ice Persists Mid July\u00a02024","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"18\/07\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"The overall surplus to average is 80k km2, (1%). The only major deficits are in Laptev, and secondly in Hudson Bay, going to open water soon anyway. That is more than offset by surpluses elsewhere, especially in Chukchi, Kara and Baffin Bay. Note that 2007 had 375k m2 less ice\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Arctic Regions\"","block_context":{"text":"Arctic Regions","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=arctic-regions"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/0september-arctic-sea-ice-second-lowest-on-record-climate-change.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/0september-arctic-sea-ice-second-lowest-on-record-climate-change.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/0september-arctic-sea-ice-second-lowest-on-record-climate-change.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/0september-arctic-sea-ice-second-lowest-on-record-climate-change.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/0september-arctic-sea-ice-second-lowest-on-record-climate-change.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":392578,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=392578","url_meta":{"origin":338299,"position":1},"title":"Update: Strange Sea Ice Data July End\u00a02025","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"03\/08\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Before presenting the MASIE and SII results for July, a note about a strange thing in today\u2019s Sea Ice Index report.\u00a0 I have sent a note to them requesting an explanation for why the values have been altered from those in the dataset just two days ago.\u00a0 When attempting to\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Arctic Ice Extents\"","block_context":{"text":"Arctic Ice Extents","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=arctic-ice-extents"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/AQPBysCj3xKtUwUL1RqlD4s_iNfF081OBdi2B__mKNTehgCCwO8t3Dbo4oTXTdQxix3EZ5fkM370IAgGaP_mTix7RPDwN9xG3MAiqzjZzfHK223KJO4SLLFYXHR4v2HfLWj2yN6vlZU21cjJEWL4qBW4Lwedaw.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/AQPBysCj3xKtUwUL1RqlD4s_iNfF081OBdi2B__mKNTehgCCwO8t3Dbo4oTXTdQxix3EZ5fkM370IAgGaP_mTix7RPDwN9xG3MAiqzjZzfHK223KJO4SLLFYXHR4v2HfLWj2yN6vlZU21cjJEWL4qBW4Lwedaw.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/AQPBysCj3xKtUwUL1RqlD4s_iNfF081OBdi2B__mKNTehgCCwO8t3Dbo4oTXTdQxix3EZ5fkM370IAgGaP_mTix7RPDwN9xG3MAiqzjZzfHK223KJO4SLLFYXHR4v2HfLWj2yN6vlZU21cjJEWL4qBW4Lwedaw.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/AQPBysCj3xKtUwUL1RqlD4s_iNfF081OBdi2B__mKNTehgCCwO8t3Dbo4oTXTdQxix3EZ5fkM370IAgGaP_mTix7RPDwN9xG3MAiqzjZzfHK223KJO4SLLFYXHR4v2HfLWj2yN6vlZU21cjJEWL4qBW4Lwedaw.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/AQPBysCj3xKtUwUL1RqlD4s_iNfF081OBdi2B__mKNTehgCCwO8t3Dbo4oTXTdQxix3EZ5fkM370IAgGaP_mTix7RPDwN9xG3MAiqzjZzfHK223KJO4SLLFYXHR4v2HfLWj2yN6vlZU21cjJEWL4qBW4Lwedaw.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":399774,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=399774","url_meta":{"origin":338299,"position":2},"title":"Surplus Arctic Ice Persists to End of August\u00a02025","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"03\/09\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"After a sub-par March maximum, by end of May 2025 Arctic ice closed the gap with the 19-year average. Then in June the gap reopened and in July the melting pace matched the average, abeit four days in advance of average. In mid-August MASIE showed the Arctic ice extent matching\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Arctic Ice\"","block_context":{"text":"Arctic Ice","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=arctic-ice"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/0AQNjD50U5BSHXKhbscvVp0rGnUR6hoQdiZubFSx_Ij9yejmpV8YYFx1zXyOZCBb_Db7xH7SbDnfoSEwmkh0kWhbY0neImestka5gHpKz-03o-dSdp3Knnivmh-CEG9ab_VGSR0GV5xGzczFpZ2RI_eX0gaDy-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/0AQNjD50U5BSHXKhbscvVp0rGnUR6hoQdiZubFSx_Ij9yejmpV8YYFx1zXyOZCBb_Db7xH7SbDnfoSEwmkh0kWhbY0neImestka5gHpKz-03o-dSdp3Knnivmh-CEG9ab_VGSR0GV5xGzczFpZ2RI_eX0gaDy-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/0AQNjD50U5BSHXKhbscvVp0rGnUR6hoQdiZubFSx_Ij9yejmpV8YYFx1zXyOZCBb_Db7xH7SbDnfoSEwmkh0kWhbY0neImestka5gHpKz-03o-dSdp3Knnivmh-CEG9ab_VGSR0GV5xGzczFpZ2RI_eX0gaDy-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/0AQNjD50U5BSHXKhbscvVp0rGnUR6hoQdiZubFSx_Ij9yejmpV8YYFx1zXyOZCBb_Db7xH7SbDnfoSEwmkh0kWhbY0neImestka5gHpKz-03o-dSdp3Knnivmh-CEG9ab_VGSR0GV5xGzczFpZ2RI_eX0gaDy-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/0AQNjD50U5BSHXKhbscvVp0rGnUR6hoQdiZubFSx_Ij9yejmpV8YYFx1zXyOZCBb_Db7xH7SbDnfoSEwmkh0kWhbY0neImestka5gHpKz-03o-dSdp3Knnivmh-CEG9ab_VGSR0GV5xGzczFpZ2RI_eX0gaDy-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":395863,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=395863","url_meta":{"origin":338299,"position":3},"title":"Arctic Ice Returns to Mean Mid-August\u00a02025","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"18\/08\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"After a sub-par March maximum, by end of May 2025 Arctic ice closed the gap with the 19-year average. Then in June the gap reopened and in July the melting pace matched the average, about four days in advance of average. 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Then in June the gap reopened and in July the melting pace matched the average, abeit four days in advance of average. In mid-August MASIE showed the Arctic ice extent matching\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Arctic Ice\"","block_context":{"text":"Arctic Ice","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=arctic-ice"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/AQM10HmKgmFuz-Uy0dDj8rmRkOuVkvdLbZca1VvP4NCYoBLj0B5mzpRn-Dn3RVdvrHOKb2vFT7cSUt8icXD-zWAkbm_lHpSE15MagrvnypWe_EmvE5mmC23ioxZsfEz28DQW6A3ZxAe5ibNP170RLcpf2vtq7A.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/AQM10HmKgmFuz-Uy0dDj8rmRkOuVkvdLbZca1VvP4NCYoBLj0B5mzpRn-Dn3RVdvrHOKb2vFT7cSUt8icXD-zWAkbm_lHpSE15MagrvnypWe_EmvE5mmC23ioxZsfEz28DQW6A3ZxAe5ibNP170RLcpf2vtq7A.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/AQM10HmKgmFuz-Uy0dDj8rmRkOuVkvdLbZca1VvP4NCYoBLj0B5mzpRn-Dn3RVdvrHOKb2vFT7cSUt8icXD-zWAkbm_lHpSE15MagrvnypWe_EmvE5mmC23ioxZsfEz28DQW6A3ZxAe5ibNP170RLcpf2vtq7A.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/AQM10HmKgmFuz-Uy0dDj8rmRkOuVkvdLbZca1VvP4NCYoBLj0B5mzpRn-Dn3RVdvrHOKb2vFT7cSUt8icXD-zWAkbm_lHpSE15MagrvnypWe_EmvE5mmC23ioxZsfEz28DQW6A3ZxAe5ibNP170RLcpf2vtq7A.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/AQM10HmKgmFuz-Uy0dDj8rmRkOuVkvdLbZca1VvP4NCYoBLj0B5mzpRn-Dn3RVdvrHOKb2vFT7cSUt8icXD-zWAkbm_lHpSE15MagrvnypWe_EmvE5mmC23ioxZsfEz28DQW6A3ZxAe5ibNP170RLcpf2vtq7A.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":339967,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=339967","url_meta":{"origin":338299,"position":5},"title":"Mid August 2024 Normal Arctic Ice Melt in\u00a0Progress","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"18\/08\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"2024 tracked somewhat lower than the 18-year average in late July, then in August drew near to average before slipping into deficit the last 5 days. In the end, 2024 is presently close to 2023 and 2007, ~200k km2 below the 18 year MASIE average.","rel":"","context":"In \"2024\"","block_context":{"text":"2024","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=2024"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/0september-arctic-sea-ice-second-lowest-on-record-climate-change.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/0september-arctic-sea-ice-second-lowest-on-record-climate-change.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/0september-arctic-sea-ice-second-lowest-on-record-climate-change.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/0september-arctic-sea-ice-second-lowest-on-record-climate-change.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/0september-arctic-sea-ice-second-lowest-on-record-climate-change.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/338299","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=338299"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/338299\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":338311,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/338299\/revisions\/338311"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/338309"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=338299"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=338299"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=338299"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}