{"id":334696,"date":"2024-06-26T15:51:35","date_gmt":"2024-06-26T13:51:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=334696"},"modified":"2024-06-26T15:51:38","modified_gmt":"2024-06-26T13:51:38","slug":"wildfires-getting-worse-even-when-theyre-not","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=334696","title":{"rendered":"Wildfires Getting Worse, Even When They\u2019re\u00a0Not!"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT <\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By Paul Homewood<\/p>\n\n\n\n

When the facts do not support the theory, ignore the facts!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The frequency and magnitude of <\/em>extreme wildfires<\/em><\/a> around the globe has doubled in the past two decades due to climate change, according to a <\/em>study<\/em><\/a> released Monday.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The analysis, published in the journal \u201cNature Ecology & Evolution,\u201d focused on massive blazes that release vast amounts of energy from the volume of organic matter burned. Researchers pointed to the <\/em>historic Australia fires of 2019 and 2020<\/em><\/a> as an example of blazes that were \u201cunprecedented in their scale and intensity.\u201d The six most extreme fire years have occurred since 2017, the study found.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cIt\u2019s absolutely in keeping with what climate change is doing to fire weather around the world,\u201d said lead author Calum Cunningham, a postdoctoral research fellow at the University of Tasmania in Australia. \u201cClimate change is making fire weather more extreme and more frequent in a lot of the world.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Though previous <\/em>research<\/em><\/a> found a decrease in the area burned globally by wildfires this century, the new study found that extreme wildfire events have increased 2.2-fold since 2003. Extreme wildfires have severe ecological and societal impacts, leading to deaths and biomass loss while emitting high levels of carbon. According to the study, burn severity, which is a measure of these impacts, has increased in more regions than it has decreased.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cunningham said the research began as a response to climate skeptics who challenged whether there is a growing fire crisis if area burned globally is in decline. Despite the uptick in media coverage surrounding wildfires, he said there was not yet scientific literature to demonstrate that extreme events are changing.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cWe\u2019ve had this paradox where the amount of burning on Earth is declining \u2026 and yet we are having fires that are more extreme, more damaging,\u201d said Stephen Pyne, fire historian and emeritus professor at Arizona State University. \u201cHow do we reconcile these two?\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cunningham and his team analyzed data from orbiting NASA satellites, which collected four fire measurements per day over 21 years. The results astounded him.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cI was expecting to see increases, but the rate of the increases surprised and alarmed me because we\u2019re only looking at quite a short period of time,\u201d he said.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

John Abatzoglou, a fire researcher at the University of California at Merced, said the focus on extreme fires is critical because they tend to supersede local fire mitigation efforts.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cWhen we have these hot, highly energetic fires, those are the sort of fires that are very difficult for fire suppression to have the ability to control and stop,\u201d he said.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to the study, as nighttime temperaturesincrease, wildfire intensity now continues to stay strong through overnight hours. This poses a problem for firefighters who rely on that window for a break in the blaze, retired firefighter and author Bobbie Scopa said.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cThis kind of confirms what we\u2019ve been observing, that the fire intensity is not dying down at night like we used to depend on,\u201d said Scopa, who began firefighting in 1974.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cRarely did we have 100,000-acre fires 20 years ago,\u201d she added. \u201cBut now, it\u2019s not uncommon.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Extreme wildfires have disproportionately increased in certain regions: North America, Australia, Oceania and the Mediterranean. Researchers especially saw wildfires increase in conifer and boreal forests, which are primarily in North America and Russia. In temperate conifer forests, extreme wildfires have increased 11-fold, accompanied by a sevenfold increase in boreal forests.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cClimate change is not something off in the future,\u201d Cunningham said. \u201cIt\u2019s happening before our very eyes. This is the manifestation of the reshaping of the climate we are doing.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/climate-environment\/2024\/06\/24\/extreme-wildfires-increased-study<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

When anybody claims they can detect a climate change signal over just 20 years, they can usually be dismissed as working to an agenda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But let\u2019s check out how their theory compares to the actual data in the US, which they claim is disproportionately affected. Straightaway we see that wildfire acreage has not increased since 2003, which would be the logical conclusion of their theory:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
https:\/\/www.nifc.gov\/fire-information\/statistics\/wildfires<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Secondly the study fails to recognise the fact that US wildfires used to burn far greater areas prior to the beginning of systematic fire suppression after the Second World War:<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"
\u00a0https:\/\/web.archive.org\/web\/20140913135647\/http:\/\/www.fs.fed.us:80\/research\/sustain\/criteria-indicators\/indicators\/indicator-316.php<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Forestry experts are clear that this suppression led to, and still leads to, a build up of undergrowth and dead wood which invariably turns normal fires into supercharged ones. Ignoring this elephant in the room and declaring that climate change is responsible for whatever trends there are is not good science. (The paper<\/a> does not mention the word \u201csuppression\u201d once).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

We can also examine the official fire data for the Mediterranean region, another which is claimed to be disproportionately affected.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
https:\/\/notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com\/2024\/05\/08\/bbc-lies-about-mediterranean-wildfires-exposed\/<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Again there is clearly no evidence of any increasing trend in the last two decades.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

There is something wrong with a theory that is not supported by the facts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

When anybody claims they can detect a climate change signal over just 20 years, they can usually be dismissed as working to an agenda.
\nAgain there is clearly no evidence of any increasing trend in the last two decades.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":334705,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691818056,691819743,691818076,691818913],"class_list":{"0":"post-334696","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-climate-change","9":"tag-climate-propaganda","10":"tag-co2","11":"tag-wildfires","13":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/0California_Wildfires_65619-1.webp?fit=1572%2C1046&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1p4k","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":417308,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=417308","url_meta":{"origin":334696,"position":0},"title":"Climate Fact-Check November 2025","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"14\/12\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Climate change NOT making hurricanes or wildfires worse \u2013 Calif. 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Ground based data, where available, and satellite data both show that wildfires have declined in number and acreage lost over the past century, even as the Earth\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"2021 Sixth Assessment report\"","block_context":{"text":"2021 Sixth Assessment report","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=2021-sixth-assessment-report"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/AQMkpt7UOrhg2-7jFpvSKAAUpRuwWibRM9_ICphtZYGHavznOxnNPD3uRAsbEmdoUzT0hSkzkrQp7Q485ikqhdS6Y7sdWBpLCh3v5Qm_pUyPvMuum_m0d3Q66oYwH3qNKv29yNqrRwCmdTM-yEO5mQodZ3mZ.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/AQMkpt7UOrhg2-7jFpvSKAAUpRuwWibRM9_ICphtZYGHavznOxnNPD3uRAsbEmdoUzT0hSkzkrQp7Q485ikqhdS6Y7sdWBpLCh3v5Qm_pUyPvMuum_m0d3Q66oYwH3qNKv29yNqrRwCmdTM-yEO5mQodZ3mZ.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/AQMkpt7UOrhg2-7jFpvSKAAUpRuwWibRM9_ICphtZYGHavznOxnNPD3uRAsbEmdoUzT0hSkzkrQp7Q485ikqhdS6Y7sdWBpLCh3v5Qm_pUyPvMuum_m0d3Q66oYwH3qNKv29yNqrRwCmdTM-yEO5mQodZ3mZ.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/AQMkpt7UOrhg2-7jFpvSKAAUpRuwWibRM9_ICphtZYGHavznOxnNPD3uRAsbEmdoUzT0hSkzkrQp7Q485ikqhdS6Y7sdWBpLCh3v5Qm_pUyPvMuum_m0d3Q66oYwH3qNKv29yNqrRwCmdTM-yEO5mQodZ3mZ.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/AQMkpt7UOrhg2-7jFpvSKAAUpRuwWibRM9_ICphtZYGHavznOxnNPD3uRAsbEmdoUzT0hSkzkrQp7Q485ikqhdS6Y7sdWBpLCh3v5Qm_pUyPvMuum_m0d3Q66oYwH3qNKv29yNqrRwCmdTM-yEO5mQodZ3mZ.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":406869,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=406869","url_meta":{"origin":334696,"position":3},"title":"Climate Fact-Check September 2025","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"07\/10\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"This summary serves as a fact check on the top false claims made\u00a0about climate change by the media in September 2025.\u00a0","rel":"","context":"In \"bigger hailstones\"","block_context":{"text":"bigger hailstones","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=bigger-hailstones"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0September-2025-fact-check.png?fit=1200%2C672&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0September-2025-fact-check.png?fit=1200%2C672&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0September-2025-fact-check.png?fit=1200%2C672&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0September-2025-fact-check.png?fit=1200%2C672&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0September-2025-fact-check.png?fit=1200%2C672&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":272027,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=272027","url_meta":{"origin":334696,"position":4},"title":"Right, Wall Street Journal, Wildfires Are Declining as Climate Changes","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"07\/08\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Globally, the number and scope of wildfires have fallen sharply from earlier decades and centuries.","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/02048px-Woolsey_Fire_-_tree_ridge_in_flames_20181119-PB-008.jpg?fit=1200%2C741&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/02048px-Woolsey_Fire_-_tree_ridge_in_flames_20181119-PB-008.jpg?fit=1200%2C741&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/02048px-Woolsey_Fire_-_tree_ridge_in_flames_20181119-PB-008.jpg?fit=1200%2C741&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/02048px-Woolsey_Fire_-_tree_ridge_in_flames_20181119-PB-008.jpg?fit=1200%2C741&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/02048px-Woolsey_Fire_-_tree_ridge_in_flames_20181119-PB-008.jpg?fit=1200%2C741&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":279931,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=279931","url_meta":{"origin":334696,"position":5},"title":"Climate of Alarm","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"22\/09\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Many people take the connection between climate change and extreme weather events \u2014 wildfires, hurricanes, tornadoes, etc. \u2014 for granted. 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