{"id":333473,"date":"2024-06-21T10:12:18","date_gmt":"2024-06-21T08:12:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=333473"},"modified":"2024-06-21T10:12:20","modified_gmt":"2024-06-21T08:12:20","slug":"no-sciencenews-your-oceans-record-breaking-hot-streak-claims-are-false","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=333473","title":{"rendered":"No, ScienceNews, Your \u201cOcean\u2019s Record-Breaking Hot Streak\u201d Claims Are False"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From ClimateRealism<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By Anthony Watts<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

A recent ScienceNews<\/a> (SN) article claims that ocean temperatures are out of control in a year-long record-breaking hot streak. This is false. Numerous ocean temperature data sets show no such record-breaking values and the source SN cited to support its claims was thoroughly discredited when it made similar \u201crecord breaking\u201d claims last year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The entire claim of the article is based on one data set, which is seen below in the SN article:<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

The problem is this single source isn\u2019t even an \u201cofficial\u201d ocean temperature data data set, rather the source is: Source: Climate Reanalyzer\/Univ. of Maine \u2022 Visualization: C. Crockett.<\/em> In fact, that isn\u2019t temperature data at all, but climate model output<\/em>. The data SN cited was not official data, but from a private website run by the University of Maine. Examining actual data sets show that SN claim of record ocean heat is a gross error.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The about page<\/a> for ClimateReanalyser.org (the source of the SN claim) says this (bold authors):<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Climate Reanalyzer began in early 2012 as a platform for visualizing climate and weather forecast models.<\/strong> Site content is organized into three general categories: Weather Forecasts, Climate Data, and Research Tools. Pages within the first two groups are the easiest to use and include maps, map animations, and interactive time series charts (with data export options). Research Tools include pages for generating custom maps, time series, and linear correlations from monthly climate reanalysis, gridded data, and climate models.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

In other words, they take in temperature data and use models to \u201creanalyse\u201d it, producing a new output.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

This isn\u2019t the first time a media outlet has been duped by Climate Reanalyzer into using model output presented as data rather than actual data. Last year, The Associated Press<\/em> (AP), among many other media sources reported that July 4th was the hottest day since records began. Irresponsible fear mongering followed, such as this CNBC article<\/a>, where reporter Sam Meredith wrote:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The planet\u2019s average daily temperature climbed to 17.18 degrees Celsius (62.9 degrees Fahrenheit) on Tuesday, according to the University of Maine\u2019s Climate Reanalyzer<\/a>, an unofficial tool that is often used by climate scientists as a reference to the world\u2019s condition.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cMonday, July 3rd was the hottest day ever recorded on Planet Earth. A record that lasted until \u2026 Tuesday, July 4th,\u201d said Bill McGuire, professor emeritus of geophysical and climate hazards at University College London, via Twitter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cTotally unprecedented and terrifying,\u201d he added.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Almost immediately after the claims were published, they were thoroughly debunked by experts citing unreanalyzed data, posted widely on social media. The AP had to run a retraction.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Climate Realism<\/em> debunked that claim then<\/a>, noting:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

All those media outlets missed the fact that they were looking at the output of a climate model<\/em>, not actually measured temperatures. Only one news outlet, The Associated Press<\/em>, bothered to print a sensible caveat. In the July 5th<\/sup> story \u201cEarth hit an unofficial record high temperature this week \u2013 and stayed there<\/a>\u201d reporting:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

On Thursday, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) distanced itself from the designation, compiled by the University of Maine\u2019s <\/em>Climate Reanalyzer<\/em><\/a>, which uses satellite data and computer simulations to measure the world\u2019s condition. That metric showed that Earth\u2019s average temperature on Wednesday remained at <\/em>an unofficial record high<\/em><\/a>, 62.9 degrees Fahrenheit (17.18 degrees Celsius), set the day before.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bowing to pressure for corrections, the AP updated its story on July 7th to include this single yet very important paragraph:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

NOAA, whose figures are considered the gold standard in climate data, said in a statement Thursday that it cannot validate the unofficial numbers. It noted that the reanalyzer uses model output data, which it called \u201cnot suitable\u201d as substitutes for actual temperatures and climate records. The agency monitors global temperatures and records on a monthly and an annual basis, not daily.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, in the space of two days, the media claims went from temperature data that was \u201c[t]otally unprecedented and terrifying,\u201d to temperature data that was not suitable for purpose.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Similarly, the computer generated reanalysis of ocean temperatures cited by SN isn\u2019t suitable for purpose in claiming a \u201cyear-long record-breaking hot streak.\u201d The SN data isn\u2019t even complete, going back only to 1979.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

NOAA reports<\/a> that although the world\u2019s oceans did have a warm year, the actual temperatures were significantly cooler than SN claimed. NOAA attributes the warmer temperatures to major ocean circulation patterns, rather than climate change, writing:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The year 2023 was the warmest year since global records began in 1850 at 1.18\u00b0C (2.12\u00b0F) above the 20th century average of 13.9\u00b0C (57.0\u00b0F). This value is 0.15\u00b0C (0.27\u00b0F) more than the previous record set in 2016.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Unlike the previous two years (2021 and 2022), which were squarely entrenched in a cold phase El Ni\u00f1o Southern Oscillation (ENSO)<\/a> episode, also known as La Ni\u00f1a, 2023 quickly moved into ENSO neutral territory, transitioning to a warm phase episode, El Ni\u00f1o, by June. ENSO not only affects global weather patterns, but it also affects global temperatures. \u2026 [D]uring the warm phase of ENSO (El Ni\u00f1o), global temperatures tend to be warmer than ENSO-neutral or La Ni\u00f1a years, while global temperatures tend to be slightly cooler during cold phase ENSO episodes (La Ni\u00f1a). \u2026 2021 and 2022 [did] not ranking among the five warmest years on record \u2026.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In other words, we had one warm year in the oceans during 2023, but 2021 and 2022 weren\u2019t abnormally warm at all. 2023 was, but it was driven by a phase shift from La Ni\u00f1a to El Ni\u00f1o conditions in the Pacific Ocean. Nature was doing what it has naturally<\/em> done throughout history.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

ScienceNews should stick to reporting actual science based on actual data, rather than using computer model outputs to fearmonger, making claims which aren\u2019t true, but which do correspond to the climate crisis narrative. This SN story was neither news, nor science.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A recent ScienceNews (SN) article claims that ocean temperatures are out of control in a year-long record-breaking hot streak. This is false. Numerous ocean temperature data sets show no such record-breaking values and the source SN cited to support its claims was thoroughly discredited when it made similar \u201crecord breaking\u201d claims last year.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":333479,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691821101,691819287,691829312,691820424],"class_list":{"0":"post-333473","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-climate-reanalyzer","9":"tag-el-nino-2","10":"tag-sciencenews","11":"tag-temperatures","13":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/0fake-news.jpg?fit=2119%2C1415&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1oKB","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":324994,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=324994","url_meta":{"origin":333473,"position":0},"title":"L A Times Editorial Claim that \u201cThe planet is experiencing a horrifying streak of record-breaking heat\u201d is Unsupported by NOAA\u2019s Climate Data","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"30\/04\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"The L A Times published an Editorial claiming that the \u201cThe planet is experiencing a horrifying streak of record breaking heat\u201d and mandates that a \u201cclimate emergency\u201d must be declared but then fails to present any data graph or tables in its editorial.","rel":"","context":"In \"California\"","block_context":{"text":"California","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=california"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/OIG-2023-07-29T140641.234.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/OIG-2023-07-29T140641.234.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/OIG-2023-07-29T140641.234.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/OIG-2023-07-29T140641.234.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":293593,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=293593","url_meta":{"origin":333473,"position":1},"title":"Data Falsifies ABC News\u2019 Claim that 2023 Displayed Dangerous Heat Trends","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"03\/01\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"A recent article at ABC News titled, \u201c2023 was the year of record heat temperatures,\u201d makes a slew of claims about global warming in 2023, including that extreme heat is becoming more common and more disastrous. These claims are misleading.","rel":"","context":"In \"ABC News\"","block_context":{"text":"ABC News","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=abc-news"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/4apokalipsis-gorod-ruiny-nebo.jpg?fit=1200%2C766&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/4apokalipsis-gorod-ruiny-nebo.jpg?fit=1200%2C766&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/4apokalipsis-gorod-ruiny-nebo.jpg?fit=1200%2C766&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/4apokalipsis-gorod-ruiny-nebo.jpg?fit=1200%2C766&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/4apokalipsis-gorod-ruiny-nebo.jpg?fit=1200%2C766&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":270594,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=270594","url_meta":{"origin":333473,"position":2},"title":"Wrong, Mainstream Media, Florida\u2019s Sea Water Is Not Setting Records","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"31\/07\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Last week, several media outlets reported on a single seawater temperature of 101.1\u00b0F recorded at a buoy in Florida, claiming it was due to climate change. The is false. One single seawater temperature over one day isn\u2019t an indicator of climate change, nor, as the data show, was it unprecedented\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"climate propaganda\"","block_context":{"text":"climate propaganda","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-propaganda"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/image-987.png?fit=1200%2C809&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/image-987.png?fit=1200%2C809&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/image-987.png?fit=1200%2C809&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/image-987.png?fit=1200%2C809&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/image-987.png?fit=1200%2C809&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":436025,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=436025","url_meta":{"origin":333473,"position":3},"title":"No, NPR, Climate Change Didn\u2019t Cause the Recent Heatwave","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"31\/03\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"National Public Radio (NPR) recently posted an interview, titled \u201cHow climate change has powered the heat wave blanketing much of the U.S.\u201d claiming the recent March heat dome is something that \u201chas not happened to this level before\u201d and that climate change is the reason record highs are outpacing record\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"1930s Dust Bowl\"","block_context":{"text":"1930s Dust Bowl","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=1930s-dust-bowl"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/OIG-55.jpg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/OIG-55.jpg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/OIG-55.jpg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/OIG-55.jpg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":267172,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=267172","url_meta":{"origin":333473,"position":4},"title":"Wrong, USA Today and Other Media, U.S. States Haven\u2019t Set New High Temperature Records This Summer","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"13\/07\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Computer models consistently project much hotter temperatures than those actually recorded.","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/image-385.png?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/image-385.png?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/image-385.png?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/image-385.png?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":267403,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=267403","url_meta":{"origin":333473,"position":5},"title":"No, the Earth Did Not have an \u2018Unprecedented and Terrifying \u2026 All-Time High Temperature\u2019 on July 4th","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"14\/07\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"On July 3rd\u00a0and 4th\u00a0and the following days, multiple mainstream media outlets ran stories claiming that the Earth had experienced an unprecedented hot day(s). This is false. The data they cited was not official data, but from a private website and investigation shows the claim was a gross error.","rel":"","context":"In \"climate model\"","block_context":{"text":"climate model","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-model"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/0534273-popular-funny-stupid-wallpapers-2000x1500-pc.jpg?fit=1200%2C900&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/0534273-popular-funny-stupid-wallpapers-2000x1500-pc.jpg?fit=1200%2C900&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/0534273-popular-funny-stupid-wallpapers-2000x1500-pc.jpg?fit=1200%2C900&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/0534273-popular-funny-stupid-wallpapers-2000x1500-pc.jpg?fit=1200%2C900&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/0534273-popular-funny-stupid-wallpapers-2000x1500-pc.jpg?fit=1200%2C900&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/333473","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=333473"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/333473\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":333481,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/333473\/revisions\/333481"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/333479"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=333473"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=333473"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=333473"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}