{"id":333114,"date":"2024-06-16T09:23:06","date_gmt":"2024-06-16T07:23:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=333114"},"modified":"2024-06-16T09:23:08","modified_gmt":"2024-06-16T07:23:08","slug":"on-a-bad-day-20-billion-in-wind-power-across-australia-can-only-guarantee-as-much-power-as-two-diesel-generators","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=333114","title":{"rendered":"On a bad day $20 billion in wind power across Australia can only guarantee as much power as two diesel generators"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From JoNova <\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By Jo Nova<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

How much back-up do we need for our 11.5 gigawatt wind system? About 11.4 gigawatts.<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Wind energy failed on Thursday at what must be close to a record low \u2014 with barely 88MW of production from 11,500MW of wind turbines<\/a>. That\u2019s about 0.7% of total nameplate capacity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With construction costs running at $2 million for every theoretical megawatt<\/a> of turbine, that\u2019s $20 billion dollars of machinery sitting out there in the fields and forests of Australia producing about as much as two diesel generators<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

We have 84 industrial wind plants across 5 states of Australia, and the green band below was their total contribution to our national electricity needs on Thursday \u2014 put your reading glasses on.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Things were even worse in Western Australia, where at the one point that afternoon when I happened to look<\/a> the state\u2019s total wind generation was minus<\/em> 11MW. Some wind turbines were drawing a megawatt here and there, perhaps to keep the turbines rolling so they don\u2019t get flat spots on bearings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It was an attack of another climate-denying high pressure cell on Thursday. There was no place in Australia good for wind generation except (maybe) for our research stations in Antarctica.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Again, this is now a feature of our weather dependent electricity grid, unless the government can stop these high pressure cells or conquer New Zealand and build a bridge.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
Anero.id<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

But sadly, there is no \u201cbuilding\u201d our way out of this. One thousand more wind-plants won\u2019t keep many lights on, and $100 billion dollars of interconnectors will not connect us to wind power if there is a high pressure cell 5,000 kilometers wide, which there is every two or three weeks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Wind power went from producing 7.2GW in the early hours of Wednesday to 0.09GW by lunchtime Thursday.  It was sheer luck it bottomed out at lunchtime on a sunny day when solar panels were at their peak. Seven gigawatts of power disappeared in just 36 hours. If we lost 7 gigawatts of coal plants in a week, we\u2019d never hear the end of it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It\u2019s the minimums that matter<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

Paul McArdle at WattClarity<\/em><\/a> has all the grid data, and provides a spectacular graph of the system-wide peaks and troughs of our wind generators<\/a> over the last 13 years which he has updated recently to highlight how bad the months of April and May were for wind production in Australia. Click to enlarge this graph to really appreciate the devastating message. While the total wind farm \u201ccapacity\u201d has grown massively (the grey columns on the graph), the minimum lowest guaranteed production has not shifted much at all. This is the generation we can rely on, the minimum monthly points are marked in dark green at the bottom.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ten years ago the lowest monthly minimum was practically zero (reaching just 3.7MW one day in July 2014<\/a>). But since then we\u2019ve built 8,000 MW of extra wind power, at an effective cost of $16 billion, and only bought ourselves effectively two diesel generators worth of reliable electricity?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
Source:\u00a0WattClarity<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

If someone asks how much wind can we rely on, the answer is \u201cabout one percent\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

h\/t Apoxonbothyourhouses<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Wind energy failed on Thursday at what must be close to a record low \u2014 with barely 88MW of production from 11,500MW of wind turbines. That\u2019s about 0.7% of total nameplate capacity.<\/p>\n

With construction costs running at $2 million for every theoretical megawatt of turbine, that\u2019s $20 billion dollars of machinery sitting out there in the fields and forests of Australia producing about as much as two diesel generators.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":333121,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691818216,691820740],"class_list":{"0":"post-333114","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-australia","9":"tag-wind-energy","11":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-348.png?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1oEO","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":330452,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=330452","url_meta":{"origin":333114,"position":0},"title":"We have World Class windless weather: Today 95% of wind turbines on the continent of Australia are failing","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"28\/05\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Australia has built 11.5 GW of theoretical total wind power capacity on the National Energy Market (NEM) spread across 80 locations on the Eastern Seaboard, and at one point today only 4.1% of it was working. 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