{"id":332868,"date":"2024-06-14T20:17:38","date_gmt":"2024-06-14T18:17:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=332868"},"modified":"2024-06-14T20:17:40","modified_gmt":"2024-06-14T18:17:40","slug":"net-zero-averted-temperature-increase","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=332868","title":{"rendered":"Net Zero Averted Temperature Increase"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"362\" data-attachment-id=\"332872\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=332872\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/00Screenshot-2024-06-14-201607.png?fit=1107%2C554&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1107,554\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"00Screenshot-2024-06-14-201607\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/00Screenshot-2024-06-14-201607.png?fit=723%2C362&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/00Screenshot-2024-06-14-201607.png?resize=723%2C362&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-332872\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/00Screenshot-2024-06-14-201607.png?resize=1024%2C512&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/00Screenshot-2024-06-14-201607.png?resize=300%2C150&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/00Screenshot-2024-06-14-201607.png?resize=768%2C384&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/00Screenshot-2024-06-14-201607.png?w=1107&amp;ssl=1 1107w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">From <a href=\"https:\/\/co2coalition.org\/publications\/net-zero-averted-temperature-increase\/\">CO2 Coalition<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">R. Lindzen, W. Happer, and W. A. van Wijngaarden<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">June 2024<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Many people are surprised by how little warming would be averted from adoption of net zero policies. For example, if the United States achieved net zero emissions of carbon dioxide by the year 2050, only a few hundredths of a degree Celsius of warming would be averted. This could barely be detected by our best instruments.&nbsp; The fundamental reason is that warming by atmospheric carbon dioxide is heavily \u201csaturated,\u201d with each additional ton of atmospheric carbon dioxide producing less warming than the previous ton.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Abstract<\/strong>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Using feedback-free estimates of the warming by increased atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO<sub>2<\/sub>) and observed rates of increase, we estimate that if the United States (U.S.) eliminated net CO<sub>2<\/sub>&nbsp;emissions by the year 2050, this would avert a warming of 0.0084 \u25e6C (0.015 \u25e6F), which is below our ability to accurately measure. If the entire world forced net zero CO<sub>2<\/sub>&nbsp;emissions by the year 2050, a warming of only 0.070 \u25e6C (0.13 \u25e6F) would be averted. If one assumes that the warming is a factor of 4 larger because of positive feedbacks, as asserted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the warming averted by a net zero U.S. policy would still be very small, 0.034 \u25e6C (0.061 \u25e6F). For worldwide net zero emissions by 2050 and the 4-times larger IPCC climate sensitivity, the averted warming would be 0.28 \u25e6C (0.50 \u25e6F).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Read the entire short paper here:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div data-wp-interactive=\"core\/file\" class=\"wp-block-file\"><object data-wp-bind--hidden=\"!state.hasPdfPreview\" hidden class=\"wp-block-file__embed\" data=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Net-Zero-Averted-Temperature-Increase-2024-06-11.pdf\" type=\"application\/pdf\" style=\"width:100%;height:600px\" aria-label=\"Embed of Net-Zero-Averted-Temperature-Increase-2024-06-11.\"><\/object><a id=\"wp-block-file--media-1508764f-598f-4ef3-ba04-d241b56f7955\" href=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Net-Zero-Averted-Temperature-Increase-2024-06-11.pdf\">Net-Zero-Averted-Temperature-Increase-2024-06-11<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Net-Zero-Averted-Temperature-Increase-2024-06-11.pdf\" class=\"wp-block-file__button wp-element-button\" download aria-describedby=\"wp-block-file--media-1508764f-598f-4ef3-ba04-d241b56f7955\">Herunterladen<\/a><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Many people are surprised by how little warming would be averted from adoption of net zero policies. For example, if the United States achieved net zero emissions of carbon dioxide by the year 2050, only a few hundredths of a degree Celsius of warming would be averted. This could barely be detected by our best instruments.  The fundamental reason is that warming by atmospheric carbon dioxide is heavily \u201csaturated,\u201d with each additional ton of atmospheric carbon dioxide producing less warming than the previous ton.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":332872,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691818076,691819636,691818154],"class_list":{"0":"post-332868","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-co2","9":"tag-emissions","10":"tag-net-zero","12":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/00Screenshot-2024-06-14-201607.png?fit=1107%2C554&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1oAQ","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":332909,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=332909","url_meta":{"origin":332868,"position":0},"title":"Bargain: Make the whole world \u201cNet Zero\u201d, spend a quadrillion dollars, and cool the world by 0.3 degrees!","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"15\/06\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"The deadliest climate question: How many degrees cooler will that be?","rel":"","context":"In \"CO2\"","block_context":{"text":"CO2","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=co2"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/0cash-burning.jpg?fit=1200%2C816&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/0cash-burning.jpg?fit=1200%2C816&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/0cash-burning.jpg?fit=1200%2C816&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/0cash-burning.jpg?fit=1200%2C816&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/0cash-burning.jpg?fit=1200%2C816&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":332816,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=332816","url_meta":{"origin":332868,"position":1},"title":"How Much Warming Would Net Zero By 2050 Prevent?","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"14\/06\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"This article will briefly describe the two methodologies for answering the question \u201cHow much warming would net zero by 2050 prevent?\u201d Both approaches start by assuming that all nations (not just the West, against which the international climate accords are selectively targeted) move linearly together from their current emissions to\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"2050\"","block_context":{"text":"2050","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=2050"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/0Net-Zero-Web.jpg?fit=1200%2C721&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/0Net-Zero-Web.jpg?fit=1200%2C721&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/0Net-Zero-Web.jpg?fit=1200%2C721&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/0Net-Zero-Web.jpg?fit=1200%2C721&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/0Net-Zero-Web.jpg?fit=1200%2C721&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":339904,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=339904","url_meta":{"origin":332868,"position":2},"title":"Math Confirms Foolishness of Climate Alarmism","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"18\/08\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"The science of climate change often is presented in complicated language that speaks of computer models and the theoretical inputs and outputs thereof and concludes that the globe is on the verge of \u201cboiling.\u201d Well, leave it to three physicists \u2014 steeped in calculus and such arcane matters as the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"carbon dioxide (CO2)\"","block_context":{"text":"carbon dioxide (CO2)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=carbon-dioxide-co2"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/0math-formulas-mathematical-formulas-on-green-school-chalkboard-handwritten-scientific-math-equations-theories-or-calculations-background-vector.jpg?fit=1200%2C857&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/0math-formulas-mathematical-formulas-on-green-school-chalkboard-handwritten-scientific-math-equations-theories-or-calculations-background-vector.jpg?fit=1200%2C857&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/0math-formulas-mathematical-formulas-on-green-school-chalkboard-handwritten-scientific-math-equations-theories-or-calculations-background-vector.jpg?fit=1200%2C857&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/0math-formulas-mathematical-formulas-on-green-school-chalkboard-handwritten-scientific-math-equations-theories-or-calculations-background-vector.jpg?fit=1200%2C857&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/0math-formulas-mathematical-formulas-on-green-school-chalkboard-handwritten-scientific-math-equations-theories-or-calculations-background-vector.jpg?fit=1200%2C857&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":339436,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=339436","url_meta":{"origin":332868,"position":3},"title":"Washington State Voters Confront Their Climate Commitment Act","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"13\/08\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Many in Washington State feel our legislature has gone \u201coff the rails\u201d creating and putting into law the \u201cClimate Commitment Act\u201d (CCA). It has thousands of obscure moving parts including: the \u201cCap and Invest\u201d scheme of forced participation by \u201cclassified\u201d businesses in a carbon emissions allowances auction contrivance adversely affecting\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate Commitment Act\u201d (CCA)\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate Commitment Act\u201d (CCA)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-commitment-act-cca-2"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/01840523.jpg?fit=1200%2C750&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/01840523.jpg?fit=1200%2C750&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/01840523.jpg?fit=1200%2C750&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/01840523.jpg?fit=1200%2C750&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/01840523.jpg?fit=1200%2C750&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":333498,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=333498","url_meta":{"origin":332868,"position":4},"title":"Net Zero Will Prevent Almost Zero Warming, Say Three Top Atmospheric Scientists","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"21\/06\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Recent calculations by the distinguished atmospheric scientists Richard Lindzen, William Happer and William van Wijngaarden suggest that if the entire world eliminated net carbon dioxide emissions by 2050 it would avert warming of an\u00a0almost unmeasurable 0.07\u00b0C. Even assuming the climate modelled feedbacks and temperature opinions of the politicised Intergovernmental Panel\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"carbon dioxide (CO2)\"","block_context":{"text":"carbon dioxide (CO2)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=carbon-dioxide-co2"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/0shutterstock_2116481687-2048x1365-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/0shutterstock_2116481687-2048x1365-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/0shutterstock_2116481687-2048x1365-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/0shutterstock_2116481687-2048x1365-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/0shutterstock_2116481687-2048x1365-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":291565,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=291565","url_meta":{"origin":332868,"position":5},"title":"From Now To 2100 Emission Reduction Policy Costs Greatly Exceed Any Net Benefit From Averted Warming","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"16\/12\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"The benefits of not meeting Paris Accord emissions-reduction targets outweigh the costs associated even with worst-case-scenario global warming throughout the 21st century.","rel":"","context":"In \"best case scenarios\"","block_context":{"text":"best case scenarios","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=best-case-scenarios"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/0P_G_aims_to_have_net_zero_on_GHG_emissions_by_2040_Shutterstock.com_xfji8p.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/0P_G_aims_to_have_net_zero_on_GHG_emissions_by_2040_Shutterstock.com_xfji8p.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/0P_G_aims_to_have_net_zero_on_GHG_emissions_by_2040_Shutterstock.com_xfji8p.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/0P_G_aims_to_have_net_zero_on_GHG_emissions_by_2040_Shutterstock.com_xfji8p.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/0P_G_aims_to_have_net_zero_on_GHG_emissions_by_2040_Shutterstock.com_xfji8p.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/332868","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=332868"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/332868\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":332874,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/332868\/revisions\/332874"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/332872"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=332868"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=332868"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=332868"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}