{"id":332388,"date":"2024-06-11T16:23:43","date_gmt":"2024-06-11T14:23:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=332388"},"modified":"2024-06-11T16:23:45","modified_gmt":"2024-06-11T14:23:45","slug":"avoiding-the-net-zero-trap","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=332388","title":{"rendered":"Avoiding the Net Zero Trap"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From Watts Up With That?<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By Andy May<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Clintel<\/a> has just put out a new publication, We Can Still Avoid the Net Zero Trap<\/em><\/a>, by Kees de Lange and Guus Berkhout.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Climate models \u2013 constructed by governmental organizations \u2013 predict a climate catastrophe caused by greenhouse gases, primarily CO2<\/sub>. This is even though water vapor is the most important greenhouse gas. The model-inspired narrative is that human CO2<\/sub>-emissions poses a fundamental threat to the survival of humanity, therefore, all fossil fuels must be banned.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Fortunately, this doom story is not consistent with the facts. Establishing cause and effect is the most difficult subject in science. After all, correlation is different from causation! This certainly applies to the behavior of our climate. After all, Earth\u2019s climate is extremely complex. Climate processes take place in four-dimensional space: three spatial coordinates and one time coordinate. We know little about it and this is why Earth\u2019s climate behavior is difficult to capture in models.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Experience shows that climate science should not start with complex models, but with reliable observations. The limitations of current climate models, partly due to numerous ungrounded assumptions and numerical limitations, are such that they do not yet properly emulate the climate system, thus they do not form a serious basis for forming climate policy. In particular, the premise that the human contribution to CO2<\/sub> production can cause a future climate disaster is not supported by observations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The geological archive tells us that there is no correlation, and therefore no causal link, between CO2<\/sub> and temperature. Studies of ice cores show that warming precedes an increase in atmospheric CO2<\/sub> content. The recent past points out that the natural variability of temperature is considerably greater than human influence on it. In the wake of the unreliable predictions of climate models, energy supply on a global scale has become a topic of heated debate. Due to the dubious conclusions of climate models about the role of CO2<\/sub>, fossil fuels have been condemned. The Net Zero<\/em> approach has become, at least in the West, the political Holy Grail. The reliability of demand-driven fossil energy is sacrificed for supply-driven alternative energy illusions. The West is apparently prepared to risk prosperity for this. The rest of the world watches in amazement and, sometimes, delight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report argues for the further development of nuclear energy, with special attention given to the thorium reactor option and its associated advantages. In the long term, this is the only rational way to adequately supply the world with energy. There is therefore no reason to swim further into the Net Zero trap. We can still go back.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In summary, there is climate warming, but there is no climate crisis. Unfortunately, we are at the beginning of a self-made energy crisis. That is very bad news. A rapid and dramatic change in climate and energy policy, by all western governments, is required.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

One minor correction to the report, Climate: The Movie<\/em><\/a> was written, directed and edited by Martin Durkin, as well as produced by Tom Nelson.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Clintel has just put out a new publication, We Can Still Avoid the Net Zero Trap, by Kees de Lange and Guus Berkhout.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":332390,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691818056,691818153,691818076,691818154],"class_list":{"0":"post-332388","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-climate-change","9":"tag-climate-models","10":"tag-co2","11":"tag-net-zero","13":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-257.png?fit=1200%2C783&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1ot6","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":317685,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=317685","url_meta":{"origin":332388,"position":0},"title":"The Honest Story of Climate Change: Part I: Weighed down by fear and intimidation.","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"15\/04\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"There is no climate crisis, even if politicians, climate institutes, and the media would have you believe there is. Climate change is a fact, but it is a change as in everything changes, both inside and outside our atmosphere. No surprise! We will show that we should not turn climate\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/5f3c4f30cb34dc2ac325aab70c566517.jpeg?fit=1200%2C673&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/5f3c4f30cb34dc2ac325aab70c566517.jpeg?fit=1200%2C673&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/5f3c4f30cb34dc2ac325aab70c566517.jpeg?fit=1200%2C673&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/5f3c4f30cb34dc2ac325aab70c566517.jpeg?fit=1200%2C673&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/5f3c4f30cb34dc2ac325aab70c566517.jpeg?fit=1200%2C673&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":209676,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=209676","url_meta":{"origin":332388,"position":1},"title":"Ability of mankind to solve problems is beyond imagination","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"22\/07\/2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Message to governments: Don\u2019t kill human creativity with political stupidity By\u00a0Franco Battaglia and Guus Berkhout This is from an\u00a0interview\u00a0of Professor Guus Berkhout by Professor Franco Battaglia, published July 20, 2022 in\u00a0La Verit\u00e0, a daily newspaper in Italy. Berkhout is a retired professor of geophysics from the Technical University of Delft\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/image-244.png?fit=1200%2C676&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/image-244.png?fit=1200%2C676&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/image-244.png?fit=1200%2C676&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/image-244.png?fit=1200%2C676&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/image-244.png?fit=1200%2C676&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":199228,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=199228","url_meta":{"origin":332388,"position":2},"title":"Consider signing the World Climate Declaration 1","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"10\/05\/2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Document Management Data System Business Internet Technology Concept. CLINTEL is collecting signatures on a great thing called the World Climate Declaration or WCD. I gladly signed it awhile back and they just hit 1,000 signatures. I am here putting the word out, so that others may sign. It is a\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/0Sign-E-Documents.jpg?fit=915%2C523&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/0Sign-E-Documents.jpg?fit=915%2C523&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/0Sign-E-Documents.jpg?fit=915%2C523&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/0Sign-E-Documents.jpg?fit=915%2C523&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":228357,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=228357","url_meta":{"origin":332388,"position":3},"title":"CLINTEL Message to Public:","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"10\/11\/2022","format":false,"excerpt":"In conclusion, don\u2019t let the terrifying stories of supranational institutions \u2013 such as the UN, EU and WEF \u2013 scare you. Particularly, climate alarmists\u00a0must not use\u00a0extreme\u00a0weather\u00a0events to poison our children with fear.","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image-376.png?fit=1090%2C844&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image-376.png?fit=1090%2C844&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image-376.png?fit=1090%2C844&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image-376.png?fit=1090%2C844&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image-376.png?fit=1090%2C844&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":351897,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=351897","url_meta":{"origin":332388,"position":4},"title":"Climate scientists officially declare \u2018climate emergency\u2019 at an end","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"21\/11\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Climate scientists have issued a shock declaration that the \u201cclimate emergency\u201d is over.","rel":"","context":"In \"carbon dioxide (CO2)\"","block_context":{"text":"carbon dioxide (CO2)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=carbon-dioxide-co2"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/zslide-16-1024.webp?fit=1024%2C768&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/zslide-16-1024.webp?fit=1024%2C768&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/zslide-16-1024.webp?fit=1024%2C768&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/zslide-16-1024.webp?fit=1024%2C768&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":276310,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=276310","url_meta":{"origin":332388,"position":5},"title":"CLINTEL World Climate Declaration","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"29\/08\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Climate science should be less political, while climate policies should be more scientific. In particular, scientists should emphasize that their\u00a0modeling output is not the result of magic: computer models are human-made. What comes out is fully dependent on what theoreticians and programmers have put in: hypotheses, assumptions, relationships, parameterizations, stability\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate Emergency\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate Emergency","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-emergency"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/00tince-1.png?fit=1200%2C642&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/00tince-1.png?fit=1200%2C642&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/00tince-1.png?fit=1200%2C642&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/00tince-1.png?fit=1200%2C642&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/00tince-1.png?fit=1200%2C642&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/332388","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=332388"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/332388\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":332392,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/332388\/revisions\/332392"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/332390"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=332388"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=332388"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=332388"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}