{"id":332028,"date":"2024-06-07T10:34:30","date_gmt":"2024-06-07T08:34:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=332028"},"modified":"2024-06-07T10:34:32","modified_gmt":"2024-06-07T08:34:32","slug":"new-study-confirms-gwpf-reports-on-declining-climate-disasters","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=332028","title":{"rendered":"New study confirms GWPF reports on declining climate\u00a0disasters"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By Paul Homewood<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

London, 6 June \u2013 A\u00a0new scientific study<\/a>\u00a0has confirmed what GWPF reports and statements have emphasised for some time: Natural and climate-related disasters have been declining rather than increasing during the 21st century.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n


For years, international agencies such as the UN Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (UNDRR), the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) and the International Red Cross (IFRC) have been issuing reports claiming that climate-related disasters are currently escalating (Weather, climate disasters surge fivefold in 50 years, says UN report<\/a>)<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n


For years, the GWPF has been pointing out that such claims are wrong and contradicted by empirical data. The UN agencies\u2019 misleading claims arise from a failure to account for the major increase in disaster reporting engendered by the arrival of new technologies since the 1970s.<\/p>\n\n\n\n


Not only has the annual number of climate-related disasters trended downwards over the last 20+ years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The number of people killed by natural and climate-related disasters has also been falling steadily over the past 120 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
Source: Alimonti & Mariani (2024)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

In a new study, analysing temporal trends in the number of natural disasters reported since 1900, two Italian scientists confirm that the 21st century has seen\u00a0\u201ca decreasing trend to 2022\u201d which is \u201ccharacterized by a significant decline in number of [disaster] events\u2026”<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
Source: Alimonti & Mariani (2024)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

“The statement that we are facing an increasing trend of natural disasters, as claimed in the three official reports by UNDRR and FAO on the basis of the same EM-DAT dataset [\u2026] are not supported by data\u201d\u00a0<\/em>(Gianluca Alimonti & Luigi Mariani (2024)\u00a0Environmental Hazards<\/em>, 23:2, 186-202<\/a>).<\/p>\n\n\n\n


The authors emphasise that the empirical data
\u201csits in marked contradiction to earlier analyses by two UN bodies (FAO and UNDRR), which predicts an increasing number of natural disasters and impacts in concert with global warming. Our analyses strongly refute this assertion as well as extrapolations published by UNDRR based on this claim.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n


In their conclusion, the scientists emphasise that they
\u201care concerned about the misrepresentation of the natural disaster trend because such claims have been uncritically broadcast by many different media and by FAO itself, thereby deforming the perception of the public on the risk of natural disasters\u2026 Misinterpreting the trend of natural disasters is a very serious matter because exposes the world population to the risk of inconsistent policies at both a national and an international level, thereby wasting resources or diverting them from the resolution of much more concrete problems.\u201d\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n


Dr Ralph Alexander who has authored a series of critiques of erroneous climate disaster claims said:
\u201cThe new study by Alimonti and Mariani vindicates what we said in\u00a0a GWPF report<\/a>\u00a0three years ago \u2013 climate-related disasters are not on the rise, despite global warming. Claims to the contrary have been made for years by several international agencies. Yet, these agencies failed to recognise that the apparent increase in natural disasters since the 1970s simply reflects a major increase in disaster reporting due to new technology.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n


GWPF director Dr Benny Peiser said:
\u201cThere is a famous saying that sums up the GWPF\u2019s efforts to set the record straight on disaster trends and climate disasters: \u2018First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then they join you.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A new scientific study has confirmed what GWPF reports and statements have emphasised for some time: Natural and climate-related disasters have been declining rather than increasing during the 21st century<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":332037,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691822332,691822563,691829044],"class_list":{"0":"post-332028","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-climate-disasters","9":"tag-gwpf","10":"tag-un-office-for-disaster-risk-reduction-undrr","12":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/00merlin_62649158_cac0d216-96e9-4044-a643-34c3ffbbf3d6-superJumbo.webp?fit=2048%2C1365&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1oni","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":379206,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=379206","url_meta":{"origin":332028,"position":0},"title":"Are Scientists who Contest the Climate Emergency \u201cPublicity-seeking Contrarians?\u201d","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"05\/21\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Ecologist author Tom Hardy has pulled out all the stops, from John Cook\u2019s 97% study to accusing the GWPF of having friends like Ian Plimer.","rel":"","context":"In \"climate denial\"","block_context":{"text":"climate denial","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-denial"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/OIG2.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/OIG2.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/OIG2.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/OIG2.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":253371,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=253371","url_meta":{"origin":332028,"position":1},"title":"Disasters report features \u2018crudely manipulated data\u2019","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"04\/17\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Dr. Alexander notes that: \u201cDr Alexander has shown that the authors of the latest \u2018Disasters in Numbers\u2019 report are bending over backwards to provide support for the narrative of climate doom, when the data and trends of weather-related disasters are pointing in the opposite direction.","rel":"","context":"In \"Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters\"","block_context":{"text":"Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=centre-for-research-on-the-epidemiology-of-disasters"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/009fd2c2e44f3b66c9b69825a40d1c333.jpg?fit=1200%2C600&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/009fd2c2e44f3b66c9b69825a40d1c333.jpg?fit=1200%2C600&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/009fd2c2e44f3b66c9b69825a40d1c333.jpg?fit=1200%2C600&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/009fd2c2e44f3b66c9b69825a40d1c333.jpg?fit=1200%2C600&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/009fd2c2e44f3b66c9b69825a40d1c333.jpg?fit=1200%2C600&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":332073,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=332073","url_meta":{"origin":332028,"position":2},"title":"Global deaths and disasters down: UN shameless lies, up","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"06\/08\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Despite a galactic rise in Headlines of Doom, the world is a safer place than ever. The United Nations however is an absolute danger to our quality of life and our children\u2019s mental health. They\u2019ve shamelessly concocted the myth that disasters are increasing due to \u201cclimate change\u201d.","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/0941728.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/0941728.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/0941728.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/0941728.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/0941728.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":281262,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=281262","url_meta":{"origin":332028,"position":3},"title":"Open peer review: The truth about weather extremes: What the past tells us \u2013 The\u00a0GWPF","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"09\/30\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"From Tallbloke's Talkshop September 30, 2023 by\u00a0oldbrew Weather-Extremes-Open-ReviewHerunterladen \u2013 \u2013 \u2013We are keen to receive review comments for our new report which is now available for\u00a0open review here,\u00a0says\u00a0The Global Warming Policy Foundation. Ralph Alexander: The truth about weather extremes. What the past tells us This report refutes the popular but\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Ralph Alexander\"","block_context":{"text":"Ralph Alexander","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=ralph-alexander"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0Screenshot-2023-09-30-143441.png?fit=820%2C802&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0Screenshot-2023-09-30-143441.png?fit=820%2C802&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0Screenshot-2023-09-30-143441.png?fit=820%2C802&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0Screenshot-2023-09-30-143441.png?fit=820%2C802&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":211986,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=211986","url_meta":{"origin":332028,"position":4},"title":"Sorry, CNN, Great Barrier Reef Is Setting Records, Fearmongering Won\u2019t Work","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"08\/05\/2022","format":false,"excerpt":"A new report from the Australian Institute of Marine Science (AIMS) shows the Great Barrier Reef (GBR) set new records for extent this year. Sadly, in a story titled, \u201cParts of Great Barrier Reef record highest amount of coral in 36 years,\u201d\u00a0CNN\u00a0tried to turn this good news contained in the\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/image-98.png?fit=1200%2C794&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/image-98.png?fit=1200%2C794&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/image-98.png?fit=1200%2C794&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/image-98.png?fit=1200%2C794&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/image-98.png?fit=1200%2C794&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":278551,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=278551","url_meta":{"origin":332028,"position":5},"title":"Shocking Failures of Climate and Covid Science Highlighted by Critical New Report","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"09\/13\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"The recent and concerning collapse of the once revered scientific process in large parts of the climate change and medical community is detailed in a highly critical\u00a0\u2018open review\u2019 paper\u00a0from the Global Warming Policy Foundation (GWPF). Someday, charge the authors, there will need to be an inquiry into how so many\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Censorship\"","block_context":{"text":"Censorship","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=censorship"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/image-388.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/image-388.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/image-388.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/image-388.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/image-388.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/332028","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=332028"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/332028\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":332039,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/332028\/revisions\/332039"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/332037"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=332028"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=332028"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=332028"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}