{"id":330649,"date":"2024-05-31T08:34:50","date_gmt":"2024-05-31T06:34:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=330649"},"modified":"2024-05-31T08:34:52","modified_gmt":"2024-05-31T06:34:52","slug":"met-office-should-put-2-5c-uncertainties-warning-on-all-future-temperature-claims","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=330649","title":{"rendered":"Met Office Should Put 2.5\u00b0C\u00a0\u2018Uncertainties\u2019 Warning on All Future Temperature Claims"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From The Daily Sceptic<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

BY\u00a0CHRIS MORRISON<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

It is \u201cabundantly clear\u201d that the Met Office cannot scientifically claim to know the current average temperature of the U.K. to a hundredth of a degree centigrade, given that it is using data that has a margin of error of up to 2.5\u00b0C, notes the climate journalist Paul Homewood<\/a>. His comments follow recent disclosures in the Daily Sceptic<\/em> that nearly eight out of ten of the Met\u2019s 380 measuring stations come with official \u2018uncertainties\u2019 of between 2-5\u00b0C. In addition, given the poor siting of the stations now and possibly in the past, the Met Office has no means of knowing whether it is comparing like with like when it publishes temperature trends going back to 1884.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

There are five classes of measuring stations identified by the World Meteorological Office (WMO). Classes 4 and 5 come with uncertainties of 2\u00b0C and 5\u00b0C respectively and account for an astonishing 77% of the Met Office station total. Class 3 has an uncertainty rating of 1\u00b0C and accounts for another 8.4% of the total. The Class ratings identify potential corruptions in recordings caused by both human and natural involvement. Homewood calculates that the average uncertainty across the entire database is 2.5\u00b0C. In the graph below, he then calculates the range of annual U.K. temperatures going back to 2010 incorporating the margins of error.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The blue blocks show the annual temperature announced by the Met Office, while the red bars take account of the WMO uncertainties. It is highly unlikely that the red bars show the more accurate temperature, and there is much evidence to suggest temperatures are nearer the blue trend. But the point of the exercise is to note that the Met Office, in the interests of scientific exactitude, should disclose what could be large measurement inaccuracies. This is particularly important when it is making highly politicised statements using rising temperatures to promote the Net Zero fantasy. As Homewood observes, the Met Office \u201ccannot say with any degree of scientific certainty that the last two years were the warmest on record, nor quantify how much, if any, the climate has warmed since 1884\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.K. figures are of course an important component of the Met Office\u2019s global temperature dataset known as HadCRUT. As we noted recently, there is ongoing concern about the accuracy of HadCRUT with large retrospective adjustments of warming in recent times and cooling further back in the record. In fact, this concern has been ongoing for some time. The late Christopher Booker was a great champion of climate scepticism and in February 2015 he suggested that the \u201cfiddling\u201d with temperature data \u201cis the biggest science scandal ever<\/a>\u201d. Writing in the Telegraph<\/em>, he noted: \u201cWhen future generations look back on the global warming scare of the past 30 years, nothing will shock them more than the extent to which official temperatures records \u2013 on which the entire panic rested \u2013 were systematically \u2018adjusted\u2019 to show the Earth as having warmed more than the actual data justified.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Since that time, the Met Office has made further adjustments to its HadCRUT database and the effect can be seen in the graph below showing all the retrospective changes made since 2008.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

HadCRUT is not the only global database to add warming and cooling in ways that conveniently emphasise the \u2018hockey stick\u2019 nature of recent temperature trends. The excellent\u00a0climate4you<\/a>\u00a0site provides the graph above as well as the illustration below showing what is going on at NASA\u2019s GISS database.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Even more than HadCRUT, large amounts of cooling has been added in the first 100 years of the record. It is noted that the net effect of adjustments made since 2008 is to generate a more smoothly increasing global temperatures since 1880. Compiler Emeritus Professor Ole Humlum concludes that \u201ca temperature record that keeps on changing the past hardly can qualify as being correct\u201d. Booker was more direct in his criticism, charging that that the \u201cwholesale manipulation\u201d of the official temperature record, \u201chas become the real elephant in the room of the greatest and most costly scare the world has known\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Met Office does a good job in its core business of providing weather forecasting services. Helped by modern satellites and computers, it provides vital and improving information for the general public and specific groups like aviators, farmers, event organisers and the miliary. But its self-ordained Net Zero political role does it few favours. Using data, accurate enough to plan on sowing wheat, to warn of a climate crisis measured down to one hundredth of a degree centigrade is ridiculous, as our and other recent investigations have shown.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It recently proposed to ditch the scientific method of calculating temperature trends over at least 30 years in favour of just a decade of past data merged with future 10 year computer model projections. The reason for this was to enable it to quickly point to the passing of the 1.5\u00b0C target. Pure politics is behind this move since the 1.5\u00b0C warming from the pre-industrial age is a political fear mongering mark used to focus global efforts to push the Net Zero collectivisation. Professor Richard Betts, the Head of Climate Impacts at the Met Office, admitted as much when he said breaching 1.5\u00b0C would \u201ctrigger questions<\/a>\u201d about what needed to be done to meet the goals of the 2016 Paris climate agreement. Professor Betts later took exception to our coverage of his novel idea which was published three weeks after it was announced. \u201cAre they just slow readers? he asked. \u201cI suppose our paper does use big words like \u2018temperature\u2019 so maybe they had to get grown-ups to help,\u201d he added<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In reply, it is accepted that the Met Office knows what an air temperature is. It just ought to get better at taking accurate recordings of them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Chris Morrison is the<\/em> Daily Sceptic\u2019s Environment Editor<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

It is \u201cabundantly clear\u201d that the Met Office cannot scientifically claim to know the current average temperature of the U.K. to a hundredth of a degree centigrade, given that it is using data that has a margin of error of up to 2.5\u00b0C, notes the climate journalist Paul Homewood. His comments follow recent disclosures in the Daily Sceptic that nearly eight out of ten of the Met\u2019s 380 measuring stations come with official \u2018uncertainties\u2019 of between 2-5\u00b0C.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":330656,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691818169,691819134,691818808,691820425],"class_list":{"0":"post-330649","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-bad-science","9":"tag-climate-alarmism","10":"tag-met-office","11":"tag-temperature-record","13":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/0thermometer-4767445_1280.jpg?fit=1280%2C853&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1o13","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":393561,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=393561","url_meta":{"origin":330649,"position":0},"title":"UK Met Office Flirts With Conspiracy Theory as it Slams Critics of Its \u2018Junk\u2019 Temperature Measuring Sites","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"07\/08\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"The UK Met Office has lurched into conspiracy theory territory in a desperate attempt to rescue scientific credibility in its Net Zero-weaponised \u2018junk\u2019 temperature measuring network. In a\u00a0recent public pronouncement, it claimed: \u201cThe efforts of a small number of people to undermine the integrity of Met Office observations by obscuring\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"climate alarmism\"","block_context":{"text":"climate alarmism","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-alarmism"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/AQPctQKaSH-E0rf-g9XF4XLGomR90evI5uFhBj2fqw_UIKbNXHK7OWd95wrku01hjTyf9S39RSfbwvrcepxmYJmeVplz4xKO4kEcMLp6lVYaX3YrrMRdRv2MhXEJSmefU3MIKK3qPKhPYNlFgqXqa462uLGp.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/AQPctQKaSH-E0rf-g9XF4XLGomR90evI5uFhBj2fqw_UIKbNXHK7OWd95wrku01hjTyf9S39RSfbwvrcepxmYJmeVplz4xKO4kEcMLp6lVYaX3YrrMRdRv2MhXEJSmefU3MIKK3qPKhPYNlFgqXqa462uLGp.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/AQPctQKaSH-E0rf-g9XF4XLGomR90evI5uFhBj2fqw_UIKbNXHK7OWd95wrku01hjTyf9S39RSfbwvrcepxmYJmeVplz4xKO4kEcMLp6lVYaX3YrrMRdRv2MhXEJSmefU3MIKK3qPKhPYNlFgqXqa462uLGp.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/AQPctQKaSH-E0rf-g9XF4XLGomR90evI5uFhBj2fqw_UIKbNXHK7OWd95wrku01hjTyf9S39RSfbwvrcepxmYJmeVplz4xKO4kEcMLp6lVYaX3YrrMRdRv2MhXEJSmefU3MIKK3qPKhPYNlFgqXqa462uLGp.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/AQPctQKaSH-E0rf-g9XF4XLGomR90evI5uFhBj2fqw_UIKbNXHK7OWd95wrku01hjTyf9S39RSfbwvrcepxmYJmeVplz4xKO4kEcMLp6lVYaX3YrrMRdRv2MhXEJSmefU3MIKK3qPKhPYNlFgqXqa462uLGp.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":435456,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=435456","url_meta":{"origin":330649,"position":1},"title":"Researcher Finds Proof The Met Office is Inflating UK Maximum Temperature Records","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"30\/03\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Convincing statistical proof has emerged over the last year to show that the UK Met Office is inflating maximum temperature readings to create Net Zero-supporting climate alarm. 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Often the adjustments cool earlier periods going back to the 1930s and add warming in more recent times. The adjustments are of course most convenient in\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"climate alarmism\"","block_context":{"text":"climate alarmism","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-alarmism"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/0-oops.png?fit=1199%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/0-oops.png?fit=1199%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/0-oops.png?fit=1199%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/0-oops.png?fit=1199%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/0-oops.png?fit=1199%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":417951,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=417951","url_meta":{"origin":330649,"position":5},"title":"Government Minister Steps in to Defend Met Office as Fake Temperature Scandal Escalates","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"20\/12\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"In a couple of weeks\u2019 time, the Met Office is likely to announce another \u2018hottest year evah\u2019 in the UK. 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