{"id":325869,"date":"2024-05-04T12:38:35","date_gmt":"2024-05-04T10:38:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=325869"},"modified":"2024-05-04T12:38:37","modified_gmt":"2024-05-04T10:38:37","slug":"climate-change-a-natural-hazard-a-note-from-bill-kininmonth","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=325869","title":{"rendered":"Climate Change: A Natural Hazard \u2013 A Note from Bill Kininmonth"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From Jennifer Marohasy<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By\u00a0jennifer<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

There has been a lot in the press about the recent spike in global temperatures, and claims have followed about how this has caused the oceans to warm and the corals to bleach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

There has been a spike in global temperatures as measured by the satellites since 1979, and there remains much regional and seasonal variability in this data.  Furthermore, the same satellite data very clearly shows that the warmth is coming from the oceans, not from the greenhouse gases in the atmosphere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Australian Bureau Meteorology, among others, could easily issue a press release clarifying this.  Of course, they don\u2019t \u2013 because the Bureau\u2019s leadership have an agenda, that this misinformation supports.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

My friend Bill Kininmonth is a former Bureau employee \u2013 for more than a decade he headed Australia\u2019s National Climate Centre and was a Bureau delegate to the Second World Climate Conference that culminated in the first IPCC report.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kininmonth hasn\u2019t stopped thinking.  He wrote a book some years ago, and I have borrowed its title (Climate Change: A Natural Hazard<\/a>) for this blog post, inspired by his note to me just this morning.  It reads:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hello Jennifer,<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Just to provide more evidence in support of your recent post<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The charts for the sea surface skin temperature for the zonal band Lat 10S to Lat 10N as measured by satellites.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

I have read media coverage of claimed \u2018global\u2019 coral bleaching that is being attributed to anthropogenic global warming. From the graphs it can be seen that neither the recent temperatures nor the temperature anomalies are the highest of the recent 45 years. The recent temperature spikes are, however, associated with a major El Nino event, which is rapidly decaying.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Your comment on the effect of spring tides is also of interest to me. I have long thought that part of the impact of El Nino, especially for the Great Barrier Reef, is that during these events sea levels across the equatorial Pacific Ocean change.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

During the 1997-98 El Nino event sea level over the Western Pacific Ocean dropped about 35cm with an equivalent rise over the Eastern Pacific Ocean. Such a drop in sea level over the Great Barrier Reef would be expected to reduce the flow of cooling water over the reef and giving a greater response to solar heating of the shallow reef water. Lower spring tides would be expected to accentuate the heating of water over the shallow reefs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

On your point about SST (surface sea temperatures) being warmer than air temperature, this is confirmed in the chart of ocean skin temperatures versus air temperatures (see feature image).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The IPCC scientists do not seem to recognise that the greenhouse gases of the atmosphere radiate more energy than they absorb from the surface below.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Radiation processes are tending to cool the atmosphere at a rate of about 2C\/day. This radiation cooling generates convective instability, allowing near-surface air to rise buoyantly in convective clouds. The radiation energy lost by the atmosphere is replaced by heat and latent energy flowing from the surface. As you comment, the atmosphere cannot warm the ocean!<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regards, Bill<\/p>\n\n\n\n

****************************<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It is important to understand the data, to think about it. \u00a0It is also useful to test claims that it is possible to know the state of the corals from 150 metres altitude. \u00a0I\u2019ve been fortunate to have this opportunity, to live near the Great Barrier Reef, and to have friends with boats and even drones.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
A drone aerial taken of me from an altitude of 40 metres a few years ago. I am looking down on a lot of very healthy coral, but you need to be in the water to actually see the coral. This aerial was taken by Stuart Ireland above Pixie Reef to the north east of Cairns, that Stuart regularly features at his Facebook page, including very recently,\u00a0CLICK HERE<\/a>. I am receiving emails about how I should realise that the scientists have done the aerial surveys and these prove that the Great Barrier Reef is 75% bleached. In fact, these surveys are done from an altitude of 150 metres from which it is difficult to actually conclude very much about the corals, even to see them.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

It is the case that our institutions have become expert at promoting misinformation, and the mainstream media duly repeat it to the masses. \u00a0 Thank you for taking the time to read this note, and please consider subscribing for my weekly e-news, which is how Bill knew about my \u2018recent post\u2019,\u00a0CLICK HERE<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

There has been a lot in the press about the recent spike in global temperatures, and claims have followed about how this has caused the oceans to warm and the corals to bleach.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":325878,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691828463,691818056,691819268,691820010],"class_list":{"0":"post-325869","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-bill-kininmonth","9":"tag-climate-change","10":"tag-global-temperatures","11":"tag-satellites","13":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/01404091602000-AP-Carbon-Satellite.webp?fit=1419%2C803&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1mLX","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":227036,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=227036","url_meta":{"origin":325869,"position":0},"title":"Ocean Climate Flywheel Science (Updated)","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"02\/11\/2022","format":false,"excerpt":"A continuing theme at this blog has been our planetary fact that Oceans Make Climate.\u00a0 The initial inspiration came from Dr. Arnd Bernaerts\u2019 insightful phrase: \u201cClimate is the continuation of ocean by other means.\u201d","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image-85.png?fit=640%2C841&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image-85.png?fit=640%2C841&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image-85.png?fit=640%2C841&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":352394,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=352394","url_meta":{"origin":325869,"position":1},"title":"Oceans Warms Atmosphere, with Meteorologist Bill Kininmonth","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"26\/11\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Australia experienced severe drought during the 1990s, and for much of that decade Australia\u2019s National Climate Centre was headed by meteorologist Bill Kininmonth. 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