{"id":324366,"date":"2024-04-27T13:56:47","date_gmt":"2024-04-27T11:56:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=324366"},"modified":"2024-04-27T13:56:50","modified_gmt":"2024-04-27T11:56:50","slug":"new-study-a-warmer-london-has-reduced-the-winter-death-toll-by-447-per-year-since-1976","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=324366","title":{"rendered":"New Study: A Warmer London Has Reduced The Winter Death Toll By 447 Per Year Since 1976"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From NoTricksZone<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By\u00a0Kenneth Richard<\/a>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

A warmer world lengthens human life, whereas a cooling world may result in \u201corders of magnitude\u201d higher excess death rates.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

A 2022 Lancet <\/em>study<\/a><\/strong> reported 791 heat-related excess deaths and 60,753 cold-related excess deaths in England and Wales each year during the years spanning 2000-2019. That\u2019s an excess death ratio of about 85 to 1 for cold vs. hot temperatures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Adjusted as deaths per 100,000 person-years, the annual ratio is 1.57 heat-related deaths vs. 122.34 cold-related excess deaths throughout the 21st century.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cOur analysis indicates that the excess in mortality attributable to cold was almost two orders of magnitude higher than the excess in mortality attributable to heat.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
Image Source:\u00a0Gasparrini et al., 2022<\/a><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

And now a new study reports that, due to warmer urban temperatures, the number of premature cold-related excess deaths avoided averaged 447 per year from 1976-2019 in the city of London alone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The annual lives saved by warmer winter temperatures rose to 639 during the winter of 2018-2019, which is the equivalent of 70.1 lives saved by \u201cclimate change\u201d per million Londoners.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

\u201cSince 1976, we estimate 447 (95% confidence interval 5 330, 559) annual cold-related all-cause deaths have been avoided because of milder temperatures associated with climate change.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cIn the most recent winter in our dataset (winter 2018\u20132019), we estimate 639 fewer cold-related deaths in London associated with counterfactual temperature, amounting to 70.1 wintertime deaths per million people in the population avoided because of climate change.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
Image Source:\u00a0Hajat et al., 2024<\/a><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Across the world the cold-death vs. heat-death ratio is less stark than it is in the UK. Still, since the 1980s, cold weather has killed 20 times as many people as hot weather has (Gasparrini et al., 2015<\/a><\/strong>).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The stated goal of \u201cnet zero\u201d emissions is to reduce warming. And yet warming can be shown to save far more lives than it harms.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
Image Source:\u00a0Gasparrini et al., 2015<\/a><\/strong>\u00a0and\u00a0Science Daily<\/a><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A warmer world lengthens human life, whereas a cooling world may result in \u201corders of magnitude\u201d higher excess death rates.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":324375,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"jetpack_seo_schema_type":"","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_wpcom_ai_launchpad_first_post":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691818056,691828369,691828367,691828368,691819103,691828366],"class_list":["post-324366","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-climate-change","tag-cold-related-excess-deaths","tag-england-and-wales","tag-heat-related-deaths","tag-london","tag-winter-death-toll","fallback-thumbnail"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1mnI","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":282292,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=282292","url_meta":{"origin":324366,"position":0},"title":"New ONS Heat Deaths Claims Don\u2019t Stack\u00a0Up","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"10\/07\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT By Paul Homewood The BBC continue to print this lie: There have been more than 50,000 heat-related deaths and more than 200,000 related to cold in England and Wales since 1988, new official figures show. 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