{"id":319373,"date":"2024-04-21T21:52:49","date_gmt":"2024-04-21T19:52:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=319373"},"modified":"2024-04-21T21:52:52","modified_gmt":"2024-04-21T19:52:52","slug":"the-incredible-dumbness-of-bidens-war-on-lng-part-deux","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=319373","title":{"rendered":"The Incredible Dumbness of Biden\u2019s War on LNG, Part Deux"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From Watts Up With That?<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Guest \u201cYou Can\u2019t Fix Stupid, Part Trois\u201d by David Middleton<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Biden\u2019s pause of new LNG export permits<\/a> is truly a \u201cstupid and futile gesture<\/a>\u201c\u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

APRIL 17, 2024<\/p>\n\n\n\n

U.S. natural gas trade will continue to grow with the startup of new LNG export projects<\/a><\/h2>\n\n\n\n
\"\"
Data source:\u00a0<\/strong>U.S. Energy Information Administration,\u00a0<\/em>Short-Term Energy Outlook<\/em><\/a>\u00a0(STEO)<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n

In our recently released Short-Term Energy Outlook<\/em><\/a> (STEO), we forecast that U.S. liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports will continue to lead growth in U.S. natural gas trade as three LNG export projects currently under construction<\/a> start operations and ramp up to full production by the end of 2025. We also forecast increased natural gas exports by pipeline, mainly to Mexico. In our STEO forecast, net exports of U.S. natural gas (exports minus imports) grow 6% to 13.6 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf\/d) in 2024 compared with 2023. In 2025, net exports increase another 20% to 16.4 Bcf\/d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

We forecast that U.S. LNG exports increase 2% in 2024 to average 12.2 Bcf\/d. In 2025, we forecast that LNG exports grow by an additional 18% (2.1 Bcf\/d). We forecast U.S. natural gas exports by pipeline to grow by 3% (0.3 Bcf\/d) in 2024 and by 4% in 2025. We expect pipeline imports to decline by 0.4 Bcf\/d in 2024 and then increase slightly (0.1 Bcf\/d) in 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In 2024\u201325, we forecast that existing U.S. LNG export facilities will run at similar utilization rates as in 2023. Annual maintenance typically occurs in the spring and fall, when global LNG demand is lower and temperatures are mild. In April and May 2024, we expect LNG exports to decline while two of the three trains at the\u00a0Freeport LNG export facility undergo annual maintenance<\/a>.\u00a0Later in 2024, we expect that\u00a0Plaquemines LNG Phase I<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0Corpus Christi Stage 3<\/a>\u00a0will begin LNG production and load first cargoes by the end of the year. In 2025, the developers of\u00a0Golden Pass LNG<\/a>\u00a0plan to place in service the first two trains of this new three-train LNG export facility.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"
Data source:\u00a0<\/strong>U.S. Energy Information Administration,\u00a0<\/em>Short-Term Energy Outlook<\/em><\/a>\u00a0(STEO)<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n

We forecast an increase in U.S. natural gas pipeline exports to Mexico as several pipelines in Mexico\u2014Tula-Villa de Reyes, Tuxpan-Tula, and Cuxtal Phase II connecting to the Energ\u00eda Mayakan pipeline on the Yucat\u00e1n Peninsula\u2014become fully operational in 2024\u201325. These pipelines started partial service in 2022\u201323 but have not been operating at full capacity. Also, flows via the Sur de Texas-Tuxpan<\/a> underwater pipeline are likely to increase slightly in 2024 when it begins delivering natural gas from the United States to Mexico\u2019s first LNG export project, Fast LNG Altamira<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

U.S. natural gas pipeline imports from Canada<\/a> remained relatively unchanged over the last two years (2022\u201323), averaging 8.1 Bcf\/d. We expect pipeline imports from Canada to remain a key supply source, particularly for the U.S. Midwest region during winter months.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

U.S. LNG imports<\/a>, which primarily serve New England and generally\u00a0peak in winter months<\/a>,\u00a0declined slightly in 2023<\/a>, mainly because of\u00a0record-warm winter weather<\/a>. We expect LNG imports to average about 0.1 Bcf\/d in 2024\u201325 and continue to serve as a marginal supply source during periods of high demand, particularly in the winter months.<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"
Data source:\u00a0<\/strong>U.S. Energy Information Administration,\u00a0<\/em>Natural Gas Monthly<\/em><\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n
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\n

Principal contributor: <\/strong>Victoria Zaretskaya<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tags: <\/strong>forecasts\/projections<\/a>, natural gas<\/a>, international<\/a>, monthly<\/a>, pipelines<\/a>, STEO (Short-Term Energy Outlook)<\/a>, exports\/imports<\/a>, United States<\/a>, LNG (liquefied natural gas)<\/a>, Canada<\/a>, Mexico<\/a>US EIA<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

Biden\u2019s imbecilic pause did not affect LNG facilities that are fully permitted and\/or under construction. By the time the next president reverses this malfeasance next year, LNG exports will have climbed by about 2 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf\/d) as new facilities come online. Projects currently under construction will add enough capacity (~17 Bcf\/d) to more than double the current export volume (~12 Bcf\/d).<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC)<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

At worst, the moronic pause in Department of Energy (DOE) permitting will delay final investment decisions (FID) for about 13 Bcf\/d of capacity additions<\/a>. 7 Bcf\/d of that total have already been approved by FERC.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FERC is the agency that approves the construction of LNG facilities. DOE approves permits to export LNG to nations that do not have free trade agreements (FTA) with the US.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

An Amazingly \u201cFutile and Stupid Gesture\u201d<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Sixteen states have sued the Biden administration over this unlawful pause in LNG export permitting:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

March 21, 2024 | Press Release<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Attor\u00adney Gen\u00ader\u00adal Ken Pax\u00adton Sues Biden to Stop Unlaw\u00adful Ban on LNG Exports<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton has filed suit to block the Biden Administration\u2019s unlawful and indefinite ban on approving applications to export liquified natural gas (\u201cLNG\u201d) that the Department of Energy itself has already acknowledged has \u201cno factual or legal basis.\u201d <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Texas, along with Louisiana and fourteen other states, has filed a lawsuit to void the unconstitutional LNG export ban, which ignores the Natural Gas Act\u2019s presumption in favor of exports, decades of Department of Energy policy, and State and private reliance on exports. Texas is the nation\u2019s leading producer of both crude oil and natural gas. The Biden Administration\u2019s ban stands to harm the Texas economy and the millions who rely on Texas energy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cBiden\u2019s unilateral decree disregards statutory mandates, flouts the legal process, upends the oil and gas industry, disrupts the Texas economy, and subverts our constitutional structure,\u201d said Attorney General Paxton. \u201cThe ban will drive billions of dollars in investment away from Texas, hinder our ability to maximize revenue for public schools, force Texas producers to flare excess natural gas instead of taking it to market, and annihilate critical jobs. I will not stand by while Biden attacks Texas.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To read the filing, click here.<\/a>Ken Paxton, Attorney General of Texas<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

This should be an easy win for Louisiana et al\u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n
    \n
  1. Reporting has also unveiled other possible motivations behind the unexplained LNG
    Export Ban. For example, White House officials have acknowledged that \u201cone significant reason for the\u201d LNG Export Ban \u201cwas to address concerns of young and climate-focused voters,\u201d whom \u201cthe administration needs . . . in the fall.\u201d R. Rapier, How An American LNG Export Pause Could Increase Global Carbon Emissions, Forbes (Jan. 29, 2024),     https:\/\/perma.cc\/3WQR-84HK<\/a>. The \u201chope is that announcing this pause will energize them to vote for Biden in the November election.\u201d Id.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  2. Other reporting describes President Biden\u2019s climate envoy, John Podesta, as an architect of the LNG Export Ban, and notes that Podesta\u2019s brother is a lobbyist for foreign interests\u2014 including Russian LNG oligarchs\u2014who stand to benefit significantly from the Ban. See A. Goodman,
    John Podesta Was Behind Biden\u2019s Decision To Pause Natural Gas Exports. His Lobbyist Brother Stands To Benefit, Wash. Free Beacon (Feb. 15, 2024),     https:\/\/perma.cc\/P3JW-AZSA<\/a>.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n

    Louisiana et al v Biden et al<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n

    \n
    \"\"
    Biden Blank Looks Matter senile dementia alzheimer\u2019s.jpg<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

    <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    In our recently released Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), we forecast that U.S. liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports will continue to lead growth in U.S. natural gas trade as three LNG export projects currently under construction start operations and ramp up to full production by the end of 2025. We also forecast increased natural gas exports by pipeline, mainly to Mexico. In our STEO forecast, net exports of U.S. natural gas (exports minus imports) grow 6% to 13.6 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf\/d) in 2024 compared with 2023. In 2025, net exports increase another 20% to 16.4 Bcf\/d.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":319387,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691828254,691821012,691820144,691828253,691818772],"class_list":{"0":"post-319373","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-attorney-general-ken-paxton","9":"tag-liquefied-natural-gas-lng","10":"tag-mexico","11":"tag-u-s-natural-gas-trade","12":"tag-u-s-president-joe-biden","14":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/00LNG_TANKER-1.jpg?fit=1400%2C788&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1l5b","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":412180,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=412180","url_meta":{"origin":319373,"position":0},"title":"Trump Admin Touts Record-Shattering Energy Report Despite Biden-Era Crackdown","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"08\/11\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"The Department of Energy (DOE) touted a report on Wednesday which states that America broke records in liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports.","rel":"","context":"In \"Biden Administration\"","block_context":{"text":"Biden Administration","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=biden-administration"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/0AQNBRIHdKxh2h7hVctGUxY4SfwKhXBuc8ynEnz5uay3ebaSyr8LGXiNpXytQWBpklVHoReip5bnDxRBM2XJNuFE8x7xtg1tLe28nZNWJUKf6Wp_C1XZr5uKcsfiSIBrf-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C671&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/0AQNBRIHdKxh2h7hVctGUxY4SfwKhXBuc8ynEnz5uay3ebaSyr8LGXiNpXytQWBpklVHoReip5bnDxRBM2XJNuFE8x7xtg1tLe28nZNWJUKf6Wp_C1XZr5uKcsfiSIBrf-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C671&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/0AQNBRIHdKxh2h7hVctGUxY4SfwKhXBuc8ynEnz5uay3ebaSyr8LGXiNpXytQWBpklVHoReip5bnDxRBM2XJNuFE8x7xtg1tLe28nZNWJUKf6Wp_C1XZr5uKcsfiSIBrf-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C671&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/0AQNBRIHdKxh2h7hVctGUxY4SfwKhXBuc8ynEnz5uay3ebaSyr8LGXiNpXytQWBpklVHoReip5bnDxRBM2XJNuFE8x7xtg1tLe28nZNWJUKf6Wp_C1XZr5uKcsfiSIBrf-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C671&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/0AQNBRIHdKxh2h7hVctGUxY4SfwKhXBuc8ynEnz5uay3ebaSyr8LGXiNpXytQWBpklVHoReip5bnDxRBM2XJNuFE8x7xtg1tLe28nZNWJUKf6Wp_C1XZr5uKcsfiSIBrf-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C671&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":407830,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=407830","url_meta":{"origin":319373,"position":1},"title":"European Union Methane Rules are a Problem for U.S. LNG Producers","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"12\/10\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"European Union (E.U.) officials are upholding\u00a0a first-of-its-kind methane emissions regulation on imported fuels, creating significant uncertainty for the U.S. natural gas and liquified natural gas (LNG) industry. The regulation\u2019s requirements have yet to be defined, and the regulation begins in 2027.","rel":"","context":"In \"Environmental Protection Agency (EPA)\"","block_context":{"text":"Environmental Protection Agency (EPA)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=environmental-protection-agency-epa"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0AQPB_F9IjilFuEfcSHNJhFvirki-HuTYx4r4w8JMSV_ee6VmD4JOkEgStP8qx_oMa2Gr5bKGzUpOJJ_XXsJ18f_j5FbhVZ7Q7M14IZ8p6LCFL6D_50L0wzSgr7IHzzJf-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C534&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0AQPB_F9IjilFuEfcSHNJhFvirki-HuTYx4r4w8JMSV_ee6VmD4JOkEgStP8qx_oMa2Gr5bKGzUpOJJ_XXsJ18f_j5FbhVZ7Q7M14IZ8p6LCFL6D_50L0wzSgr7IHzzJf-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C534&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0AQPB_F9IjilFuEfcSHNJhFvirki-HuTYx4r4w8JMSV_ee6VmD4JOkEgStP8qx_oMa2Gr5bKGzUpOJJ_XXsJ18f_j5FbhVZ7Q7M14IZ8p6LCFL6D_50L0wzSgr7IHzzJf-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C534&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0AQPB_F9IjilFuEfcSHNJhFvirki-HuTYx4r4w8JMSV_ee6VmD4JOkEgStP8qx_oMa2Gr5bKGzUpOJJ_XXsJ18f_j5FbhVZ7Q7M14IZ8p6LCFL6D_50L0wzSgr7IHzzJf-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C534&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0AQPB_F9IjilFuEfcSHNJhFvirki-HuTYx4r4w8JMSV_ee6VmD4JOkEgStP8qx_oMa2Gr5bKGzUpOJJ_XXsJ18f_j5FbhVZ7Q7M14IZ8p6LCFL6D_50L0wzSgr7IHzzJf-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C534&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":428482,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=428482","url_meta":{"origin":319373,"position":2},"title":"Energy Dominance 2.0: LNG Edition","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"27\/02\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Nine years ago, when U.S. LNG exports were in their infancy, I authored this post: Can the U.S. Become the Saudi Arabia of Natural Gas? In April 2017, I noted that the total capacity of existing, under construction, approved and proposed LNG export facilities was 44 billion cubic feet per\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"natural gas\"","block_context":{"text":"natural gas","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=natural-gas"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/AQMzHPOPO86BrHKCh9zK5HqLoZEg2Ob8e40wCyCCb1QtDhcXBMMbT7MSC8EjFpkxcQvef3zuzN8K-veJoOIiIJXlAI05H3dM9KyNteyXs6T8VG6-jm1nTBay7g5RaoKd.jpeg?fit=1200%2C705&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/AQMzHPOPO86BrHKCh9zK5HqLoZEg2Ob8e40wCyCCb1QtDhcXBMMbT7MSC8EjFpkxcQvef3zuzN8K-veJoOIiIJXlAI05H3dM9KyNteyXs6T8VG6-jm1nTBay7g5RaoKd.jpeg?fit=1200%2C705&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, 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Approvals","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"29\/01\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"President Biden doing his best to burn down an industry filled with well paid unionised jobs.","rel":"","context":"In \"Liquefied Natural Gas\u00a0Exports\"","block_context":{"text":"Liquefied Natural Gas\u00a0Exports","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=liquefied-natural-gas-exports"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/00Screenshot-2024-01-29-190859.png?fit=1184%2C664&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/00Screenshot-2024-01-29-190859.png?fit=1184%2C664&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/00Screenshot-2024-01-29-190859.png?fit=1184%2C664&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/00Screenshot-2024-01-29-190859.png?fit=1184%2C664&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/00Screenshot-2024-01-29-190859.png?fit=1184%2C664&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":206405,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=206405","url_meta":{"origin":319373,"position":4},"title":"The Best-Mislaid Plans of Mice and Men Often Go Awry: Biden Oil Edition","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"29\/06\/2022","format":false,"excerpt":"AZ Quotes But Mousie, thou art no thy-lane,In proving foresight may be vain:The best laid schemes o\u2019 Mice an\u2019 MenGang aft agley,An\u2019 lea\u2019e us nought but grief an\u2019 pain,For promis\u2019d joy!To a Mouse BY ROBERT BURNS, 1785 Guest \u201cMy apologies to Robert Burns\u201d by David Middleton The LNG Export Plan\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar 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