{"id":317992,"date":"2024-04-15T18:00:07","date_gmt":"2024-04-15T16:00:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=317992"},"modified":"2024-04-15T18:00:11","modified_gmt":"2024-04-15T16:00:11","slug":"the-honest-story-of-climate-change-part-2-with-a-new-course-towards-a-hopeful-future","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=317992","title":{"rendered":"The Honest Story of Climate Change: Part 2: With a new course towards a hopeful future"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From Watts Up With That?<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By Guus Berkhout and Kees de Lange<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

In the first part<\/a> of this article, we argued that there is no climate crisis and politicians, climate researchers and journalists were urgently requested to stop scaring the hell out of the population and citing the results of dubious climate models. In this part, emeritus professors Guus Berkhout and Kees de Lange argue in favour of ending the fighting between alarmists and realists. They make a plea to start working together on the large opportunities offered by climate change. This means a completely different approach to climate policy and the energy transition.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

It is time that we stopped accepting that more and more unelected international organisations \u2013 such as all those UN-organizations (WMO, UNEP, etc.) and the thousands of NGO\u2019s \u2013 who are forcing us to organise life in our own country according to their preferences. Above all, it is high time that we eradicated the stories of fear and the coercive measures forced upon us by these organisations. This is only feasible with a strong national democracy! National governments must set a new course with plenty of courage and expertise. The result will create hope for a prosperous future. Such a new course starts with a sensible climate policy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Get rid of climate anxiety.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Enough about all these fear-mongering narratives and all the nonsensical net-zero CO2<\/sub> billions. We are now going to talk about the positive climate prospects for the future. The graph on the right in illustration 4 was published in 2020 by the well-known Danish environmental economist Bj\u00f8rn Lomborg. It shows at a glance \u2013 without complicated models \u2013 why the climate scary narratives are misplaced. It turns out that investing in adaptation measures is extremely rewarding!<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mind you, the Western world has become considerably more prosperous in the past century due to reliable and affordable energy. This prosperity could be used to finance technological progress. And that technology could be used to prevent climate casualties. Mitigation technology has never saved a life or made a difference, but adaptation technology has saved millions according to Lomborg!<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
Illustration 4: While the CO2-concentration in the atmosphere continues to rise \u2013 despite the many mitigation-billions spent (left-hand side) \u2013 we see a strong decline of the climate-related mortality numbers (right-hand side) by adaptation policies. The decline is spectacular and proves that the fear-mongering narratives in the media about catastrophic mortality due to climate change are flatly wrong.<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

We now forecast the arrival of most extreme weather days, sometimes weeks, in advance so that proper measures can be taken. In prosperous countries, dikes are being strengthened and houses are much more resistant to hurricanes and increasingly to earthquakes. Wide firebreaks are created in forests to ensure that forest fires remain local, new water management techniques are developed to collect excess rainwater in overflow areas to be used later in dry times, etc.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Net-zero policies deliver nothing.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The graph on the left in illustration 4 shows that all those thousands of billions for net-zero policies have yielded nothing for decades! So why continue with it? Apparently, neither the climate nor CO2<\/sub> care about human mitigation policies at all. Whereas the graph on the right in illustration 4 indicates that investments in adaptation are showing spectacular results, saving millions from death due to weather and climate events. Therefore, making a population poorer through pointless climate policies and unaffordable energy prices is stupid, wasteful, and immoral.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Why do we never see the side-by-side comparison in illustration 4 in the media? The IPCC is also completely silent about this! But the population is desperate for just that comparison, show them the costs and benefits of both possible solutions. For further information on this important topic, see also this thorough analysis by Clintel<\/a> that shows serious errors in the latest IPCC report<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Foolish Western Illusions<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

In the Western world endless meetings are held to discuss methods of controlling Earth\u2019s climate. In those meetings, policy measures are invented about Earth\u2019s climate by green politicians who have little factual engineering or scientific knowledge. Partly because of this, Western countries want to be in front of the moral procession (\u2018look at us<\/em> saving the world\u2019) when it comes to taking moralistic climate measures. However, the population suffers as a result. Countries such as China and India are watching with utter amazement as the EU drives its high-quality industrial production and jobs out of Europe with foolish climate regulations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The non-Western world, which is the vast majority of the world\u2019s population, has many other things on its mind than an alleged climate crisis. They do not have any understanding or patience with a public welfare-destroying net-zero policy. They realise that their growing populations can only be given a future with the large-scale use of fossil fuels, followed by a gradual transition to the large-scale use of modern nuclear energy. Countries like China and India consider the net-zero policy to be a foolish Western illusion that serves them well. As a result, we see that the West weakening economically. Geopolitical relations are changing in favour of emerging economic superpowers, such as India and China. Europe is working hard to make itself irrelevant.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

CO\u2082-emissions in the Netherlands<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"
Illustration 5: The outgoing Dutch cabinet is going to spend 28 billion on climate projects to reduce global warming. Upon request, Minister of climate, Rob Jetten, agreed that the reduction will be only 0.000360<\/sup>C. That is many thousands of billions of euros per degree Celsius! Stupidity or evilness?<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

A specific example. How much CO\u2082 does the Netherlands actually emit? The facts: The Netherlands is responsible for 0.47% of global CO\u2082-emissions. If we follow the IPCC and believe their assumption that there is a simple linear relationship between CO\u2082-emissions and global warming, then the Netherlands\u2019 contribution to global warming is 0.47%. If we also follow the alarmist climate models \u2013 human CO\u2082 is assumed to be the main cause of global warming \u2013 then the Dutch CO\u2082 contribution is responsible for an annual warming of about 0.0001\u00b0C! Even with the darkest IPCC scenario, our contribution is so small it cannot be measured!<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, the Dutch citizen is forced to spend hundreds of billions of euros to ensure that the global temperature is reduced by an immeasurably small amount every year. Looking at the major shortages in healthcare and education, among other things, isn\u2019t this climate policy an outrage against the citizens of our country? <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Consequences of net-zero climate policy<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Because the main cause of global warming is attributed to CO\u2082 and increases in CO\u2082 in the atmosphere are attributed to the use of fossil fuels (coal, oil, and natural gas), the net zero measures are aimed at eliminating fossil fuels. Did you know that these measures have their origins in the Paris Agreement? There were politicians and civil servants who had no\u00a0clue<\/em>\u00a0about Earth\u2019s climate system (there was no serious scientist in sight). The huge amount of nonsense that has been expressed during the prelude to this agreement is a clear demonstration that when science and politics are at loggerheads, science is bound to lose.<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"
Illustration 6: The left graph shows global warming (about 1.20<\/sup>\u00a0C) on the usual mini scale. Thus, the warming appears catastrophic. But if we show the same warming with Singapore and Oslo temperatures (about 280<\/sup>\u00a0C and 60<\/sup>\u00a0C), the warming is barely visible.<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Energy crisis<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

There is no climate crisis, and it is also a fiction that this crisis is caused by the Western world. But there is indeed an energy crisis of our own making (\u2018anthropogenic\u2019). Historically, virtually all of humanity\u2019s progress in the last few hundred years is due to advances in science and technology and the availability of sufficient reliable, affordable, and safe fossil energy sources. These sources can provide energy any time it is demanded. Modern fossil fuel power plants provide demand-driven energy and are a monumental technological-scientific achievement. They are also getting cleaner!<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It is of utmost importance for everyone\u2019s future that the energy needs of the world\u2019s population are adequately met. This is no mean feat, with the world\u2019s population continuing to grow and with per capita energy needs constantly increasing. In this context, look at the fast-growing data centers, which require a huge amount of energy<\/a>. Serious projections of the world\u2019s energy demand in 2050 show that an increase of about 25% can be expected. How are we going to provide that? Certainly not by phasing out fossil fuels as quickly as possible! Did you know that for years, 80% of energy has been supplied by fossil fuels and that the contribution of alternative energy sources remains around 20%?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Biomass, wind and solar<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The alternative options that have been put forward for fossil fuels for years are biomass, wind, and solar. Even climate alarmists are beginning to realize that cutting down our forests en masse<\/em>, and then burning them in biomass power plants, is great folly. We know that wind and sun only produce electricity when the wind is not blowing too hard or too soft and only when the sun is shining. Because we cannot practically store large amounts of electricity, solar and wind are, at best, niche solutions. Despite all the warning signs, politicians continue to cut down forests on a large scale and direct us en masse<\/em> onto an inadequate power grid. Without a change of course, we are on our way to an anthropogenic energy crisis, in which blackouts will occur regularly.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nuclear energy<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Is there no solution at all? The cynical thing about the situation is that an excellent solution does exist. The key word is nuclear energy. Nuclear power is available, reliable, safe, and affordable, and has the advantage of emitting virtually no greenhouse gases, for anyone with a carbon phobia. Affordable waste recycling is also on the horizon. Nuclear power thus seems to be a possible solution that alarmists and realists could quickly agree on.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

New course in climate policy<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

We conclude with a few guidelines on what a climate policy should look like under a new government (in The Netherlands a new government is now being formed):<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n
  1. Policy should not be based upon immature computer models, but reliable facts.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  2. Facts show there is no climate crisis at all and CO\u2082 is not a thermostat that allows people to set the climate to a desired setting. Facts show that extremely expensive mitigation policies do not help at all, whereas adaptation policies are successful.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  3. CO\u2082 is not a harmful gas and CO\u2082 emissions are not environmental pollution. On the contrary, CO\u2082 is the molecule of life on planet Earth. More CO\u2082 in the atmosphere can cause modest warming, but also makes\u00a0Earth greener<\/a>, and greatly\u00a0increases agricultural productivity<\/a>. We should therefore be very happy with more CO\u2082.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  4. Climate change and environmental pollution should not be lumped together. Apart from the fact that it is factually incorrect, it makes climate policy unnecessarily complex. Climate change requires adaptation technology, and environmental pollution requires clean production technology. Therefore, impoverishing the population through pointless climate policies and unaffordable energy prices is naive and immoral. Only a prosperous nation can invest in climate adaptation and produce fossil fuels and other fuels more cleanly!<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n

    New course in energy transition<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

    The above new course in climate policy will automatically lead to a completely different energy transition. Protesters, who want to abruptly stop using fossil fuels, show they have no idea what they are doing. If the use of fossil fuels stops at very short notice, modern society collapses. A transition, as the word suggests, is a gradual process. The energy of the future is clearly nuclear energy, consisting of a collection of well-positioned mix of large and small nuclear power plants. Practice shows unmistakably that supply-driven wind and solar energy can only play a niche role in our future energy system. After the election, the new Netherlands government must get to work on it quickly.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    In conclusion, we once again call on both climate worlds, alarmists and realists, not to fight each other, but to work together to build up more knowledge about the behaviour of the earth\u2019s climate and about the choice of our future energy systems.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    In the\u00a0first part\u00a0of this article, we argued that there is no climate crisis and politicians, climate researchers and journalists were urgently requested to stop scaring the hell out of the population and citing the results of dubious climate models. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":318000,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691818056,691818076,691818618,691818154,691818613,691828150],"class_list":{"0":"post-317992","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-climate-change","9":"tag-co2","10":"tag-energy-transition","11":"tag-net-zero","12":"tag-ngos","13":"tag-small-nuclear-power-plants","15":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/02788820.jpg?fit=2560%2C1600&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1kIU","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":269375,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=269375","url_meta":{"origin":317992,"position":0},"title":"Report: 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A talk that Dr. Clauser was due to give to the International Monetary\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"cancel culture\"","block_context":{"text":"cancel culture","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=cancel-culture"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/0139352-landscape-gallery.webp?fit=1080%2C720&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/0139352-landscape-gallery.webp?fit=1080%2C720&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/0139352-landscape-gallery.webp?fit=1080%2C720&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/0139352-landscape-gallery.webp?fit=1080%2C720&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/0139352-landscape-gallery.webp?fit=1080%2C720&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":317685,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=317685","url_meta":{"origin":317992,"position":4},"title":"The Honest Story of Climate Change: Part I: Weighed down by fear and intimidation.","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"15\/04\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"There is no climate crisis, even if politicians, climate institutes, and the media would have you believe there is. Climate change is a fact, but it is a change as in everything changes, both inside and outside our atmosphere. No surprise! We will show that we should not turn climate\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/5f3c4f30cb34dc2ac325aab70c566517.jpeg?fit=1200%2C673&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/5f3c4f30cb34dc2ac325aab70c566517.jpeg?fit=1200%2C673&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/5f3c4f30cb34dc2ac325aab70c566517.jpeg?fit=1200%2C673&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/5f3c4f30cb34dc2ac325aab70c566517.jpeg?fit=1200%2C673&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/5f3c4f30cb34dc2ac325aab70c566517.jpeg?fit=1200%2C673&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":207668,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=207668","url_meta":{"origin":317992,"position":5},"title":"The Guardian Stumbles into the \u201cTruthful Reporting\u201d Trap When it Comes to Climate Change","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"08\/07\/2022","format":false,"excerpt":"A recent\u00a0press release\u00a0about a study from The Ohio State University (OSU) titled \u201cScience coverage of climate change can change minds \u2013 briefly,\u201d states \u201c[a]ccurate beliefs fade quickly, especially if challenged.\u201d The Guardian\u00a0newspaper\u00a0covered the story, but they blew the \u201caccurate beliefs\u201d mantra in the first sentence of their story by stating:\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/0belief-system_180302794_s.jpg?fit=873%2C548&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/0belief-system_180302794_s.jpg?fit=873%2C548&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/0belief-system_180302794_s.jpg?fit=873%2C548&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/0belief-system_180302794_s.jpg?fit=873%2C548&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/317992","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=317992"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/317992\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":318002,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/317992\/revisions\/318002"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/318000"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=317992"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=317992"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=317992"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}

However, that did not stop them from jointly determining that the average global warming should not exceed the \u201cdisastrous\u201d limit of 1.5\u00b0C! Since then, the Paris Agreement has been sacrosanct. When we talk about climate policy, we talk about \u2018meeting the Paris Accord\u2019. So, scientific content has completely disappeared from the climate debate and is replaced with an arbitrary<\/a> political goal! Illustration 6 shows that the average annual temperature difference between Singapore and Oslo is about 22\u00b0C. Despite Singapore being 22\u00b0C warmer than Oslo, both cities are very prosperous. So, what does the 1.5\u00b0C Paris disaster limit represent?<\/p>\n\n\n\n