{"id":313032,"date":"2024-03-26T07:32:48","date_gmt":"2024-03-26T06:32:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=313032"},"modified":"2024-03-26T07:32:50","modified_gmt":"2024-03-26T06:32:50","slug":"new-report-explodes-myth-that-extreme-weather-is-getting-worse","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=313032","title":{"rendered":"New Report Explodes Myth That \u2018Extreme Weather\u2019 is Getting Worse"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"407\" data-attachment-id=\"313036\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=313036\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/00wp4555644.jpg?fit=2560%2C1440&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"2560,1440\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"00wp4555644\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/00wp4555644.jpg?fit=723%2C407&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/00wp4555644.jpg?resize=723%2C407&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-313036\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/00wp4555644.jpg?resize=1024%2C576&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/00wp4555644.jpg?resize=300%2C169&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/00wp4555644.jpg?resize=768%2C432&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/00wp4555644.jpg?resize=1536%2C864&amp;ssl=1 1536w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/00wp4555644.jpg?resize=2048%2C1152&amp;ssl=1 2048w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/00wp4555644.jpg?resize=1200%2C675&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/00wp4555644.jpg?w=1446&amp;ssl=1 1446w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/00wp4555644.jpg?w=2169&amp;ssl=1 2169w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">From <a href=\"https:\/\/dailysceptic.org\/2024\/03\/24\/new-report-explodes-myth-that-extreme-weather-is-getting-worse\/#comments\">The Daily Sceptic<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">BY\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/dailysceptic.org\/author\/chris-morrison\/\">CHRIS MORRISON<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Rising media star \u2018Jim\u2019 Dale (real name Noel Roger Dale) from British Weather Services (limited company&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/companycheck.co.uk\/company\/02854786\/BWS-BRITISH-WEATHER-SERVICES-LIMITED\/companies-house-data\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">dissolved<\/a>) with a 40-year old proficiency certificate in thermometer reading from the Royal Navy can be relied upon to turn almost every bad weather event into the harbinger of complete&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/newa.expert\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/E4323.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">climate collapse<\/a>. Whatever the data thrown at him disproving his barking claims, \u2018Jim\u2019 carries on regardless. It is a comic&nbsp;<em>tour de force<\/em>,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/results?search_query=paul+burgess%2C+jim+dale\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">not to be missed<\/a>. Unfortunately this \u2018Daleification\u2019 of climate change is common throughout mainstream media. A recent&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.thegwpf.org\/content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/History-Weather-Extremes.pdf?mc_cid=8f46aa0c76&amp;mc_eid=c926002e71\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">extreme weather report<\/a>&nbsp;written by the physicist Dr. Ralph B. Alexander notes that much of the fault for the erroneous perception that such events are becoming worse can be attributed to the mainstream media, \u201ceager to promote the latest climate scare\u201d. He argues that the failure by climate reporters to put today\u2019s extremes in a true historical perspective \u201cis contributing to the belief that weather extremes are on the rise when they are not\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Published by the Global Warming Policy Foundation, Dr. Alexander argues: \u201cConstant repetition of a false belief can, over time, create the illusion of truth \u2013 a phenomenon well known to psychologists and one exploited&nbsp;by propogandists. The falsehood can even become a \u2018noble lie\u2019 when exploited for political purposes.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Of course, as regular readers of the&nbsp;<em>Daily Sceptic<\/em>&nbsp;are aware, bad or \u2018extreme\u2019 weather events are the main propaganda tools used to nudge global populations to accept the collectivist Net Zero project. It has long been realised that global warming doesn\u2019t inspire the required levels of instant fear with temperatures rising, falling and pausing in both the near, historical&nbsp;and paleoclimatic record, mostly out of line with whatever the trace gas carbon dioxide is doing. It is difficult to raise the required panic when there is little more to show for 40 years of gentle warming than slightly milder winters and a substantially greener planet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dr. Alexander brings a vital historical perspective to the subject. Drawing on newspaper archives, he gives multiple examples of past extremes that match or exceed anything experienced in the present day. Collective memories of extreme weather are \u201cshort-lived\u201d, he notes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">For instance, heatwaves of the past few decades pale into insignificance to those of the 1930s. The record shows that the heat wave was not just confined to the U.S. \u2018Dust Bowl\u2019 but extended throughout much of North America, as well as France, India and Australia. Major floods today are observed to be no more common&nbsp;nor deadly or disruptive than any of the thousands of floods in the past. Hurricanes overall have shown a decreasing trend around the globe, and the frequency of their landfalling has not changed for at least 50 years. The deadliest U.S. hurricane in recorded history killed an estimated 8-12,000 people in Galveston in 1900. As a comparison, the death toll of the category five Hurricane Ian, which deluged much of Florida in 2022 with a storm surge as high as Galveston, was just 156.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The biggest problem that Carry-on \u2018Jim\u2019 and the rest of mainstream media face in using extreme weather to push a political agenda is that the UN\u2019s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) \u00a0is lukewarm, or of \u201clow confidence\u201d, in attributing human involvement in a wide range of weather-related events.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"704\" data-attachment-id=\"313034\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=313034\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/image-352.png?fit=940%2C915&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"940,915\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image-352\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/image-352.png?fit=723%2C704&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/image-352.png?resize=723%2C704&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-313034\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/image-352.png?w=940&amp;ssl=1 940w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/image-352.png?resize=300%2C292&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/image-352.png?resize=768%2C748&amp;ssl=1 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The above table is published in the IPCC latest&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\/report\/ar6\/wg1\/downloads\/report\/IPCC_AR6_WGI_Chapter12.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">assessment report<\/a>&nbsp;and it shows there is little or no evidence that the following have been, or will be out to 2100, affected by human-caused climate change: river floods, heavy rain and pluvial floods, landslides, drought (all types), fire \u2018weather\u2019, severe wind storms, tropical cyclones, sand and dust storms, heavy snowfall and ice storms, hail, snow avalanche, coastal flooding and erosion, and marine heatwaves. As can be seen, this doesn\u2019t leave much for the alarmists to get their teeth into, but \u2018Daleification\u2019 takes care of that by just ignoring all the findings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Irritation with the caution of the IPCC has naturally led to a gap in the climate catastrophe market, and this explains the rise of so-called weather attribution studies. These use computer models to process imaginary atmospheres and come up with pseudoscientific findings claiming individual events are caused by humans. The best known, World Weather Attribution, is based at Imperial College, is funded by green billionaire Jeremy Grantham and is&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.imperial.ac.uk\/people\/f.otto\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">widely quoted<\/a>&nbsp;in the popular prints. In Dr. Alexander\u2019s view, the misconception that extreme events are on the rise is \u201cfurther amplified\u201d by these studies. \u201cSuch studies, while fashionable, use highly questionable methodology that has several shortcomings,\u201d he observes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In his excellent, well-researched report, Dr. Alexander goes back and quotes from many historical sources. The \u2018noble lie\u2019 is well covered in mainstream media, but, notes the author, \u201chistory tells a different story\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Chris Morrison is the&nbsp;<\/em>Daily Sceptic<em>\u2019s Environment Editor.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Published by the Global Warming Policy Foundation, Dr. Alexander argues: \u201cConstant repetition of a false belief can, over time, create the illusion of truth \u2013 a phenomenon well known to psychologists and one exploited\u00a0by propogandists. The falsehood can even become a \u2018noble lie\u2019 when exploited for political purposes.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":313036,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"jetpack_seo_schema_type":"","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_wpcom_ai_launchpad_first_post":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691819134,691819743,691818514,691821755,691822563,691818381,691820111,691818154],"class_list":["post-313032","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-climate-alarmism","tag-climate-propaganda","tag-extreme-weather","tag-fact-check","tag-gwpf","tag-ipcc","tag-mainstream-media","tag-net-zero","fallback-thumbnail"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1jqU","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":329294,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=329294","url_meta":{"origin":313032,"position":0},"title":"Fanatics Call for Climate \u2018Deniers\u2019 to Be Jailed","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"05\/17\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Comedy environmentalist Jim Dale and Dale Vince have both suggested that climate \u2018denial\u2019 should be a criminal offence. It gets them clicks and attention on cable and mainstream news, and it plays into a wider push by green billionaire-funded lawfare outfits using the courts to enforce Net Zero industrial shutdown.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"cancel culture\"","block_context":{"text":"cancel culture","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=cancel-culture"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/0Screenshot-2024-05-15-222433.jpeg?fit=1200%2C704&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/0Screenshot-2024-05-15-222433.jpeg?fit=1200%2C704&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/0Screenshot-2024-05-15-222433.jpeg?fit=1200%2C704&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/0Screenshot-2024-05-15-222433.jpeg?fit=1200%2C704&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/0Screenshot-2024-05-15-222433.jpeg?fit=1200%2C704&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":279931,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=279931","url_meta":{"origin":313032,"position":1},"title":"Climate of Alarm","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"09\/22\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Many people take the connection between climate change and extreme weather events \u2014 wildfires, hurricanes, tornadoes, etc. \u2014 for granted. 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change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/OIG-2023-08-15T141942.710.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/OIG-2023-08-15T141942.710.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/OIG-2023-08-15T141942.710.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/OIG-2023-08-15T141942.710.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":268401,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=268401","url_meta":{"origin":313032,"position":3},"title":"Wild Weather News Spreads Like\u00a0Wildfire","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"07\/19\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"World Weather Attribution and its alarming report were trumpeted by Time magazine, touted by the NOAA website Climate.gov , and featured by CBS News, CNBC, Scientific American, CNN, the Washington Post, USAToday, and the New York Times, among others.","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/OIG-38.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/OIG-38.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/OIG-38.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/OIG-38.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":267939,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=267939","url_meta":{"origin":313032,"position":4},"title":"Britain Set To Bask In Blistering 9-Week Heatwave (Or Maybe\u00a0Not!)","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"07\/17\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"It should be pointed out here that Jim Dale is one of the\u00a0nutters\u00a0who keep forecasting global warming armageddon, so he has zero credibility.","rel":"","context":"In \"Global warming\"","block_context":{"text":"Global warming","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=global-warming"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/image-513.png?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/image-513.png?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/image-513.png?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/image-513.png?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":422237,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=422237","url_meta":{"origin":313032,"position":5},"title":"Global warming \u2013 40 years of scaremongering","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"01\/20\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"It\u2019s true that global warming was invented in the early 1980s, a pet discovery of environmental activists. 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