{"id":312961,"date":"2024-03-25T20:19:54","date_gmt":"2024-03-25T19:19:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=312961"},"modified":"2024-03-25T20:19:57","modified_gmt":"2024-03-25T19:19:57","slug":"californias-electricity-disaster-in-seven-charts","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=312961","title":{"rendered":"California\u2019s Electricity Disaster In Seven Charts"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
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<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From Watts Up With That?<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By Robert Bryce\u2019s Substack<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Residential electricity prices jumped nearly 12% in 2023 and they are going higher. But the carbon intensity of power generation isn\u2019t falling and low-income ratepayers are subsidizing the rich.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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California\u2019s energy woes are getting worse. According to the latest numbers from the Energy Information Administration<\/a>, the state\u2019s residential electricity prices, already among the highest in America, jumped by 3 cents per kilowatt-hour last year, an increase of 11.9%. The average California homeowner now pays 28.9 cents per kilowatt-hour for electricity, which is the third-highest price in the U.S., behind only Connecticut and Hawaii.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Unfortunately, the 2023 price increases are only a hors d\u2019oeuvre. California\u2019s electric rates are headed for the exosphere<\/a>. As I explained last March in \u201cCalifornia Screamin<\/a>,\u201d in 2022:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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The California Public Utilities Commission unanimously approved a scheme that aims to add more than 25 gigawatts of renewables and 15 gigawatts of batteries to the state\u2019s electric grid by 2032 at an estimated cost of $49.3 billion<\/a>. In addition, the California Independent System Operator released a draft plan to upgrade the state\u2019s transmission grid at a cost of some $30.5 billion<\/a>. The combined cost of those two schemes is about $80 billion.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

Given the raging inflation in utility products, that $80 billion estimate is undoubtedly too low. Whatever the ultimate price tag, the state\u2019s aggressive alt-energy plans will inflict more economic pain on the low-income residents of a state with the dubious distinction of having the highest poverty rate in the United States<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From natural gas bans to aggressive alt-energy mandates and bans on vehicles with internal combustion engines, the Golden State provides a clear example of what not to do. While California\u2019s lunatic energy policy decisions go back decades, the most relevant regulations began in 2008. That\u2019s when, as McClatchy newspapers explained<\/a>:  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger signed an executive order calling on utilities to provide one-third of their power from renewable resources by 2020. \u201cThis will be the most aggressive target in the nation,\u201d he said. Increased reliance on renewable energy conceivably could hike future rates, however, because of higher production costs and the need to upgrade transmission facilities.<\/strong> Schwarzenegger\u2019s order came on the eve of today\u2019s international summit on global climate change in Los Angeles. (Emphasis added<\/strong>.)<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

These seven charts show how California\u2019s electricity policies have unfolded since 2008.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Chart 1<\/h4>\n\n\n\n
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The following chart uses a graphic created by Grant Chalmers<\/a>, who works in information technology at the University of Brisbane. It shows that despite the massive increases in wind and solar production, the carbon intensity of California\u2019s electric generation isn\u2019t falling. To be clear, total electricity use<\/em> in California is<\/em> falling. All-sector electricity use in the state fell 11.2% between 2008 and 2023. (Hat tip to Joe Toomey.) That reduction in power use has likely helped reduce the state\u2019s overall CO2 emissions, which, as seen in this December 14, 2023, California Air Resources Board report<\/a>, have declined since 2008. But California is nowhere near net zero, and the carbon intensity of electricity production hasn\u2019t budged in more than a decade.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Chart 2<\/h4>\n\n\n\n
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Meanwhile, the state\u2019s electricity prices are exploding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Chart 3<\/h4>\n\n\n\n
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Chart 4<\/h4>\n\n\n\n
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The following chart shows the latest figures from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Although the average price of residential electricity in California is 28.9 cents per kilowatt-hour, it\u2019s even more expensive in the state\u2019s biggest cities.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Chart 5<\/h4>\n\n\n\n
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A devastating February 8 report from The Public Advocates Office<\/a>, estimated that rooftop solar incentives in California will cost \u201ccustomers without solar an estimated $6.5 billion in 2024.\u201d The report is astonishing for its brevity and its findings. The office, which is part of the California Public Utility Commission, concluded that the cost of solar subsidies for ratepayers who don\u2019t have solar has nearly doubled since 2021. It explains: \u201cThe recent cost increases are driven by two main factors: (1) a surge in customers installing solar prior to the phase out of unsustainably lucrative program compensation terms, and (2) higher compensation to customers with rooftop solar for the excess energy their systems generate.\u201d The report goes on, saying the main incentive for homeowners to install rooftop solar is a program called net energy metering which compensates those homeowners for \u201cthe electricity they generate by more than seven times its relative value to the grid<\/em>.\u201d (Emphasis added.) It continues:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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The Public Advocates Office estimates Pacific Gas and Electric, Southern California Edison, and San Diego Gas & Electric customers without solar will pay an additional $6.5 billion in 2024 to support the program. In 2021, the cost was approximately $3.4 billion. Our analysis estimates that in 2024, more than 15% of the average household\u2019s electricity bill will go to subsidizing the program across all utilities if they do not have solar. The amount has trended upward in recent years: the program made up 8 to 17% of the average customer\u2019s bill in 2022, according to a prior CPUC estimate.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

On January 10, less than a month before the Public Advocates Office published its report on rooftop solar, the Legislative Analyst\u2019s Office sent a 16-page letter to Senator Maria Elena Durazo<\/a>, a Democrat from central Los Angeles, that detailed the myriad ways in which California\u2019s climate policies \u2014 in the words of The Two Hundred for Homeownership<\/a>, a non-profit group that advocates for low- and moderate-income communities \u2014 \u201cdisproportionately burden lower-income people.\u201d The letter found that the state\u2019s net metering policies for rooftop solar:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Have historically subsidized electricity costs for households with rooftop solar while raising them for everyone else and researchers note that NEM is one driver of high increases in residential electricity prices. The average customer without rooftop solar pays 10 percent to 20 percent on their electricity bills to subsidize rooftop solar on the homes of others<\/strong>. (Emphasis added<\/strong>.)<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

None of this should be surprising. I spotlighted the class divide over solar energy and the transfer of wealth from poor to rich in 2017 in the <\/a>Wall Street Journal<\/a><\/em>. I wrote:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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According to a study done for the California Public Utility Commission, residents who have installed solar systems have household incomes 68% higher than the state average. Ashley Brown, executive director of the Harvard Electricity Policy Group, calls the proliferation of rooftop solar systems and the returns they provide to lucky people like me, \u201ca wealth transfer from less affluent ratepayers to more affluent ones.\u201d It is, Mr. Brown says, \u201cRobin Hood in reverse.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

This graphic shows the change in effective solar subsidies between 2021 and 2024. Rooftop solar and net energy metering would have horrified Robin and other denizens of Sherwood Forest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Chart 6<\/h4>\n\n\n\n
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There\u2019s plenty of evidence the state\u2019s energy mandates are punishing low-income Californians. On March 10, Rob Nikolewski, a sharp-eyed reporter at the San Diego Union-Tribune<\/em>, published an article that began<\/a>, \u201cRoughly one-quarter of San Diego Gas & Electric customers are still behind on their monthly bills.\u201d He continued, saying that about 3.48 million California ratepayers had \u201cfallen behind on their monthly payments, as of January.\u201d He then quoted Mark Wolfe, the executive director at the National Energy Assistance Directors Association<\/a>, who said the numbers in California are \u201calarming.\u201d Wolfe added: \u201cThe underlying problem is energy is very expensive in California and it\u2019s not surprising to see people owing as much as they do.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Chart 7<\/h4>\n\n\n\n
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Given California\u2019s soaring energy costs and\u00a0exorbitant cost of living<\/a>, it\u2019s unsurprising that people are leaving for less-expensive pastures. In December,\u00a0the Census Bureau reported that California lost some 75,000 residents<\/a>\u00a0in 2023, an exodus surpassed only by New\u00a0 York, which lost about 102,000 people.\u00a0In January, Fox News reported<\/a>, \u201cFor the fourth year in a row, liberal\u00a0California\u00a0topped U-Haul\u2019s Growth Index list for having the largest net outbound movers in 2023.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Power Hungry Podcast Is On Hiatus<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

After nearly four years, 223 episodes, and over 900,000 downloads, I am putting the Power Hungry podcast on hiatus. I have enjoyed doing the podcast and sincerely appreciate everyone who came on the show or tuned in. My colleague, Tyson Culver \u2014 who also directed and produced our new docuseries, Juice: Power, Politics & The Grid<\/a><\/em> \u2014 has been a dependable podcast producer. But I\u2019ve been stretched too thin lately. So, I\u2019m hitting the pause button. I may come back to the podcast or I might start putting video content here on Substack. But those are decisions for another day. I look forward to having more time to focus on my speaking business and my writing here on Substack. Thanks to all of you who listened to the podcast.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Media Hits<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

1. Tyson and I were on the Pacific Research Institute\u2019s podcast, Next Round, this week, discussing our docuseries. It was a good chat. Click here to listen<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

2. Reporter John Moritz quoted me in a piece about the Texas grid that was published Monday<\/a> in the Austin-American Statesman<\/em>. John contacted me after reading my February 20, piece \u201cOut of Transmission Revisited<\/a>.\u201d I was glad to get quoted saying, \u201cThe number of line-miles of high voltage transmission over the last few years has been declining\u2026So these claims that we hear routinely that, \u2018Oh, we\u2019re just going to massively expand the grid.\u2019 No, that is not going to happen.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

3. David Staples of the Edmonton Journal <\/em>published an excellent piece yesterday<\/a> on the backlash against alt-energy in Canada and the U.S. He quotes me and mentions our new docuseries<\/a> and the Renewable Rejection Database.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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If you don\u2019t click that \u2661 button, you will be required to pay the electric bill at Arnold Schwarzenegger\u2019s mansion in Pacific Palisades<\/a>. (With apologies to Doomberg<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Residential electricity prices jumped nearly 12% in 2023 and they are going higher. But the carbon intensity of power generation isn\u2019t falling and low-income ratepayers are subsidizing the rich.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":312966,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691818068,691818076,691827841,691819691,691819094],"class_list":{"0":"post-312961","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-california","9":"tag-co2","10":"tag-electricity-disaster","11":"tag-electricity-prices","12":"tag-renewable-green-energy","14":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/006155a4e-4cc7-4b14-9e24-9c7466175282_2216x1242.jpg?fit=2216%2C1242&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1jpL","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":423726,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=423726","url_meta":{"origin":312961,"position":0},"title":"False, Everyday States, Prices Show Renewables Aren\u2019t \u2018Cheaper Than Fossil Fuels\u2019","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"29\/01\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Everyday States published an article claiming wind and solar power, but especially solar power, provide cheaper electric power than fossil fuels in various states. 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Government subsidized support for wind systems, solar arrays, and electric vehicles overwhelmingly benefits the wealthy members of society and rich nations.","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-756.png?fit=990%2C660&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-756.png?fit=990%2C660&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-756.png?fit=990%2C660&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-756.png?fit=990%2C660&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":244972,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=244972","url_meta":{"origin":312961,"position":3},"title":"Green Energy: Greatest Wealth Transfer to the Rich in History","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"22\/02\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"We are in the midst of history\u2019s greatest wealth transfer. Government subsidized wind systems, solar arrays, and electric vehicles overwhelmingly benefit the wealthy members of society and rich nations.","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-625.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-625.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-625.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-625.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-625.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":419506,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=419506","url_meta":{"origin":312961,"position":4},"title":"High electricity prices are a choice blue states make every day","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"02\/01\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"According to the latest available data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) for October 2025, the national average residential electricity price is 17.98 cents per kilowatt-hour (kWh). Prices vary significantly by state, ranging from 12.39 cents\/kWh in Louisiana to 39.74 cents\/kWh in Hawaii.","rel":"","context":"In \"California\"","block_context":{"text":"California","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=california"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/0AQPR6nTVEVtrvhK24efvmJ8ip8whPU-iRAYukX498GN1FRyEtsl8BK4DU5LPSKw5d2ZruS3gU0fi2VjSkdRtX3DWHJN3jXzQVfMFqyX0X3ev_veAyE-HGgl1PJOiGNgM-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C564&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/0AQPR6nTVEVtrvhK24efvmJ8ip8whPU-iRAYukX498GN1FRyEtsl8BK4DU5LPSKw5d2ZruS3gU0fi2VjSkdRtX3DWHJN3jXzQVfMFqyX0X3ev_veAyE-HGgl1PJOiGNgM-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C564&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/0AQPR6nTVEVtrvhK24efvmJ8ip8whPU-iRAYukX498GN1FRyEtsl8BK4DU5LPSKw5d2ZruS3gU0fi2VjSkdRtX3DWHJN3jXzQVfMFqyX0X3ev_veAyE-HGgl1PJOiGNgM-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C564&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/0AQPR6nTVEVtrvhK24efvmJ8ip8whPU-iRAYukX498GN1FRyEtsl8BK4DU5LPSKw5d2ZruS3gU0fi2VjSkdRtX3DWHJN3jXzQVfMFqyX0X3ev_veAyE-HGgl1PJOiGNgM-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C564&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/0AQPR6nTVEVtrvhK24efvmJ8ip8whPU-iRAYukX498GN1FRyEtsl8BK4DU5LPSKw5d2ZruS3gU0fi2VjSkdRtX3DWHJN3jXzQVfMFqyX0X3ev_veAyE-HGgl1PJOiGNgM-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C564&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":404829,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=404829","url_meta":{"origin":312961,"position":5},"title":"California\u2019s Latest Climate Theater: Newsom Signs Another Expensive Illusion","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"25\/09\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"According to CBS News, Newsom signs sweeping bills on climate, California energy affordability, oil production \u2013 Governor Gavin Newsom once again turned public policy into prime time, signing a sweeping set of bills last week under the domed ceiling of the Morrison Planetarium. The spectacle promised an all-in-one fix: cheaper\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"California\"","block_context":{"text":"California","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=california"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/0Screenshot-2025-09-25-101805.png?fit=1200%2C665&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/0Screenshot-2025-09-25-101805.png?fit=1200%2C665&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/0Screenshot-2025-09-25-101805.png?fit=1200%2C665&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/0Screenshot-2025-09-25-101805.png?fit=1200%2C665&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/0Screenshot-2025-09-25-101805.png?fit=1200%2C665&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/312961","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=312961"}],"version-history":[{"count":8,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/312961\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":312979,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/312961\/revisions\/312979"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/312966"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=312961"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=312961"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=312961"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}