{"id":312201,"date":"2024-03-23T14:59:36","date_gmt":"2024-03-23T13:59:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=312201"},"modified":"2024-03-23T14:59:38","modified_gmt":"2024-03-23T13:59:38","slug":"the-aps-coverage-of-uns-climate-red-alert-is-nothing-more-than-a-red-herring","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=312201","title":{"rendered":"The AP\u2019s Coverage of UN\u2019s \u2018Climate Red Alert\u2019 Is Nothing More Than a Red Herring"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From ClimateRealism<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By Anthony Watts<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Associated Press (AP) ran a story claiming that a \u201cred alert\u201d was issued by The United Nations (UN) weather agency, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO), which claimed that global temperature in 2023 set new records due to human caused climate change, and expectations that new record high temperatures would be set in 2024. The story is misleading at the very least. It is based on a false premise, because the UN didn\u2019t reference historical nor current real-world data before issuing the report that the AP story touted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

On March 19th<\/sup>, the AP carried a story, titled UN weather agency issues \u2018red alert\u2019 on climate change after record heat, ice-melt increases in 2023<\/a>. The story begins with this:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.N. weather agency is sounding a \u201cred alert\u201d about global warming, citing record-smashing increases last year in greenhouse gases, land and water temperatures, and melting of glaciers and sea ice, and is warning that the world\u2019s efforts to reverse the trend have been inadequate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The World Meteorological Organization said there is a \u201chigh probability\u201d that 2024 will be another record-hot year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The AP\u2019s story is based upon the \u201cState of the Climate\u201d report issued by the UN<\/a>, which states:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The WMO report confirmed that 2023 was the warmest year on record, with the global average near-surface temperature at 1.45 \u00b0Celsius (with a margin of uncertainty of \u00b1 0.12 \u00b0C) above the pre-industrial baseline. It was the warmest ten-year period on record.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cSirens are blaring across all major indicators\u2026 Some records aren\u2019t just chart-topping, they\u2019re chart-busting. And changes are speeding-up.\u201d said United Nations Secretary-General Ant\u00f3nio Guterres<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The shift from La Ni\u00f1a to El Ni\u00f1o conditions in the middle of 2023 contributed to the rapid rise in temperature from 2022 to 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

That AP\u2019s claim of a high probability of a record warm year is already headed towards low probability territory even as the statement was issued. Had the WMO acted like meteorologists rather than climate alarm advocates, they would have noticed an inconvenient fact that never made their report: the El Ni\u00f1o which \u201ccontributed to the rapid rise in temperature from 2022 to 2023,\u201d is on the way to the cooler La Ni\u00f1a phase already. This is shown in the data informing the Figure 1 below\u00a0from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration:<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
Figure 1, actual and forecast data for sea surface temperature in the Pacific Ocean region known as 3.4, which is scientifically accepted as an El Ni\u00f1o indicator. Graph plotted by NOAA\u2019s Climate Prediction Center.<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

In Figure 1 above, the solid black line is an indicator of the measured sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the Pacific Ocean. Notice that the peak occurred during the period of November 2023 through December and January of 2024. That was when the El Ni\u00f1o conditions in the Pacific Ocean were at their warmest. However, since then ocean temperatures have started to significantly decline and the forecast temperatures through October and November of 2024 are about 4.2\u00b0 below the peak temperature during the El Ni\u00f1o event.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Between the measured decline in SST temperature already and the forecast into 2024 this suggests that the claim of \u201chigh probability that 2024 will be another record-hot year,\u201d is almost certain to prove false.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The UN is conflating yearly weather patterns with long term climate change. The WMO itself defines climate as measured trends over a 30 year period, being an average of weather over 30 years<\/a>. A single year of warm temperatures means nothing in the long-term scheme of things for climate change. El Ni\u00f1o Is a pattern of weather in the Pacific Ocean that has been going on for millennia which changes from year to year. As described in Climate at a Glance: El Ni\u00f1o and Global Warming<\/a>,<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to NOAA<\/a>: \u201cEl Ni\u00f1o is a naturally occurring climate pattern associated with warming of the ocean surface temperatures in the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean, which can significantly influence weather patterns, ocean conditions, and marine fisheries worldwide.<\/em>\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In fact, records going as far back as 1876 show that many similarly sized El Ni\u00f1o events occurred, as seen in figure 2, below:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
Figure 2: Southern Oscillation Index timeseries from 1876 to October 2023. The Southern Oscillation is the atmospheric component of El Ni\u00f1o. The red events are generally associated with El Ni\u00f1o and the blue events with La Ni\u00f1a. CC BY-SA 4.0 Rainald62 via Wikipedia. Data Source: ftp:\/\/ftp.bom.gov.au\/anon\/home\/ncc\/www\/sco\/soi\/soiplaintext.html<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Given that we only have about 100 years of good temperature records for the globe and because the earth is billions of years old with naturally occurring events that we have no record of, it\u2019s certainly likely that particularly warm years caused by El Nino conditions have gone unnoticed and unrecorded. Creating a \u201cred alert\u201d alarm over a single year of warm temperatures driven by El Ni\u00f1o, especially since indicators show the driver is now on the way down, is not only irrational, it\u2019s an irresponsible red herring<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It certainly appears that 2024 will in fact be cooler than 2023. Given the WMO\u2019s and the media\u2019s past behavior, it\u2019s highly unlikely that the AP will issue a retraction or even a story mentioning that the forecast made by the U.N. failed to materialize in late 2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This is just another shameful episode of the media regurgitating irresponsible climate alarm claims without bothering to check the facts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The Associated Press (AP) ran a story claiming that a \u201cred alert\u201d was issued by The United Nations (UN) weather agency, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO), which claimed that global temperature in 2023 set new records due to human caused climate change, and expectations that new record high temperatures would be set in 2024. The story is misleading at the very least. It is based on a false premise, because the UN didn\u2019t reference historical nor current real-world data before issuing the report that the AP story touted.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":312210,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691819743,691827792,691819287,691818087,691827793,691827794,691821138],"class_list":{"0":"post-312201","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-climate-propaganda","9":"tag-climate-red-alert","10":"tag-el-nino-2","11":"tag-global-warming","12":"tag-the-associated-press-ap-2","13":"tag-the-united-nations-un","14":"tag-world-meteorological-organization-wmo","16":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/0climatecahnge-TA.webp?fit=2400%2C1800&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1jdv","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":259411,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=259411","url_meta":{"origin":312201,"position":0},"title":"No, AP, A 1.5\u00b0C Temperature Rise Won\u2019t Cause \u201c\u2026Death, Destruction and Damage\u201d","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"28\/05\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"With that sort of track record and big money driving the editorial decisions, truth seems to have taken a back seat to the \u201cdisasters for dollars\u201d plan at the AP.","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/0heatwave.jpg?fit=1080%2C676&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/0heatwave.jpg?fit=1080%2C676&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/0heatwave.jpg?fit=1080%2C676&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/0heatwave.jpg?fit=1080%2C676&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/0heatwave.jpg?fit=1080%2C676&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":411107,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=411107","url_meta":{"origin":312201,"position":1},"title":"The AP Gets Hurricanes Wrong, Again, Melissa\u2019s Intensity Is Not Proof of Climate Change","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"31\/10\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"In a widely published\u00a0Associated Press\u00a0(AP) article,\u00a0\u201cClimate change fuels Hurricane Melissa\u2019s rapid intensification to Category 5,\u201d\u00a0reporter Sibi Arasu claims that \u201cthe warming of the world\u2019s oceans caused by climate change helped double Hurricane Melissa\u2019s wind speed in less than 24 hours.\u201d This is highly misleading if not outright false. Scientific data\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Associated Press (AP)\"","block_context":{"text":"Associated Press (AP)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=associated-press-ap"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0Screenshot-2025-10-31-100804.png?fit=1200%2C718&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0Screenshot-2025-10-31-100804.png?fit=1200%2C718&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0Screenshot-2025-10-31-100804.png?fit=1200%2C718&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0Screenshot-2025-10-31-100804.png?fit=1200%2C718&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0Screenshot-2025-10-31-100804.png?fit=1200%2C718&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":438845,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=438845","url_meta":{"origin":312201,"position":2},"title":"It\u2019s the Sun, Sucker! WMO Report Accidentally Proves Solar Climate Dominance","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"11\/04\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Marcel Crok notes: \u201cUnintentionally, the WMO has also opened the door to another important factor (or rather, the most important factor) in the climate: the sun.\u201d","rel":"","context":"In \"sun\u2019s role\"","block_context":{"text":"sun\u2019s role","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=suns-role"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/0-Its-the-Sun-Sucker-WMO-Report-Accidentally-Proves-Solar-Climate-Dominance.jpg?fit=784%2C1168&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/0-Its-the-Sun-Sucker-WMO-Report-Accidentally-Proves-Solar-Climate-Dominance.jpg?fit=784%2C1168&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/0-Its-the-Sun-Sucker-WMO-Report-Accidentally-Proves-Solar-Climate-Dominance.jpg?fit=784%2C1168&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/0-Its-the-Sun-Sucker-WMO-Report-Accidentally-Proves-Solar-Climate-Dominance.jpg?fit=784%2C1168&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":417712,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=417712","url_meta":{"origin":312201,"position":3},"title":"Wrong Again PBS, UN Is Pushing Another False Climate Crisis Report","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"18\/12\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"A recent story on PBS NewsHour, \u201cUN says world must jointly tackle issues of climate change, pollution, biodiversity and land loss,\u201d by Tammy Webber of the Associated Press (AP), reports on a new UN \u201cGlobal Environment Outlook\u201d that repeats the false assertion that the Earth is nearing a global tipping\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Associated Press (AP)\"","block_context":{"text":"Associated Press (AP)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=associated-press-ap"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/AQPts7eAtCHuu0Guz1n8Xeo0HKjpAx7v_0PloAb9ol3VYXtw0LfKmKT7CshD-HMZjL1F1qg_0vkqAx1_95LQmiJPg8uQxoHWo_ISlKQlNOph69ZQsMBRknw-QShscQ.jpeg?fit=1200%2C680&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/AQPts7eAtCHuu0Guz1n8Xeo0HKjpAx7v_0PloAb9ol3VYXtw0LfKmKT7CshD-HMZjL1F1qg_0vkqAx1_95LQmiJPg8uQxoHWo_ISlKQlNOph69ZQsMBRknw-QShscQ.jpeg?fit=1200%2C680&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/AQPts7eAtCHuu0Guz1n8Xeo0HKjpAx7v_0PloAb9ol3VYXtw0LfKmKT7CshD-HMZjL1F1qg_0vkqAx1_95LQmiJPg8uQxoHWo_ISlKQlNOph69ZQsMBRknw-QShscQ.jpeg?fit=1200%2C680&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/AQPts7eAtCHuu0Guz1n8Xeo0HKjpAx7v_0PloAb9ol3VYXtw0LfKmKT7CshD-HMZjL1F1qg_0vkqAx1_95LQmiJPg8uQxoHWo_ISlKQlNOph69ZQsMBRknw-QShscQ.jpeg?fit=1200%2C680&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/AQPts7eAtCHuu0Guz1n8Xeo0HKjpAx7v_0PloAb9ol3VYXtw0LfKmKT7CshD-HMZjL1F1qg_0vkqAx1_95LQmiJPg8uQxoHWo_ISlKQlNOph69ZQsMBRknw-QShscQ.jpeg?fit=1200%2C680&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":434626,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=434626","url_meta":{"origin":312201,"position":4},"title":"No, Associated Press, This Southwest Heatwave Was Not \u2018Virtually Impossible\u2019 Without Climate Change","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"27\/03\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"A recent Associated Press (AP) story titled \u201cRecords shattered as summer heat hits Southwest in March; \u2018This is what climate change looks like\u2019\u201d claims the recent Southwest heatwave is the latest proof that climate change is driving \u201cultra extremes.\u201d This is highly misleading and unsupported by real-world data. 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Data show no long-term trend of increasing wildfires in any\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"ABC News\"","block_context":{"text":"ABC News","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=abc-news"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/0AQNLWjyzyIRjwRxNTTwUCKzV-jH2Wx1_cypEypPdW6K5e8Pt74kqyUEdP5mO2iwW6KNOKJKUiFuyc5dVy0dTObfYu50FivLLeZE_rco4C96GbggUwAg93k2vac1mBr1ldB9uFH4CJTBO6siuI2KHcepZPpM5-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/0AQNLWjyzyIRjwRxNTTwUCKzV-jH2Wx1_cypEypPdW6K5e8Pt74kqyUEdP5mO2iwW6KNOKJKUiFuyc5dVy0dTObfYu50FivLLeZE_rco4C96GbggUwAg93k2vac1mBr1ldB9uFH4CJTBO6siuI2KHcepZPpM5-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/0AQNLWjyzyIRjwRxNTTwUCKzV-jH2Wx1_cypEypPdW6K5e8Pt74kqyUEdP5mO2iwW6KNOKJKUiFuyc5dVy0dTObfYu50FivLLeZE_rco4C96GbggUwAg93k2vac1mBr1ldB9uFH4CJTBO6siuI2KHcepZPpM5-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/0AQNLWjyzyIRjwRxNTTwUCKzV-jH2Wx1_cypEypPdW6K5e8Pt74kqyUEdP5mO2iwW6KNOKJKUiFuyc5dVy0dTObfYu50FivLLeZE_rco4C96GbggUwAg93k2vac1mBr1ldB9uFH4CJTBO6siuI2KHcepZPpM5-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/0AQNLWjyzyIRjwRxNTTwUCKzV-jH2Wx1_cypEypPdW6K5e8Pt74kqyUEdP5mO2iwW6KNOKJKUiFuyc5dVy0dTObfYu50FivLLeZE_rco4C96GbggUwAg93k2vac1mBr1ldB9uFH4CJTBO6siuI2KHcepZPpM5-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/312201","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=312201"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/312201\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":312212,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/312201\/revisions\/312212"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/312210"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=312201"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=312201"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=312201"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}