{"id":306543,"date":"2024-03-08T13:25:55","date_gmt":"2024-03-08T12:25:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=306543"},"modified":"2024-03-08T13:25:58","modified_gmt":"2024-03-08T12:25:58","slug":"new-data-points-in-new-yorks-unfolding-energy-implosion","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=306543","title":{"rendered":"New Data Points In New York’s Unfolding Energy Implosion"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From The Manhattan Contrarian<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By Francis Menton<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The energy implosion set in motion by New York\u2019s Climate Leadership and Community Protection Act of 2019 (Climate Act) continues to unfold slowly. This week we have gotten a few more new data points. If you can read between the lines of wild spinning by the Governor and her team of bureaucrats, you will find that the scope of offshore wind projects moving forward with accepted bids has decreased by about two-thirds, while the price has just jumped by over 30%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

First, some background. The Climate Act sets several unachievable and impossible targets, the first of which is 70% of electricity from \u201crenewables\u201d by 2030. How to get there? The bureaucrats in charge of meeting the targets have no idea what they are doing, but they have established as a first goal to have some 9,000 MW of offshore wind turbines (nameplate capacity) up and running by some point in the 2030s. Does that sound like a lot? Current average demand in New York State is about 17,000 MW per this NYISO 2023 Report (at page 26)<\/a>, meaning that New York consumes about 150,000 [G]Wh of electricity in a year. (17 x 8760 (hours in a year) = 148,920). 9,000 MW of offshore wind turbines operating at a 30% annual capacity factor will generate 23,652 [G]Wh in a year (9 x 8760 x 0.3 = 23,652). That\u2019s less than a sixth of current consumption. And did I mention that they are also planning to increase demand by 50% or more by forcing the electrification of all automobiles and home heating and cooking? So the 9,000 MW of offshore wind turbines will provide maybe 10% of our electricity needs in the 2030s, at random and often useless times \u2014 and that\u2019s assuming that the turbines actually get built.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Forging ahead with its nonsensical and unworkable plan, in 2018-20 New York conducted a series of solicitations for bids from offshore wind developers to put up turbines in various sites off the coast of Long Island. Those solicitations resulted in accepted bids for close to half of the 9,000 MW goal. The big projects were named Sunrise Wind, Beacon Wind, and Empire Wind 1 and 2. Here is a map of where the turbine farms are to be located:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

As I reported in this post from October 5, 2023<\/a>, the prices that the State agreed to pay the developers after the auction were $110.37 per MWh for Sunrise Wind, and $118.38 per MWh for Empire Wind 1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But then in July 2023 essentially all the developers with accepted offshore wind development contracts backed out of the deals, and demanded price increases averaging about 50%. The Chair of the New York Public Service Commission, Rory Christian, reacted with outrage. My post of October 15, 2023<\/a> covered a report of Mr. Christian\u2019s reaction that had appeared in the New York Times. Excerpt:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mr. Christian added that the state\u2019s ratepayers, who would have borne the cost, could not serve as an \u201cunlimited piggy bank\u201d for companies to tap. \u201cWe have a deal,\u201d he said to the developers, calling on them to stand by the terms they agreed to.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sure. Here was my reaction to Mr. Christian:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Well, Rory, I\u2019ve got news for you: the developers aren\u2019t going to honor the deal. You\u2019re going to have to hold a new auction. And the prices that will be bid will be as high or higher than those just demanded by these developers.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

And, as I predicted, they proceeded to hold a new auction. By January, there was word that new bids had been received, but there was no information as to bidders or prices or awards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Which brings us to the latest news. Last Thursday, February 29, the big announcement appeared on the website of Governor Kathy Hochul, headline \u201cGovernor Hochul Announces Two Offshore Wind Project Awards, to Deliver Clean Power in 2026.\u201d<\/a> <\/strong>From the introduction:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Governor Kathy Hochul today announced the State has conditionally awarded two offshore wind projects from its fourth offshore wind solicitation \u2013 a planned 810-megawatt project, Empire Wind 1, (developed by Equinor) and Sunrise Wind, a planned 924-megawatt project (developed by Orsted and Eversource). The competitively selected projects will create more than 800 near-term family-sustaining construction jobs and invest $2 billion in near-term enhanced economic development statewide, including developer-committed investments to support disadvantaged communities. The projects, totaling over 1,700 megawatts of clean energy, will be the largest power generation projects in New York State in over 35 years once they enter operation in 2026, and will continue progress towards achievement of the State\u2019s Climate Leadership and Community Protection Act (Climate Act) goal to develop 9,000 megawatts of offshore wind energy by 2035.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Yes, it\u2019s all happy talk about how great this is. Here\u2019s some more:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cI promised to make New York a place for the renewable energy industry to do business, and we are delivering on that promise,\u201d Governor Hochul said. \u201cOffshore wind is foundational to our fight against climate change, and these awards demonstrate our national leadership to advance a zero-emissions electric grid at the best value to New Yorkers.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

And how about getting President Biden in on the credit:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cToday\u2019s announcement is the latest step forward as President Biden continues to deliver historic progress on growing the American offshore wind industry, creating good-paying union jobs, and advancing our ambitious climate and clean energy goals,\u201d said White House Deputy National Climate Advisor Mary Frances Repko.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dare we ask how much is actually getting built and at what cost? If you can get past the introductory happy talk, you will finally come to this:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The weighted average all-in development cost of the awarded offshore wind projects over the life of the contracts is $150.15 per megawatt-hour which is on-par with the latest market prices.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

And yet you will not find anywhere in this press release any mention of the prices of the previously accepted bids. But you read Manhattan Contrarian, so you know that the previously accepted prices were $110.37\/MWh for Sunrise Wind and $118.38\/MWh for Empire Wind 1. In other words, despite Mr. Christian\u2019s outrage, the prices have gone up by in excess of 30%. And this is for only 1700 MW of capacity. Previously they had accepted bids for 4300 MW of capacity, and plans for 9000 MW. 1700 MW of offshore wind capacity operating at a 30% +\/- capacity factor might provide 2% or so of New York\u2019s electricity needs in the 2030s, and at mostly uselessly intermittent times. What\u2019s happening with the rest of their big plans? No word here.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

And what does the cost here mean for consumer utility bills? You can divide the $150\/MWh by 1000 and quickly figure out that they are planning to pay $0.15 per kWh as a wholesale price for intermittent electricity at the source. Nothing is included in that for transmission upgrades, backup, or storage to make for a reliable 24\/7\/365 grid. By the time you add in those extra costs, as the percent of electricity from the wind turbines gets to around 50% it would be amazing if you could get electricity to the consumer for less than $0.50\/kWh. And if the percentage of electricity from the wind turbines goes well above 50%, then all bets are off. $1.00\/kWh? $2.00? Easily.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, the Energy Information Administration reports here in 2023 (page 6)<\/a> that the \u201clevelized cost\u201d of electricity from a new combined cycle natural gas plant is under $50\/MWh \u2014 for dispatchable power with no transmission upgrades, backup or storage needed. That translates into electricity to the consumer of well under $0.20\/kWh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Governor Hochul\u2019s press release actually includes a line as to the costs to the consumer of the newly accepted offshore wind farm bids:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The average bill impact for customers over the life of these projects under these awards will be approximately two percent, or about $2.09 per month.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Talk about deceptive. They give no methodology or assumptions as to how they came up with the cost figure. But it is obvious that it includes just the cost of blending into the grid the new power from these particular turbines, and otherwise using existing transmission lines and existing fossil fuel plants for the backup role. There is no effort whatsoever here or anywhere else in New York\u2019s propaganda to figure out how much it will cost the consumer for electricity when the grid has been converted to all renewables plus massive amounts of some kind of backup or storage that hasn\u2019t even been invented yet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Memo to Attorney General James: If you have any real interest in prosecuting people who lie about plans to supposedly achieve \u201cnet zero\u201d carbon emissions, here is the worst offender of all right under your nose.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The energy implosion set in motion by New York\u2019s Climate Leadership and Community Protection Act of 2019 (Climate Act) continues to unfold slowly. This week we have gotten a few more new data points. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":306549,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"The energy implosion set in motion by New York\u2019s Climate Leadership and Community Protection Act of 2019 (Climate Act) continues to unfold slowly. This week we have gotten a few more new data points. ","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691823454,691818154,691818867,691819565,691819094],"class_list":{"0":"post-306543","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-climate-act","9":"tag-net-zero","10":"tag-new-york","11":"tag-offshore-wind-projects","12":"tag-renewable-green-energy","14":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/00GettyImages-200416688-001.webp?fit=2079%2C1169&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1hKf","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":419641,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=419641","url_meta":{"origin":306543,"position":0},"title":"Hochul must reveal the \u201cruinous cost\u201d of the Climate Act","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"03\/01\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Governor Kathy Hochul should publicly disclose internal state assessments showing extremely high costs for fully implementing New York's Climate Leadership and Community Protection Act (CLCPA), enacted in 2019.","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate Act\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate 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target and 70% renewable energy in the electric system mandate will not be achieved.\u00a0","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate Leadership & Community Protection Act (Climate Act)\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate Leadership & Community Protection Act (Climate Act)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-leadership-community-protection-act-climate-act"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/AQOJ1Q8LHIbeIVPp_8QJp1ONwHJBJL71-EfXOwmWEFqwqaSs_4oR3KtG60CmARaAylIJZcnbLyIdKCvC13C4j3xlhN-apvilW_OZs0il69aKOkbFr99pXzoheGip-Gwo-1.png?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/AQOJ1Q8LHIbeIVPp_8QJp1ONwHJBJL71-EfXOwmWEFqwqaSs_4oR3KtG60CmARaAylIJZcnbLyIdKCvC13C4j3xlhN-apvilW_OZs0il69aKOkbFr99pXzoheGip-Gwo-1.png?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, 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Costs","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"03\/03\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Rebecca Lewis posted two City and State articles that cited evidence that the Hochul Administration recognizes that the Climate Leadership & Community Protection Act (Climate Act) is so expensive that the Governor appears ready to propose changes to the Climate Act to reduce the costly clean energy transition.","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate Leadership and Community Protection Act (CLCPA or Climate Act)\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate Leadership and Community Protection Act (CLCPA or Climate 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Here we are on April 7, and no budget has yet emerged. Word is that the Governor and legislative leaders are hidden away behind closed doors hammering out the details. Word also is that somewhere in this \u201cbudget\u201d\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Alliance for a Green Economy (AGREE)\"","block_context":{"text":"Alliance for a Green Economy (AGREE)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=alliance-for-a-green-economy-agree"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/0-New-Yorks-Climate-Activists-Not-Backing-Off.jpg?fit=1168%2C784&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/0-New-Yorks-Climate-Activists-Not-Backing-Off.jpg?fit=1168%2C784&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/0-New-Yorks-Climate-Activists-Not-Backing-Off.jpg?fit=1168%2C784&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/0-New-Yorks-Climate-Activists-Not-Backing-Off.jpg?fit=1168%2C784&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/0-New-Yorks-Climate-Activists-Not-Backing-Off.jpg?fit=1168%2C784&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":411725,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=411725","url_meta":{"origin":306543,"position":4},"title":"NY Politicians Face Climate Act Consequences","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"05\/11\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"There has been a new development for New York\u2019s Climate Leadership & Community Protection Act (Climate Act) net-zero plan. On Oct. 24, 2025, the New York Supreme Court issued a decision and order in a case pitting environmental organizations against the New York State Department of Environmental Conservation (DEC). The\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/0AQPUqJ2BPYmaGqwSShpVng-Y6DsMzqHe9L0-Uud2RerLLnhuZ0QhmbpJKcCrRXURNvMZWK107l8FRCtqa5eZuki6Nc637dOEVxsxdYbJwwFHDm2fpAvvPPne6QnD0Uw-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C597&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/0AQPUqJ2BPYmaGqwSShpVng-Y6DsMzqHe9L0-Uud2RerLLnhuZ0QhmbpJKcCrRXURNvMZWK107l8FRCtqa5eZuki6Nc637dOEVxsxdYbJwwFHDm2fpAvvPPne6QnD0Uw-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C597&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/0AQPUqJ2BPYmaGqwSShpVng-Y6DsMzqHe9L0-Uud2RerLLnhuZ0QhmbpJKcCrRXURNvMZWK107l8FRCtqa5eZuki6Nc637dOEVxsxdYbJwwFHDm2fpAvvPPne6QnD0Uw-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C597&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/0AQPUqJ2BPYmaGqwSShpVng-Y6DsMzqHe9L0-Uud2RerLLnhuZ0QhmbpJKcCrRXURNvMZWK107l8FRCtqa5eZuki6Nc637dOEVxsxdYbJwwFHDm2fpAvvPPne6QnD0Uw-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C597&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/0AQPUqJ2BPYmaGqwSShpVng-Y6DsMzqHe9L0-Uud2RerLLnhuZ0QhmbpJKcCrRXURNvMZWK107l8FRCtqa5eZuki6Nc637dOEVxsxdYbJwwFHDm2fpAvvPPne6QnD0Uw-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C597&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":236024,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=236024","url_meta":{"origin":306543,"position":5},"title":"New York Climate Act Scoping Plan Approved","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"24\/12\/2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Needless to say, I strongly endorse the statements of the three members who voted against the Scoping\u00a0Plan.","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/image-780.png?fit=1200%2C630&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/image-780.png?fit=1200%2C630&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/image-780.png?fit=1200%2C630&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/image-780.png?fit=1200%2C630&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/image-780.png?fit=1200%2C630&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/306543","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=306543"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/306543\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":306551,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/306543\/revisions\/306551"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/306549"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=306543"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=306543"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=306543"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}