{"id":305175,"date":"2024-02-27T19:14:52","date_gmt":"2024-02-27T18:14:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=305175"},"modified":"2024-02-27T19:14:55","modified_gmt":"2024-02-27T18:14:55","slug":"big-asian-chill-pushes-arctic-ice-over-15-wadhams","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=305175","title":{"rendered":"Big Asian Chill Pushes Arctic Ice Over 15\u00a0Wadhams"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"376\" data-attachment-id=\"305177\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=305177\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/0Screenshot-2024-02-27-190428.png?fit=1280%2C666&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1280,666\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"0Screenshot-2024-02-27-190428\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/0Screenshot-2024-02-27-190428.png?fit=723%2C376&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/0Screenshot-2024-02-27-190428.png?resize=723%2C376&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-305177\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/0Screenshot-2024-02-27-190428.png?resize=1024%2C533&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/0Screenshot-2024-02-27-190428.png?resize=300%2C156&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/0Screenshot-2024-02-27-190428.png?resize=768%2C400&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/0Screenshot-2024-02-27-190428.png?resize=1200%2C624&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/0Screenshot-2024-02-27-190428.png?w=1280&amp;ssl=1 1280w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">From <a href=\"https:\/\/rclutz.com\/2024\/02\/26\/big-asian-chill-pushes-arctic-ice-over-15-wadhams\/\">Science Matters<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">By\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/rclutz.com\/author\/ronaldrc\/\">Ron Clutz<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<span class=\"embed-youtube\" style=\"text-align:center; display: block;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"youtube-player\" width=\"723\" height=\"407\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/DEOB6we2yZo?version=3&#038;rel=1&#038;showsearch=0&#038;showinfo=1&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;fs=1&#038;hl=en-US&#038;autohide=2&#038;wmode=transparent\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" style=\"border:0;\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts allow-same-origin allow-popups allow-presentation allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox\"><\/iframe><\/span>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"566\" data-attachment-id=\"305179\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=305179\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/image-406.png?fit=1200%2C940&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1200,940\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image-406\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/image-406.png?fit=723%2C566&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/image-406.png?resize=723%2C566&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-305179\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/image-406.png?resize=1024%2C802&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/image-406.png?resize=300%2C235&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/image-406.png?resize=768%2C602&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/image-406.png?w=1200&amp;ssl=1 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">For ice extent in the Arctic, the bar is set at 15M km2. The highest daily average in the last 18 years occurs on day 61 at 15.08M before descending. Most years are able to clear 15M, but in recent previous years, 2017, 2018, 2019 and 2021 ice extents failed to clear the bar at 15M km2.&nbsp; On February 11, 2024 (day 42) Arctic ice extent already leaped over that bar 20 days early. Then extent dropped for several days, but has again topped 15 Wadhams with ice in Asian basins contributing greatly.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/rclutz.files.wordpress.com\/2024\/02\/febarc2024-048-to-056.gif\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/rclutz.files.wordpress.com\/2024\/02\/febarc2024-048-to-056.gif?w=723&#038;h=561&#038;fit=1000%2C561\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-35227\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The animation shows Pacific ice growth in the last week.\u00a0 Bering Sea on the right changed little, while Okhotsk in the center added ice down to N. Japan, and now well above 2023 March maximum.\u00a0 The ice patch in far left is the harbor close to Beijing where the Yellow Sea added 20K km2 ice extent in two days.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"434\" data-attachment-id=\"305181\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=305181\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/image-407.png?fit=936%2C562&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"936,562\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image-407\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/image-407.png?fit=723%2C434&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/image-407.png?resize=723%2C434&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-305181\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/image-407.png?w=936&amp;ssl=1 936w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/image-407.png?resize=300%2C180&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/image-407.png?resize=768%2C461&amp;ssl=1 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The graph shows the rapid rise in Arctic ice reaching 15 M km2 extent already on Feb. 11 (day 42)&nbsp; Then the extent dropped down to 14.6M before rising again to reach a new high of 15.07M. Yesterday Arctic ice was 215k km2 above average, with nearly all the surplus appearing in Okhotsk.&nbsp; SII showed neither the first peak or the current one in February.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The table shows the distribution of ice compared to day 56 averages and other years on that day.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td><strong>Region<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>2024056<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Day 56 Ave<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>2024-Ave.<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>2006056<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>2024-2006<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>&nbsp;(0) Northern_Hemisphere<\/td><td>15039168<\/td><td>14823967<\/td><td>215201<\/td><td>14318117<\/td><td>721051<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>&nbsp;(1) Beaufort_Sea<\/td><td>1070983<\/td><td>1070317<\/td><td>667<\/td><td>1069711<\/td><td>1273<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>&nbsp;(2) Chukchi_Sea<\/td><td>966006<\/td><td>964499<\/td><td>1507<\/td><td>961796<\/td><td>4210<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>&nbsp;(3) East_Siberian_Sea<\/td><td>1087137<\/td><td>1087109<\/td><td>28<\/td><td>1086702<\/td><td>435<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>&nbsp;(4) Laptev_Sea<\/td><td>897845<\/td><td>897837<\/td><td>8<\/td><td>897773<\/td><td>71<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>&nbsp;(5) Kara_Sea<\/td><td>925734<\/td><td>916917<\/td><td>8818<\/td><td>899871<\/td><td>25864<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>&nbsp;(6) Barents_Sea<\/td><td>598915<\/td><td>606693<\/td><td>-7778<\/td><td>484567<\/td><td>114348<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>&nbsp;(7) Greenland_Sea<\/td><td>742472<\/td><td>612727<\/td><td>129745<\/td><td>577357<\/td><td>165115<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>&nbsp;(8) Baffin_Bay_Gulf_of_St._Lawrence<\/td><td>1391601<\/td><td>1508331<\/td><td>-116730<\/td><td>1365491<\/td><td>26110<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>&nbsp;(9) Canadian_Archipelago<\/td><td>854860<\/td><td>853163<\/td><td>1697<\/td><td>852715<\/td><td>2145<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>&nbsp;(10) Hudson_Bay<\/td><td>1260903<\/td><td>1260462<\/td><td>441<\/td><td>1257077<\/td><td>3827<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>&nbsp;(11) Central_Arctic<\/td><td>3220834<\/td><td>3210037<\/td><td>10797<\/td><td>3214577<\/td><td>6257<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>&nbsp;(12) Bering_Sea<\/td><td>619130<\/td><td>665856<\/td><td>-46727<\/td><td>629210<\/td><td>-10080<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>&nbsp;(13) Baltic_Sea<\/td><td>85666<\/td><td>98767<\/td><td>-13101<\/td><td>101029<\/td><td>-15363<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>&nbsp;(14) Sea_of_Okhotsk<\/td><td>1282477<\/td><td>1028678<\/td><td>253799<\/td><td>853467<\/td><td>429010<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Note that moderate deficits in Bering Sea and Baffin Bay are more than offset by a large 254k km2 surplus in Okhotsk along with 130k km2 in Greenland Sea.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">These results fly in the face of those claiming for years that Arctic ice is in a \u201cdeath spiral.\u201d&nbsp; More sober and clear-eyed observers have called out the alarmists for their exaggerations.&nbsp; A recent example comes from&nbsp;<strong>Allan Alsup Jensen at Nordic Institute<\/strong>&nbsp;of Product Sustainability, Environmental Chemistry and Toxicology, Denmark.&nbsp; His December 2023 paper is&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/scienceofclimatechange.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/Astrup-Jensen-2023-Time-Trend-Arctic-Sea-Ice.pdf\"><strong>Time Trend of the Arctic Sea Ice Extent.<\/strong><\/a>&nbsp; Excerpts in italics with my bolds and added images.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\"><em><strong><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);color:#cf2e2e\" class=\"has-inline-color\">Since 2007 no significant decline has been observed<\/mark><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"271\" data-attachment-id=\"305183\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=305183\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/image-408.png?fit=1222%2C458&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1222,458\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image-408\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/image-408.png?fit=723%2C271&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/image-408.png?resize=723%2C271&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-305183\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/image-408.png?resize=1024%2C384&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/image-408.png?resize=300%2C112&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/image-408.png?resize=768%2C288&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/image-408.png?resize=1200%2C450&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/image-408.png?w=1222&amp;ssl=1 1222w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><em><strong>Abstract<\/strong><\/em><\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>The<strong>&nbsp;NSIDC<\/strong>&nbsp;website,&nbsp;<strong>IPCC\u2019s report<\/strong>s and some&nbsp;<strong>scientific papers have announced that the Arctic&nbsp;<\/strong><\/em><em><strong>Sea ice extent,<\/strong>&nbsp;when it is lowest in&nbsp;<strong>September<\/strong>&nbsp;month, in recent years&nbsp;<strong>has declined dramatically,&nbsp;<\/strong><\/em><em><strong>and<\/strong>&nbsp;in few decades the<strong>&nbsp;sea ice is supposed to disappear completely in the summer.<\/strong>&nbsp;In that way&nbsp;<\/em><em>new and shorter ships routes will open up north of the continents.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em><strong>The facts are<\/strong>, that the Arctic Sea ice extent measured by satellites since 1978 expresses annual\u00a0variations and it has\u00a0<strong>declined considerably from 1997 to 2007<\/strong>. However, before that time period,\u00a0<strong>from 1978 to 1996, the downward trend was minimal<\/strong>,<strong>\u00a0and<\/strong>\u00a0in the last 17 years\u00a0<strong>from 2007 to 2023\u00a0<\/strong>the downward trend has also been about<strong>\u00a0zero.<\/strong>\u00a0Therefore, there is<strong>\u00a0no indication that we should\u00a0expect the Arctic Sea summer ice to disappear completely<\/strong>, as predicted, in one or two decades.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"294\" data-attachment-id=\"305184\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=305184\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/image-409.png?fit=1133%2C461&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1133,461\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image-409\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/image-409.png?fit=723%2C294&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/image-409.png?resize=723%2C294&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-305184\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/image-409.png?resize=1024%2C417&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/image-409.png?resize=300%2C122&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/image-409.png?resize=768%2C312&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/image-409.png?w=1133&amp;ssl=1 1133w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Regarding the extent of the\u00a0<strong>summer (February) sea ice at the Antarctic<\/strong>, the downward trend during the years 1979-2021 was very small but in 2022 and 2023 a considerable decline was observed, and a decline was also clearly observed for the whole period of<strong>\u00a02007- 2023.<\/strong>\u00a0That was in contradiction to what happened in the Arctic. The pattern of the annual levels was not the same for the Arctic and Antarctic, indicating\u00a0<strong>different drivers in the North and the South.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"397\" data-attachment-id=\"305186\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=305186\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/image-410.png?fit=963%2C529&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"963,529\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image-410\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/image-410.png?fit=723%2C397&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/image-410.png?resize=723%2C397&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-305186\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/image-410.png?w=963&amp;ssl=1 963w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/image-410.png?resize=300%2C165&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/image-410.png?resize=768%2C422&amp;ssl=1 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em><strong>Figure 4: The minimum extent of the sea ice at Antarctic<br>in February month 1979-2023 (data\u00a0from NSIDC.org)<\/strong><\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>These data show that there is&nbsp;<strong>no apparent correlation between the variable extent of the Arctic&nbsp;<\/strong><\/em><em><strong>and the Antarctic Sea ice and the gradually increasing CO2-concentrations<\/strong>&nbsp;in the atmosphere as&nbsp;<\/em><em>proposed by NSIDC, IPCC and others, also for these areas of cold climate.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Postscript Feb. 14<\/strong><\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Some seek to deny the current plateau in Arctic Sea Ice by saying that extent measure is only surface, while volume would be a truer metric.&nbsp; That is true in theory, but in practice obtaining accurate and consistent data on sea ice thickness is a challenge yet to be reached.&nbsp; As you can imagine, detecting a depth dimension from satellites is fraught with errors, especially with drift ice not land anchored, moving around, sometimes piling up from winds.&nbsp; The scientific effort to measure volume has a short history and several uncertainties to ovecome before it can be trusted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Unfortunately for those wanting an ice free Arctic (well, no more than 1 Wadham they say), the volume record so far shows the same plateau:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>\u201cSatellite derived sea ice thickness (CryoSat 2, AWI algorithm v2.6) shows an anomaly thickness pattern very similar to that from PIOMAS, but CS2 shows negative anomalies propagating north of the Canadian Archipelago into the central Arctic while PIOMAS has neutral conditions there. A positive thickness anomaly around Wrangle Island is spatially more extensive in CS2. January 2024 adds another month to the record of<strong>\u00a0CS2 data<\/strong>\u00a0which now\u00a0<strong>spans 13 years<\/strong>.\u00a0<strong>Neither CS2 nor PIOMAS show any discernible trend over that time period<\/strong>\u00a0underlining the importance of internal variability at decadal timescales.<\/em>\u201d\u00a0 Source:\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/psc.apl.uw.edu\/research\/projects\/arctic-sea-ice-volume-anomaly\/\"><strong>Polar Science Center<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The\u00a0NSIDC\u00a0website,\u00a0IPCC\u2019s reports and some\u00a0scientific papers have announced that the Arctic\u00a0Sea ice extent,\u00a0when it is lowest in\u00a0September\u00a0month, in recent years\u00a0has declined dramatically,\u00a0and\u00a0in few decades the\u00a0sea ice is supposed to disappear completely in the summer.\u00a0In that way\u00a0new and shorter ships routes will open up north of the continents.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":305177,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"The\u00a0NSIDC\u00a0website,\u00a0IPCC\u2019s reports and some\u00a0scientific papers have announced that the Arctic\u00a0Sea ice extent,\u00a0when it is lowest in\u00a0September\u00a0month, in recent years\u00a0has declined dramatically,\u00a0and\u00a0in few decades the\u00a0sea ice is supposed to disappear completely","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691827239,691819671,691818990,691827257],"class_list":{"0":"post-305175","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-antarctic-ice-2","9":"tag-arctic-ice","10":"tag-arctic-sea-ice","11":"tag-asian-chill","13":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/0Screenshot-2024-02-27-190428.png?fit=1280%2C666&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1hob","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":343761,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=343761","url_meta":{"origin":305175,"position":0},"title":"2024 Arctic Ice Abounds at Average Daily\u00a0Minimum","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"19\/09\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"2024 extent of 4.58 is 1.3% over average, mainly due to surpluses in Chukchi and East Siberian seas.","rel":"","context":"In \"Arctic Ice\"","block_context":{"text":"Arctic Ice","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=arctic-ice"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/059829-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C794&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/059829-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C794&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/059829-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C794&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/059829-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C794&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/059829-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C794&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":324615,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=324615","url_meta":{"origin":305175,"position":1},"title":"Nature Publication: Researchers Find Arctic Region 10,000 Years Ago Warmer Than Today","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"29\/04\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Examined today is a paper appearing in the journal Nature Communications titled: \u201cSeasonal sea-ice in the Arctic\u2019s last ice area during the Early Holocene\u201d The authors looked at sea ice in the region of the Lincoln Sea, bordering northern Greenland and Canada, will be the final stronghold of perennial Arctic\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Arctic\"","block_context":{"text":"Arctic","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=arctic"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/0Melting_Sea_Ice.JPG_9iZp5pr.jpg?fit=1200%2C796&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/0Melting_Sea_Ice.JPG_9iZp5pr.jpg?fit=1200%2C796&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/0Melting_Sea_Ice.JPG_9iZp5pr.jpg?fit=1200%2C796&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/0Melting_Sea_Ice.JPG_9iZp5pr.jpg?fit=1200%2C796&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/0Melting_Sea_Ice.JPG_9iZp5pr.jpg?fit=1200%2C796&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":306686,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=306686","url_meta":{"origin":305175,"position":2},"title":"Arctic Sea Icecapades","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"09\/03\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"I see that the usual gloomy hype about arctic sea ice continues unabated. This has been going on for a while. Here\u2019s the dean of failed serial doomcasting, James Hansen, pontificating on the subject back in 2008.","rel":"","context":"In \"Arctic ice extent\"","block_context":{"text":"Arctic ice extent","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=arctic-ice-extent"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/0Arctic-sea-ice.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/0Arctic-sea-ice.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/0Arctic-sea-ice.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/0Arctic-sea-ice.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/0Arctic-sea-ice.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":338713,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=338713","url_meta":{"origin":305175,"position":3},"title":"\u00a0Summer Melting Has Plateaued: July Arctic Sea Ice Extent Hasn\u2019t Fallen In 17 Years!","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"07\/08\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"July Arctic sea ice area has been stable for 17 years. Nothing is melting anymore.\u00a0","rel":"","context":"In \"Arctic sea ice\"","block_context":{"text":"Arctic sea ice","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=arctic-sea-ice"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/0september-arctic-sea-ice-second-lowest-on-record-climate-change-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/0september-arctic-sea-ice-second-lowest-on-record-climate-change-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/0september-arctic-sea-ice-second-lowest-on-record-climate-change-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/0september-arctic-sea-ice-second-lowest-on-record-climate-change-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/0september-arctic-sea-ice-second-lowest-on-record-climate-change-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":389955,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=389955","url_meta":{"origin":305175,"position":4},"title":"West Arctic, NW Passage See 3rd Highest Sea Ice Extent In Over 2 Decades","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"20\/07\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"An analysis of summer sea ice areas in the West Arctic including the NW Passage\u00a0by\u00a0the Canadian government, shows that ice area levels remain above average.","rel":"","context":"In \"NW Passage\"","block_context":{"text":"NW Passage","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=nw-passage"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/OIG.dREC_.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/OIG.dREC_.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/OIG.dREC_.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/OIG.dREC_.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":397239,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=397239","url_meta":{"origin":305175,"position":5},"title":"600b tons of carbon emissions and Arctic Sea ice stays the same for 20 years","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"23\/08\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Since 2005, humans have emitted one third of all the emissions we\u2019ve ever put out \u2014 some 600 billion tons of CO2. Yet the Arctic Sea ice is the same as it was twenty years ago. And even though the modelers cling to the excuse that this is \u201cconsistent with\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Arctic\"","block_context":{"text":"Arctic","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=arctic"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/OIGP.5cJ.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/OIGP.5cJ.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/OIGP.5cJ.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/OIGP.5cJ.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/305175","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=305175"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/305175\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":305188,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/305175\/revisions\/305188"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/305177"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=305175"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=305175"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=305175"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}