{"id":302563,"date":"2024-02-18T10:43:32","date_gmt":"2024-02-18T09:43:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=302563"},"modified":"2024-02-18T10:43:34","modified_gmt":"2024-02-18T09:43:34","slug":"california-enjoys-the-northwests-water","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=302563","title":{"rendered":"California Enjoys the Northwest’s Water"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From The Cliff Mass Weather Blog<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Two years ago, media outlets were headlining strident messages that California had moved into a “megadrought” and that there was little hope for relief.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Story after story claimed that global warming had permanently changed the situation and that California’s reservoirs would remain unfilled.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Fast forward two years and these apocalyptic warnings appear more like a rendition of chicken-little than reliable climate science.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Massive rainfall has hit the Golden State, while we in the Northwest are enjoying a warmer-than-normal winter with less snowpack than normal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Below is the percent of average precipitation for the last month over the western U.S.\u00a0 Some parts of California have received over 400% of normal!<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

To illustrate the soggy California situation, below is the accumulated precipitation at Los Angeles since October 1 (the current water year). Brown indicates normal values.\u00a0 \u00a0LA is now running about 40% above normal<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Compare this to Seattle (below).\u00a0 We are slightly above normal.\u00a0 \u00a0Precipitation-wise we running nearly exactly on climatology.\u00a0 \u00a0That may surprise some.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

As I have described in several previous blogs, we are now experiencing El Nino conditions, which tend to make California very wet, while our area generally experiences near-normal precipitation.   <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The latest forecast of accumulated precipitation through Tuesday shows a continuation of the pattern with heavy precipitation expected in California.\u00a0 And yes….only modest precipitation over Washington.\u00a0 Oregon enjoys a piece of this wet bounty.<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

The origin of this wet situation is a strong El Nino low center off of Califonia, illustrated by the upper level (500-hPa pressure, about 18,000 ft) at 10 PM on Monday.\u00a0 The purple shading indicates an unusually strong low.\u00a0 I am getting tired of this pattern.<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

The current extended prediction of accumulated precipitation through April 1 by the European Center model suggests this pattern is not going away, with very wet conditions over California, but drier than normal in the Washington Cascades (see below).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

But what about the Northwest snowpack during the next few months?\u00a0 \u00a0 I will leave that to an upcoming blog.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Two years ago, media outlets were headlining strident messages that California had moved into a “megadrought” and that there was little hope for relief.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":302576,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"Two years ago, media outlets were headlining strident messages that California had moved into a \"megadrought\" and that there was little hope for relief.","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691818068,691818087,691826990,691826989],"class_list":{"0":"post-302563","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-california","9":"tag-global-warming","10":"tag-massive-rainfall","11":"tag-megadrought","13":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/0communities_bg.jpg?fit=1800%2C900&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1gI3","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":205107,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=205107","url_meta":{"origin":302563,"position":0},"title":"New Mexico Megadrought","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"20\/06\/2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Three days ago. \u201cHow New Mexico is learning to live with the megadrought\u201d\u201cThe American West hasn\u2019t seen a drought like the one its experiencing now in more than 1,200 years.\u201d How New Mexico is learning to live with the megadrought | On Point Today. \u201d flooding caused by excessive rainfall\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/0Image-2022-06-19-02-27-25.png?fit=841%2C880&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/0Image-2022-06-19-02-27-25.png?fit=841%2C880&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/0Image-2022-06-19-02-27-25.png?fit=841%2C880&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/0Image-2022-06-19-02-27-25.png?fit=841%2C880&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":213669,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=213669","url_meta":{"origin":302563,"position":1},"title":"Forecasting The Past","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"15\/08\/2022","format":false,"excerpt":"\u201cMegadrought may be the main weather concern across the West right now amid the constant threat of wildfires and earthquakes. 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