{"id":301633,"date":"2024-02-13T16:33:28","date_gmt":"2024-02-13T15:33:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=301633"},"modified":"2024-02-13T16:33:30","modified_gmt":"2024-02-13T15:33:30","slug":"strong-el-nino-conditions-prevails-at-the-end-of-january-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=301633","title":{"rendered":"Strong El Nino Conditions Prevails at The End of January 2024"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From Watts Up With That?<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Reposted from gujaraweather.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ashok Patel<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Enso Status on 10th February 2024<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

Ashok Patel\u2019s Analysis & Commentary :<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n

The classification of El Ni\u00f1o events, including the strength labels, is somewhat subjective and can vary among meteorological and climate agencies. There isn\u2019t a strict rule defining the specific number of consecutive Oceanic Ni\u00f1o Index (ONI) values that must be 2.0\u00b0C or above to categorize an El Ni\u00f1o event as \u201cSuper Strong.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In general, a strong El Ni\u00f1o event is often characterized by ONI values reaching or exceeding +2.0\u00b0C. A Super Strong El Ni\u00f1o would typically involve sustained ONI value of +2.0\u00b0C or more. Hence for ease of understanding and comparing the strength of various Strong El Nino events, I propose to define an El Nino as a Super Strong event if  three consecutive ONI index is +2.0\u00b0C or more.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A brief history of the past El Nino events with the number of consecutive ONI +2.0\u00b0C or above:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In the year 1965 the highest ONI index during that El Nino were SON +2.0\u00b0C, OND +2.0\u00b0C<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In the year 1972-73 the highest ONI index during that El Nino were OND +2.1\u00b0C NDJ +2.1\u00b0C DJF<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In the year 1982-83 the highest ONI index during that El Nino were SON +2.0\u00b0C, OND +2.2\u00b0C NDJ +2.2\u00b0C DJF +2.2\u00b0C<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In the year 1997-98 the highest ONI index during that El Nino were ASO +2.1\u00b0C SON +2.3\u00b0C, OND +2.4\u00b0C NDJ +2.4\u00b0C DJF +2.2\u00b0C<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In the year 2015-16 the highest ONI index during that El Nino were ASO +2.2\u00b0C SON +2.4\u00b0C, OND +2.6\u00b0C NDJ +2.6\u00b0C DJF +2.5\u00b0C JFM +2.1\u00b0C<\/p>\n\n\n\n

ONI Data has been obtained from CPC \u2013 NWS \u2013 NOAA available here<\/a>

<\/strong>There have been three Super Strong El Nino events from 1950 onwards till date. The first such event was 1982-83 Super Strong El Nino with 4 consecutive ONI +2.0\u00b0C or above with highest ONI of +2.2\u00b0C twice. The second Super Strong El Nino event was 1997-98 with five consecutive ONI +2.0\u00b0C or above with highest ONI of +2.4\u00b0C twice. The third Super Strong El Nino event was 2015-16 with six consecutive ONI +2.0\u00b0C or above with highest ONI of +2.6\u00b0C twice. The current forecast and analysis does not support the 2023-24 El Nino to become a Super Strong El Nino.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Indian Monsoon & Enso relationship for India:<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

Based on earlier more than 100 years weather Data for Indian Summer Monsoon, The Average Rainfall in an El Nino years is 94% of LPA while in La Nina Years it has been 106 % of LPA for the whole country. Monsoon Rainfall over India had been +94.4% of LPA at the end of 30th September 2023. El Nino or La Nina may affect the Monsoon differently for different Regions of India and warrants research for concrete co-relations for each region of India if any. Performance of Southwest Monsoon 2023 over the entire Country was much better than expected.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

How ONI is determined:<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n

The ONI is based on SST departures from average in the Ni\u00f1o 3.4 region, and is a principal measure for monitoring, assessing, and predicting ENSO. Defined as the three-month running-mean SST departures in the Ni\u00f1o 3.4 region. Departures are based on a set of further improved homogeneous historical SST analyses (Extended Reconstructed SST \u2013 ERSST.v5).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

NOAA Operational Definitions for El Ni\u00f1o and La Ni\u00f1a, El Ni\u00f1o: characterized by a positive ONI greater than or equal to +0.5\u00baC. La Ni\u00f1a: characterized by a negative ONI less than or equal to -0.5\u00baC. By historical standards, to be classified as a full-fledged El Ni\u00f1o or La Ni\u00f1a episode, these thresholds must be exceeded for a period of at least 5 consecutive overlapping 3-month seasons.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

CPC considers El Ni\u00f1o or La Ni\u00f1a conditions to occur when the monthly Ni\u00f1o3.4 OISST departures meet or exceed +\/- 0.5\u00baC along with consistent atmospheric features. These anomalies must also be forecast to persist for 3 consecutive months.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The\u00a0Climate Prediction Center<\/strong>\u00a0(CPC<\/strong>) is a United States Federal Agency that is one of the NECP, which are a part of the NOAA<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Latest Oceanic Nino Index Graph Shows
El Nino Conditions Are Prevailing At The End Of January 2024<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n
\"\"
The Table below shows the monthly SST of Nino3.4 Region and the Climate adjusted normal SST and SST anomaly from July 2021. Climate Base 1991-2020. ERSST.v5<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
Period<\/td><\/td> Nino3.4 <\/td>ClimAdjust<\/td><\/tr>
YR<\/td>MON<\/td>Temp. \u00b0C<\/td>  Temp. \u00b0C <\/td>ANOM   \u00b0C<\/td><\/tr>
2021<\/td>7<\/td>26.9<\/td>27.29<\/td>-0.39<\/td><\/tr>
2021<\/td>8<\/td>26.32<\/td>26.86<\/td>-0.53<\/td><\/tr>
2021<\/td>9<\/td>26.16<\/td>26.72<\/td>-0.55<\/td><\/tr>
2021<\/td>10<\/td>25.78<\/td>26.72<\/td>-0.94<\/td><\/tr>
2021<\/td>11<\/td>25.76<\/td>26.7<\/td>-0.94<\/td><\/tr>
2021<\/td>12<\/td>25.54<\/td>26.6<\/td>-1.06<\/td><\/tr>
2022<\/td>1<\/td>25.61<\/td>26.55<\/td>-0.95<\/td><\/tr>
2022<\/td>2<\/td>25.88<\/td>26.76<\/td>-0.89<\/td><\/tr>
2022<\/td>3<\/td>26.33<\/td>27.29<\/td>-0.97<\/td><\/tr>
2022<\/td>4<\/td>26.72<\/td>27.83<\/td>-1.11<\/td><\/tr>
2022<\/td>5<\/td>26.83<\/td>27.94<\/td>-1.11<\/td><\/tr>
2022<\/td>6<\/td>26.98<\/td>27.73<\/td>-0.75<\/td><\/tr>
2022<\/td>7<\/td>26.6<\/td>27.29<\/td>-0.7<\/td><\/tr>
2022<\/td>8<\/td>25.88<\/td>26.86<\/td>-0.97<\/td><\/tr>
2022<\/td>9<\/td>25.65<\/td>26.72<\/td>-1.07<\/td><\/tr>
2022<\/td>10<\/td>25.73<\/td>26.72<\/td>-0.99<\/td><\/tr>
2022<\/td>11<\/td>25.8<\/td>26.7<\/td>-0.9<\/td><\/tr>
2022<\/td>12<\/td>25.75<\/td>26.6<\/td>-0.86<\/td><\/tr>
2023<\/td>1<\/td>25.84<\/td>26.55<\/td>-0.71<\/td><\/tr>
2023<\/td>2<\/td>26.3<\/td>26.76<\/td>-0.46<\/td><\/tr>
2023<\/td>3<\/td>27.19<\/td>27.29<\/td>-0.11<\/td><\/tr>
2023<\/td>4<\/td>27.96<\/td>27.83<\/td>0.14<\/td><\/tr>
2023<\/td>5<\/td>28.4<\/td>27.94<\/td>0.46<\/td><\/tr>
2023<\/td>6<\/td>28.57<\/td>27.73<\/td>0.84<\/td><\/tr>
2023<\/td>7<\/td>28.31<\/td>27.29<\/td>1.02<\/td><\/tr>
2023<\/td>8<\/td>28.21<\/td>26.86<\/td>1.35<\/td><\/tr>
2023<\/td>9<\/td>28.32<\/td>26.72<\/td>1.6<\/td><\/tr>
2023<\/td>10<\/td>28.44<\/td>26.72<\/td>1.72<\/td><\/tr>
2023<\/td>11<\/td>28.72<\/td>26.7<\/td>2.02<\/td><\/tr>
2023<\/td>12<\/td>28.63<\/td>26.6<\/td>2.02<\/td><\/tr>
2024<\/td>1<\/td>28.42<\/td>26.55<\/td>1.87<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Indications and analysis of various International Weather\/Climate agencies monitoring ENSO conditions is depicted hereunder:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Summary by: Climate Prediction Center \/ NCEP  Dated 4th February 2024<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n

ENSO Alert System Status: El Ni\u00f1o Advisory<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n

El Ni\u00f1o conditions are observed.*<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

Equatorial sea surface temperatures (SSTs) are above average across the central and eastern Pacific Ocean.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The tropical Pacific atmospheric anomalies are consistent with El Ni\u00f1o.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

El Ni\u00f1o is expected to continue for the next several seasons, with ENSO-neutral favored during April-June 2024 (73% chance).*<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Note: These statements are updated once a month (2nd Thursday of each month) in association with the ENSO Diagnostics Discussion, which can be found by clicking\u00a0here<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Recent (preliminary) Southern Oscillation Index values as per The Long Paddock \u2013 Queensland Government.<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n

30 Days average SOI was 3.96 at the end of January 2024 and was -3.97 on 8th February 2024 as per The Long Paddock \u2013 Queensland Government and 90 Days average SOI was -4.64 on 8th February 2024. During January 2024 the SOI had become +3.96 and is -3.97 currently.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Southern Oscillation Index<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n

As per BOM, Australia<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The 30-day Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) for the period ending 31 January 2024 was 3.7 and was 0.7 on 4th February 2024 and is moving towards negative direction once again..
Sustained negative values of the SOI below \u22127 typically indicate El\u00a0Ni\u00f1o while sustained positive values above +7 typically indicate La\u00a0Ni\u00f1a. Values between +7 and \u22127 generally indicate neutral conditions.<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As per BOM \u2013 Australia 6th February 2024<\/strong>
El Ni\u00f1o has peaked and is declining<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n

ENSO Outlook<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Climate model outlooks suggest El Ni\u00f1o has peaked and is declining,\u00a0indicating a return\u00a0to neutral in the southern hemisphere autumn\u00a02024. The ENSO Outlook will remain at El\u00a0Ni\u00f1o status until this event decays, or signs of a possible La Ni\u00f1a appear.<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n

WUWT Editors\u2019 Note<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

On February 8th, NOAA issued a  La Ni\u00f1a Watch<\/a><\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

EL NI\u00d1O\/SOUTHERN OSCILLATION (ENSO)
DIAGNOSTIC DISCUSSION<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

issued by
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER\/NCEP\/NWS
8 February 2024<\/p>\n\n\n\n

ENSO Alert System Status: El Ni\u00f1o Advisory \/ La Ni\u00f1a Watch<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Synopsis: A transition from El Ni\u00f1o to ENSO-neutral is likely by April-June 2024 (79% chance), with increasing odds of La Ni\u00f1a developing in June-August 2024 (55% chance).<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

During January 2024, above-average sea surface temperatures (SST) continued across most of the equatorial Pacific Ocean [Fig. 1]. SST anomalies weakened slightly in the eastern and east-central Pacific, as indicated by the weekly Ni\u00f1o index values [Fig. 2]. However, changes were more pronounced below the surface of the equatorial Pacific Ocean, with area-averaged subsurface temperature anomalies returning to near zero [Fig. 3]. Although above-average temperatures persisted in the upper 100 meters of the equatorial Pacific, below-average temperatures were widespread at greater depths [Fig. 4]. Atmospheric anomalies across the tropical Pacific also weakened during January. Low-level winds were near average over the equatorial Pacific, while upper-level wind anomalies were easterly over the east-central Pacific. Convection remained slightly enhanced near the Date Line and was close to average around Indonesia [Fig. 5]. Collectively, the coupled ocean-atmosphere system reflected a weakening El Ni\u00f1o.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The most recent IRI plume indicates a transition to ENSO-neutral during spring 2024, with La Ni\u00f1a potentially developing during summer 2024 [Fig. 6]. Even though forecasts made through the spring season tend to be less reliable, there is a historical tendency for La Ni\u00f1a to follow strong El Ni\u00f1o events. The forecast team is in agreement with the latest model guidance, with some uncertainty around the timing of transitions to ENSO-neutral and, following that, La Ni\u00f1a. Even as the current El Ni\u00f1o weakens, impacts on the United States could persist through April 2024 (see CPC seasonal outlooks for probabilities of temperature and precipitation). In summary, a transition from El Ni\u00f1o to ENSO-neutral is likely by April-June 2024 (79% chance), with increasing odds of La Ni\u00f1a developing in June-August 2024 (55% chance; [Fig. 7]).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This discussion is a consolidated effort of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), NOAA\u2019s National Weather Service, and their funded institutions. Oceanic and atmospheric conditions are updated weekly on the Climate Prediction Center web site (El Ni\u00f1o\/La Ni\u00f1a Current Conditions and Expert Discussions). Additional perspectives and analysis are also available in an ENSO blog. A probabilistic strength forecast is available here. The next ENSO Diagnostics Discussion is scheduled for 14 March 2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To receive an e-mail notification when the monthly ENSO Diagnostic Discussions are released, please send an e-mail message to: ncep.list.enso-update@noaa.gov.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Climate Prediction Center
5830 University Research Court
College Park, Maryland 20740<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The classification of El Ni\u00f1o events, including the strength labels, is somewhat subjective and can vary among meteorological and climate agencies. There isn\u2019t a strict rule defining the specific number of consecutive Oceanic Ni\u00f1o Index (ONI) values that must be 2.0\u00b0C or above to categorize an El Ni\u00f1o event as \u201cSuper Strong.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":301642,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"The classification of El Ni\u00f1o events, including the strength labels, is somewhat subjective and can vary among meteorological and climate agencies. There isn\u2019t a strict rule defining the specific number of consecutive Oceanic Ni\u00f1o Index (ONI) values that ","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691821072,691826904,691819287,691826903,691818825,691826905],"class_list":{"0":"post-301633","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-climate-model","9":"tag-climate-prediction-center-cpc","10":"tag-el-nino-2","11":"tag-indian-monsoon","12":"tag-la-nina-2","13":"tag-sea-surface-temperatures-ssts","15":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/00el_nino_globe.v2.jpg?fit=1200%2C600&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1gt3","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":339497,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=339497","url_meta":{"origin":301633,"position":0},"title":"NOAA Criteria Suggest Full-Fledged La Ni\u00f1a Unlikely in 2024 \u2013 Even A Single La Ni\u00f1a Threshold Unlikely During the Indian Southwest Monsoon","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"13\/08\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Concluding from the above analysis, Enso Neutral conditions will prevail for JJA2024 and at the end of August, since only four months will be left in the current year 2024 full-fledged La Nina cannot be established, even if La Nina thresh hold is achieved in any of the four months\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate Prediction Center (CPC)\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate Prediction Center (CPC)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-prediction-center-cpc"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/0-La-Nina.jpeg?fit=1200%2C806&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/0-La-Nina.jpeg?fit=1200%2C806&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/0-La-Nina.jpeg?fit=1200%2C806&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/0-La-Nina.jpeg?fit=1200%2C806&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/0-La-Nina.jpeg?fit=1200%2C806&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":191877,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=191877","url_meta":{"origin":301633,"position":1},"title":"Ancient El Ni\u00f1os reveal limits to future climate projections","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"16\/03\/2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Unravelling the assumptions and the strange cause\/effect logic suggested by the article is a challenge here. They say they\u2019re looking for \u201eclues on how sensitive El Ni\u00f1o is to changes in climate\u201c, but \u201eif there\u2019s another big El Ni\u00f1o, it\u2019s going to be very hard to attribute it to a\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/00elninoconditions7180443_6ab92480be_o.jpg?fit=1200%2C923&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/00elninoconditions7180443_6ab92480be_o.jpg?fit=1200%2C923&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/00elninoconditions7180443_6ab92480be_o.jpg?fit=1200%2C923&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/00elninoconditions7180443_6ab92480be_o.jpg?fit=1200%2C923&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/00elninoconditions7180443_6ab92480be_o.jpg?fit=1200%2C923&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":312201,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=312201","url_meta":{"origin":301633,"position":2},"title":"The AP\u2019s Coverage of UN\u2019s \u2018Climate Red Alert\u2019 Is Nothing More Than a Red Herring","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"23\/03\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"The Associated Press (AP) ran a story claiming that a \u201cred alert\u201d was issued by The United Nations (UN) weather agency, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO), which claimed that global temperature in 2023 set new records due to human caused climate change, and expectations that new record high temperatures would\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"climate propaganda\"","block_context":{"text":"climate propaganda","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-propaganda"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/0climatecahnge-TA.webp?fit=1200%2C900&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/0climatecahnge-TA.webp?fit=1200%2C900&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/0climatecahnge-TA.webp?fit=1200%2C900&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/0climatecahnge-TA.webp?fit=1200%2C900&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/0climatecahnge-TA.webp?fit=1200%2C900&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":281130,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=281130","url_meta":{"origin":301633,"position":3},"title":"Researchers forecast strong El Ni\u00f1o and \u2018record-breaking\u2019 global surface temperatures in\u00a02023\u20132024","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"29\/09\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"FrTallbloke's Talkshop \u00a0September 29, 2023 by\u00a0oldbrew Climate alarmists have been waiting nearly 8 years, since the last significant El Ni\u00f1o, for another chance to claim natural climate variation as an expression of their chosen non-natural theories. Tremble \u2013 or not \u2013 as the study authors predict \u2018a cascade of climate\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/image-876.png?fit=1200%2C896&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/image-876.png?fit=1200%2C896&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/image-876.png?fit=1200%2C896&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/image-876.png?fit=1200%2C896&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/image-876.png?fit=1200%2C896&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":307678,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=307678","url_meta":{"origin":301633,"position":4},"title":"Wrong, Reuters and CNN, Coral Doing Well Amidst Modest Warming, Bleaching \u2260 Coral Death","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"13\/03\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Bleaching may occur, but history shows such events do not equal coral death, and the evidence suggests that the cause for any bleaching that occurs this year is a short-term spike in ocean temperatures due to natural El Ni\u00f1o patterns, not climate change.","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/0-Great-Barrier-Reef-12.jpg?fit=1200%2C676&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/0-Great-Barrier-Reef-12.jpg?fit=1200%2C676&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/0-Great-Barrier-Reef-12.jpg?fit=1200%2C676&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/0-Great-Barrier-Reef-12.jpg?fit=1200%2C676&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/0-Great-Barrier-Reef-12.jpg?fit=1200%2C676&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":308233,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=308233","url_meta":{"origin":301633,"position":5},"title":"Collapsing El Ni\u00f1o Spells End to Year-Long Bout of Climate Hysteria","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"14\/03\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"To be serious, the current strong and natural\u00a0El Ni\u00f1o\u00a0event is starting to dramatically collapse with critical ocean temperatures in the central tropical Pacific ocean falling from 2.1\u00b0C above normal in late November to 1.3\u00b0C. The collapse in temperatures is even more dramatic at the sub-surface 300 metre level. In the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"climate alarmism\"","block_context":{"text":"climate alarmism","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-alarmism"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/0E5uRkR1Z2mfwMxIA6dRF.jpg?fit=1200%2C600&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/0E5uRkR1Z2mfwMxIA6dRF.jpg?fit=1200%2C600&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/0E5uRkR1Z2mfwMxIA6dRF.jpg?fit=1200%2C600&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/0E5uRkR1Z2mfwMxIA6dRF.jpg?fit=1200%2C600&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/0E5uRkR1Z2mfwMxIA6dRF.jpg?fit=1200%2C600&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/301633","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=301633"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/301633\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":301644,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/301633\/revisions\/301644"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/301642"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=301633"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=301633"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=301633"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}