{"id":298649,"date":"2024-01-28T09:35:57","date_gmt":"2024-01-28T08:35:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=298649"},"modified":"2024-01-28T09:35:59","modified_gmt":"2024-01-28T08:35:59","slug":"hurricane-frequency-and-sunspots","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=298649","title":{"rendered":"Hurricane Frequency and Sunspots"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"543\" data-attachment-id=\"298653\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=298653\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image-445.png?fit=2262%2C1698&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"2262,1698\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image-445\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image-445.png?fit=723%2C543&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image-445.png?resize=723%2C543&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-298653\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image-445.png?resize=1024%2C769&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image-445.png?resize=300%2C225&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image-445.png?resize=768%2C577&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image-445.png?resize=1536%2C1153&amp;ssl=1 1536w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image-445.png?resize=2048%2C1537&amp;ssl=1 2048w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image-445.png?resize=1200%2C901&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image-445.png?resize=800%2C600&amp;ssl=1 800w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image-445.png?resize=600%2C450&amp;ssl=1 600w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image-445.png?resize=400%2C300&amp;ssl=1 400w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image-445.png?resize=200%2C150&amp;ssl=1 200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image-445.png?w=1446&amp;ssl=1 1446w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/image-445.png?w=2169&amp;ssl=1 2169w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">From <a href=\"http:\/\/Watts Up With That?\">Watts Up With That?<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">By Andy May<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Yesterday, Roger Pielke Jr. posted a plot of the 3-year frequency of global major hurricanes (he uses a simple count of them) created by Ryan Maue (@RyanMaue). Dr. Maue also posted this plot on his twitter feed&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/RyanMaue\/status\/1750008278279422145?s=20\">here<\/a>. I noticed it looked like an inverse sunspot plot and overlaid the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sidc.be\/SILSO\/datafiles\">SILSO<\/a>&nbsp;monthly sunspot count. In the figure, the blue is Maue\u2019s plot, and the orange is a plot of monthly SILSO sunspots. The correlation, or strictly speaking, the anti-correlation is obvious and very interesting. I don\u2019t think Ryan Maue\u2019s plot has been formally published yet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It appears that some extreme weather is influenced by changes in solar activity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"407\" data-attachment-id=\"298650\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=298650\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/0sunspots-and-hurricanes.jpg?fit=1280%2C720&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1280,720\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"0sunspots-and-hurricanes\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/0sunspots-and-hurricanes.jpg?fit=723%2C407&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/0sunspots-and-hurricanes.jpg?resize=723%2C407&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-298650\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/0sunspots-and-hurricanes.jpg?resize=1024%2C576&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/0sunspots-and-hurricanes.jpg?resize=300%2C169&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/0sunspots-and-hurricanes.jpg?resize=768%2C432&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/0sunspots-and-hurricanes.jpg?resize=1200%2C675&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/0sunspots-and-hurricanes.jpg?w=1280&amp;ssl=1 1280w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Figure 1. The blue line is Ryan Maue\u2019s 3-year cumulative count of major global hurricanes. The orange line is the simple monthly sunspot count from SILSO.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">OK, I\u2019ll speculate.<br>Sunlight penetrates deeply (up to 1,000 meters) into the ocean before it is absorbed. Greenhouse gas radiation cannot penetrate the ocean surface. The residence time of sunlight energy is longer as a result. This magnifies solar changes since Watt-for-Watt changes in sunlight matter more than changes in greenhouse gases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Storms are a function of temperature differences, when an imbalance (increase in energy storage) happens in the tropics at the top of the solar cycle, the temperature difference between the tropics and the mid-latitudes increases. This causes storminess and hurricanes to increase, the increase doesn\u2019t stop until the next solar minimum. Solar peaks appear to initiate an increase in storminess. Just a guess, take it for what it\u2019s worth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Sunlight penetrates deeply (up to 1,000 meters) into the ocean before it is absorbed. Greenhouse gas radiation cannot penetrate the ocean surface. The residence time of sunlight energy is longer as a result. This magnifies solar changes since Watt-for-Watt changes in sunlight matter more than changes in greenhouse gases.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":298650,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"Sunlight penetrates deeply (up to 1,000 meters) into the ocean before it is absorbed. Greenhouse gas radiation cannot penetrate the ocean surface. The residence time of sunlight energy is longer as a result. This magnifies solar changes since Watt-for-Wat","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691826571,691818988,691819041,691819083],"class_list":["post-298649","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-greenhouse-gas-radiation","tag-hurricane-frequency","tag-solar-cycle","tag-sunspots","fallback-thumbnail"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/0sunspots-and-hurricanes.jpg?fit=1280%2C720&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1fGV","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":299296,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=299296","url_meta":{"origin":298649,"position":0},"title":"A Curious Correlation -Sunspots vs. Major Hurricane Frequency","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"02\/01\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"How about the weather on the other planets in our solar system? Might it be influenced by galactic cosmic rays just like here on Earth? The clouds of Neptune captured by the Hubble Space Telescope were obtained over nearly 30 years over which is plotted the solar UV radiation during\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Cosmic Rays (CR)\"","block_context":{"text":"Cosmic Rays (CR)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=cosmic-rays-cr"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/0-The-clouds-of-Neptune.jpeg?fit=1172%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/0-The-clouds-of-Neptune.jpeg?fit=1172%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/0-The-clouds-of-Neptune.jpeg?fit=1172%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/0-The-clouds-of-Neptune.jpeg?fit=1172%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/0-The-clouds-of-Neptune.jpeg?fit=1172%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":366551,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=366551","url_meta":{"origin":298649,"position":1},"title":"Sun Rules Earth\u00a0Climate","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"02\/17\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Today we\u2019re talking again about\u00a0Grand solar minimum, but I also speak about a little bit of solar radiation and verification of the new solar\u00a0activity index we discovered with the existing one which is derived by average\u00a0Sunspot number.","rel":"","context":"In \"carbon dioxide (CO\u2082)\"","block_context":{"text":"carbon dioxide (CO\u2082)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=carbon-dioxide-co%e2%82%82"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/0Screenshot-2025-02-17-145119.png?fit=1200%2C676&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/0Screenshot-2025-02-17-145119.png?fit=1200%2C676&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/0Screenshot-2025-02-17-145119.png?fit=1200%2C676&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/0Screenshot-2025-02-17-145119.png?fit=1200%2C676&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/0Screenshot-2025-02-17-145119.png?fit=1200%2C676&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":345389,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=345389","url_meta":{"origin":298649,"position":2},"title":"Strongest Solar Flare Yet of Solar Cycle 25 Took Place Earlier Today\u2026CME To Strike This Weekend with Widespread Auroras Possible","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"10\/04\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Solar Cycle 25 is nearing its solar maximum and \u2013 as is typical during this phase of a solar cycle \u2013 there has been a lot of solar activity in recent weeks with numerous sunspots. The strongest solar flare yet during this current solar cycle took place earlier today with\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"AR3842\"","block_context":{"text":"AR3842","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=ar3842"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/solarfalare.webp?fit=975%2C970&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/solarfalare.webp?fit=975%2C970&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/solarfalare.webp?fit=975%2C970&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/solarfalare.webp?fit=975%2C970&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":377894,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=377894","url_meta":{"origin":298649,"position":3},"title":"The Sun\u2019s Little-Known 100-year \u201cGleissberg Cycle\u201d is Waking Up","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"05\/10\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Via\u00a0SpaceWeather.com\u00a0You\u2019ve heard of the 11-year sunspot cycle. But what about the Centennial Gleissberg Cycle? The Gleissberg Cycle is a slower 100-year modulation of sunspots. New research just published in the journal\u00a0Space Weather\u00a0suggests that the Gleissberg Cycle is waking up again, which could make solar cycles for the next 50 years\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"current Solar Cycle 25\"","block_context":{"text":"current Solar Cycle 25","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=current-solar-cycle-25"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/0solarflares.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/0solarflares.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/0solarflares.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/0solarflares.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/0solarflares.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":244862,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=244862","url_meta":{"origin":298649,"position":4},"title":"Sunspots In The Atmosphere","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"02\/22\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"First, this verifies that the two methods I\u2019m using, CEEMD and Fourier analysis, are both able to reliably find a solar signal in climate data if one exists.","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-604.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-604.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-604.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-604.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-604.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":367125,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=367125","url_meta":{"origin":298649,"position":5},"title":"Solar Activity Linked to Ocean\u00a0Cycles","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"02\/21\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"The surface-subsurface layers of the ocean that interact with the lower atmosphere alternately release and absorb heat energy.","rel":"","context":"In \"Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO)\"","block_context":{"text":"Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=atlantic-multidecadal-oscillation-amo"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/0bright-sun-shining-over-the-splendid-coastline-49903-2560x1600-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C750&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/0bright-sun-shining-over-the-splendid-coastline-49903-2560x1600-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C750&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/0bright-sun-shining-over-the-splendid-coastline-49903-2560x1600-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C750&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/0bright-sun-shining-over-the-splendid-coastline-49903-2560x1600-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C750&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, 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