{"id":297218,"date":"2024-01-19T17:28:46","date_gmt":"2024-01-19T16:28:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=297218"},"modified":"2024-01-19T17:28:49","modified_gmt":"2024-01-19T16:28:49","slug":"sheridan-shakes-the-texas-ercot-narrative-fossil-fuels-did-rescue-wind-solar","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=297218","title":{"rendered":"Sheridan Shakes the Texas\/ERCOT Narrative (fossil fuels did rescue wind\/solar)"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

By Robert Bradley Jr.\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

\u201cAll summed, thermal generation accounted for 66.1 GW (90.8%) and 66.7 GW (86.6%) of systemwide demand during these [conservation alert] periods on Monday and Tuesday. Yet, if one were to read the analyses of many industry analysts\/consultants and the media outlets that parrot them, it\u2019s wind and battery assets\u2026 like manna from heaven\u2026. that kept the lights on when things got tight.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

Doug Sheridan<\/a> speaks truth to power. He is one of many \u201cnon-experts\u201d who has become expert in climate and energy out of a basic sense of right-and-wrong versus the politically correct narrative.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In a recent post criticizing the mainstream view of wind and solar versus the reliables regarding the avoided blackouts in Texas by ERCOT, he provides<\/a> \u201chis take.\u201d The entire 480-word post follows:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Having exhausted all efforts to find good-faith analyses by competent power-industry professionals or media experts focused on the condition of the Texas grid at critical points during severe cold spells, we\u2019ve resorted to doing the analyses ourselves. Here\u2019s our latest\u2026

Given its current configuration, the \u201ccritical period\u201d (highest risk of blackouts) in winter months on ERCOT<\/a> is in the morning hours, just after most Texans start stirring and before the sun rises. On Monday and Tuesday of this week\u2014with the effects of Winter Storm Heather\u2014the critical period was at 7:50 AM each day.

With conservation notices covering the critical period on both days in place, system-wide demand during the critical period on Monday and Tuesday registered approximately 72.8 GW and 77.0 GW, respectively. At his time, demand was being met with 48.2 GW and 49.3 GW of gas-fired generation, representing approximately 66.2% and 64.0% of supply, respectively. This was augmented by 12.8 GW (17.6%) and 12.3 GW (16.0%) of coal-fired generation and 5.1 GW (7.0%) and 5.1 GW (6.6%) of nuclear generation, respectively.

All summed, thermal generation accounted for 66.1 GW (90.8%) and 66.7 GW (86.6%) of systemwide demand during these periods on Monday and Tuesday. Yet, if one were to read the analyses of many industry analysts\/consultants and the media outlets that parrot them, it\u2019s wind and battery assets\u2026 like manna from heaven\u2026. that kept the lights on when things got tight. Nothing could be farther from the truth.

To wit, solar contributed nothing at the critical period, as the sun had yet to rise across most of the state. And as they are prone to do during winter storms, wind assets contributed a paltry 5.1 GW (7.0%) and 9.0 GW (11.7%). Meanwhile, battery reserve, the new favorite of greens and in-the-tank energy reporters, contributed about 1 GW (1%) on both days. That\u2019s a grand total of 6.1 GW (8.4%) and 9.9 GW (12.9%), respectively.

If the implications are not yet clear, consider that at these days\u2019 utilization rates, Texas would have needed 839 GW of combined wind generation and battery capacity to have made it through Monday. The number is 636 GW for Tuesday. This compares to 86 GW and 91 GW of thermal capacity (assuming an 85% utilization rate) at the current mix of natural gas, nuclear and coal assets for both days. See the difference?

Texas officials and institutions are continuing a pattern that emerged in gov\u2019t during the pandemic. That is, in order to sooth their own anxieties resulting from their bad policies, they\u2019ve decided to scare the public into behaving in ways that meet their need to hide their incompetence. During Covid this came in the form of endless warnings, lockdowns, and school and business closures. On the grid, it comes in the form of frequent conservation notices, warnings of blackouts, higher power rates, and school and business closures. Not all that different, is it?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Compare this analysis to that of Doug Lewin<\/a>, spinning the facts and causality in the (paid) cause of climate alarmism and forced energy transformation, the subject of yesterday\u2019s post. Thank you Doug Sheridan, a great American indeed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The post\u00a0Sheridan Shakes the Texas\/ERCOT Narrative (fossil fuels came to the rescue)<\/a>\u00a0appeared first on\u00a0Master Resource<\/a>.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Doug Sheridan\u00a0speaks truth to power. He is one of many \u201cnon-experts\u201d who has become expert in climate and energy out of a basic sense of right-and-wrong versus the politically correct narrative.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":297221,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"Doug Sheridan\u00a0speaks truth to power. He is one of many \u201cnon-experts\u201d who has become expert in climate and energy out of a basic sense of right-and-wrong versus the politically correct narrative.","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691820976,691818228,691819094,691826402,691818577],"class_list":["post-297218","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-electric-reliability-council-of-texas-ercot","tag-fossil-fuels","tag-renewable-green-energy","tag-risk-of-blackouts","tag-texas","fallback-thumbnail"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/010341379_021521-ktrk-houston-snow-pg-12-img.jpg?fit=1280%2C720&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1fjQ","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":253537,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=253537","url_meta":{"origin":297218,"position":0},"title":"The Unbearable Lightness of Renewables \u2013 In Time","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"04\/18\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Texas solar therefore works about as hard as a hardworking Frenchman, about 31 hours a week.\u00a0 German solar clocks an average of 18 hours a week, takes lots of vacation days, sick days and strikes occasionally.","rel":"","context":"In \"Battery\"","block_context":{"text":"Battery","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=battery"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0Net-Zero-Infographic-1.6.jpg?fit=1200%2C626&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0Net-Zero-Infographic-1.6.jpg?fit=1200%2C626&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0Net-Zero-Infographic-1.6.jpg?fit=1200%2C626&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0Net-Zero-Infographic-1.6.jpg?fit=1200%2C626&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0Net-Zero-Infographic-1.6.jpg?fit=1200%2C626&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":276191,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=276191","url_meta":{"origin":297218,"position":1},"title":"The Wounded Texas Grid: Who\u2019s On First?","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"08\/29\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"The\u00a0Texas Electric Utility Restructuring Act of 1999\u00a0is approaching a quarter-century. 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