{"id":290628,"date":"2023-12-09T20:25:21","date_gmt":"2023-12-09T19:25:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=290628"},"modified":"2023-12-09T20:25:23","modified_gmt":"2023-12-09T19:25:23","slug":"your-clean-green-future-needs-another-80-million-km-of-high-voltage-lines","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=290628","title":{"rendered":"Your clean green future *needs* another 80 million km of high voltage lines"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"406\" data-attachment-id=\"290633\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=290633\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/00l-intro-1625516384.jpg?fit=1600%2C899&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1600,899\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;Shutterstock&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;Copyright (c) 2019 yelantsevv\/Shutterstock.  No use without permission.&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;High-voltage,Power,Lines.,Electricity,Distribution,Station.,High,Voltage,Electric,Transmission&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;1&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"High-voltage,Power,Lines.,Electricity,Distribution,Station.,High,Voltage,Electric,Transmission\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/00l-intro-1625516384.jpg?fit=723%2C406&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/00l-intro-1625516384.jpg?resize=723%2C406&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-290633\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/00l-intro-1625516384.jpg?resize=1024%2C575&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/00l-intro-1625516384.jpg?resize=300%2C169&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/00l-intro-1625516384.jpg?resize=768%2C432&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/00l-intro-1625516384.jpg?resize=1536%2C863&amp;ssl=1 1536w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/00l-intro-1625516384.jpg?resize=1200%2C674&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/00l-intro-1625516384.jpg?w=1600&amp;ssl=1 1600w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/00l-intro-1625516384.jpg?w=1446&amp;ssl=1 1446w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">From <a href=\"https:\/\/joannenova.com.au\/\">JoNova<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/joannenova.com.au\/2023\/12\/your-clean-green-future-needs-another-80-million-km-of-high-voltage-lines\/\"><strong>By Jo Nova<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"542\" data-attachment-id=\"290629\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=290629\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/image-196.png?fit=799%2C599&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"799,599\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image-196\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/image-196.png?fit=723%2C542&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/image-196.png?resize=723%2C542&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-290629\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/image-196.png?w=799&amp;ssl=1 799w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/image-196.png?resize=300%2C225&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/image-196.png?resize=768%2C576&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/image-196.png?resize=600%2C450&amp;ssl=1 600w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/image-196.png?resize=400%2C300&amp;ssl=1 400w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/image-196.png?resize=200%2C150&amp;ssl=1 200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Did they forget to mention a clean green planet is full of steel transmission lines?<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Recently the International Energy Agency (IEA) told the world off for not preparing the Earth for the transition they want to force upon us. Apparently, we should have paid attention and built the right grid and now, due to our laziness, we will have to rush in another 80 million kilometers of interconnectors by 2040. Just like that.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">All the high voltage lines we built in the last century, we have to build again in the next 17 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Remember, it\u2019s not their fault that renewables need far more land, more space, more back up and more infrastructure \u2014 it\u2019s our&nbsp; fault we didn\u2019t build a world ready for their holy energy. Those sacred wind and solar gifts cannot be bestowed upon us! We are unworthy:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.iea.org\/news\/lack-of-ambition-and-attention-risks-making-electricity-grids-the-weak-link-in-clean-energy-transitions\">IEA Lack of ambition and attention risks making electricity grids the weak link in clean energy transitions<\/a><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">First-of-its-kind global study finds the world must add or replace 80 million km of grids by 2040, equal to all grids globally today, to meet national climate targets and support energy security.<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Notice how these changes \u201care essential\u201d girls and boys, and you should have paid for them already. It\u2019s only half a trillion dollars a year for the next 7 years\u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Achieving all national climate and energy goals will require adding or replacing 80 million kilometres of power lines by 2040 \u2013 an amount equal to the entire existing global grid \u2013 according to a detailed country-by-country analysis carried out for the report. Major changes to how grids operate and are regulated are also essential, while annual investment in grids, which has remained broadly stagnant, needs to double to more than USD 600 billion a year by 2030.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Issues are already emerging. The report identifies a large and growing queue of renewables projects waiting for the green light to be connected to the grid, pinpointing 1 500 gigawatts worth of these projects that are in advanced stages of development. This is five times the amount of solar PV and wind capacity that was added worldwide last year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Just bill it to the wind and solar investors, says Jo Nova, and make them pay to put the lines underground so they don\u2019t pollute the forests and farms and start fires.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As Henry Geraedts said in the<a href=\"https:\/\/financialpost.com\/author\/specialfp\/\"><em>&nbsp;Financial Post<\/em>&nbsp;\u2014 80 million kilometers by 2040&nbsp;<\/a>is is enough to wrap around the globe 2,000 times. It\u2019s all so utterly improbable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And as Australian farmers say when\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/joannenova.com.au\/2023\/06\/who-needs-farmers-the-greens-create-10000-km-of-high-voltage-transmission-line-pain\/\">AusNet wants to build interconnectors across their farms<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"419\" data-attachment-id=\"290631\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=290631\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/image-197.png?fit=865%2C501&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"865,501\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image-197\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/image-197.png?fit=723%2C419&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/image-197.png?resize=723%2C419&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-290631\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/image-197.png?w=865&amp;ssl=1 865w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/image-197.png?resize=300%2C174&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/image-197.png?resize=768%2C445&amp;ssl=1 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Western Victorian Farmer<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Tell the children they\u2019ve been lied to. The Green future is an industrial wasteland of concrete and steel built to line the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/joannenova.com.au\/2023\/06\/who-needs-farmers-the-greens-create-10000-km-of-high-voltage-transmission-line-pain\/\">pockets of billionaires<\/a>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/joannenova.com.au\/tag\/bankers\/\">bankers<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Photo: Interconnectors by\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/commons.wikimedia.org\/wiki\/File:High_voltage_transmission_towers_-_Polder_Stein_-_Haastrecht_(25374398535).jpg\">Frans Berkelaar<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Recently the International Energy Agency (IEA) told the world off for not preparing the Earth for the transition they want to force upon us. Apparently, we should have paid attention and built the right grid and now, due to our laziness, we will have to rush in another 80 million kilometers of interconnectors by 2040. Just like that.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":290633,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"Recently the International Energy Agency (IEA) told the world off for not preparing the Earth for the transition they want to force upon us. Apparently, we should have paid attention and built the right grid and now, due to our laziness, we will have to r","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691825186,691825187,691820835,691819094],"class_list":{"0":"post-290628","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-clean-green-future","9":"tag-high-voltage-lines","10":"tag-international-energy-agency-iea","11":"tag-renewable-green-energy","13":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/00l-intro-1625516384.jpg?fit=1600%2C899&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1dBy","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":290904,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=290904","url_meta":{"origin":290628,"position":0},"title":"Net Zero Requires New High-Voltage Power Lines to be Wrapped Around the Earth 2,000 Times Within 17 Years","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"11\/12\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Achieving Net Zero means building 80 million kilometres of new and refurbished power lines within 17 years, equivalent to wrapping the Earth 2,000 times with new electricity grid capacity. All the high voltage lines built in the last century will need to be built again by 2040 to benefit from\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"COP28\"","block_context":{"text":"COP28","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=cop28"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/image-253.png?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/image-253.png?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/image-253.png?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/image-253.png?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":264789,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=264789","url_meta":{"origin":290628,"position":1},"title":"The IEA\u2019s \u2018Net Zero\u2019 Roadmap Analyzed","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"01\/07\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Tilak Doshi analyzed energy economics and related public policy issues.","rel":"","context":"In \"CO2\"","block_context":{"text":"CO2","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=co2"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/06840060930_010da67607_b-1.jpg?fit=1024%2C787&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/06840060930_010da67607_b-1.jpg?fit=1024%2C787&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/06840060930_010da67607_b-1.jpg?fit=1024%2C787&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/06840060930_010da67607_b-1.jpg?fit=1024%2C787&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":436861,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=436861","url_meta":{"origin":290628,"position":2},"title":"Climate Activists seek to impose COVID-style energy lockdowns","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"03\/04\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Marc Morano criticizes IEA\u2019s fuel consumption reduction guidance as \u2018climate agenda\u2019 \u2013 ClimateDepot.com executive editor Marc Morano discusses the International Energy Agency\u2019s (IEA) new guidance on reducing fuel consumption amid the war in the Middle East on \u2018The Bottom Line.\u2019","rel":"","context":"In \"climate activists\"","block_context":{"text":"climate activists","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-activists"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/0Morano-Covid-Climate-Lockdowns.jpeg?fit=1200%2C662&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/0Morano-Covid-Climate-Lockdowns.jpeg?fit=1200%2C662&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/0Morano-Covid-Climate-Lockdowns.jpeg?fit=1200%2C662&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/0Morano-Covid-Climate-Lockdowns.jpeg?fit=1200%2C662&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/0Morano-Covid-Climate-Lockdowns.jpeg?fit=1200%2C662&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":264508,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=264508","url_meta":{"origin":290628,"position":3},"title":"EPRINC report reveals IEA Net Zero Roadmap as a Green mirage","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"29\/06\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Two years ago, efforts by climate activists and Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) investors to block investment in oil and gas production by Western companies appeared to have received a seal of approval from no less an authority than the International Energy Agency (IEA), when it published\u00a0Net Zero by 2050:\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/0-Darkness.jpeg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/0-Darkness.jpeg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/0-Darkness.jpeg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/0-Darkness.jpeg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/0-Darkness.jpeg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":208283,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=208283","url_meta":{"origin":290628,"position":4},"title":"IEA\u2019s Fatih Birol: More Oil Now!","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"13\/07\/2022","format":false,"excerpt":"By Robert Bradley Jr.\u00a0 \u201cWe need the countries that have spare production capacity to tell the world they will be ready to bring more oil to the market. Saudi Arabia has proven that they are a responsible exporter. And I would be hopeful that they will once again show their\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/0FXhbp4cXkAAYSMB.jpg?fit=1200%2C628&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/0FXhbp4cXkAAYSMB.jpg?fit=1200%2C628&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/0FXhbp4cXkAAYSMB.jpg?fit=1200%2C628&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/0FXhbp4cXkAAYSMB.jpg?fit=1200%2C628&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/0FXhbp4cXkAAYSMB.jpg?fit=1200%2C628&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":285740,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=285740","url_meta":{"origin":290628,"position":5},"title":"Pielke Jr.: Going All in with Peak Fossil Fuels by 2030","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"30\/10\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"More generally, the issuance of a forecast by IEA contradicts everything we have learned about the perils of energy system forecasting. With rare exceptions, medium- and long-range forecasts become largely worthless in a matter of years, and often a few months after their publication. From Watts Up With That? 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