{"id":289970,"date":"2023-12-04T19:33:54","date_gmt":"2023-12-04T18:33:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=289970"},"modified":"2023-12-04T19:35:24","modified_gmt":"2023-12-04T18:35:24","slug":"global-co2-emissions-rise-through-2050-in-most-ieo2023-cases","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=289970","title":{"rendered":"Global CO2\u00a0emissions rise through 2050 in most IEO2023 cases"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"441\" data-attachment-id=\"289974\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=289974\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/00Screenshot-2023-12-04-192925-1.png?fit=1191%2C727&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1191,727\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"00Screenshot-2023-12-04-192925-1\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/00Screenshot-2023-12-04-192925-1.png?fit=723%2C441&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/00Screenshot-2023-12-04-192925-1.png?resize=723%2C441&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-289974\" style=\"width:760px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/00Screenshot-2023-12-04-192925-1.png?w=1191&amp;ssl=1 1191w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/00Screenshot-2023-12-04-192925-1.png?resize=300%2C183&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/00Screenshot-2023-12-04-192925-1.png?resize=1024%2C625&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/00Screenshot-2023-12-04-192925-1.png?resize=768%2C469&amp;ssl=1 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em><strong>We project that global energy-related CO<sub>2<\/sub>\u00a0emissions from consumption of coal, liquid fuels, and natural gas will increase over the next 30 years across most of the cases we analyzed in our\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.eia.gov\/outlooks\/ieo\/\">International Energy Outlook 2023<\/a>\u00a0(IEO2023).<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">From <a href=\"https:\/\/notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com\/\">NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"433\" data-attachment-id=\"289977\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=289977\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/00image-32-1.png?fit=968%2C580&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"968,580\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"00image-32-1\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/00image-32-1.png?fit=723%2C433&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/00image-32-1.png?resize=723%2C433&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-289977\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/00image-32-1.png?w=968&amp;ssl=1 968w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/00image-32-1.png?resize=300%2C180&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/00image-32-1.png?resize=768%2C460&amp;ssl=1 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">By Paul Homewood<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>By 2050, energy-related CO2 emissions vary between a 2% decrease and a 34% increase compared with 2022 in all cases we modeled. Growing populations and incomes increase fossil fuel consumption and emissions, particularly in the industrial and electric power sectors. These trends offset emissions reductions from improved energy efficiency, lower carbon intensity of fuel mix, and growth in non-fossil fuel energy.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em><br>IEO2023 analyzes long-term world energy markets in 16 regions through 2050. We studied seven cases that explore differing assumptions of economic growth, crude oil prices, and technology costs. These cases consider only the international laws and regulations adopted through March 2023 and rely on the U.S. projections published in the Annual Energy Outlook 2023 (AEO2023), which assumed U.S. laws and regulations as of November 2022.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.eia.gov\/todayinenergy\/detail.php?id=61024&amp;mc_cid=5f58d8297a&amp;mc_eid=4961da7cb1\">https:\/\/www.eia.gov\/todayinenergy\/detail.php?id=61024&amp;mc_cid=5f58d8297a&amp;mc_eid=4961da7cb1<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>We project that global energy-related CO2\u00a0emissions from consumption of coal, liquid fuels, and natural gas will increase over the next 30 years across most of the cases we analyzed in our\u00a0International Energy Outlook 2023\u00a0(IEO2023). From NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT By Paul Homewood By 2050, energy-related CO2 emissions vary between a 2% decrease [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":289974,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"We project that global energy-related CO2\u00a0emissions from consumption of coal, liquid fuels, and natural gas will increase over the next 30 years across most of the cases we analyzed in our\u00a0International Energy Outlook 2023\u00a0(IEO2023).","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691818287,691818076,691825021,691825023,691825022],"class_list":{"0":"post-289970","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-691818287","9":"tag-co2","10":"tag-energy-related-co2-emissions","11":"tag-ieo2023-analyzes","12":"tag-we-modeled","14":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/00Screenshot-2023-12-04-192925-1.png?fit=1191%2C727&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1dqW","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":351301,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=351301","url_meta":{"origin":289970,"position":0},"title":"Keir Starmer\u2019s Climate Madness","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"15\/11\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"I see that Mad Keir Starmer, the frontman for the grunge rock band performing at the current UN Climate Conference Of The Parties under the name of \u201cThe UK\u201d, has unilaterally declared that the UK will cut its CO2 emissions by 81% from 1990 levels by 2035. I do love\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"0.0007\u00b0C\"","block_context":{"text":"0.0007\u00b0C","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=0-0007c"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/cdbb2b18be80409d81f7b6c067225fef-1.jpg?fit=1194%2C669&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/cdbb2b18be80409d81f7b6c067225fef-1.jpg?fit=1194%2C669&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/cdbb2b18be80409d81f7b6c067225fef-1.jpg?fit=1194%2C669&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/cdbb2b18be80409d81f7b6c067225fef-1.jpg?fit=1194%2C669&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/cdbb2b18be80409d81f7b6c067225fef-1.jpg?fit=1194%2C669&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":332816,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=332816","url_meta":{"origin":289970,"position":1},"title":"How Much Warming Would Net Zero By 2050 Prevent?","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"14\/06\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"This article will briefly describe the two methodologies for answering the question \u201cHow much warming would net zero by 2050 prevent?\u201d Both approaches start by assuming that all nations (not just the West, against which the international climate accords are selectively targeted) move linearly together from their current emissions to\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"2050\"","block_context":{"text":"2050","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=2050"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/0Net-Zero-Web.jpg?fit=1200%2C721&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/0Net-Zero-Web.jpg?fit=1200%2C721&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/0Net-Zero-Web.jpg?fit=1200%2C721&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/0Net-Zero-Web.jpg?fit=1200%2C721&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/0Net-Zero-Web.jpg?fit=1200%2C721&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":187046,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=187046","url_meta":{"origin":289970,"position":2},"title":"The UN\u2019s IPCC: Programmed to Deceive Us All","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"11\/02\/2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Written by Climate Change Dispatch There is something very disturbing about the diagram below. It is from the\u00a0Summary for Policymakers\u00a0section of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report,\u00a0Climate Change 2021: The Physical Sciences Basis. It is the very last graph presented in that section and therefore could be viewed\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/0IPCC-logo-Alamy-1.jpg?fit=450%2C253&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":319323,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=319323","url_meta":{"origin":289970,"position":3},"title":"Net Zero CO2 Emissions: A Damaging and Totally Unnecessary Goal","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"21\/04\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"The goal of reaching \u201cNet Zero\u201d global anthropogenic emissions of carbon dioxide sounds overwhelmingly difficult. While humanity continues producing CO2 at increasing rates (with a temporary pause during COVID), how can we ever reach the point where these emissions start to fall, let alone reach zero by 2050 or 2060?","rel":"","context":"In \"CO2\"","block_context":{"text":"CO2","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=co2"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/0Mauna-Loa-NOAA-Observatory.jpg?fit=1200%2C733&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/0Mauna-Loa-NOAA-Observatory.jpg?fit=1200%2C733&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/0Mauna-Loa-NOAA-Observatory.jpg?fit=1200%2C733&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/0Mauna-Loa-NOAA-Observatory.jpg?fit=1200%2C733&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/0Mauna-Loa-NOAA-Observatory.jpg?fit=1200%2C733&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":335311,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=335311","url_meta":{"origin":289970,"position":4},"title":"Global CO2 Emissions are Tracking Well Below the Climate Scenarios Used to Scare People","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"02\/07\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"One of the main complaints rational people have had about global warming projections is that the \u201cbaseline\u201d scenarios assumed for future CO2 emissions are well above what is realistic. As Roger Pielke, Jr, has been pointing out for years, the U.N. IPCC continues to make these exaggerated scenarios a high\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"AR5 RCP scenarios\"","block_context":{"text":"AR5 RCP scenarios","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=ar5-rcp-scenarios"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/428cb5e678da63e8f316391bc0d6116d-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C695&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/428cb5e678da63e8f316391bc0d6116d-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C695&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/428cb5e678da63e8f316391bc0d6116d-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C695&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/428cb5e678da63e8f316391bc0d6116d-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C695&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/428cb5e678da63e8f316391bc0d6116d-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C695&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":283255,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=283255","url_meta":{"origin":289970,"position":5},"title":"Global fossil fuel use and CO2 emissions to rise through 2050, US EIA\u00a0projects","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"14\/10\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Energy security concerns hasten a transition from fossil fuels in some countries, although they drive increased fossil fuel consumption in others. From NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT By Paul Homewood The US EIA have just published their latest International Energy Outlook: In our International Energy Outlook 2023 (IEO2023),\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"CO2\"","block_context":{"text":"CO2","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=co2"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/0fossilfueldr.jpg?fit=1200%2C591&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/0fossilfueldr.jpg?fit=1200%2C591&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/0fossilfueldr.jpg?fit=1200%2C591&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/0fossilfueldr.jpg?fit=1200%2C591&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/0fossilfueldr.jpg?fit=1200%2C591&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/289970","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=289970"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/289970\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":289979,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/289970\/revisions\/289979"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/289974"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=289970"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=289970"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=289970"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}