{"id":289009,"date":"2023-11-28T12:54:21","date_gmt":"2023-11-28T11:54:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=289009"},"modified":"2023-11-28T12:54:24","modified_gmt":"2023-11-28T11:54:24","slug":"precipitation-data-refutes-the-experts-climate-crisis-claims-for-floods-and-droughts","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=289009","title":{"rendered":"Precipitation Data Refutes the \u201cexperts\u201d Climate Crisis Claims for Floods and Droughts!"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
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<\/a>By Jim Steele<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The alarmists\u2019 narrative:<\/strong> Wet regions will get wetter, and dry will get drier. They argue burning fossil fuels are warming the planet and increase evaporation. More water vapor causes more floods. More evaporation also dries the land causing more drought.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

What scientific data reveals:<\/strong> Kazemzadeh (2021), using satellite data, determined that about 88%<\/strong> of the earth\u2019s surface shows no trends in precipitation.<\/strong> (So, no warming effect?).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Of the small remaining percentage of areas with significant trends, 50% show more rain while 50% experience less rain. That balance suggests rainfall trends are simply due to changes in circulation patterns that re-distribute where water-vapor rains ou<\/strong>t. This is especially true over the oceans, where 90% of all evaporated ocean water-vapor rains-out back to the ocean. The global hydrological cycle shows that changes in precipitation over land depends on when and where moisture rains-out. Additionally, lost wetlands and lost vegetation can reduce the recycling of water on land and cause a negative precipitation trend.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite landscape changes and in contrast to alarmists\u2019 narratives, increasing rainfall trends are rare over the continents. Many droughts and floods are associated with El Nino\/La Nina oscillations<\/strong>. Our past 2 decades experienced more La Nina-like conditions that have caused more drought in western United States, while simultaneously increasing monsoon rainfall and floods over Asia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As a result the largest positive rainfall trend (shown in green) were observed in the highlands of Pakistan<\/strong> and northwest Indian region. Accordingly, alarmists opportunistically cherry picked the 2010 & 2022 Pakistan floods as proof of a climate crisis, and greedy governments demanded industrial nations pay for Pakistan\u2019s flood damage by falsely attributing the floods to burning of fossil fuels.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Yet again, the data refute the alarmists\u2019 attribution claims. Scientists who actually study this region\u2019s climate had concluded, \u201cthe 2010 Pakistan floods, although seemingly unprecedented, were well within natural variability<\/strong> of the monsoonal climate over the Indian subcontinent.\u201d \u201cA rapid transition from El Ni\u00f1o to La Ni\u00f1a between spring and summer of 2010 appears to be the key element in triggering a vigorous monsoon of 2010.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Furthermore Pakistan\u2019s flood and drought data since 1850 (middle panel) clearly show how it is ENSO that causes alternating decades of floods and droughts<\/strong>, not global warming, explaining why three of Pakistan\u2019s past seven droughts happened in the cooler 1800s<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But climate alarmists hate to attribute any extreme event to such natural oscillations<\/strong>. So, to maintain their CO2 crisis narrative, they shamelessly invented a brand-new climate dynamic, claiming CO2 warming is causing \u201cclimate whiplash\u201d.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

For details about the natural dynamics affecting Pakistan watch: ARE PAKISTAN\u2019S FLOODS YOUR FAULT AND SHOULD AMERICANS PAY?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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