{"id":287335,"date":"2023-11-09T19:44:38","date_gmt":"2023-11-09T18:44:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=287335"},"modified":"2023-11-09T19:44:40","modified_gmt":"2023-11-09T18:44:40","slug":"the-earth-is-warming-but-is-co2-the-cause-ouch-for-climate-alarmism","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=287335","title":{"rendered":"\u201cThe Earth Is Warming, but Is CO2 the Cause?\u201d (\u2018Ouch\u2019 for climate alarmism)"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Are computerized climate simulations a sufficient basis for attributing observed warming to human CO2? With the current level of knowledge, it seems impossible to determine how much of the temperature increase is due to emissions of CO2.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

From \u00a0Master Resource<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By Robert Bradley Jr.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

\u201cBy now, it\u2019s some people\u2019s job, if not personal vocation, to enact these rituals of denunciation simply because it helps prop up the green corporate welfare\u2026.\u201d (Holman Jenkins, below)<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

Holman W. Jenkins, a columnist at the Wall Street Journal,<\/em> is a straight-shooter on many things climate, including the blanks fired from alarmist science. Yes, he defends a CO2 tax, which is considered a \u201cmoderate\u201d position within the climate-industrial complex. (Even Homer nods.) But his November 3rd column <\/a>was powerful.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jenkins latest column coincides with a new book by Javier Vinos, Climate Puzzle: The Sun\u2019s Surprising Role<\/a><\/em>, summarized<\/a> at Judith Curry\u2019s Climate Etc.<\/a> [1]<\/strong> And the climate intelligentsia is upset with such upstream distractions when the downstream of their campaign, Net Zero, is on its last legs. Climate science? We are still stuck in 1980s, sorry to say, when it comes to climate sensitivity and the ecological impacts of anthropogenic warming.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014-<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Here are some quotations from Jenkins\u2019s recent article, \u201cThe Earth is Warming, but Is CO2 the Cause?<\/a>\u201d His inspiration was an incident where some top science and scientists ran afoul of Big State Science.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

If this column has ever plagiarized itself, it\u2019s by repeating the phrase \u201cevidence of warming is not evidence of what causes warming.\u201d A paper published by the Norwegian government\u2019s statistical agency, written by two of its retired experts, touching on this very subject has called forth so many shrieked accusations of climate apostasy that you know it must be interesting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The authors ask a simple question: Are computerized climate simulations a sufficient basis for attributing observed warming to human CO2? After all, the Earth\u2019s climate has been subject to substantial warming and cooling trends for millennia that remain unexplained and can\u2019t be attributed to fossil fuels.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As statisticians, their conclusion: \u201cWith the current level of knowledge, it seems impossible to determine how much of the temperature increase is due to emissions of CO2.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Wow. For all the abuse dumped on them for this modest observation\u2026. The correlation-to-causation puzzle is hardly the authors\u2019 invention, having bedeviled the oracular Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change since its founding in 1988.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But unrestrained name-calling is required, the critics say, because anything that undermines confidence in
climate models undermines progress against climate change\u2026. Since we\u2019re using abstruse calculations of an annual average global temperature to validate the climate models, it matters if these calculations\u2014based on disparate instruments and unstable sampling frequencies and a variety of \u201cproxies\u201d for times and places when no measurements were taken\u2014are accurate and meaningful\u2026.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I\u2019ve long argued that if a future climate scandal is lurking, it\u2019s here. A spirit of disingenuousness already
pervades NOAA\u2019s use of these numbers to make \u201chottest year\u201d and \u201chottest month\u201d proclamations, ignoring its own stated margin of error, which is often a large multiple of the claimed temperature difference from one period to the next.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Something beyond hysteria, though, explains the continued reliance on the no-longer-plausible idea that ritually attacking every expression of skepticism moves the ball on climate policy. By now, it\u2019s some people\u2019s job, if not personal vocation, to enact these rituals of denunciation simply because it helps prop up the green corporate welfare\u2026.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As long as we\u2019re noting ironies, much of the abuse of the Norwegian authors comes from their fellow Norwegians, whose pretense of green virtue is funded by their country being, per capita, one of the biggest exporters of oil and gas the world has ever known.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Reaction<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The intellectual bodyguards for climate alarmism are out in full force. Andreas Rasche<\/a>, Professor and Associate Dean at Copenhagen Business School, stated<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

Shocking to see that well-respected media outlets like the The Wall Street Journal<\/a> still publish climate denialism in 2023. On the other hand, also not surprising: WSJ belongs to News Corp<\/a> which again is owned by media tycoon Rupert Murdoch.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

News Corp has been sowing confusion and doubt around climate change through its various media outlets for some time<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Of course, everybody is entitled to her\/his opinion. But there is a difference between opinions and facts\u2026<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

I responded<\/a>: \u201cAd hominem reveals a dearth of argument and attempt to shut it down. Remember Climategate? Let\u2019s debate\u2026. And don\u2019t think you have all the answers and \u2018the science is settled\u2019.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

One of the dismayed stated<\/a>: \u201cLong past time such blatant promotion of harmful fossil trade by denial of the dangers were considered criminal.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Really?<\/em> By the way, Climategate\u2019s 14th anniversary is right ahead\u2013a good time for alarmists to read some unvarnished emails and revisit the scientific method.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014-<\/p>\n\n\n\n

[1]<\/strong>\u00a0Vinos states: \u201c\u2026 a large body of evidence supporting that changes in the poleward transport of heat are one of the main ways in which the planet\u2019s climate changes naturally. It also shows that changes in solar activity affect this transport, restoring the Sun as a major cause of global warming. Since climate models do not properly represent heat transport and the IPCC reports completely neglect this process, this new hypothesis will not be easily dismissed.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Are computerized climate simulations a sufficient basis for attributing observed warming to human CO2? With the current level of knowledge, it seems impossible to determine how much of the temperature increase is due to emissions of CO2. From \u00a0Master Resource By Robert Bradley Jr. \u201cBy now, it\u2019s some people\u2019s job, if not personal vocation, to […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":287338,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"Are computerized climate simulations a sufficient basis for attributing observed warming to human CO2? 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