{"id":286308,"date":"2023-11-03T12:37:18","date_gmt":"2023-11-03T11:37:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=286308"},"modified":"2023-11-03T12:37:21","modified_gmt":"2023-11-03T11:37:21","slug":"i-must-be-getting-over-the-target","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=286308","title":{"rendered":"I must be getting over the target"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It\u2019s a \u201cfact\u201d check on my ideas on the increase in geothermal input as a prime driver of the warming, That input warms the oceans. I am writing this in a way that even the \u201cfact checkers\u201d can understand instead of just getting opinions from people whose livelihoods depend on this whole charade continuing.- Joe Bastardi<\/a><\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hydrothermal vents are often associated with undersea volcanoes.\u00a0 This is because the vents are created and sustained by the heat of volcanic activity at tectonic plate boundaries, found throughout the globe.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

From \u00a0CFACT<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By Joe Bastardi<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

I guess someone on the other side finally took notice of what I have been trying to show for nearly a year now about volcanoes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

https:\/\/factcheck.afp.com\/doc.afp.com.33YL<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

It\u2019s a \u201cfact\u201d check on my ideas on the increase in geothermal input as a prime driver of the warming, That input warms the oceans. I am writing this in a way that even the \u201cfact checkers\u201d can understand instead of just getting opinions from people whose livelihoods depend on this whole charade continuing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So here we go again.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The massive volcano ripped the veil of their ideas in half. They are gawking at the \u201cwarmth\u201d of the planet, the sudden spike. Is it not clear that the combination of that volcano with its tremendous input of water vapor and the El Nino is leading to this? Hello Macfly. Have you looked at the increase in Water vapor (WV)? Do you know the increase over the last 30 years from oceanic warming has been about .75 grams\/kg, which at the global temperature accounts for about a 1F rise, precisely what we are seeing?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This makes sense. This volcano, unlike Pinatubo which led to cooling due to increased aerosols over the tropics reducing incoming Solar radiation, had much more of a discharge of water vapor. The fact checkers should understand that the lower the temperature, the greater the correlation to a rise in water vapor. Do they? So by quantifying water vapor, we can then use saturation mixing ratio charts (that\u2019s what meteorologists use) to see what rise is taking place. This site actually does that:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

https:\/\/climate4you.com\/<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

it shows that the peak-to-peak amount of WV since 1990 has increased about .75g\/kg and at global temperatures somewhere in the upper 50s does correlate to the observed rise.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From the decades from the \u201950s through the \u201990s, while CO2 increased at the same pace it is now,<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

there was no virtually no change in the Sea Surface Temperature (SST) around the planet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

1951-1960<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

1981-1990<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

A very important factor since the oceans are the source of water vapor (and CO2 also). As the oceans warm, they release more. Try opening a can of soda, leave it to sit for a day, and warm to room temperature. It goes flat. Where does it go? Into the air. Again, we are writing this so the fact-checkers can understand.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But why would CO2 cause the oceans to warm? Its back radiative properties, which are the heart of the CO2 theory of warming, not the so-called heat-trapping gas (it\u2019s still too small to do that), only penetrate the top MM o2 of the oceans. So why would it warm the ocean?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It doesn\u2019t.  The oceans warm the air, not the other way around.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Now, what do you think would happen (for the fact-checkers) if you have essentially an equilibrium and then a new input is introduced? Mainly geothermal warming. (Think of a pot of water on a stove, and you turn on the heat.)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

How good is that fit?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Key to all this is the increase  PRECEDED, not followed, like CO2 does, the rise. It points the finger squarely at the cause.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Now, suppose this buildup is occurring. What happens naturally when it becomes too much for the system? Well, it has to have a release. These are the strong El Ninos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

When they go off, large amounts of water vapor are put into the air. There is a step up in temperature. It is clearly shown.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Now let us show you how this affects the global weather pattern. Since all this warming is occurring, the atmosphere tries to fight back with La Ninas. These are not so much cooling but delaying the warming in an attempt to establish a new equilibrium.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

That is Le Cheteliars Principle 101.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Presto, the multivariate ENSO index shows that since the Super Nino of 1997, we are mostly in a La Nina base state (huge for forecasters to know btw). But La Nina, in a case where there is a constant added input of heat from geothermal sources, is not a cooling agent except against the rise; it tries to reestablish equilibrium, hence the step-up function of temperatures is explained.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Take this El Nino. It will be gone by the summer of next year. Good to know. In fact, it is why I am already predicting a hurricane season from hell. Another story for another time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But you can see the logical progression and linkage here. It is not rocket science, which is likely a big problem to people who wish to make you think it is so complex that there is no way you can figure it out, so you rely on the experts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But think about this: If I am right, so what? If it is not about climate and weather, it is not going to stop the stampede that is out of the barn. If I am wrong, so what? I am not out to save the planet. I am out to show all the information and then, yes, give a conclusion. Am I right? I BELIEVE SO. But I don\u2019t know. You can only know after the answer is in, and it most certainly is not.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Here is the other thing. I am not on TV anymore, if you notice. I am not writing a book a year. No sweat off my brow. So, I am not out to get attention. I am out to nail weather forecasts for anyone who wants them, and that requires adjusting ideas for the warmth, no matter what the cause. The money is not on my side of the debate. The Green movement is such that the government, under the guise of the Inflation Reduction Act, is force-feeding money into one answer. Now we have a 20k Climate Corps being proposed. Nice, eh? The Germans had their youth corp and brown shirts. Under Biden, we have 87k new IRS agents and an army of green shirts. What possible good does it do me to stand in the way of that? When it is that far gone, it is over.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But let us get this straight. I am being hammered by people who can\u2019t even tell you what the Net Zero destructions of our energy base would save as far as temperature to the planet (in a time that is known as a climate optimum, not a climate emergency) vs a guy that shows you what he is doing, lays out his reasoning and linkage, and offers his conclusion. I don\u2019t hide what I am looking at. And you are seeing what I am looking at. Contrast that with some of the hiding of data or \u201creanalyzing\u201d it in the opposite camp.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Think of the fate of people who, if it turns out I am right, would blow their whole missive out of the water. If I am not, makes no difference to me. I still have to figure out what these changes do with the weather, even if it\u2019s the man in the moon who is doing it. It is of no economic benefit to me to be right. For them, it is everything and more. Not only follow the money but follow your God.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

They are essentially asking the question, who are you going to believe, us or your lying eyes?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In the meantime, we have had a cold, stormy winter out for a forecast for months in the face of plenty of varying opinions, so I will retreat into my weather bunker and continue to do what I am truly made to do.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While I believe that kind of winter is coming, I won\u2019t know right or wrong till spring. Like so many things, it\u2019s not settled.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Author<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Joe Bastardi<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Joe Bastardi is a pioneer in extreme weather and long-range forecasting. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

He is the author of \u201cThe Climate Chronicles: Inconvenient Revelations You Won\u2019t Hear From Al Gore \u2014 and Others\u201d which you can purchase at the CFACT bookstore. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

His new book The Weaponization of Weather in the Phony Climate war can be found here. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

phonyclimatewar.com<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

It\u2019s a \u201cfact\u201d check on my ideas on the increase in geothermal input as a prime driver of the warming, That input warms the oceans. I am writing this in a way that even the \u201cfact checkers\u201d can understand instead of just getting opinions from people whose livelihoods depend on this whole charade continuing.- Joe […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":286326,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"It\u2019s a \u201cfact\u201d check on my ideas on the increase in geothermal input as a prime driver of the warming, That input warms the oceans. I am writing this in a way that even the \u201cfact checkers\u201d can understand instead of just getting opinions from people whose l","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691818076,691820508,691824224,691819657],"class_list":["post-286308","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-co2","tag-green-movement","tag-le-cheteliars-principle","tag-water-vapor","fallback-thumbnail"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/085493941-jpg_153834.jpg?fit=3000%2C2065&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1ctS","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":299011,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=299011","url_meta":{"origin":286308,"position":0},"title":"How Much Ocean Heating is Due To Deep-Sea Hydrothermal Vents?","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"01\/29\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"The fact that deep-sea towed probes over hydrothermal vent sites can\u2019t even measure a temperature increase in the mineral-enriched water means there is no way for buoyant water parcels to reach up several kilometers to reach the thermocline.","rel":"","context":"In \"Deep-Sea\"","block_context":{"text":"Deep-Sea","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=deep-sea"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/0image_7772e-Hydrothermal-Vent.jpg?fit=1200%2C941&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/0image_7772e-Hydrothermal-Vent.jpg?fit=1200%2C941&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/0image_7772e-Hydrothermal-Vent.jpg?fit=1200%2C941&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/0image_7772e-Hydrothermal-Vent.jpg?fit=1200%2C941&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/0image_7772e-Hydrothermal-Vent.jpg?fit=1200%2C941&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":315627,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=315627","url_meta":{"origin":286308,"position":1},"title":"Climate campaigners turn a blind eye to anything that cannot be explained by man-made activity","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"04\/01\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"There have been a lot of unprecedented events going on in the Western Pacific. It\u2019s amazing that no one in the major media outlets talks about this, given the source region this represents. It\u2019s likely because there are blinders on as to anything that might be driving the weather besides\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/0eye-patch.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/0eye-patch.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/0eye-patch.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/0eye-patch.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/0eye-patch.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":354769,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=354769","url_meta":{"origin":286308,"position":2},"title":"Presented with climate facts, what is YOUR answer?","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"12\/17\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"You are presented with 30 years of temperatures from 1931-1960 in the US, using the climatology from 1951-1960.\u00a0 Why that period?\u00a0 Because before that period, CO2 was not being accused of what it is accused of now.","rel":"","context":"In \"carbon dioxide (CO\u2082)\"","block_context":{"text":"carbon dioxide (CO\u2082)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=carbon-dioxide-co%e2%82%82"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/0AdobeStock_211524227.jpeg?fit=1200%2C444&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/0AdobeStock_211524227.jpeg?fit=1200%2C444&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/0AdobeStock_211524227.jpeg?fit=1200%2C444&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/0AdobeStock_211524227.jpeg?fit=1200%2C444&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/0AdobeStock_211524227.jpeg?fit=1200%2C444&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":336767,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=336767","url_meta":{"origin":286308,"position":3},"title":"How impactful is geothermal?","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"07\/17\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"So, this is the update on the geothermal situation. Unlike Al Gore, who has countless forecasts that had nothing to do with reality, I am able to see what I told you, right or wrong, in my authors link.","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/0-hydrothermal-vents.jpeg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/0-hydrothermal-vents.jpeg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/0-hydrothermal-vents.jpeg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/0-hydrothermal-vents.jpeg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/0-hydrothermal-vents.jpeg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":368980,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=368980","url_meta":{"origin":286308,"position":4},"title":"Recent temperature spike and now downturn raise questions","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"03\/07\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"The cumulative buildup of heat in the ocean is adding WV to the atmosphere, which is leading to distorted warming where the coldest, driest areas primarily in their winter seasons are skewing global temperatures up. The global temperature metric is misleading, as the better metric is wet bulb temps and\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Al Gore science\"","block_context":{"text":"Al Gore science","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=al-gore-science"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/00Screenshot-2025-03-07-132920.png?fit=1200%2C763&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/00Screenshot-2025-03-07-132920.png?fit=1200%2C763&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/00Screenshot-2025-03-07-132920.png?fit=1200%2C763&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/00Screenshot-2025-03-07-132920.png?fit=1200%2C763&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/00Screenshot-2025-03-07-132920.png?fit=1200%2C763&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":379174,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=379174","url_meta":{"origin":286308,"position":5},"title":"A chitchat with Grok on water vapor","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"05\/21\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Let me say right off the bat, when you combine what I have been showing the past 2 years with other work on solar, cloud, and UHI (urban heat islands), it seems pretty clear that the amount of CO2\u2019s role in the warming is at best questionable.","rel":"","context":"In \"carbon dioxide (CO\u2082)\"","block_context":{"text":"carbon dioxide (CO\u2082)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=carbon-dioxide-co%e2%82%82"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/0ChatGPT-Image-21.-Mai-2025-16_44_21.png?fit=800%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/0ChatGPT-Image-21.-Mai-2025-16_44_21.png?fit=800%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/0ChatGPT-Image-21.-Mai-2025-16_44_21.png?fit=800%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/0ChatGPT-Image-21.-Mai-2025-16_44_21.png?fit=800%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/286308","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=286308"}],"version-history":[{"count":10,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/286308\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":286329,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/286308\/revisions\/286329"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/286326"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=286308"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=286308"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=286308"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}