{"id":285205,"date":"2023-10-26T21:26:34","date_gmt":"2023-10-26T19:26:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=285205"},"modified":"2023-10-26T21:26:38","modified_gmt":"2023-10-26T19:26:38","slug":"solar-set-to-be-dominant-power-source-by-when","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=285205","title":{"rendered":"Solar Set to Be Dominant Power Source by\u2026 When?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"482\" data-attachment-id=\"285214\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=285214\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/image-741.png?fit=1280%2C853&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1280,853\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image-741\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/image-741.png?fit=723%2C482&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/image-741.png?resize=723%2C482&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-285214\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/image-741.png?resize=1024%2C682&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/image-741.png?resize=300%2C200&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/image-741.png?resize=768%2C512&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/image-741.png?resize=1200%2C800&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/image-741.png?w=1280&amp;ssl=1 1280w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><em>It\u2019s simply absurd to claim that solar power will ever become the dominant power source, with or \u201cwithout any further climate policies.\u201d <\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"542\" data-attachment-id=\"285215\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=285215\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/0solar-power-plant-in-the-desert.jpg?fit=3600%2C2698&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"3600,2698\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;1&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"0solar-power-plant-in-the-desert\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/0solar-power-plant-in-the-desert.jpg?fit=723%2C542&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/0solar-power-plant-in-the-desert.jpg?resize=723%2C542&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-285215\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/0solar-power-plant-in-the-desert.jpg?resize=1024%2C767&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/0solar-power-plant-in-the-desert.jpg?resize=300%2C225&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/0solar-power-plant-in-the-desert.jpg?resize=768%2C576&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/0solar-power-plant-in-the-desert.jpg?resize=1536%2C1151&amp;ssl=1 1536w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/0solar-power-plant-in-the-desert.jpg?resize=2048%2C1535&amp;ssl=1 2048w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/0solar-power-plant-in-the-desert.jpg?resize=1200%2C899&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/0solar-power-plant-in-the-desert.jpg?resize=800%2C600&amp;ssl=1 800w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/0solar-power-plant-in-the-desert.jpg?resize=600%2C450&amp;ssl=1 600w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/0solar-power-plant-in-the-desert.jpg?resize=400%2C300&amp;ssl=1 400w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/0solar-power-plant-in-the-desert.jpg?resize=200%2C150&amp;ssl=1 200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/0solar-power-plant-in-the-desert.jpg?w=1446&amp;ssl=1 1446w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/0solar-power-plant-in-the-desert.jpg?w=2169&amp;ssl=1 2169w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">From <a href=\"https:\/\/wattsupwiththat.com\/\">Watts Up With That?<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Guest \u201cWhat is never?\u201d by David Middleton<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Why does this remind me of the Monty Python Spanish Inquisition skit?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">New Research: The World May Have Crossed a Solar \u201cTipping Point\u201d<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">By UNIVERSITY OF EXETER OCTOBER 19, 2023<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The world may have crossed a \u201ctipping point\u201d that will inevitably make solar power our main source of energy,&nbsp;new research suggests.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The study, based on a data-driven model of technology and economics, finds that solar PV (photovoltaics) is likely to become the dominant power source before 2050 \u2013 even without support from more ambitious climate policies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">However, it warns four \u201cbarriers\u201d could hamper this\u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[\u2026]<a href=\"https:\/\/scitechdaily.com\/new-research-the-world-may-have-crossed-a-solar-tipping-point\/\">SciTech Daily<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u201cThe Momentum of the Solar Energy Transition\u201d<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The full text of the paper is available.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"Abs1\">Abstract<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Decarbonisation plans across the globe require zero-carbon energy sources to be widely deployed by 2050 or 2060. Solar energy is the most widely available energy resource on Earth, and its economic attractiveness is improving fast in a cycle of increasing investments. Here we use data-driven conditional technology and economic forecasting modelling to establish which zero carbon power sources could become dominant worldwide. We find that, due to technological trajectories set in motion by past policy, a global irreversible solar tipping point may have passed where solar energy gradually comes to dominate global electricity markets, without any further climate policies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[\u2026]<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41467-023-41971-7\">Nijsse et al., 2023<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Nobody Expects \u201cthe Momentum of the Solar Energy Transition\u201d!<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The authors suggest that solar power will become the dominant power source by 2050 without \u201cmore ambitious climate policies.\u201d However, four barriers could stand in the way.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Nobody expects \u201cthe momentum of the solar energy transition\u201d! Our chief barrier is grid resilience\u2026 grid resilience and access to finance\u2026 grid resilience and access to finance\u2026 Our two barriers are grid resilience and access to finance\u2026 and supply chains\u2026. Our three barriers are grid resilience, and access to finance, and supply chains\u2026 and an almost fanatical devotion to silencing political opposition\u2026 Our four\u2026 no\u2026 Amongst our barriers\u2026 are such elements as grid resilience, access to finance\u2026 I\u2019ll come in again.<a href=\"https:\/\/www.goodreads.com\/quotes\/1495-nobody-expects-the-spanish-inquisition-our-chief-weapon-is-surprise\">Apologies to Monty Python<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Overcoming the Solar Barriers<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\u201cGrid Resilience\u201d:<\/strong>&nbsp;Only use electricity only when the sun is shining.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u201cAccess to finance\u201d:<\/strong>&nbsp;Raise taxes.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u201cSupply chains\u201d:<\/strong>&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/wattsupwiththat.com\/2023\/10\/20\/copper-the-new-oil\/\">Drive up the prices of almost all mineral resources<\/a>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u201cPolitical opposition\u201d:<\/strong>&nbsp;Reeducation camps.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Am I Being Flippant?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Grid resilience<\/strong>: Solar generation is variable (day\/night, season, weather) so grids must be designed for this. Dr Nijsse said: \u201cIf you don\u2019t put the processes in place to deal with that variability, you could end up having to compensate by burning fossil fuels.\u201d She said methods of building resilience include investing in other renewables such as wind, transmission cables linking different regions, extensive electricity storage, and policy to manage demand (such as incentives to charge electric cars at non-peak times). Government subsidies and funding for R&amp;D are important in the early stages of creating a resilient grid, she added.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Access to finance:&nbsp;<\/strong>Solar growth will inevitably depend on the availability of finance. At present, low-carbon finance is highly concentrated in high-income countries. Even international funding largely favors middle-income countries, leaving lower-income countries \u2013 particularly those in Africa \u2013 deficient in solar finance despite the enormous investment potential.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Supply chains:&nbsp;<\/strong>A solar-dominated future is likely to be metal- and mineral-intensive. Future demand for \u201ccritical minerals\u201d will increase. Electrification and batteries require large-scale raw materials such as lithium and copper. As countries accelerate their decarbonization efforts, renewable technologies are projected to make up 40% of the total mineral demand for copper and rare earth elements, between 60 and 70% for nickel and cobalt, and almost 90% for lithium by 2040.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Political opposition:&nbsp;<\/strong>Resistance from declining industries may impact the transition. The pace of the transition depends not only on economic decisions by entrepreneurs but also on how desirable policymakers consider it. A rapid solar transition may put at risk the livelihood of up to 13 million people worldwide working in fossil fuel industries and dependent industries. Regional economic and industrial development policies can resolve inequity and can mitigate risks posed by resistance from declining industries<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/scitechdaily.com\/new-research-the-world-may-have-crossed-a-solar-tipping-point\/\">SciTech Daily<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u201cEven without support from more ambitious climate policies\u201d<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Can someone please explain to me how they plan to overcome these barriers \u201cwithout support from more ambitious climate policies\u201d (AKA massive government intervention)?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Nijsse et al., 2023 envisions the following energy transition:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Nijsse et al., 2023 envisions the following energy transition:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41467-023-41971-7\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/media.springernature.com\/lw685\/springer-static\/image\/art%3A10.1038%2Fs41467-023-41971-7\/MediaObjects\/41467_2023_41971_Fig1_HTML.png?w=1110&amp;ssl=1\" alt=\"\"\/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41467-023-41971-7\">Nijsse et al., 2023<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bear in mind, this is where we are now in the USA:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"720\" height=\"480\" data-attachment-id=\"285207\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=285207\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/image-738.png?fit=720%2C480&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"720,480\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image-738\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/image-738.png?fit=720%2C480&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/image-738.png?resize=720%2C480&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-285207\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/image-738.png?w=720&amp;ssl=1 720w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/image-738.png?resize=300%2C200&amp;ssl=1 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 720px) 100vw, 720px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Solar power is very dependent on\u2026 the Sun. The annular eclipse on October 14, 2023, did this to ERCOT\u2019s solar power at high noon on a sunny day:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"720\" height=\"480\" data-attachment-id=\"285209\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=285209\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/image-739.png?fit=720%2C480&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"720,480\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image-739\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/image-739.png?fit=720%2C480&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/image-739.png?resize=720%2C480&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-285209\" style=\"width:760px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/image-739.png?w=720&amp;ssl=1 720w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/image-739.png?resize=300%2C200&amp;ssl=1 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 720px) 100vw, 720px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ercot.com\/gridmktinfo\/dashboards\">Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT)<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The loss of solar generation was accompanied by the usual midday doldrum. 4,904 MW of solar and wind generation tool a lunch break that day. Fortunately, it occurred on a Saturday, the high temperature was only 63 \u00b0F and natural gas-fired generation quickly ramped up to fill the gap.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td>Timestamp (Hour Ending)<\/td><td>Wind (MWh)<\/td><td>Wind (\u0394MWh)<\/td><td>Solar (MWh)<\/td><td>Solar (\u0394MWh)<\/td><td>Natural gas (MWh)<\/td><td>Natural gas (\u0394MWh)<\/td><td>Coal (MWh)<\/td><td>Coal (\u0394MWh)<\/td><td>Nuclear (MWh)<\/td><td>Nuclear (\u0394MWh)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/14\/2023 11 a.m. CDT<\/td><td>12,665<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>6,100<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>13,271<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>5,045<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>5,045<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/14\/2023 12 p.m. CDT<\/td><td>9,709<\/td><td>(2,956)<\/td><td>4,152<\/td><td>(1,948)<\/td><td>17,889<\/td><td>4,618<\/td><td>5,763<\/td><td>718<\/td><td>5,046<\/td><td>1<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/14\/2023 1 p.m. CDT<\/td><td>7,120<\/td><td>(2,589)<\/td><td>5,981<\/td><td>1,829<\/td><td>18,023<\/td><td>134<\/td><td>6,164<\/td><td>401<\/td><td>5,048<\/td><td>2<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.eia.gov\/electricity\/gridmonitor\/dashboard\/custom\/pending\">EIA Hourly Grid Monitor<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">There Has Never Been an Energy Transition<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">All of the blather about the \u201cenergy transition\u201d omits a very pertinent fact: There has never been an energy&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.merriam-webster.com\/dictionary\/transition\">transition.<\/a>&nbsp;Nor will there ever be an actual energy transition unless we manage to harness nuclear fusion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">We never transitioned from traditional biomass to fossil fuels. On a per capita basis, we consume as much \u201ctraditional biomass\u201d for energy as we did when we started burning coal. We have just piled new forms of energy on top of older ones. Now, we have changed the way we consume energy sources. In the 1800\u2019s the biomass came from whale oil and clear-cutting forests. Whereas, today\u2019s biomass is less harmful to whales and forests.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"720\" height=\"523\" data-attachment-id=\"285211\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=285211\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/image-740.png?fit=720%2C523&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"720,523\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image-740\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/image-740.png?fit=720%2C523&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/image-740.png?resize=720%2C523&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-285211\" style=\"width:761px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/image-740.png?w=720&amp;ssl=1 720w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/image-740.png?resize=300%2C218&amp;ssl=1 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 720px) 100vw, 720px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Life Expectancy:\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/ourworldindata.org\/life-expectancy#rising-life-expectancy-around-the-world\">Our World in Data<\/a><br>Energy Consumption:\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/posts\/bjornlomborg_in-1800-the-average-person-had-access-to-activity-6789548325470314496-yC-S\">Bjorn Lomborg, LinkedIn<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">From 1800 to 1900, per capita energy consumption, primarily from biomass, remained relatively flat; as did the average life expectancy. From 1900 to 1978, per capita energy consumption roughly tripled with the rapid growth in fossil fuel (coal, oil &amp; natural gas) consumption. This was accompanied by a doubling of average life expectancy. While I can\u2019t say that fossil fuels caused the increase in life expectancy, I can unequivocally state that everything that enabled the increase in life expectancy wouldn\u2019t have existed or happened without fossil fuels, particularly petroleum.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It\u2019s simply absurd to claim that solar power will ever become the dominant power source, with or \u201cwithout any further climate policies.\u201d Nobody should expect an energy transition. Wishful thinking dressed up as scientific research just encourages politicians to make bad policy decisions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u201cNobody Expects the Spanish Inquisition!\u201d<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">I just had to include this:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<span class=\"embed-youtube\" style=\"text-align:center; display: block;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"youtube-player\" width=\"723\" height=\"407\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/D5Df191WJ3o?version=3&#038;rel=1&#038;showsearch=0&#038;showinfo=1&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;fs=1&#038;hl=en-US&#038;autohide=2&#038;wmode=transparent\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" style=\"border:0;\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts allow-same-origin allow-popups allow-presentation allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox\"><\/iframe><\/span>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It\u2019s simply absurd to claim that solar power will ever become the dominant power source, with or \u201cwithout any further climate policies.\u201d From Watts Up With That? Guest \u201cWhat is never?\u201d by David Middleton Why does this remind me of the Monty Python Spanish Inquisition skit? New Research: The World May Have Crossed a Solar [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":285214,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"It\u2019s simply absurd to claim that solar power will ever become the dominant power source, with or \u201cwithout any further climate policies.\u201d ","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691818362,691819548,691818154,691824024,691818267,691823916],"class_list":{"0":"post-285205","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-climate-policies","9":"tag-decarbonisation","10":"tag-net-zero","11":"tag-solar-energy-transition","12":"tag-solar-power","13":"tag-tipping-point","15":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/image-741.png?fit=1280%2C853&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1cc5","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":434125,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=434125","url_meta":{"origin":285205,"position":0},"title":"New Study: CO2 Is \u2018Effectively Negligible\u2019 As An Explanatory Climate Change Factor Since 2000","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"25\/03\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Dai Ato, an independent researcher from Japan, has completed a comprehensive regression analysis (Ato, 2026) using key climate variables and published the results in the Science of Climate Change journal.","rel":"","context":"In \"carbon dioxide (CO\u2082)\"","block_context":{"text":"carbon dioxide (CO\u2082)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=carbon-dioxide-co%e2%82%82"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/0AQOU14aPp1HjybpPod8BuWcKZxZUhRM_BcaIzgm0qA47j1Zn1nTzS_woHHaUm55jJPBqVF2iq2fRNZiV5Pg4lndByx-QD2DpeNSqOV7zCeDs5lh4_NPChGxmtGUNQ4XD666D9IY90mIemq-foXE4ZfOKP8E2xw-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/0AQOU14aPp1HjybpPod8BuWcKZxZUhRM_BcaIzgm0qA47j1Zn1nTzS_woHHaUm55jJPBqVF2iq2fRNZiV5Pg4lndByx-QD2DpeNSqOV7zCeDs5lh4_NPChGxmtGUNQ4XD666D9IY90mIemq-foXE4ZfOKP8E2xw-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/0AQOU14aPp1HjybpPod8BuWcKZxZUhRM_BcaIzgm0qA47j1Zn1nTzS_woHHaUm55jJPBqVF2iq2fRNZiV5Pg4lndByx-QD2DpeNSqOV7zCeDs5lh4_NPChGxmtGUNQ4XD666D9IY90mIemq-foXE4ZfOKP8E2xw-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/0AQOU14aPp1HjybpPod8BuWcKZxZUhRM_BcaIzgm0qA47j1Zn1nTzS_woHHaUm55jJPBqVF2iq2fRNZiV5Pg4lndByx-QD2DpeNSqOV7zCeDs5lh4_NPChGxmtGUNQ4XD666D9IY90mIemq-foXE4ZfOKP8E2xw-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/0AQOU14aPp1HjybpPod8BuWcKZxZUhRM_BcaIzgm0qA47j1Zn1nTzS_woHHaUm55jJPBqVF2iq2fRNZiV5Pg4lndByx-QD2DpeNSqOV7zCeDs5lh4_NPChGxmtGUNQ4XD666D9IY90mIemq-foXE4ZfOKP8E2xw-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":208784,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=208784","url_meta":{"origin":285205,"position":1},"title":"Does the Biden Administration Get Why China Dominates Intermittent Wind and Solar Manufacturing?","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"16\/07\/2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Essay by Eric Worrall US Energy Secretary\u00a0Jennifer Granholm\u00a0and Australia\u2019s Climate and Energy Minister\u00a0Chris Bowen\u00a0have announced a joint agreement to break China\u2019s dominance of solar and wind manufacture. Breaking from China\u2019s clean energy dominance \u2018imperative\u2019, US and Australia say after new climate tech dealNew agreement to fast-track climate solutions signed as\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/image-122.png?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/image-122.png?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/image-122.png?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/image-122.png?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/image-122.png?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":416940,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=416940","url_meta":{"origin":285205,"position":2},"title":"Astrophysicist Dr. Willie Soon Challenges the Climate Consensus \u2026 It\u2019s The Sun, Not CO2","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"11\/12\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"In a candid\u00a0interview with the German language\u00a0Weltwoche, astrophysicist Dr. Willie Soon asserts that the sun is the overwhelmingly dominant force driving Earth\u2019s climate, not human-emitted\u00a0CO2\u200b.","rel":"","context":"In \"\u201cIron Triangle Effect\u201d\"","block_context":{"text":"\u201cIron Triangle Effect\u201d","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=iron-triangle-effect"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/0AQPPfgEE9ZI1hmGyNuMc5j0lVbTPeCk40aYl5rkBaDBEEcsTzAg-U57YEhppmsAaWdl28oW_p_0lvU7_FQ1XFXNo2Z_gSOutvgZHOSKbNEYlkBTczBmrjwe5mt6cq-Ed-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C813&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/0AQPPfgEE9ZI1hmGyNuMc5j0lVbTPeCk40aYl5rkBaDBEEcsTzAg-U57YEhppmsAaWdl28oW_p_0lvU7_FQ1XFXNo2Z_gSOutvgZHOSKbNEYlkBTczBmrjwe5mt6cq-Ed-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C813&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/0AQPPfgEE9ZI1hmGyNuMc5j0lVbTPeCk40aYl5rkBaDBEEcsTzAg-U57YEhppmsAaWdl28oW_p_0lvU7_FQ1XFXNo2Z_gSOutvgZHOSKbNEYlkBTczBmrjwe5mt6cq-Ed-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C813&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/0AQPPfgEE9ZI1hmGyNuMc5j0lVbTPeCk40aYl5rkBaDBEEcsTzAg-U57YEhppmsAaWdl28oW_p_0lvU7_FQ1XFXNo2Z_gSOutvgZHOSKbNEYlkBTczBmrjwe5mt6cq-Ed-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C813&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/0AQPPfgEE9ZI1hmGyNuMc5j0lVbTPeCk40aYl5rkBaDBEEcsTzAg-U57YEhppmsAaWdl28oW_p_0lvU7_FQ1XFXNo2Z_gSOutvgZHOSKbNEYlkBTczBmrjwe5mt6cq-Ed-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C813&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":222951,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=222951","url_meta":{"origin":285205,"position":3},"title":"Unreliable Wind &#038; Solar Leave Power-Starved Europeans Vulnerable During Big Freeze","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"09\/10\/2022","format":false,"excerpt":"The northern hemisphere turns on bitter Winters \u2013 getting wind turbines and solar panels to turn on in the midst of one, is another matter.","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/image-420.png?fit=1177%2C836&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/image-420.png?fit=1177%2C836&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/image-420.png?fit=1177%2C836&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/image-420.png?fit=1177%2C836&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/image-420.png?fit=1177%2C836&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":425242,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=425242","url_meta":{"origin":285205,"position":4},"title":"Meta\u2019s Nuclear Bet Is an Endorsement of Trump\u2019s Energy Vision","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"08\/02\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Donald Trump\u2019s call for \u201cAmerican energy dominance\u201d once drew eyerolling from Silicon Valley. Now, in a twist no one saw coming, Meta and other big-tech AI giants are beginning to embrace Trump\u2019s energy vision.","rel":"","context":"In \"AI (artificial intelligence)\"","block_context":{"text":"AI (artificial intelligence)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=ai-artificial-intelligence-2"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/AQNxNZDkcO2VSJsaXxLvM2mni3ATqcSezuo4T1AS9W2BAhWB29wemhiQJcSF74Q_Srnz0hMh8OFV__tuCZq4yPWe6eJGn3BAMI7RKM4XqKgYmHtVGwCDwpCzgFmC5Vc.jpeg?fit=1200%2C670&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/AQNxNZDkcO2VSJsaXxLvM2mni3ATqcSezuo4T1AS9W2BAhWB29wemhiQJcSF74Q_Srnz0hMh8OFV__tuCZq4yPWe6eJGn3BAMI7RKM4XqKgYmHtVGwCDwpCzgFmC5Vc.jpeg?fit=1200%2C670&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/AQNxNZDkcO2VSJsaXxLvM2mni3ATqcSezuo4T1AS9W2BAhWB29wemhiQJcSF74Q_Srnz0hMh8OFV__tuCZq4yPWe6eJGn3BAMI7RKM4XqKgYmHtVGwCDwpCzgFmC5Vc.jpeg?fit=1200%2C670&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/AQNxNZDkcO2VSJsaXxLvM2mni3ATqcSezuo4T1AS9W2BAhWB29wemhiQJcSF74Q_Srnz0hMh8OFV__tuCZq4yPWe6eJGn3BAMI7RKM4XqKgYmHtVGwCDwpCzgFmC5Vc.jpeg?fit=1200%2C670&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/AQNxNZDkcO2VSJsaXxLvM2mni3ATqcSezuo4T1AS9W2BAhWB29wemhiQJcSF74Q_Srnz0hMh8OFV__tuCZq4yPWe6eJGn3BAMI7RKM4XqKgYmHtVGwCDwpCzgFmC5Vc.jpeg?fit=1200%2C670&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":241065,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=241065","url_meta":{"origin":285205,"position":5},"title":"Claim: Solar Powered Refrigerators would Solve African Food Waste","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"22\/01\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Absorbtion refrigerators are simple, cheap,\u00a01920s technology, which can be driven by any source of heat \u2013 including, but not limited to solar energy.","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/image-978.png?fit=1200%2C801&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/image-978.png?fit=1200%2C801&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/image-978.png?fit=1200%2C801&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/image-978.png?fit=1200%2C801&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/image-978.png?fit=1200%2C801&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/285205","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=285205"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/285205\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":285217,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/285205\/revisions\/285217"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/285214"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=285205"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=285205"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=285205"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}