{"id":284278,"date":"2023-10-21T11:38:40","date_gmt":"2023-10-21T09:38:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=284278"},"modified":"2023-10-21T11:38:43","modified_gmt":"2023-10-21T09:38:43","slug":"the-techno-optimist-manifesto-marc-andreessen-in-the-energy-debate","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=284278","title":{"rendered":"\u201cThe Techno-Optimist Manifesto\u201d (Marc Andreessen in the energy debate)"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Energy is life. We take it for granted, but without it, we have darkness, starvation, and pain. With it, we have light, safety, and warmth.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
Free picture (Electricity Transport Network Energy tech background) from https:\/\/torange.biz\/fx\/electricity-transport-network-energy-tech-background-173124<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

From Master Resource<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

By Robert Bradley Jr.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

\u201cWe believe energy should be <\/em>in an upward spiral. Energy is the foundational engine of our civilization. The more energy we have, the more people we can have, and the better everyone\u2019s lives can be. We should raise everyone to the energy consumption level we have, then increase our energy 1,000x, then raise everyone else\u2019s energy 1,000x as well.\u201d (- Techno-Optimist Manifesto, below)<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

Add a new name to the powerful critics of climate alarmism and forced energy transformation. Marc Andreessen is the author of The Techno-Optimist Manifesto<\/a>, which draws upon the Julian Simon tradition of free minds and free markets to solve real challenges. This is a refreshing anecdote to the doom-and-gloom neo-Malthusians\u2013and a threat to the climate industrial complex<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sure enough, the critics are out with swords. Having posted The Techno-Optimist Manifesto on LinkedIn to the Climate Change Professionals Group, I was asked<\/a>: \u201cHow is this diatribe from consume-more economics suitable for climate change professionals group??\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I responded<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

Very appropriate where a better worldview about man and nature is the cure for \u2018climate anxiety\u2019.

Energy density, consumer welfare, fiscal sanity, and preservation of the living space (from wind and solar) is the way forward, not futile, wasteful Big Brother.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

He answered<\/a>: \u201cIt\u2019s actually promoting unabated growth with no consideration of consequences or environmental impacts.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I responded<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

Not at all. Real pollutants and problems can be addressed via human ingenuity in free market settings.

It is the false pollutant carbon dioxide\u2014and futile, costly climate policy\u2014that needs to be overcome. The Malthusian mindset of doom-and-gloom too.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2013<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Energy and free markets are important areas of Andreessen\u2019s Manifesto, which follow<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Energy<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Energy is life. We take it for granted, but without it, we have darkness, starvation, and pain. With it, we have light, safety, and warmth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

We believe energy should be <\/em>in an upward spiral. Energy is the foundational engine of our civilization. The more energy we have, the more people we can have, and the better everyone\u2019s lives can be. We should raise everyone to the energy consumption level we have, then increase our energy 1,000x, then raise everyone else\u2019s energy 1,000x as well.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The current gap in per-capita energy use between the smaller developed world and larger developing world is enormous. That gap will close \u2013 either by massively expanding energy production, making everyone better off, or by massively reducing energy production, making everyone worse off.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

We believe energy need not expand to the detriment of the natural environment. We have the silver bullet for virtually unlimited zero-emissions energy today \u2013 nuclear fission. In 1973, President Richard Nixon called for Project Independence, the construction of 1,000 nuclear power plants by the year 2000, to achieve complete US energy independence. Nixon was right; we didn\u2019t build the plants then, but we can now, anytime we decide we want to.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Atomic Energy Commissioner Thomas Murray said in 1953: \u201cFor years the splitting atom, packaged in weapons, has been our main shield against the barbarians. Now, in addition, it is a God-given instrument to do the constructive work of mankind.\u201d Murray was right too.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

We believe a second<\/em> energy silver bullet is coming \u2013 nuclear fusion. We should build that as well. The same bad ideas that effectively outlawed fission are going to try to outlaw fusion. We should not let them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

We believe there is no inherent conflict between the techno-capital machine and the natural environment. Per-capita US carbon emissions are lower now than they were 100 years ago, even without nuclear power.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

We believe technology is the solution to environmental degradation and crisis. A technologically advanced society improves the natural environment, a technologically stagnant society ruins it. If you want to see environmental devastation, visit a former Communist country. The socialist USSR was far worse for the natural environment than the capitalist US. Google the Aral Sea.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

We believe a technologically stagnant society has limited energy at the cost of environmental ruin; a technologically advanced society has unlimited clean energy for everyone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Markets<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

We believe free markets are the most effective way to organize a technological economy. Willing buyer meets willing seller, a price is struck, both sides benefit from the exchange or it doesn\u2019t happen. Profits are the incentive for producing supply that fulfills demand. Prices encode information about supply and demand. Markets cause entrepreneurs to seek out high prices as a signal of opportunity to create new wealth by driving those prices down<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

We believe the market economy is a discovery machine, a form of intelligence \u2013 an exploratory, evolutionary, adaptive system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

We believe Hayek\u2019s Knowledge Problem overwhelms any centralized economic system. All actual information is on the edges, in the hands of the people closest to the buyer. The center, abstracted away from both the buyer and the seller, knows nothing. Centralized planning is doomed to fail, the system of production and consumption is too complex. Decentralization harnesses complexity for the benefit of everyone; centralization will starve you to death.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

We believe in market discipline. The market naturally disciplines \u2013 the seller either learns and changes when the buyer fails to show, or exits the market. When market discipline is absent, there is no limit to how crazy things can get. The motto of every monopoly and cartel, every centralized institution not subject to market discipline: \u201cWe don\u2019t care, because we don\u2019t have to.\u201d Markets prevent monopolies and cartels.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

We believe markets lift people out of poverty \u2013 in fact, markets are by far the most effective way to lift vast numbers of people out of poverty, and always have been. Even in totalitarian regimes, an incremental lifting of the repressive boot off the throat of the people and their ability to produce and trade leads to rapidly rising incomes and standards of living. Lift the boot a little more, even better. Take the boot off entirely, who knows how rich everyone can get.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

We believe markets are an inherently individualistic<\/em> way to achieve superior collective<\/em> outcomes. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

We believe markets do not require people to be perfect, or even well intentioned \u2013 which is good, because, have you met people? Adam Smith: \u201cIt is not from the benevolence of the butcher, the brewer, or the baker that we expect our dinner, but from their regard to their own self-interest. We address ourselves not to their humanity but to their self-love, and never talk to them of our own necessities, but of their advantages.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

David Friedman points out that people only do things for other people for three reasons \u2013 love, money, or force. Love doesn\u2019t scale, so the economy can only run on money or force. The force experiment has been run and found wanting. Let\u2019s stick with money.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

We believe the ultimate moral defense of markets is that they divert people who otherwise would raise armies and start religions into peacefully productive pursuits.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

We believe markets, to quote Nicholas Stern, are how we take care of people we don\u2019t know.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

We believe markets are the way to generate societal wealth for everything else we want to pay for, including basic research, social welfare programs, and national defense.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

We believe there is no conflict between capitalist profits and a social welfare system that protects the vulnerable. In fact, they are aligned \u2013 the production of markets creates the economic wealth that pays for everything else we want as a society.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

We believe central economic planning elevates the worst of us and drags everyone down; markets exploit the best of us to benefit all of us. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

We believe central planning is a doom loop; markets are an upward spiral.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The economist William Nordhaus has shown that creators of technology are only able to capture about 2% of the economic value created by that technology. The other 98% flows through to society in the form of what economists call social surplus. Technological innovation in a market system is inherently philanthropic<\/em>, by a 50:1 ratio. Who gets more value from a new technology, the single company that makes it, or the millions or billions of people who use it to improve their lives? QED.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

We believe in David Ricardo\u2019s concept of comparative advantage<\/em> \u2013 as distinct from competitive <\/em>advantage, comparative advantage holds that even someone who is best in the world at doing everything will buy most things from other people, due to opportunity cost. Comparative advantage in the context of a properly free market guarantees high employment regardless of the level of technology.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

We believe a market sets wages as a function of the marginal productivity of the worker. Therefore technology \u2013 which raises productivity \u2013 drives wages up<\/em>, not down. This is perhaps the most counterintuitive idea in all of economics, but it\u2019s true, and we have 300 years of history that prove it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

We believe in Milton Friedman\u2019s observation that human wants and needs are infinite.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

We believe markets also increase societal well being by generating work<\/em> in which people can productively engage. We believe a Universal Basic Income would turn people into zoo animals to be farmed by the state. Man was not meant to be farmed; man was meant to be useful<\/em>, to be productive<\/em>, to be proud<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

We believe technological change, far from reducing the need for human work, increases it, by broadening the scope of what humans can productively do.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

We believe that since human wants and needs are infinite, economic demand is infinite, and job growth can continue forever.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

We believe markets are generative, not exploitative; positive sum, not zero sum. Participants in markets build on one another\u2019s work and output. James Carse describes finite games and infinite games \u2013 finite games have an end, when one person wins and another person loses; infinite games never end, as players collaborate to discover what\u2019s possible in the game. Markets are the ultimate infinite game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Energy is life. We take it for granted, but without it, we have darkness, starvation, and pain. With it, we have light, safety, and warmth. From Master Resource. By Robert Bradley Jr. \u201cWe believe energy should be in an upward spiral. Energy is the foundational engine of our civilization. The more energy we have, the more people […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":284283,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"Energy is life. We take it for granted, but without it, we have darkness, starvation, and pain. 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