{"id":279431,"date":"2023-09-19T14:12:40","date_gmt":"2023-09-19T12:12:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=279431"},"modified":"2023-09-19T14:12:43","modified_gmt":"2023-09-19T12:12:43","slug":"zharkova-on-solar-forcing-and-global-cooling","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=279431","title":{"rendered":"Zharkova on Solar Forcing and Global\u00a0Cooling"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"407\" data-attachment-id=\"279447\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=279447\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/image-571.png?fit=1920%2C1080&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1920,1080\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image-571\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/image-571.png?fit=723%2C407&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/image-571.png?resize=723%2C407&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-279447\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/image-571.png?resize=1024%2C576&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/image-571.png?resize=300%2C169&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/image-571.png?resize=768%2C432&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/image-571.png?resize=1536%2C864&amp;ssl=1 1536w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/image-571.png?resize=1200%2C675&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/image-571.png?w=1920&amp;ssl=1 1920w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/image-571.png?w=1446&amp;ssl=1 1446w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">From <a href=\"http:\/\/rclutz.com\/\">Science Matters<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">By\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/rclutz.com\/author\/ronaldrc\/\">Ron Clutz<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"407\" data-attachment-id=\"279433\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=279433\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/image-570.png?fit=1280%2C720&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1280,720\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image-570\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/image-570.png?fit=723%2C407&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/image-570.png?resize=723%2C407&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-279433\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/image-570.png?resize=1024%2C576&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/image-570.png?resize=300%2C169&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/image-570.png?resize=768%2C432&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/image-570.png?resize=1200%2C675&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/image-570.png?w=1280&amp;ssl=1 1280w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong>The Grand Solar Minimum is Coming.<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/solargsm.com\/2023\/page\/2\/\">Interview of Prof. V. Zharkova&nbsp;<\/a>&nbsp;by Franco Battaglia<\/strong>&nbsp; for the Italian newspaper La Verita Excerpts in italics with my bolds and added images.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>The following interview will show \u2013 if there were still the need to show it \u2013 that&nbsp;<strong>the climate system<\/strong>&nbsp;is quite far to be well understood, thereby it is<strong>&nbsp;quite far from<\/strong>&nbsp;the truth any claim according to which on the matter&nbsp;<strong>\u201cscience is settled\u201d,<\/strong>&nbsp;as Al Gore and the IPCC have been claiming for 20 years.&nbsp;<strong>Valentina Zharkova is an outstanding Ukrainian scientist<\/strong>: she graduated from the University of Kiev in Applied mathematics, first, and then completed her PhD studies in Astrophysics from the Main Astronomical Observatory in Kiev. For&nbsp;<strong>the past 30 years<\/strong>&nbsp;she worked in the&nbsp;<strong>UK Universities of Glasgow, Bradford and Northumbria,<\/strong>&nbsp;since 2005 as a Professor of Applied Mathematics. At the present she is Professor Emeritus at Northumbria University (Newcastle, UK) and Director of ZVS Research Enterprise Ltd. (London UK).<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Q. Prof. Zharkova,\u00a0<strong>people say that the Earth is warming<\/strong>\u00a0since the beginning of the Industrial revolution and that this is\u00a0<strong>due to human activities<\/strong>. Do you have any comment on that?<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"422\" data-attachment-id=\"279435\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=279435\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0zharkova1.png?fit=1227%2C717&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1227,717\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"0zharkova1\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0zharkova1.png?fit=723%2C422&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0zharkova1.png?resize=723%2C422&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-279435\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0zharkova1.png?resize=1024%2C598&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0zharkova1.png?resize=300%2C175&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0zharkova1.png?resize=768%2C449&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0zharkova1.png?resize=1200%2C701&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0zharkova1.png?w=1227&amp;ssl=1 1227w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>A. Actually the<strong>&nbsp;Earth is warming since 1690<\/strong>, the minimum of the Little Ice Age. In 1976, Prof.&nbsp;<strong>John Eddy<\/strong>&nbsp;established that the&nbsp;<strong>terrestrial temperature follows solar radiation deposition<\/strong>&nbsp;during solar activity cycles, increasing during the solar cycle maxima and decreasing during solar minima. Then, in 1995, prof.&nbsp;<strong>Judith Lean<\/strong>&nbsp;and collaborators discovered and later in 2016 Prof.&nbsp;<strong>Don Easterbrook<\/strong>&nbsp;confirmed that the input of&nbsp;<strong>solar radiation<\/strong>&nbsp;to Earth was&nbsp;<strong>decreased during the Maunder minimum<\/strong>&nbsp;in 1645-1710 by about<strong>&nbsp;3 W\/m2<\/strong>&nbsp;leading to a decrease of terrestrial temperature during what is now called the Little Ice Age. Since 1700 and the&nbsp;<strong>recovery<\/strong>&nbsp;of the Maunder minimum the&nbsp;<strong>solar radiation deposition to Earth restored<\/strong>&nbsp;to previous level and terrestrial temperature followed solar activity cycles.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Q. Has then the solar activity been&nbsp;<strong>increasing during the last few decades?<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>A.<strong>\u00a0No<\/strong>. Actually the solar activity has been\u00a0<strong>decreasing since the 80\u2019s of the last century.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"437\" data-attachment-id=\"279437\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=279437\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0zharkova3.png?fit=1184%2C716&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1184,716\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"0zharkova3\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0zharkova3.png?fit=723%2C437&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0zharkova3.png?resize=723%2C437&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-279437\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0zharkova3.png?resize=1024%2C619&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0zharkova3.png?resize=300%2C181&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0zharkova3.png?resize=768%2C464&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0zharkova3.png?w=1184&amp;ssl=1 1184w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Q. This is why IPCC has concluded that the present warming is due to humans?<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>A. Exactly,&nbsp;<strong>the warming is present but it is not due to humans.<\/strong>&nbsp;They make a mistake:<strong>&nbsp;they assume that solar radiation is essentially constant,<\/strong>&nbsp;thereby attributing the warming to CO2\u2019s enhanced concentration in the terrestrial atmosphere.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Q. Could you clarify?<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"745\" data-attachment-id=\"279439\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=279439\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0ktmp_a_1796243_f0001_oc.jpg?fit=1200%2C1236&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1200,1236\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"0ktmp_a_1796243_f0001_oc\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0ktmp_a_1796243_f0001_oc.jpg?fit=723%2C745&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0ktmp_a_1796243_f0001_oc.jpg?resize=723%2C745&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-279439\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0ktmp_a_1796243_f0001_oc.jpg?resize=994%2C1024&amp;ssl=1 994w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0ktmp_a_1796243_f0001_oc.jpg?resize=291%2C300&amp;ssl=1 291w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0ktmp_a_1796243_f0001_oc.jpg?resize=768%2C791&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0ktmp_a_1796243_f0001_oc.jpg?w=1200&amp;ssl=1 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>A.<strong>&nbsp;Within solar activity there are two important cycles: one \u2013 the small solar cycle \u2013 with a 11-year period and the other \u2013 the grand solar cycle \u2013 with a 350-year period.<\/strong>&nbsp;The grand solar cycles are separated by&nbsp;<strong>grand solar minima (GSMs),<\/strong>&nbsp;the&nbsp;<strong>most recent<\/strong>&nbsp;of them occurred&nbsp;<strong>during Maunder minimum (1645-1710)<\/strong>. The GSM acts on the terrestrial environment via the cold air jets coming from Arctic and Antarctica because of the reduction of solar UV radiation and ozone abundances in the terrestrial atmosphere. &nbsp;Now there is a current solar cycle (cycle number 25) is showing to have the largest numbers of spotless days than any other cycles of the last 280 years of observations.&nbsp;<strong>During the modern GSM,<\/strong>&nbsp;similar to Maunder minimum, the<strong>&nbsp;solar radiation is expected to decrease by about 3 W\/m2<\/strong>. The&nbsp;<strong>terrestrial temperature<\/strong>&nbsp;is then<strong>&nbsp;expected to decrease in the next three decades by about 1C.<\/strong>&nbsp;This was recorded during the Maunder Minimum and the same is expected in the modern GSM (2020-2050).<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>But the further<strong>&nbsp;change of solar irradiance<\/strong>&nbsp;deposited to the Earth can be&nbsp;<strong>caused by other effects.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Q. Namely?<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"439\" data-attachment-id=\"279441\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=279441\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0zharkova4-1.png?fit=1254%2C762&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1254,762\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"0zharkova4-1\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0zharkova4-1.png?fit=723%2C439&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0zharkova4-1.png?resize=723%2C439&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-279441\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0zharkova4-1.png?resize=1024%2C622&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0zharkova4-1.png?resize=300%2C182&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0zharkova4-1.png?resize=768%2C467&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0zharkova4-1.png?resize=1200%2C729&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0zharkova4-1.png?w=1254&amp;ssl=1 1254w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>A.&nbsp;<strong>By orbital effects.<\/strong>&nbsp;There are&nbsp;<strong>well known Milankovitch cycles<\/strong>&nbsp;caused by various variation of the earth orbit eccentricity, inclination of its axis to the ecliptics, aberrations. These periods vary from 15K to 100K years and well protocolled in the terrestrial biomass. There is<strong>&nbsp;a shorter period of solar radiation changes<\/strong>&nbsp;with a period of about two millennia:&nbsp;<strong>Hallstatt\u2019s cycle.<\/strong>&nbsp;It reflects medium-scale variations of the solar radiation level whose origin&nbsp;<strong>comes<\/strong>&nbsp;not from the dynamo activity inside the Sun but&nbsp;<strong>from the Sun\u2019s position with respect to the orbit focus, or barycentre,<\/strong>&nbsp;where it supposed to reside according to Kepler motion, or so called,&nbsp;<strong>solar inertial motion (SIM).<\/strong>&nbsp;This means that the Sun is shifted, or wobbling from its focus\/barycentre position on two millennial scale, so that Sun-Earth distance has to change on the two millennial period.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Basically, this happens\u00a0<strong>because of the gravitation from Jupiter, Saturn, Neptune and Uranus, the Sun does not sit in the focus of the ellipse of the Earth orbit,<\/strong>\u00a0but performs the motion called SIM (wobbling on smaller orbits) about this focus. This principle of wobbling stars is used to search for exoplanets because\u00a0<strong>wobbling star proves that it has a planetary system attached.<\/strong>\u00a0In fact, the official ephemeris of the Sun-Earth distance taken from Paris-Meudon observatory and NASA JPL sites show that in the millennium 1600-2600 the Sun in February-June of every year is closer to the Earth orbit when the Sun is closer to the point of the spring equinox of the Northern hemisphere, leaving the Earth to be further from the Sun in August-December than in the usual elliptical orbit when the Sun is in its focus.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"439\" data-attachment-id=\"279442\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=279442\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0zharkova5.png?fit=1254%2C762&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1254,762\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"0zharkova5\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0zharkova5.png?fit=723%2C439&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0zharkova5.png?resize=723%2C439&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-279442\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0zharkova5.png?resize=1024%2C622&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0zharkova5.png?resize=300%2C182&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0zharkova5.png?resize=768%2C467&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0zharkova5.png?resize=1200%2C729&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0zharkova5.png?w=1254&amp;ssl=1 1254w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>This&nbsp;<strong>SIM leads to an increase of the solar radiation deposited to the Earth every year during the first half<\/strong>&nbsp;of a year and, thus, to the increase of the terrestrial temperature in March-July of every year<strong>&nbsp;by approximately 10-12 W\/m2 for each hemisphere<\/strong>. With the exchange of solar heating via the ocean the terrestrial atmosphere is heated to higher temperatures owing this SIM, and&nbsp;<strong>this extra heating occurs since the Maunder Minimum to last until 2600<\/strong>. The SIM provides the extra-solar heating of terrestrial atmosphere, which is<strong>&nbsp;not considered in the IPCC models<\/strong>.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\"><em><strong><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);color:#e81540\" class=\"has-inline-color\">Hence, the solar irradiance is not a constant, but changes on a scale<br>of 11 and 350 years, as induced by the solar dynamo action,<br>and on a two-millennial scale as induced by the solar inertial motion.<\/mark><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Q. In other words, you are saying that<strong>&nbsp;IPCC found in the CO2 the wrong source of increasing terrestrial temperature?<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>A. Yes. In fact the increase of&nbsp;<strong>CO2 abundances is a consequence of the temperature increase but not its reason<\/strong>&nbsp;as Patrick Moore of Canada has shown in his book. The&nbsp;<strong>main part of solar radiation energy is stored in the Ultraviolet (UV) region,<\/strong>&nbsp;much less in the visible spectrum and even less in the infra-red spectrum where molecules of CO2 emit. CO2 molecules only re-scatter the UV solar emission in much weaker infrared part of solar spectrum.<strong>&nbsp;CO2 does not have the emission energy to heat anything because its radiation is the in low energy infra-red range!<\/strong>&nbsp;The abundances of&nbsp;<strong>CO2<\/strong>&nbsp;molecules&nbsp;<strong>increases<\/strong>&nbsp;every year, this is correct, but&nbsp;<strong>because the Sun deposits more radiation to Earth and other planets owing to SIM.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>The<strong>&nbsp;IPCC models<\/strong>&nbsp;calculate the emission from the layer containing increased number of CO2 molecules by simply<strong>&nbsp;adding all the emission by each extra CO2 molecules appeared in the past 200 years.<\/strong>&nbsp;This is&nbsp;<strong>not correct!<\/strong>&nbsp;Because the emission from a thick layer of CO2 is locked inside this layer by radiative transfer effects, so that the emission emitted outside this layer has a&nbsp;<strong>saturation effect independent on the abundance of CO2 inside the layer!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Instead, I have shown that<strong>&nbsp;owing to SIM<\/strong>, the&nbsp;<strong>increase of solar radiation in this millennium<\/strong>&nbsp;will be about about&nbsp;<strong>10-12 W\/m2 per hemisphere and per year, until around 2600.&nbsp;<\/strong>&nbsp;This means that the&nbsp;<strong>temperature<\/strong>&nbsp;<strong>increase<\/strong>&nbsp;will continue by&nbsp;<strong>further 2.5-3.0C until 2600 independently of any actions on the Earth<\/strong>&nbsp;and other planets. If this extra-solar heating is included then the whole temperature increase since Maunder Minimum is provided by the&nbsp;<strong>solar radiation<\/strong>&nbsp;because of SIM as it should because it<strong>&nbsp;is the only heating we have in the solar system.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\"><em><strong><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);color:#e81515\" class=\"has-inline-color\">In conclusion, the real reason of the current heating of terrestrial atmosphere since<br>the Maunder minimum is this extra-solar heating caused by the orbital motion of the Sun.<br>And currently the Sun is already visibly closer to the Earth (and other planet orbits)<br>during the springs and summers.<\/mark><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Q. Is there a way to&nbsp;<strong>test your theory?<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>A. Sure, it is.<strong>&nbsp;In the next 30 years<\/strong>&nbsp;it will be shown&nbsp;<strong>what is heating the Earth atmosphere: the Sun or human activity<\/strong>. Currently, the Sun is approaching the grand solar minimum (GSM) predicted by us in 2015, when&nbsp;<strong>the Sun itself is going into hibernation<\/strong>&nbsp;as all the observations of sunspots show, producing less and less active regions, flares, sunspots and coronal mass ejections. This should cause a steaming&nbsp;<strong>decrease of the terrestrial temperature by up to 1C in cycle 26 (2031-2042).<\/strong>&nbsp;This decrease should happen in spite the Sun already closer to Earth and increased by 2020 its temperature by 1.2C since the Maunder minimum.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"667\" data-attachment-id=\"279444\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=279444\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0ktmp_a_1796243_f0002_oc.jpg?fit=1200%2C1106&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1200,1106\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"0ktmp_a_1796243_f0002_oc\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0ktmp_a_1796243_f0002_oc.jpg?fit=723%2C667&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0ktmp_a_1796243_f0002_oc.jpg?resize=723%2C667&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-279444\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0ktmp_a_1796243_f0002_oc.jpg?resize=1024%2C944&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0ktmp_a_1796243_f0002_oc.jpg?resize=300%2C277&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0ktmp_a_1796243_f0002_oc.jpg?resize=768%2C708&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0ktmp_a_1796243_f0002_oc.jpg?w=1200&amp;ssl=1 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\"><em><strong><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);color:#e81515\" class=\"has-inline-color\">If AGW were in action, then we would not observe any decrease<br>of the terrestrial temperature, only its increase.<\/mark><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>However, this year and a few previous years show clearly that the<strong>&nbsp;Earth is on the course to a decrease of terrestrial temperature.<\/strong>&nbsp;We will see the terrestrial temperature to decrease and rather dramatically decrease in the next decade or two&nbsp;<strong>because of the reduced activity, or GSM, of the Sun.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Q. I imagine that the whole issue, including your finding, is still quite controversial. Would you then agree that it is safe to say that<strong>&nbsp;the matter is quite far from being settled?<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>A. Definitely!<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Well,&nbsp;<strong>in the medieval age the settled model<\/strong>&nbsp;of the solar system&nbsp;<strong>was Ptolemy\u2019s model<\/strong>&nbsp;where the Sun and planets revolve about the Earth. They invented two circles for each planet to explain their strange jumps on the sky. The church considered the science settled then.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>So settled that when&nbsp;<strong>Copernicus proposed in 1532 the heliocentric system,<\/strong>&nbsp;where the Sun is the main central star and all planets revolve about it, they considered it as heresy. We know what happened to Giordano Bruno and led to Galileo to deny Copernicus model to survive.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Until nearly a century later, in&nbsp;<strong>1610-1620 Kepler formulated three laws of the planets revolving about the central star<\/strong>. But only in&nbsp;<strong>1665 or 1666 Isaak Newton discovered the gravity,<\/strong>&nbsp;which was only roughly (via central star-planets) included into Kepler\u2019s laws.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>And&nbsp;<strong>only in 1965 Jose<\/strong>&nbsp;<strong>calculated the gravity effects<\/strong>&nbsp;not only of the central star on its planets but also&nbsp;<strong>of the planets on the central star<\/strong>, thus discovering the star\u2019s motion, naming it SIM.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\"><em><strong><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);color:#e81515\" class=\"has-inline-color\">Maybe it is the time to progress correctly with the orbital effects<br>of solar and planetary motion!<\/mark><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/edusoft.matf.bg.ac.rs\/csharp\/Verzija2005\/grananje_slike\/planete.gif?w=723&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/solargsm.com\/2023\/page\/2\/\"><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The following interview will show \u2013 if there were still the need to show it \u2013 that\u00a0the climate system\u00a0is quite far to be well understood, thereby it is\u00a0quite far from\u00a0the truth any claim according to which on the matter\u00a0\u201cscience is settled\u201d,\u00a0as Al Gore and the IPCC have been claiming for 20 years.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":279447,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691818056,691818076,691822737,691822739,691822740,691820367,691822738],"class_list":["post-279431","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-climate-change","tag-co2","tag-ipcc-models","tag-maunder-minimum","tag-solar-inertial-motion-sim","tag-solar-radiation","tag-zharkova","fallback-thumbnail"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/image-571.png?fit=1920%2C1080&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1aGX","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":322897,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=322897","url_meta":{"origin":279431,"position":0},"title":"\u00a0\u201cNew Ice Age Has Begun,\u201d Astrophysicist Warns\u2026Due To Reduced Solar Activity","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"04\/25\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Due to changing solar activity, the Earth is heading into a new Little Ice Age, according to Northumbria University astrophysicist Prof. Valentina Zharkova, Newcastle, Great Britain. \u201cThere\u2019s nothing we can do about it.\u201d","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/0-Little-Ice-Age.jpeg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/0-Little-Ice-Age.jpeg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/0-Little-Ice-Age.jpeg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/0-Little-Ice-Age.jpeg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/0-Little-Ice-Age.jpeg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":447545,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=447545","url_meta":{"origin":279431,"position":1},"title":"\u00a0A Grand Solar Minimum Has Arrived\u2026Global Cooling Of At Least 1\u00b0C Is Expected By The 2030s, 2040s","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"05\/31\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"This is a 2026 paper by Valentina Zharkova titled \"Modern Grand Solar Minimum (2020-2053): Little Ice Age started\", published in Science of Climate Change, Vol. 6.2, pp. 50-61 (submitted Jan 2026, accepted Feb 2026). It is an update to her earlier work, reiterating that her double dynamo model predictions are\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"double dynamo model predictions\"","block_context":{"text":"double dynamo model predictions","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=double-dynamo-model-predictions"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/0-ChatGPT-Modern-Grand-Solar-Minimum-2020-2053.png?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/0-ChatGPT-Modern-Grand-Solar-Minimum-2020-2053.png?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/0-ChatGPT-Modern-Grand-Solar-Minimum-2020-2053.png?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/0-ChatGPT-Modern-Grand-Solar-Minimum-2020-2053.png?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/0-ChatGPT-Modern-Grand-Solar-Minimum-2020-2053.png?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":244474,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=244474","url_meta":{"origin":279431,"position":2},"title":"It is Time to Bury the Grand Solar Minimum Myth","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"02\/19\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Fourteen years ago, a new climate myth was born.","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-491.png?fit=1200%2C775&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-491.png?fit=1200%2C775&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-491.png?fit=1200%2C775&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-491.png?fit=1200%2C775&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-491.png?fit=1200%2C775&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":366551,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=366551","url_meta":{"origin":279431,"position":3},"title":"Sun Rules Earth\u00a0Climate","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"02\/17\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Today we\u2019re talking again about\u00a0Grand solar minimum, but I also speak about a little bit of solar radiation and verification of the new solar\u00a0activity index we discovered with the existing one which is derived by average\u00a0Sunspot number.","rel":"","context":"In \"carbon dioxide (CO\u2082)\"","block_context":{"text":"carbon dioxide (CO\u2082)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=carbon-dioxide-co%e2%82%82"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/0Screenshot-2025-02-17-145119.png?fit=1200%2C676&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/0Screenshot-2025-02-17-145119.png?fit=1200%2C676&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/0Screenshot-2025-02-17-145119.png?fit=1200%2C676&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/0Screenshot-2025-02-17-145119.png?fit=1200%2C676&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/0Screenshot-2025-02-17-145119.png?fit=1200%2C676&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":447561,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=447561","url_meta":{"origin":279431,"position":4},"title":"Modern Grand Solar Minimum (2020\u20132053): The Little Ice Age Has Begun","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"05\/31\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Zharkova's double dynamo model reframes the solar cycle as the result of two coupled but slightly detuned magnetic waves from separate layers, whose interference naturally produces both the 11-year cycle and longer grand cycles\/minima. It offers an elegant explanation for observed variability and bold predictive power, but remains a minority\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"\"Little Ice Age Started\"\"","block_context":{"text":"\"Little Ice Age Started\"","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=little-ice-age-started"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/0-Modern-Grand-Solar-Minimum-2020%E2%80%932053-The-Little-Ice-Age-Has-Begun.jpg?fit=1168%2C784&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/0-Modern-Grand-Solar-Minimum-2020%E2%80%932053-The-Little-Ice-Age-Has-Begun.jpg?fit=1168%2C784&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/0-Modern-Grand-Solar-Minimum-2020%E2%80%932053-The-Little-Ice-Age-Has-Begun.jpg?fit=1168%2C784&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/0-Modern-Grand-Solar-Minimum-2020%E2%80%932053-The-Little-Ice-Age-Has-Begun.jpg?fit=1168%2C784&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/0-Modern-Grand-Solar-Minimum-2020%E2%80%932053-The-Little-Ice-Age-Has-Begun.jpg?fit=1168%2C784&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":279961,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=279961","url_meta":{"origin":279431,"position":5},"title":"New Study: Earth Will Cool By 1\u00b0C Over The Next Decades Due To The Upcoming Grand Solar Minimum","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"09\/22\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"\u201cThe first modern GSM1 [Grand Solar Minimum] occurs in 2020 \u2013 2053 with the cycle amplitudes reduction to 80% in cycle 25, to 30% in cycle 26 and to 70% in cycle 27 from the maximum amplitude of cycle 24.\u201d \u2212 Zharkova et al., 2023","rel":"","context":"In \"CO2\"","block_context":{"text":"CO2","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=co2"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/image-678.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/image-678.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/image-678.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/image-678.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/image-678.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/279431","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=279431"}],"version-history":[{"count":10,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/279431\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":279449,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/279431\/revisions\/279449"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/279447"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=279431"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=279431"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=279431"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}