{"id":277820,"date":"2023-09-08T12:53:36","date_gmt":"2023-09-08T10:53:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=277820"},"modified":"2023-09-08T12:53:39","modified_gmt":"2023-09-08T10:53:39","slug":"what-no-offshore-wind","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=277820","title":{"rendered":"What, No Offshore\u00a0Wind?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By Paul Homewood<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I was going to wait till the actual results tomorrow, but I\u2019ll be in the middle of Rutland on my bike!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

No new offshore wind farms are expected to have been bid for in a government auction this week, in a significant blow to the government\u2019s clean energy ambitions.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n


Ministers are scheduled to announce tomorrow the winners in their annual auction of financial support contracts for renewable energy projects.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n


A number of sources have told The Times they understood the auction had failed to procure any big new offshore wind farms, after the government ignored repeated industry warnings that support on offer was too low to reflect soaring inflation.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n


Such an outcome would jeopardise the government\u2019s ambitious target of more than tripling offshore wind capacity to 50 gigawatts by 2030 \u2014 more than enough to power every home, and up from less than 14 gigawatts today.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n


Five offshore wind projects with about 5 gigawatts combined capacity are believed to have been eligible for this year\u2019s auction \u2014 enough to power more than 5 million homes. However, their developers \u2014 Vattenfall, ScottishPower and SSE \u2014 have all sounded the alarm over cost inflation.<\/em>
Full story<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

A few first thoughts:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

1) The inflation argument is a bit of a bogus one, because the strike prices are index linked anyway.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The govt\u2019s price cap is \u00a344\/MWh at 2012 prices, something like \u00a355\/MWh at current prices, and \u00a365\/MWh by the time they start generating.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

2) The wind industry has been hoisted on its own petard, consistently low balling the true costs in  order to influence govts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This also applies to the turbine manufacturers, who appear to have woefully underestimated the costs and problems of building large turbines for operation offshore.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

3) According to Sky<\/a>, a recent auction in Ireland set a price of Eu 150\/MWh, about \u00a3125\/MWh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

4) WSJ report that:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to George Bilicic, global head of power, energy and infrastructure at Lazard, building a U.S. offshore wind farm can cost $4,000<\/p>\n\n\n\n

That\u2019s \u00a33000, and compares with the BEIS levelised  cost estimates, which are based on \u00a31500 (at 2018 prices)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

BEIS figures came out at \u00a354\/MWh<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At \u00a33000, we are looking at something like \u00a3100\/MWh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I\u2019ll do a fuller analysis once the full auction results are announced.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

No new offshore wind farms are expected to have been bid for in a government auction this week, in a significant blow to the government\u2019s clean energy ambitions.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":277824,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691818340,691822409,691822410,691822411,691821274],"class_list":{"0":"post-277820","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-offshore-wind-farms","9":"tag-offshore-wind-2","10":"tag-scottishpower","11":"tag-sse","12":"tag-vattenfall","14":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0skynews-offshore-wind-turbine_6277996.jpg?fit=1600%2C900&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1agY","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":288260,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=288260","url_meta":{"origin":277820,"position":0},"title":"Offshore Wind Costs","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"11\/20\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"The UK government has increased the strike price caps for the upcoming Contracts for Different round and committed to an offshore wind-only pot. The Administrative Strike Price for fixed-foundation bidders in Allocation Round 6 will be \u00a373 per megawatt-hour, up 66% on the \u00a344\/MWh in AR5 that failed to attract\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"\u00a311 billion a year\"","block_context":{"text":"\u00a311 billion a year","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=11-billion-a-year"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/image-483.png?fit=1200%2C1063&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/image-483.png?fit=1200%2C1063&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/image-483.png?fit=1200%2C1063&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/image-483.png?fit=1200%2C1063&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/image-483.png?fit=1200%2C1063&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":250033,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=250033","url_meta":{"origin":277820,"position":1},"title":"Wind farms can simply ignore agreed contracts and cash in big time, FOI reveals\u00a0","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"03\/28\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Net Zero Watch has accused the wind industry and the government of colluding to mislead the public about the true cost of wind energy.","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image-1204.png?fit=1200%2C754&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image-1204.png?fit=1200%2C754&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image-1204.png?fit=1200%2C754&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image-1204.png?fit=1200%2C754&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image-1204.png?fit=1200%2C754&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":242129,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=242129","url_meta":{"origin":277820,"position":2},"title":"Scotland Up In Arms About Offshore Wind Profits","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"01\/29\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Politicians like Kenny MacAskill seem to think that because wind is free Scotland should reap the rewards. 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Wind turbines extract kinetic energy from the wind, creating downstream regions of reduced wind speed and increased turbulence (known as wakes). 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