{"id":277744,"date":"2023-09-07T20:41:51","date_gmt":"2023-09-07T18:41:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=277744"},"modified":"2023-09-07T20:41:54","modified_gmt":"2023-09-07T18:41:54","slug":"arctic-ice-surprise-in-east-siberia","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=277744","title":{"rendered":"Arctic Ice Surprise in East\u00a0Siberia"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From Science Matters<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By\u00a0Ron Clutz<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
Oil tanker NS Arctic sailing in icy waters. Photo: Dmitry Lobusov, icebreaker captain for Rosatomflot<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

With the warmer water temperatures in the North Atlantic this summer, we can expect lower Arctic sea ice extents.  But maybe not.  Barents Observer reports A month after they set out on Arctic voyage, two Russian oil tankers still battle with sea-ice.<\/strong><\/a>  Excerpts in italics with my bolds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The ships that are loaded with more than 200,000 tons of oil
might have been surprised by ice pack in the East Siberian Sea.<\/mark><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Primorsky Prospect and NS Arctic on the 12th and 14th of July respectively set out from St.Petersburg with course for the Chinese ports of Dalian and Rizhao. They were to arrive at destinations by the middle of August.  That schedule is now significantly postponed. Shipping data show that the ships will make it to the Chinese ports no earlier than 26th of August.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the tankers both have ice classification Arc3, their voyage across the Laptev Sea and East Siberian Sea have been marred with troubles with the sea-ice.   For several days, the tankers were at standstill off the New Siberian Islands, and later also in the southern part of the East Siberian Sea.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nevertheless, the long and icy voyage of the two oil tankers raises new questions about the actual benefits of sailing on the Northern Sea Route, as well as security in the area.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
Sea-ice in thee East Siberian Sea in period 6-8th of August 2023. Map by Arctic and Antarctic Research Institute<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Both<\/strong> the NS Arctic and Primorsky Prospect have ice classification Arc3, but neither of them have permission to sail independently<\/strong> through the most complex parts of the Northern Sea Route in anything but light ice conditions.  Growing parts of the East Siberian Sea are ice-free.<\/strong> But changes can quickly occur in this region and a sudden emergence of ice pack might have taken the ships by surprise.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

But in medium ice conditions, the ships are obliged to hire icebreaker escort.<\/strong> It is not clear to what extent the tankers have made it into medium ice conditions. But ice maps from the Russian Arctic and Antarctic Research Institute show that major parts of the East Siberian Sea have a white sheet.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cPerhaps the wind has pushed the ice pack towards the coast,<\/strong> increasing the concentration locally so that there\u2019s no longer continuous green strip along the coast?\u201d an anonymous industry expert says to the Barents Observer.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to the expert, there appears to be no imminent risk for a dangerous situation.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
Nuclear icebreaker Sibir escorts ships through the Vilkitsky Strait. Photo: Rosatom\/Kirill Razin<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

With the warmer water temperatures in the North Atlantic this summer, we can expect lower Arctic sea ice extents.\u00a0 But maybe not.\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":277752,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691819671,691822394,691822397,691822395,691822396],"class_list":{"0":"post-277744","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-arctic-ice","9":"tag-east-siberia","10":"tag-icebreaker-escort","11":"tag-ns-arctic","12":"tag-primorsky-prospect","14":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/01016043236_0_648_1456_1467_1920x0_80_0_0_32e70f108df92afb2755606698e76e55.jpg?fit=1920%2C1080&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1afK","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":259992,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=259992","url_meta":{"origin":277744,"position":0},"title":"Arctic Ice: A Cold Reality Check for Climate Alarmism","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"06\/01\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Recently, we\u2019ve seen an event that has added fuel to the ongoing debate surrounding climate change and its real-world effects. The case in question involves Russia\u2019s latest icebreaker, the Yevpatii Kolovrat,\u00a0having to take a longer route to reach its Pacific fleet due to impassable heavy ice in Arctic waters.","rel":"","context":"In \"Canadian Arctic\"","block_context":{"text":"Canadian Arctic","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=canadian-arctic"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/0Yamal_2009-scaled-e1608109589506-1920x1215-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C759&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/0Yamal_2009-scaled-e1608109589506-1920x1215-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C759&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/0Yamal_2009-scaled-e1608109589506-1920x1215-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C759&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/0Yamal_2009-scaled-e1608109589506-1920x1215-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C759&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/0Yamal_2009-scaled-e1608109589506-1920x1215-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C759&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":345875,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=345875","url_meta":{"origin":277744,"position":1},"title":"Arctic Shipping Ends Early Due to Growing\u00a0Ice","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"10\/08\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"The summer shipping window on\u00a0Russia\u2019s Northern Sea Route\u00a0is coming to a rapid close weeks ahead of schedule. A number of\u00a0vessels and convoys are rushing to complete their transits\u00a0before the route shuts down in the next three weeks.","rel":"","context":"In \"Arctic\"","block_context":{"text":"Arctic","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=arctic"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/00Source-Courtesy-of-ESL-Shipping-2048x1069-1.webp?fit=1200%2C626&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/00Source-Courtesy-of-ESL-Shipping-2048x1069-1.webp?fit=1200%2C626&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/00Source-Courtesy-of-ESL-Shipping-2048x1069-1.webp?fit=1200%2C626&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/00Source-Courtesy-of-ESL-Shipping-2048x1069-1.webp?fit=1200%2C626&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/00Source-Courtesy-of-ESL-Shipping-2048x1069-1.webp?fit=1200%2C626&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":347197,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=347197","url_meta":{"origin":277744,"position":2},"title":"Arctic Shipping Update: NSR Flash\u00a0Freezing","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"10\/17\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"The summer shipping window on Russia\u2019s Northern Sea Route is coming to a rapid close weeks ahead of schedule. A number of vessels and convoys are rushing to complete their transits before the route shuts down in the next three weeks.","rel":"","context":"In \"Arctic Shipping\"","block_context":{"text":"Arctic Shipping","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=arctic-shipping"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/00Screenshot-2024-10-17-144015-1.png?fit=1200%2C622&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/00Screenshot-2024-10-17-144015-1.png?fit=1200%2C622&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/00Screenshot-2024-10-17-144015-1.png?fit=1200%2C622&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/00Screenshot-2024-10-17-144015-1.png?fit=1200%2C622&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/00Screenshot-2024-10-17-144015-1.png?fit=1200%2C622&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":353586,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=353586","url_meta":{"origin":277744,"position":3},"title":"Climate Change, Sea Ice and Engineering New Trade in the Artic","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"12\/09\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Modern warming of the climate, contrary to the popular \u2013 though waning \u2013 narrative, has contributed to the flourishing of human civilization to unprecedented levels. About 10,000 years ago at the end of the last glacial advance, our relatively warm Holocene era began and allowed for the development of agriculture\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Arctic Ice\"","block_context":{"text":"Arctic Ice","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=arctic-ice"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/0-Nuclear-Powered-Icebreakers.jpeg?fit=1200%2C900&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/0-Nuclear-Powered-Icebreakers.jpeg?fit=1200%2C900&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/0-Nuclear-Powered-Icebreakers.jpeg?fit=1200%2C900&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/0-Nuclear-Powered-Icebreakers.jpeg?fit=1200%2C900&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/0-Nuclear-Powered-Icebreakers.jpeg?fit=1200%2C900&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":349104,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=349104","url_meta":{"origin":277744,"position":4},"title":"Arctic Shipping Update: NSR Freezes in 10\u00a0Days","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"10\/27\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"The summer shipping window on Russia\u2019s Northern Sea Route is coming to a rapid close weeks ahead of schedule. A number of vessels and convoys are rushing to complete their transits before the route shuts down in the next three weeks.","rel":"","context":"In \"Arctic Shipping\"","block_context":{"text":"Arctic Shipping","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=arctic-shipping"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/0Source-Courtesy-of-ESL-Shipping-2048x1069-3.webp?fit=1200%2C626&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/0Source-Courtesy-of-ESL-Shipping-2048x1069-3.webp?fit=1200%2C626&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/0Source-Courtesy-of-ESL-Shipping-2048x1069-3.webp?fit=1200%2C626&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/0Source-Courtesy-of-ESL-Shipping-2048x1069-3.webp?fit=1200%2C626&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/0Source-Courtesy-of-ESL-Shipping-2048x1069-3.webp?fit=1200%2C626&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":241710,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=241710","url_meta":{"origin":277744,"position":5},"title":"Why Is Antarctica\u2019s Climate Considered \u2018Global\u2019 But Arctic Siberia\u2019s Is Not?","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"01\/26\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Why is it assumed we can obtain accurate\u00a0global-scale\u00a0records of past climates from Antarctica when there is such a stark divergence in the timing and amplitude of Antarctica\u2019s climate trends versus Arctic Siberia\u2019s?","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/image-1146.png?fit=1024%2C576&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/image-1146.png?fit=1024%2C576&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/image-1146.png?fit=1024%2C576&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/image-1146.png?fit=1024%2C576&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/277744","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=277744"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/277744\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":277754,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/277744\/revisions\/277754"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/277752"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=277744"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=277744"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=277744"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}