{"id":277626,"date":"2023-09-07T09:40:20","date_gmt":"2023-09-07T07:40:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=277626"},"modified":"2023-09-07T09:40:23","modified_gmt":"2023-09-07T07:40:23","slug":"i-left-out-the-full-truth-to-get-my-climate-change-paper-published","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=277626","title":{"rendered":"I Left Out the Full Truth to Get My Climate Change Paper Published"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
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Closeup of a business man with his hands behind his back and fingers crossed<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From Watts Up With That?<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

A very illuminating article was published by a climate scientist, one could say whistleblower, in The Free Press today<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

The full article is well worth the read. It is a clear indictment of narrative enforcement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

The paper I just published\u2014\u201cClimate warming increases extreme daily wildfire growth risk in California<\/a>\u201d\u2014focuses exclusively on how climate change has affected extreme wildfire behavior. I knew not<\/em> to try to quantify key aspects other than climate change in my research because it would dilute the story that prestigious journals like Nature <\/em>and its rival, Science,<\/em> want to tell. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

This matters because it is critically important for scientists to be published in high-profile journals; in many ways, they are the gatekeepers for career success in academia. And the editors of these journals have made it abundantly clear, both by what they publish and what they reject, that they want climate papers that support certain preapproved narratives\u2014even when those narratives come at the expense of broader knowledge for society. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

To put it bluntly, climate science has become less about understanding the complexities of the world and more about serving as a kind of Cassandra, urgently warning the public about the dangers of climate change. However understandable this instinct may be, it distorts a great deal of climate science research, misinforms the public, and most importantly, makes practical solutions more difficult to achieve. https:\/\/www.thefp.com\/p\/i-overhyped-climate-change-to-get-published<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

Patrick Brown goes in to detail how the scales are tipped to enforce the policy relevant narrative, emphasis mine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

This type of framing, with the influence of climate change unrealistically considered in isolation, is the norm for high-profile research papers. For example, in another recent influential Nature<\/a><\/em> paper<\/a>, scientists calculated that the two largest climate change impacts on society are deaths related to extreme heat and damage to agriculture. However, the authors never mention that climate change is not<\/em> the dominant driver for either one of these impacts: heat-related deaths have been declining<\/a>, and crop yields have been increasing<\/a> for decades despite<\/em> climate change. To acknowledge this would imply that the world has succeeded in some areas despite climate change\u2014which, the thinking goes, would undermine the motivation for emissions reductions. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

This leads to a second unspoken rule in writing a successful climate paper. The authors should ignore\u2014or at least downplay\u2014practical actions that can counter the impact of climate change. If deaths due to extreme heat are decreasing and crop yields are increasing, then it stands to reason that we can overcome some major negative effects of climate change. Shouldn\u2019t we then study how<\/em> we have been able to achieve success so that we can facilitate more of it? Of course we should. But studying solutions rather than focusing on problems is simply not going to rouse the public\u2014or the press. Besides, many mainstream climate scientists tend to view the whole prospect of, say, using technology to adapt to climate change as wrongheaded; addressing emissions is the right approach. So the savvy researcher knows to stay away from practical solutions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Here\u2019s a third trick: be sure to focus on metrics that will generate the most eye-popping numbers. Our paper, for instance, could have focused on a simple, intuitive metric like the number of additional acres that burned or the increase in intensity of wildfires because of climate change. Instead, we followed the common practice of looking at the change in risk<\/em> of an extreme event\u2014in our case, the increased risk of wildfires burning more than 10,000 acres in a single day.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This is a far less intuitive metric that is more difficult to translate into actionable information. So why is this more complicated and less useful kind of metric so common? Because it generally produces larger factors of increase<\/a> than other calculations. To wit: you get bigger numbers that justify the importance of your work, its rightful place in Nature<\/em> or Science<\/em>, and widespread media coverage. <\/strong>https:\/\/www.thefp.com\/p\/i-overhyped-climate-change-to-get-published<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

Brown does not pull punches.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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To put it another way, I sacrificed contributing the most valuable knowledge for society in order for the research to be compatible with the confirmation bias of the editors and reviewers of the journals I was targeting. <\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

The full article is well worth reading at THE FREE PRESS<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

H\/T Willie Soon, Cam_S, pat-from-kerbob, Duane T, a Climate Researcher who shall remain nameless, and I saw it on X first.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A very illuminating article was published by a climate scientist, one could say whistleblower, in\u00a0The Free Press today<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":277630,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691818056,691820938,691818576,691818913],"class_list":["post-277626","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-climate-change","tag-climate-warming","tag-inflation-reduction-act","tag-wildfires","fallback-thumbnail"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/01-8-20-unethical.jpg?fit=2121%2C1414&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1adQ","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":277539,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=277539","url_meta":{"origin":277626,"position":0},"title":"Climate scientist whistleblower Patrick Brown reveals how the media\u2019s obsession with global warming manipulates the truth about wildfires \u2013 80% are ignited by humans","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"09\/06\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Much reporting of the wildfires in Maui has said climate change contributed to the disaster by contributing to conditions that helped the fires to spark and spread quickly. The fires, which killed at least 115 people, are believed to have been\u00a0started by a downed electricity line, but observers have said\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Global warming\"","block_context":{"text":"Global warming","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=global-warming"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0ap-maui-fires.jpg?fit=1024%2C742&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0ap-maui-fires.jpg?fit=1024%2C742&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0ap-maui-fires.jpg?fit=1024%2C742&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0ap-maui-fires.jpg?fit=1024%2C742&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":274213,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=274213","url_meta":{"origin":277626,"position":1},"title":"Team Climate Crisis Resorts to Bullying, Again","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"08\/17\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Are we entering into a new\u00a0ClimateGate\u00a0era in climate science, in which the bad actors rule and the majority, all good men and women, fail to call them out?","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate crisis\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate crisis","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-crisis"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/OIG-2023-07-28T132225.382.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/OIG-2023-07-28T132225.382.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/OIG-2023-07-28T132225.382.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/OIG-2023-07-28T132225.382.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":278967,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=278967","url_meta":{"origin":277626,"position":2},"title":"The Wolf and the Lamb \u2014 Alimonti et al. 2022","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"09\/16\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Those offended, the ClimateGate gang, appearing in this round of scandal are\u00a0Greg Holland\u00a0 ;\u00a0Lisa Alexander\u00a0;\u00a0Steve Sherwood\u00a0;\u00a0Michael Mann\u00a0;\u00a0Friederike Otto\u00a0;\u00a0Stefan Rahmstorf, took their tears of outrage to the climate-collusion mass media and cried:\u00a0 \u201cHow dare they disagree with\u00a0us!\u201d","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/image-479.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/image-479.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/image-479.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/image-479.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/image-479.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":422228,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=422228","url_meta":{"origin":277626,"position":3},"title":"Climate change advocates at the UN launch new organized assault against free speech and information","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"01\/20\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"For years, climate change \u201cdeniers\u201d have been attacked and ridiculed because we don\u2019t believe in the \u201cscience\u201d of the left. 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Some Scientists See Climate Change Link\u201d\u00a0describes different perspectives of climate scientists regarding winter cold extremes. Some scientists are claiming based on climate model projections that global warming is making extreme cold snaps worse, others point out that that\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0Screenshot-2026-02-11-201028.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0Screenshot-2026-02-11-201028.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0Screenshot-2026-02-11-201028.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0Screenshot-2026-02-11-201028.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0Screenshot-2026-02-11-201028.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":282667,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=282667","url_meta":{"origin":277626,"position":5},"title":"Correct, WBUR, Many Climate Scientists Don\u2019t Tell the Truth","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"10\/10\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"From Watts Up With That? An October 3, 2023 opinion piece by Barbara Moran at the WBUR (Boston) website has the headline \u201cMany scientists don\u2019t want to tell the truth about climate change. Here\u2019s why.\u201d Since human-caused climate change has become a topic of debate, climate scientists have routinely misstated\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"climate activism\"","block_context":{"text":"climate activism","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-activism"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/0GettyImages-1031459752-1024x657-1.jpg?fit=1024%2C657&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/0GettyImages-1031459752-1024x657-1.jpg?fit=1024%2C657&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/0GettyImages-1031459752-1024x657-1.jpg?fit=1024%2C657&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/0GettyImages-1031459752-1024x657-1.jpg?fit=1024%2C657&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/277626","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=277626"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/277626\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":277631,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/277626\/revisions\/277631"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/277630"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=277626"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=277626"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=277626"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}