{"id":276466,"date":"2023-08-31T10:44:24","date_gmt":"2023-08-31T08:44:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=276466"},"modified":"2023-08-31T10:44:27","modified_gmt":"2023-08-31T08:44:27","slug":"global-and-u-s-disaster-databases","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=276466","title":{"rendered":"Global and U.S. Disaster Databases"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"407\" data-attachment-id=\"276478\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=276478\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/00INN5-NAGOYAU2-27193-pro-image-1.jpg?fit=1920%2C1080&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1920,1080\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"00INN5-NAGOYAU2-27193-pro-image-1\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/00INN5-NAGOYAU2-27193-pro-image-1.jpg?fit=723%2C407&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/00INN5-NAGOYAU2-27193-pro-image-1.jpg?resize=723%2C407&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-276478\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/00INN5-NAGOYAU2-27193-pro-image-1.jpg?resize=1024%2C576&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/00INN5-NAGOYAU2-27193-pro-image-1.jpg?resize=300%2C169&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/00INN5-NAGOYAU2-27193-pro-image-1.jpg?resize=768%2C432&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/00INN5-NAGOYAU2-27193-pro-image-1.jpg?resize=1536%2C864&amp;ssl=1 1536w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/00INN5-NAGOYAU2-27193-pro-image-1.jpg?resize=1200%2C675&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/00INN5-NAGOYAU2-27193-pro-image-1.jpg?w=1920&amp;ssl=1 1920w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/00INN5-NAGOYAU2-27193-pro-image-1.jpg?w=1446&amp;ssl=1 1446w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">From <a href=\"http:\/\/substack.com\">substack.com<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/substack.com\/profile\/4434187-roger-pielke-jr\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">By <a href=\"https:\/\/substack.com\/@rogerpielkejr\">ROGER PIELKE JR.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"480\" height=\"326\" data-attachment-id=\"276467\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=276467\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-1099.png?fit=480%2C326&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"480,326\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image-1099\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-1099.png?fit=480%2C326&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-1099.png?resize=480%2C326&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-276467\" style=\"width:762px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-1099.png?w=480&amp;ssl=1 480w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-1099.png?resize=300%2C204&amp;ssl=1 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 480px) 100vw, 480px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Counts of disasters and their impacts are a big deal these days. For instance, such data is central to evaluating progress with respect to the United Nations\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/rogerpielkejr.substack.com\/p\/tracking-positive-progress-on-the\">Sendai Framework on Disaster Risk Reduction<\/a>. Disaster time series are also increasingly used as political footballs in climate advocacy and opposition. Separating out scientifically-accurate information from that which is not can be difficult.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This post provides a brief users\u2019 guide to oft-cited disaster databases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">I\u2019ve been studying, researching and publishing on these (and other) disaster datasets for almost 30 years. One thing I\u2019ve learned is that we need better data on disasters \u2014 collected using consistent methods and with a global scope. As\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41597-022-01667-x\">one paper<\/a>\u00a0concluded in 2022:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Reliable and complete data held in disaster databases are imperative to inform effective disaster preparedness and mitigation policies. Nonetheless, disaster databases are highly prone to missingness.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Disasters are one area where philanthropists have a huge opportunity to invest some modest funds to enable the collection and assessment of robust data with global significance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Below, I use a stoplight to indicate of some oft-cited databases, data quality in the following categories:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>research quality (green);<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>significant problems (yellow), and;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>beware (red).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full is-resized\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"232\" height=\"525\" data-attachment-id=\"276470\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=276470\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-1100.png?fit=232%2C525&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"232,525\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image-1100\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-1100.png?fit=232%2C525&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-1100.png?resize=232%2C525&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-276470\" style=\"width:239px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-1100.png?w=232&amp;ssl=1 232w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-1100.png?resize=133%2C300&amp;ssl=1 133w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 232px) 100vw, 232px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Munich Re and Swiss Re Insured and Total Losses<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.munichre.com\/en\/solutions\/for-industry-clients\/natcatservice.html\">Munich Re<\/a>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.swissre.com\/institute\/research\/sigma-research\/data-explorer.html\">Swiss Re<\/a>&nbsp;are the world\u2019s leading reinsurance companies. They also administer global time series for insured and total disaster losses. Their tallies of insured losses are the most robust of any global disaster dataset, as there are legal and regulatory reporting requirements for these figures. Their reporting of total losses requires a greater degree of judgment and estimation \u2014 so I\u2019d urge a bit more caution with these numbers. The methods and underlying data from each are not generally available, which can make interpretation sometimes difficult. That said, Munich Re and Swiss Re are at the head of the class. Green light.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Disclosure: I collaborated with Munich Re 15+ years ago (no funding to me) and back then they provided me with proprietary data for\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/ascelibrary.org\/doi\/abs\/10.1061\/(ASCE)NH.1527-6996.0000141\">research<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full is-resized\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"211\" height=\"538\" data-attachment-id=\"276472\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=276472\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-1101.png?fit=211%2C538&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"211,538\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image-1101\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-1101.png?fit=211%2C538&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-1101.png?resize=211%2C538&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-276472\" style=\"width:224px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-1101.png?w=211&amp;ssl=1 211w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-1101.png?resize=118%2C300&amp;ssl=1 118w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 211px) 100vw, 211px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>EM-DAT<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Centre for Research for the Epidemiology of Disasters (CRED) in Belgium has been funded for decades by the U.S. Agency for International Development to maintain a&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.emdat.be\/\">database of global disasters<\/a>, called EM-DAT. The dataset is widely used and much more often misused. For instance, their time series shows a huge increase in disaster counts to 2000, which CRED officials have long attributed to improved reporting and data collection. Since 2000 the data recently showed a decrease \u2014 but recently&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/rogerpielkejr.substack.com\/p\/21st-century-global-disasters\">I noticed<\/a>&nbsp;that 2022 disaster counts changed significantly without any announcement or notification. I emailed EM-DAT to ask what happened and they said that they had incorporated the results of a&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41591-023-02419-z\">July 2023 study<\/a>&nbsp;on excess heat mortality in Europe in 2022. This significant methodological change is problematic because such data did not exist before 2022 and in 2022 only exists for Europe. EM-DAT also explained to me that, \u201cOccasionally, we make spontaneous event additions or modifications that are not part of our data collection\/validation routine.\u201d Such methodological discontinuities create real risks of introducing biases in the time series. I have encouraged EM-DAT to maintain methodological consistency and when they do introduce new methods, to account for and disclose them in parallel, so that consistent time series can be used to track actual trends.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">I urge extreme caution in using EM-DAT \u2014 as important as it still is \u2014 and greater sophistication in its use. I plan to use it in research and my writing here with much greater precision (e.g., phenomenon by phenomenon). Be careful. Deep yellow.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full is-resized\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"212\" height=\"538\" data-attachment-id=\"276474\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=276474\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-1102.png?fit=212%2C538&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"212,538\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image-1102\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-1102.png?fit=212%2C538&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-1102.png?resize=212%2C538&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-276474\" style=\"width:223px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-1102.png?w=212&amp;ssl=1 212w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-1102.png?resize=118%2C300&amp;ssl=1 118w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 212px) 100vw, 212px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>NOAA Billion Dollar Disasters<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Here is what I&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/rogerpielkejr.substack.com\/p\/billion-dollar-disasters-are-a-national\">wrote last January<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Eleven years ago this week, I wrote my&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/rogerpielkejr.blogspot.com\/2012\/01\/bad-economics-at-noaa.html\">first critique<\/a>&nbsp;of the so-called \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncei.noaa.gov\/access\/billions\/time-series\">billion-dollar disaster<\/a>\u201d count promoted by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The dataset and how it is used represents one of the most spectacular abuses of science you will ever see \u2014 and obviously so, it is not even close. Yet, the U.S. government and big media outlets continue to promote the dataset, while experts who know better stand by silently.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">My views have not changed. The Billion Dollar dataset may be good for clicks and simplistic and misleading media reporting, but it can\u2019t be used to say anything meaningful about disaster trends in the U.S., much less climate. I wish NOAA \u2014 a crucially important science agency \u2014 would just clean this up. Red light.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full is-resized\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"212\" height=\"538\" data-attachment-id=\"276475\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=276475\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-1103.png?fit=212%2C538&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"212,538\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image-1103\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-1103.png?fit=212%2C538&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-1103.png?resize=212%2C538&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-276475\" style=\"width:205px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-1103.png?w=212&amp;ssl=1 212w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/image-1103.png?resize=118%2C300&amp;ssl=1 118w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 212px) 100vw, 212px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>All the Rest<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">There are others who provide public estimates of disaster losses over time (I\u2019ll ignore the proprietary ones here, as I have no basis to evaluate them). In 2020, back when I\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/rogerpielke\/2020\/01\/25\/why-you-cant-trust-the-insurance-industrys-secret-science-on-climate-catastrophes\/\">wrote for\u00a0<\/a><em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/rogerpielke\/2020\/01\/25\/why-you-cant-trust-the-insurance-industrys-secret-science-on-climate-catastrophes\/\">Forbes<\/a><\/em>, I took a deep dive into one such dataset and found that it reported more than a\u00a0<em>trillion<\/em>\u00a0dollars more than Munich Re in total losses over 2010-2019. That\u2019s \u2014 a lot. These datasets change retrospectively, methods are not published, press releases tout ever-bigger numbers as if looking for headlines and their company names in press. No thanks. Red light.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>This is a nerdy, wonky post mostly for those who work in the weeds working with disaster data or interpreting it in their work. At the same time, it is important for everyone to see the challenges in grappling with such datasets and how a seemingly simple variable like \u201cglobal disasters\u201d can be so challenging to quantify. Thanks for reading and supporting THB!<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Counts of disasters and their impacts are a big deal these days. For instance, such data is central to evaluating progress with respect to the United Nations\u00a0Sendai Framework on Disaster Risk Reduction. Disaster time series are also increasingly used as political footballs in climate advocacy and opposition. Separating out scientifically-accurate information from that which is not can be difficult.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":276478,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691822210,691819089,691822211,691822214],"class_list":{"0":"post-276466","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-disaster-databases","9":"tag-em-dat","10":"tag-modest-funds","11":"tag-total-losses","13":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/00INN5-NAGOYAU2-27193-pro-image-1.jpg?fit=1920%2C1080&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-19V8","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":294439,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=294439","url_meta":{"origin":276466,"position":0},"title":"Major U.S. Disaster Database That Was Quoted by President Biden as Proof of Climate Change is Slammed as an \u201cEgregious Failure of Scientific Inquiry\u201d","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"01\/10\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"The findings from this database have fuelled climate alarm for decades, and it is widely quoted by scientific journals, media and politicians.","rel":"","context":"In \"Attribution studies\"","block_context":{"text":"Attribution studies","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=attribution-studies"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/00tornado-supercell-evening-stock.jpg?fit=1200%2C847&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/00tornado-supercell-evening-stock.jpg?fit=1200%2C847&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/00tornado-supercell-evening-stock.jpg?fit=1200%2C847&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/00tornado-supercell-evening-stock.jpg?fit=1200%2C847&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/00tornado-supercell-evening-stock.jpg?fit=1200%2C847&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":273372,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=273372","url_meta":{"origin":276466,"position":1},"title":"EM-DAT:\u00a0 The International Disaster Database","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"08\/14\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Note that Deaths are often not\u00a0fully\u00a0reported for months and even years after a major event, thus the EM-DAT data on deaths lags by a year or so. Data before 2000 is unreliable for exact numbers, especially for smaller disasters, but for major events killing thousands, can be considered comparable for\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"climate propaganda\"","block_context":{"text":"climate propaganda","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-propaganda"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/0slide3-l.jpg?fit=1024%2C768&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/0slide3-l.jpg?fit=1024%2C768&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/0slide3-l.jpg?fit=1024%2C768&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/0slide3-l.jpg?fit=1024%2C768&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":422125,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=422125","url_meta":{"origin":276466,"position":2},"title":"Where Are the Climate-Related Disasters?","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"01\/19\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"For decades, the climate crisis narrative has rested on a single, emotionally powerful claim: As the planet warms, extreme weather will become more frequent and more intense.","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate Alarmists\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate Alarmists","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-alarmists"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image-354.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image-354.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image-354.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":273290,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=273290","url_meta":{"origin":276466,"position":3},"title":"21st Century Global\u00a0Disasters","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"08\/13\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"As I read their paper today I noticed that the time series they reported from the EM-DAT database looked a bit different than that I had last explored and presented here at THB late last year.","rel":"","context":"In \"global boiling\"","block_context":{"text":"global boiling","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=global-boiling"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/OIG-2023-08-02T134356.245.jpeg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/OIG-2023-08-02T134356.245.jpeg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/OIG-2023-08-02T134356.245.jpeg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/OIG-2023-08-02T134356.245.jpeg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":235514,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=235514","url_meta":{"origin":276466,"position":4},"title":"Global Disasters in 2022\u2013Roger Pielke Jr.","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"12\/21\/2022","format":false,"excerpt":"When are journalists going to start reporting the facts about disasters and call out misinformation?","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/image-679.png?fit=1200%2C806&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/image-679.png?fit=1200%2C806&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/image-679.png?fit=1200%2C806&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/image-679.png?fit=1200%2C806&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/image-679.png?fit=1200%2C806&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":222121,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=222121","url_meta":{"origin":276466,"position":5},"title":"Weather Disasters Wrongly Linked to Global Warming by Two International Agencies","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"10\/04\/2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Ignoring all the evidence, however, the\u00a0press release\u00a0accompanying the latest WMO report proclaims that \u201cClimate science is clear: we are heading in the wrong direction","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/image-165.png?fit=1024%2C552&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/image-165.png?fit=1024%2C552&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/image-165.png?fit=1024%2C552&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/image-165.png?fit=1024%2C552&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 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