{"id":276041,"date":"2023-08-28T15:46:33","date_gmt":"2023-08-28T13:46:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=276041"},"modified":"2023-08-28T15:46:36","modified_gmt":"2023-08-28T13:46:36","slug":"canada-forest-fires-trend-has-gone-down-since-2000-data-defy-alarmist-claims","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=276041","title":{"rendered":"Canada Forest Fires Trend Has Gone Down Since 2000, Data Defy Alarmist Claims"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From NoTricksZone<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By\u00a0P Gosselin<\/a>\u00a0on\u00a0<\/em>27. August 2023<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Arson likely at play\u2026images for shock journalists\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By\u00a0Klimanachrichten<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Unusual weather situations are always the hour of attribution researchers these days. Canada is suffering from forest fires again this year. The reason is the persistent drought.\u00a0According to a study<\/a>, climate change has doubled the likelihood of forest fires in Canada:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

Extreme wildfire conditions in Canada have been fueled by intense, spatially extensive and persistent fire-conducive weather conditions, known as fire weather, which has been observed since the beginning of May throughout the country. Canada has experienced its warmest May-June period since 1940, beating the previous record set in 1998 by a huge margin (0.8\u00b0C). At the national scale, relative humidity was also very low. The warm and dry conditions, together with continuous southeasterly winds fueled extensive fire spread in Alberta, British Columbia, central Saskatchewan and southwestern portions of the Northwest Territories.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

There are at least 17 direct fatalities linked to the fires, more than 150,000 people have been evacuated, and at least 200 structures, including homes, were damaged in the fires (<\/em>AP News, 2023<\/a>). The Canadian wildfires have severely impacted air quality locally in Canada, and in the neighboring United States with Air Quality Index (AQI) values frequently exceeding safe levels in the Midwest and northeast USA, and in some cases approaching record levels (e.g. on June 7th AQI reached 341 in New York City, considered hazardous for all residents) (<\/em>CNBC, 2023<\/a>). Similarly, in southern Ontario, including the cities of Ottawa and Toronto, air quality reached the \u2018very high risk\u2019 level forcing officials to cancel public events and reduce hours for outdoor public services. Schools remained closed for several days in many states, including Nova Scotia, New York, New Jersey, and Connecticut.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

Trend defies alarmist claims<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

But the country\u2019s official wildfire statistics do not show this suspected trend.\u00a0Statista lists them<\/a>. Strictly speaking, the trend in the number of fires is actually decreasing until 2022. For 2023, the numbers will rise again to August 23, 2023 almost 6,000 fires were counted. But that will still be below the 2006 figures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
Source:\u00a0Statista<\/a><\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Now the study does not say that the number of forest fires has doubled, but the probability. That\u2019s different, of course, but it\u2019s hard to grasp, because in the end it\u2019s the fires and the damage they cause that count. In the case of Canada, there are aggravating circumstances. Unlike in Europe, forest fires there can have natural triggers, i.e. lightning. This does not exclude arson, but broadens the sources of ignition.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A\u00a0CBS<\/a>\u00a0report puts the number of natural causes at 50%. J\u00f6rg Kachelmann already assumed deliberate arson in June 2023 in the\u00a0K\u00f6lner Stadtanzeiger<\/a>. At that time it burned in the east of the country and the smoke went as far as the USA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

Kachelmann also assumes humans are the cause of the increased number of wildfires in eastern Canada. He tweeted a satellite image of the fires on the east coast, showing the individual sources of fire. Within an hour, there had been fires in more than ten places, Kachelmann wrote. Thunderstorms could not be considered as the cause of the fires, because this did not correspond to the weather situation at that time.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

I agree to external content from the external platform Twitter being displayed to me. Personal data may be transmitted to third-party platforms in the process. More on this in our privacy policy.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kachelmann assumes deliberate arson and says it was also clear at the time where the smoke would travel, namely to the East Coast of the United States. \u2018I have never seen such a mass arson and it is very intriguing,\u201d Kachelmann commented further.’\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

He even suspected arson to create certain images in the media. The ZDF reports in its foreign news \u201cAuslandsjournal<\/a><\/em>\u201d about the fires and lets Zeke Hausfather come to word. He also mentions the last 3 La Nina years, which would have delayed an increase in warming. This is noteworthy because such natural climate forcings do not appear in many reports. Hausfather describes a mix as emissions by humans and such forcings as a combination. The program can be seen until November 23,2023 in the ZDF-Media archives.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Arson likely at play\u2026images for shock journalists\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":276051,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691821355,691820913,691818056],"class_list":{"0":"post-276041","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-arson","9":"tag-canadas-wildfires","10":"tag-climate-change","12":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/01800x1200_getty_rf_canada_wildfires.webp?fit=1800%2C1200&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-19Oh","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":286394,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=286394","url_meta":{"origin":276041,"position":0},"title":"Knowing Your Arson from Your\u00a0Elbow","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"03\/11\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Discounting volcanoes and meteorites, there are two types of ignition sources for wildfires \u2013 dry lightning and humans. We may further sub-divide human ignition sources into accidental and deliberate. From Climate Scepticism BY\u00a0JIT Human-started fires: denialist meme or growing problem, Part 1 Discounting volcanoes and meteorites, there are two types\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Arson\"","block_context":{"text":"Arson","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=arson"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/0Arson.jpeg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/0Arson.jpeg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/0Arson.jpeg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/0Arson.jpeg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/0Arson.jpeg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":275668,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=275668","url_meta":{"origin":276041,"position":1},"title":"Greece arrests 79 people on arson charges as fire death toll reaches 21","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"26\/08\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Authorities in Greece have arrested 79 people on charges related to arson as the death toll rises to 21.","rel":"","context":"In \"arsonists\"","block_context":{"text":"arsonists","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=arsonists"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/0Screenshot-2023-08-26-154857.png?fit=975%2C561&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/0Screenshot-2023-08-26-154857.png?fit=975%2C561&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/0Screenshot-2023-08-26-154857.png?fit=975%2C561&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/0Screenshot-2023-08-26-154857.png?fit=975%2C561&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":407511,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=407511","url_meta":{"origin":276041,"position":2},"title":"Where Are All the Hurricanes? (Guest: Joe Bastardi) \u2014 The Climate Realism Show #177","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"10\/10\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"In Episode #177 of The Climate Realism Show, The Heartland Institute\u2019s Anthony Watts, Sterling Burnett, Linnea Lueken, and Jim Lakely also tackle the Crazy Climate News of the Week, including a misleading Bloomberg chart that \u201cclimate denialists can\u2019t ignore,\u201d how arson, not \u201cclimate change,\u201d caused the Pacific Palisades fire, why\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Arson\"","block_context":{"text":"Arson","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=arson"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0Screenshot-2025-10-10-173656.png?fit=1200%2C673&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0Screenshot-2025-10-10-173656.png?fit=1200%2C673&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0Screenshot-2025-10-10-173656.png?fit=1200%2C673&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0Screenshot-2025-10-10-173656.png?fit=1200%2C673&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0Screenshot-2025-10-10-173656.png?fit=1200%2C673&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":269470,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=269470","url_meta":{"origin":276041,"position":3},"title":"The Fires in Greece Are More Likely to Have Been Caused by Arsonists Than Global Warming","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"26\/07\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"The more likely cause of the fires in Greece is arson. Firefighters in Rhodes\u00a0have indicated\u00a0arson may be to blame, while\u00a0local officials\u00a0in Corfu say the fires in Corfu were started by arsonists.","rel":"","context":"In \"Arson\"","block_context":{"text":"Arson","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=arson"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/image-779.png?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/image-779.png?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/image-779.png?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/image-779.png?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/image-779.png?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":417308,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=417308","url_meta":{"origin":276041,"position":4},"title":"Climate Fact-Check November 2025","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"14\/12\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Climate change NOT making hurricanes or wildfires worse \u2013 Calif. Wildfires caused by arson Atlantic Ocean\u2019s \u201cconveyor belt\u201d is NOT on the verge of collapse \u2013 Fossil fuels saving lives.","rel":"","context":"In \"Atlantic Meridian Overturning Circulation (AMOC)\"","block_context":{"text":"Atlantic Meridian Overturning Circulation (AMOC)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=atlantic-meridian-overturning-circulation-amoc"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/0November-2025-summary.png?fit=1200%2C672&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/0November-2025-summary.png?fit=1200%2C672&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/0November-2025-summary.png?fit=1200%2C672&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/0November-2025-summary.png?fit=1200%2C672&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/0November-2025-summary.png?fit=1200%2C672&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":419793,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=419793","url_meta":{"origin":276041,"position":5},"title":"Major power outage in Berlin, police investigate arson","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"04\/01\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"On January 3, 2026, a fire damaged high-voltage cables on a bridge over the Teltow Canal near the Lichterfelde power plant, causing a massive blackout affecting approximately 45,000\u201350,000 households and over 2,200 businesses in districts including Lichterfelde, Zehlendorf, Nikolassee, and Wannsee.","rel":"","context":"In \"arson attack\"","block_context":{"text":"arson attack","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=arson-attack"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/0AQMoKD8XLMjLxjN8Bt0iOn8mM18LXIHLRfk9bHq6HeO1DuwYCIFyoCbtGtB1L4-qb2cR5238J2vp_k48zInFVIQC2-695MN79Dj5MDLP2t32m4gi_dcSdkKwwy3rDlSL-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C794&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/0AQMoKD8XLMjLxjN8Bt0iOn8mM18LXIHLRfk9bHq6HeO1DuwYCIFyoCbtGtB1L4-qb2cR5238J2vp_k48zInFVIQC2-695MN79Dj5MDLP2t32m4gi_dcSdkKwwy3rDlSL-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C794&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/0AQMoKD8XLMjLxjN8Bt0iOn8mM18LXIHLRfk9bHq6HeO1DuwYCIFyoCbtGtB1L4-qb2cR5238J2vp_k48zInFVIQC2-695MN79Dj5MDLP2t32m4gi_dcSdkKwwy3rDlSL-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C794&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/0AQMoKD8XLMjLxjN8Bt0iOn8mM18LXIHLRfk9bHq6HeO1DuwYCIFyoCbtGtB1L4-qb2cR5238J2vp_k48zInFVIQC2-695MN79Dj5MDLP2t32m4gi_dcSdkKwwy3rDlSL-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C794&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/0AQMoKD8XLMjLxjN8Bt0iOn8mM18LXIHLRfk9bHq6HeO1DuwYCIFyoCbtGtB1L4-qb2cR5238J2vp_k48zInFVIQC2-695MN79Dj5MDLP2t32m4gi_dcSdkKwwy3rDlSL-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C794&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/276041","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=276041"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/276041\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":276052,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/276041\/revisions\/276052"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/276051"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=276041"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=276041"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=276041"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}